NBA Betting News and Notes Sunday, February 2

NBA Betting News and Notes Sunday, February 2

Cross-Sport SB Props
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

The multitude of Super Bowl propositions to bet on is endless, but there are a few dozen props that go outside of Sunday's contest between the Seahawks and Broncos. Whether it's the NBA, NHL, college basketball, soccer, or even golf, the oddmakers in Las Vegas have found a way to tie in the Super Bowl to these sporting events this weekend to wager on. Below are three props involving the NBA that should be given consideration in addition to any bets made on Super Sunday.

LeBron James points -5½ vs. Seahawks points

The Heat heads to New York City on Saturday night to battle the red-hot Knicks, as Miami looks to avenge a loss to New York from earlier this month. James scored 32 points in his last meeting against the Knicks back on January 9, while scoring 29, 31, and 23 versus New York in three games last season. The lowest point total for James this season is 15 against Orlando in early January, as the reigning MVP has put up at least 27 points in five of the last six games.

The Seahawks' offense has been on the decline over the last two months, scoring 23 points or less in five of the previous six games. In five of eight contests played away from the Pacific Northwest, the Seahawks tallied 23 points or fewer, including 12 at Carolina and 17 at San Francisco.

Barring injury (as always), James will likely score between 25 and 30 points, but the number is unlimited. The Seahawks are more limited in their point output, as it is likely they will not score 45 points. Even though it seems like a chalky selection, I'll take LeBron James to win this prop over Seahawks total points.

Broncos points -4½ vs. John Wall points

Denver owns the best offense in the NFL, facing the league's top defense on Sunday. The Broncos' two lowest-point totals this season (20 and 24) came against San Diego, while topping the 30-point mark in 13 games (7 of 8 road games). John Fox's team kicked four field goals in the AFC Championship against New England, including a pair of field goals from 27 yards or fewer. Basically, the Broncos are good for at least four of five scores at minimum, it's just about scoring touchdowns as opposing to kicking field goals.

John Wall is an up-and-coming guard in the league, but the former top pick of the draft is erratic from a scoring standpoint. The Wizards host the Thunder on Saturday night, as Wall was limited to just 10 points the last time he faced OKC back on November 10. Wall has scored 19 points or less in five of the past six games, including four straight games below his average of 19.9 points per contest. In his last six home games, Wall has performed better by putting up at least 23 points five times.

Of course the Broncos can run into a problem against the Seattle defense, but the weather should clear up enough for Denver to get in the end zone several times. Wall has faced four of the top five defensive teams in the league this season (OKC ranks 7th), scoring 19 or less in four of six games against these clubs so far. I'll back the Broncos to win this prop.

Pistons first quarter points -5½ vs. Seahawks + Broncos first half points

This prop was a tough one to back the favorite. However, Detroit is facing the league's worst defense in Philadelphia, which allows nearly 110 points per game. All we are worried about is the first quarter, are the Pistons are averaging 23.4 points in 10 opening quarters against unrested opponents. That number doesn't sound high, but Detroit did put up 40 points in the first quarter against Philadelphia at home on December 1, as you can never underestimate the deficiency of the Sixers' defense.

The last seven first halves of the Super Bowl have been hit or miss from a scoring standpoint, with the two teams combining to score 27, 19, 31, 16, 24, 10, and 30 in this stretch. There's no way to say that the Broncos and Seahawks will have a low output since it is "due" to go that direction this season following the 27 points scored last February between the Ravens and 49ers.

It is possible the Broncos and Seahawks can score three points in the first half, but the Pistons will likely not put up 10 points in the first quarter against the Sixers. If Detroit hits its shots, the Pistons can put this prop away fast with at least a 30-point output. Both Seattle and Denver's defenses have played well in the postseason, so I don't expect many points in the first half.

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Sunday, February 2

Hot teams
-- None

Cold Teams
-- Boston lost seven of last eight games, are 9-14-1 vs spread at home.
-- Magic lost five of last seven games, are 9-15 vs spread on road.

Series records
-- Celtics won ten of their last eleven games with Orlando.

Totals
-- 18 of 24 Orlando road games stayed under the total.

Back to backs
-- None


ORLANDO (13 - 35) at BOSTON (15 - 33) - 2/2/2014, 1:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 56-73 ATS (-24.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


ORLANDO vs. BOSTON
Orlando is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
Orlando is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games
Boston is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
Boston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Orlando

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Sunday, February 2

Magic at Celtics: What Bettors Need to Know
Covers.com

Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics (-5, 191.5)

The Orlando Magic look to win back-to-back games for the first time since late December when they visit the struggling Boston Celtics on Sunday afternoon. The Magic recorded a 113-102 victory over Milwaukee on Friday and will try to end a 10-game losing streak on the road, where they are an NBA-worst 3-21. The Celtics could get second-leading scorer Avery Bradley back from an ankle injury as they attempt to snap out of a funk which saw them drop near the bottom of the Eastern Conference.

Boston is only 3-19 since Dec. 16 and has not won in the six games All Star guard Rajon Rondo has played since his return from knee surgery. Orlando broke a 10-game slide against the Celtics with a 93-91 triumph Jan. 19. Magic center Nikola Vucevic averaged 14 points in his first two games back from a concussion, but guard Jameer Nelson left Friday’s game with a sore knee and is questionable.

ABOUT THE MAGIC (13-35): Leading scorer Arron Afflalo (20) had a response for being left off the All Star roster with 21 points on Friday. “There’s certain feelings you get at points in your life, whether it’s a motivating factor or something that you look forward to that didn’t happen,” Afflalo told the Orlando Sentinel. “But, for me, it’s given me a new level of passion, a new level of hunger.” Vucevic averages a double-double (13.1 points, 10.8 rebounds) and rookie Victor Oladipo scored 15.6 per game in January.

ABOUT THE CELTICS (15-33): Boston has averaged 86 points in four straight losses and Bradley, who scored 24 in a home win over Orlando early in the season, would give the offense a huge boost. Rondo was rested in the 95-94 loss to Philadelphia on Wednesday and is averaging 6.7 points while shooting 27.9 percent from the field since his return. Jeff Green leads the Celtics in scoring (16) and Jared Sullinger averages 12.8 points and 7.8 rebounds after posting 24 and 17, respectively, in Wednesday’s game.

TRENDS:

* Magic are 1-5-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in Boston.
* Magic are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games.
* Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.
* Under is 7-1 in Celtics last eight home games.

BUZZER BEATERS:


1. Former Magic F Brandon Bass is 26-of-43 from the field and 14-of-16 from the free-throw line while averaging 11 points over the last six games.

2. Orlando F Tobias Harris scored 15.2 points per contest in January and recorded 18 off the bench in Friday’s victory.

3. Celtics F Chris Johnson, averaging 9.7 points in the last six contests, was signed to a second 10-day contract Tuesday.

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