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NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, May 6

NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, May 6

NBA Playoffs

Brooklyn is 4-0 against Heat this season, with three wins by exactly one point; Nets survived last possession in Toronto Sunday to get to second round- they were 3-0-1 vs spread on road in Raptor series. Miami hasn't played in 8 days since sweeping overmatched Charlotte. Nets won their two visits here this season by 96-95/88-87 scores. Heat is 3-4 vs spread in last seven home games. Five of last seven series games stayed under.

Spurs won last two games with Portland, after losing eight of previous 11 series games; Blazers are 5-4 in last nine visits here, splitting pair this season. Veteran Spurs won Game 7 Sunday; Portland won Game 6 two days earlier, so they had little extra prep time. Blazers are 27-18 against spread on road this season, winning two of three in Houston last series. San Antonio's cover in Game 7 vs Dallas was its first in last nine games.

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Game of the Day: Nets at Heat

Brooklyn Nets at Miami Heat (-7, 191.5)

The Brooklyn Nets won all four regular-season contests against Miami this season and recording four more would qualify as quite the upset as they prepare to face the host Heat in Tuesday’s opener of the Eastern Conference semifinals. Brooklyn won three of the meetings by a single point and also recorded a 104-95 double-overtime victory as a veteran group led by Paul Pierce isn’t intimidated by LeBron James and his teammates. Miami is certainly the more rested team after completing a sweep of the Charlotte Bobcats on April 28.

The sixth-seeded Nets went seven games against Toronto in the first round before squeezing out a 104-103 win on Sunday to advance but are highly confident in terms of facing the two-time defending champions. “We know we can beat them, but it is going to be a lot different from the regular season in the playoffs,” swingman Joe Johnson said after Sunday’s win. “So we understand that we will definitely have our work cut out for us and it is going to take a collective team effort.” Miami knows it will have to play better in the playoffs to stymie Brooklyn. “Hats off to them because they beat us four times,” guard Ray Allen told reporters. “We don’t particularly like how we played in those games.”

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Heat as 7-point home faves. The total opened 191.5.

INJURY REPORT: Brooklyn Nets - C Brook Lopez (out for season, foot). Miami Heat - F Michael Beasley (Questionable, ankle).

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Got sharp bet on Brooklyn +8 (-120), buying a 1/2-point, so we moved Miami to -7.5 (-105). Seventy-three percent of cash and 69 percent of bets are on the Nets. Brooklyn not only covered, but won all four regular season meetings straight up with Miami." Mike Perry,

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Brooklyn went 4-0 SU versus Miami this season, but three of the four wins came by a single point, and the other win came in overtime. Tough spot for the Nets in Game 1 since they come off a Game 7 on the road and play on the road again with just one day of rest. However, Miami hasn't played since April 28, so they have been off for seven days which could disrupt their rhythm." Covers Expert Steve Merril.

ABOUT THE NETS: Brooklyn has a veteran group led by Johnson and Pierce that won’t succumb to the playoff pressure against the Heat. Forward Kevin Garnett is no longer the big-time force but he is always ready to mix it up on the boards and point guard Deron Williams thrives when he’s in attack mode – which the Nets will need him to be to slay the Heat. Part of the offseason spending spree was designed with Miami in mind and the regular-season success is at least an indication that the series won’t be one-sided. Getting solid contributions from complimentary players like guards Alan Anderson, Shaun Livingston and Marcus Thornton and forwards Andray Blatche and Mirza Teletovic will be necessary.

ABOUT THE HEAT: The extended break should be good for James’ injured thigh and guard Dwyane Wade’s troublesome knees. James was injured in Game 4 of the series against Charlotte and has been undergoing treatment and told reporters that he will be “close to 100 percent” for the series opener. Miami could use some improved interior play against Brooklyn after being outrebounded by an average of 6.3 boards in the four regular-season meetings. Udonis Haslem was in a starting role against the Bobcats but veteran reserve Chris Andersen (8.5 points, 4.3 rebounds in the series) was a much more significant contributor.


* Nets are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Miami.
* Nets are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Miami.
* Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a ATS win.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 52 percent of wagers on Covers Consensus are on the Brooklyn Nets .

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NBA: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Brooklyn Nets at Miami Heat

Round-two of the 2013-14 playoffs tipped off last night with both Wizards, Clippers taking care of business winning respective Conference Semifinal matchups. Those two games in the books NBA underdog bettors enjoying a profitable second season cashing at 67.3% clip (35-15-2 ATS) will give Brooklyn a hard, long look when Nets square off against 'The Three Amigos' in South Beach Tuesday night. The Nets won/cashed all four meetings this season containing Miami to 94.2 points per contest a full eight points below season average. Boosting underdog bettors confidence, Heat are just 4-9 ATS on the year laying 7 to 9.5 at home including 1-4 ATS when held under the century mark in scoring. Final betting nugget, Heat are 1-3 ATS as 7 to 9.5 point home chalk revenging a previous loss.

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Trail Blazers at Spurs: What Bettors Need to Know

Portland Trail Blazers at San Antonio Spurs (-6.5, 205.5)

The Portland Trail Blazers went to overtime three times in the first round and needed a last-second jumper from Damian Lillard to avoid a Game 7. Their reward for such perseverance is a date with the top-seeded San Antonio Spurs, who host Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals on Tuesday. The Spurs went seven games with the Dallas Mavericks but left no doubt who was the better team with a 119-96 drubbing in Game 7.

San Antonio gave Portland a performance about which to worry on Sunday when it led by as much as 31 points and was never challenged in the second half. “I’m certainly glad it’s over,” Spurs coach Gregg Popovich told reporters. “(The first-round series) kept many of us up, night after night, trying to figure (the Mavericks) out. We’re thrilled, and I think our best game was (Game 7).” The Trail Blazers echoed similar sentiments upon reaching the second round for the first time since 2000 and have the shooters to spread San Antonio out.

ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS: Lillard was the hero with a buzzer-beating 3-pointer in a 99-98 Game 6 victory but LaMarcus Aldridge came out of the first round as a star after putting up back-to-back 40-point outings to start the series and averaging 29.8 points and 11.2 rebounds in the six games. “It was a great series,“ Aldridge told reporters. “We feel like we got better from it … and we feel like we should be better for the next round.” Aldridge’s mid-range game will force Spurs star Tim Duncan outside the paint, leaving room for Lillard to drive and Wesley Matthews and Nicolas Batum space to spot up on the perimeter. Lillard averaged 25.5 points and 6.7 assists against the Rockets and went 23-of-47 from 3-point range.

ABOUT THE SPURS: San Antonio All-Star point guard Tony Parker won’t hoist as many 3-pointers as Lillard but will make the young Portland star work on the defensive end by attacking the paint and running the pick-and-roll with Duncan and Tiago Splitter. Parker put up 32 points in the Game 7 victory on Sunday and averaged 19.9 in the series. Duncan averaged 17.3 points on 58 percent shooting and 8.4 rebounds in the first round and Manu Ginobili put up 17.7 points in the series to cap a strong showing for the “Big Three.” The Spurs also got a boost from Danny Green, who struggled early in the series but came on with 16.5 points on 12-of-14 shooting in the last two games.


* Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Trail Blazers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
* Spurs are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall.
* Over is 5-1 in Spurs last six overall.


1. Lillard averages 26.3 points in seven career games against the Spurs.

2. The teams split four regular-season meetings, with each taking one game on the other’s home court.

3. Splitter shot 61.9 percent in the opening round and should be well rested after playing only 15 minutes while dealing with foul trouble in Game 7.

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Tuesday's NBA Playoff Picks
By: Craig Williams

The NBA playoffs continue Tuesday when the Miami Heat host the Brooklyn Nets (7 p.m. ET) and the Portland Trail Blazers visit the San Antonio Spurs (9:30 p.m. ET). Both Game 1 matchups will be on TNT.

Much has been made about the Nets' four-game regular-season sweep of the Heat. However, two of the four games were decided by one point and another required overtime for Brooklyn to get the W. The 4-0 record looks less dominant once you dig a little deeper.

Plus, this is the playoffs, and we're well aware of Miami's penchant for turning it on in the postseason.

Line: Heat -7.5, Total: 191.5

The Heat are 11-11 ATS on two or more days rest this season, and they haven't suited up since April 28. Rest in this case could certainly equate to some rust in the early going.

The Heat and Nets have both been strong against the spread this postseason (Heat 3-1, Nets 4-2-1). OVER was 3-1 in Heat games and 4-3 in Nets games in round one.

The O/U split 2-2 in the four regular-season matchups.

The Linemakers' lean: The Nets are in rhythm coming into this series, having played well in their seven-game battle with the Raptors, albeit being outrebounded in every game until Game 7. Miami, on the other hand, has been off for over a week and figures to be a bit rusty Tuesday night. Brooklyn also proved its road worthiness in the first round, covering all three games at rowdy Air Canada Centre. While we believe the Heat will prevail in this series, we’ll take the generous amount of points in Game 1 with the team that swept them in the regular season.

Portland Blazers at San Antonio Spurs (-6.5, 205.5)

The Spurs were pushed to the brink by in-state rival Dallas Mavericks. They'll welcome the surging Blazers, who may still be buzzed after Damian Lillard's series-clinching three-point dagger at the buzzer to close out the Houston Rockets.

The Blazers were 1-2 SU and ATS against the Spurs in their three regular-season matchups. The OVER was 2-1.

Portland has been stronger ATS on the road (27-17) than at the Moda Center (19-25) this season, and the Spurs have a similar ATS split, 25-19 on the road and 21-24 at AT&T Center. San Antonio finished 1-6 against the number vs. the Mavs, their lone cover occurring in a Game 7 blowout. After Portland covered the first two games against Houston, the number was 4-0 to close out the series.

The Linemakers' lean: It may have taken took the Spurs until Game 7 to cover a spread in the first round against the Mavericks, but that doesn’t concern us too much. What does concern us is the Blazers’ lack of rebounding and preponderance of 3-point attempts. We see value with San Antonio at this price and will lay the 6.5 on Tuesday.

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Tuesday's Game 1 Tips
By Kevin Rogers

The underdogs continued to cash in the postseason with outright victories by the Wizards and Clippers on Monday night to improve to a remarkable 36-15-1 ATS in the playoffs. Tonight, the two teams that met in last summer’s NBA Finals each begin their second round series at home looking to avoid letdowns. The key for the defending champion Heat is to figure out a way to get over the hump against a Nets’ team that has owned them this season.

Nets at Heat

Miami has been sitting back for one week following its sweep of Charlotte, becoming the first team to advance to the second round while five other series went to the limit. One of those series involved the Nets, who needed to win the final two games against the Raptors to move on to the conference semifinals, which included a one-point triumph in Game 7 at the Air Canada Center. Brooklyn dropped its last two games of the regular season in hopes of drawing Miami in this round, as the Nets swept the Heat this season.

The Nets placed their chips in the middle of the table by acquiring Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett from the rebuilding Celtics in the offseason, looking to put a team together that could knock the Heat from the top of the Eastern Conference. Brooklyn beat Miami four times, but three of those victories came by just one point each, while the fourth contest finished in double overtime. Dwyane Wade sat out two of those losses for the Heat, including an 88-87 home defeat as seven-point favorites on April 8.

Since the Big Three of Wade, LeBron James, and Chris Bosh joined forces in 2010, the Heat has pulled off just two sweeps in the playoffs, including a four-game sweep of Milwaukee last season in the first round. However, following a long layoff, the Heat was tripped up by the Bulls in the first game of the semifinals as 12½-point home favorites, 93-86. Miami ended up grabbing the final four contests against Chicago to advance to the conference finals, but be weary of rest versus rust tonight for the Heat.

Brooklyn escaped Toronto with a 104-103 victory on Sunday to cash outright as five-point underdogs, as the ‘dogs went 5-1-1 ATS in that series. In the last eight opportunities as a road ‘dog with at least one day of rest, Jason Kidd’s team has compiled a 6-1-1 ATS record, which includes the two outright wins at Miami. The Nets have not picked up successive covers as an away underdog this season, while going 4-7-1 ATS after cashing as a road ‘dog.

The Heat open as -550 favorites (Bet $550 to win $100) to win this series, while the return on the Nets to advance to the Eastern Conference Finals is +425 (Bet $100 to win $425). Tonight, Miami is a seven-point home favorite with a total of 191½.

Blazers at Spurs

San Antonio was unexpectedly pushed to the limit by Dallas in the opening round, but destroyed the Mavericks in Sunday’s Game 7 by a 119-96 count as seven-point home favorites. The ATS win by the Spurs snapped an eight-game ATS skid dating back to April 14, while covering for the first time in five tries at the AT&T Center. Now, the Spurs hit the reset button to take on a Blazers’ squad heading to Texas for the second straight series.

Portland eliminated Houston in six games in the last round, capped off by a game-winning three-pointer by Damian Lillard to send the Blazers to the second round for the first time since 2000. The Blazers grabbed two of three games at Houston, while winning 13 of their last 16 games dating back to March 27. During this hot stretch, Terry Stotts’ club has won six of their past seven away from the Moda Center, while covering in each victory.

The Blazers and Spurs split four regular season meetings, as each team won at home and stole a game on the road. Portland took the first two matchups in the underdog role, including a 109-100 triumph at the AT&T Center in mid-January, as Tony Parker and Tim Duncan combined to shoot just 11-of-28 from the field. The Spurs rebounded in the final two meetings, as San Antonio dominated Portland, 103-90 on March 12 as 7½-point favorites, but Blazers’ All-Star forward LaMarcus Aldridge left the game with a back injury.

Portland drilled the ‘over’ in the first four games against Houston, as three of those contests needed overtime. However, the last two contests with the Rockets finished ‘under’ the total, as the Blazers scored below 100 points in each game after putting together a nine-game streak of scoring at least triple-digits. San Antonio hit the ‘over’ in five of seven contests against Dallas, while the Spurs are 5-2 to the ‘over’ in the past seven games at the AT&T Center.

The Spurs are -400 favorites (Bet $400 to win $100) to advance to the Western Conference Finals for the second straight season, while the Blazers are listed at +330 underdogs to win this series. Tonight, San Antonio is a 6½-point home favorite with a total of 205½.

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