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College Football Betting News and Notes Wednesday, November 6

College Football Betting News and Notes Wednesday, November 6

C MICHIGAN (3 - 5) at BALL ST (8 - 1) - 11/6/2013, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 2-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 2-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Michigan's last 5 games
Central Michigan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Ball State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Ball State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Central Michigan

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Wednesday, November 6

Central Michigan at Ball State: What Bettors Need to Know

Central Michigan Chippewas at Ball State Cardinals (-20.5, 55.5)

The Ball State Cardinals face the Northern Illinois Huskies next week in a game that could very well decide who finishes atop the Mid-American Conference's West Division. But the Cardinals can't afford to look past this week's matchup as they bring their unbeaten conference mark into Wednesday night's showdown with the visiting Central Michigan Chippewas. Ball State has reeled off six consecutive wins, while Central Michigan is coming off a 38-17 loss to the Huskies.

Ball State's fortunes rest on the cannon arm of senior quarterback Keith Wenning, who is well on his way to locking up conference Player of the Year honors. Wenning leads the MAC in passing yards (2,865) and touchdowns (28), and is coming off an impressive five-TD performance in a 42-24 victory over the Akron Zips back on Oct. 26. The Chippewas will be in tough against the Cardinals' high-powered offense, having surrendered a whopping 33.4 points per game.

LINE: Ball State opened as a 19.5-point favorite and has since been bet up to 20.5. The total has come down from 58 to 55.5 points.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with showers expected and wind blowing north across the length of the field at 8 mph.

ABOUT CENTRAL MICHIGAN (3-5, 2-2 MAC): For Chippewas fans seeking reason for optimism, Cooper Rush has provided plenty over the past two games. The freshman quarterback struggled following an impressive three-touchdown debut Sept. 7 against New Hampshire, but has returned to form with five TD passes against just two interceptions over his previous two games. Starting running back Saylor Lavallii has racked up 388 yards over his last three games.

ABOUT BALL STATE (8-1, 5-0 MAC): A trio of receivers have benefited the most from Wenning's outstanding senior campaign. Willie Snead leads the conference in receptions (65), receiving yards (1,057) and touchdowns (10) while teammate Jordan Williams ranks second in yardage (792) and scores (seven). Senior wideout Jamill Smith has also been solid so far this season, ranking seventh in the conference with 592 receiving yards and adding four TDs.


* Chippewas are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a bye week.
* Cardinals are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS win.
* Under is 6-0-1 in Ball State's last seven games after scoring 40 or more points in their previous contest.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Wednesday, November 6

NCAAF Week 11

Ball State is 8-1, with only loss 34-27 at North Texas when they blew a 27-16 halftime lead; Cardinals are 2-1 as home favorites this year, 6-1 in last seven such games. Ball won last three games vs Central Michigan, winning by 14-4-11 points in series where favorites covered six of last eight games. Chippewas won three of last four visits to Muncie, losing 31-27 in last visit here; CMU is 1-3 as road underdog this year, 2-12 in last 14 such games. MAC home underdogs are 2-15 vs spread this year. Chippewas' last three losses are all by 21+ points.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Wednesday, November 6

Pointspread Prognosis
By Joe Gavazzi

Oklahoma at Baylor (-15)

This is one of the biggest value games of the season. Consider the following: in the last 14 games between these two teams, Oklahoma has been favored by an average of 27 PPG. That includes last year when as 21 point favorite, they defeated Baylor 42-34. At the start of the season, Oklahoma would have been favored by as many as 7 points in this game. But because Baylor has put up video game offensive numbers against Wofford, Buffalo, LA Monroe, WVU, Iowa St., and Kansas, this line has soared into the stratosphere. Greatest point of comparison is the Baylor 35-25 victory at Kansas St. (they trailed in the 2nd half) against the only quality team they have faced. In that game, the Wildcats controlled the ball on the ground with a strong running game. Look for Oklahoma to do the same. That is exactly the MO that HC Stoops and the Sooners used in our top rated CFB October GOM winner vs. TTRR, another aerial circus. It means something that Oklahoma has won 21/22 of the recent games in the series. Since that loss to Oklahoma, Baylor has gone 11-0 SU, 10-1 ATS (covering by 18 PPG) and 8-0 SU ATS on this field. That all changes today; when they meet a quality team who can control the line of scrimmage against them.

Troy at LA Lafayette (-13)

It was not that many years ago that Troy was churning out Sun Belt titles like clockwork. But, the rest of the league has caught up to them. Tonight, they enter on an 18-28 ATS slide with a record this year of 5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS. At 6-2 SU for the season, 3-0 SU ATS in league play, Lafayette is the league leader. The Ragin Cajuns enter on a 6 game win streak. The last 4 of which were all by 14 or more points. HC Hudspeth is on a run of 22-12 ATS. The Cajuns have the best OL and DL play in the league. On offense, they average 227/5.0 running and 217/8.6 passing, good for 38 PPG. Note the record of 153-37 ATS (81% to play on any CFB team who runs and passes for 200 or more yards, if there opponent does not). The one dimensional (passing) offense of Troy and inferior defense allowing 35/472 is no match for the league leader.

Oregon (-10) at Stanford

Classic matchup of a high-flying Ducks’ spread offense against the ground and pound methodology of Stanford. In the last 2 regular seasons, spanning 20 games, Oregon has scored 42 or more points every game, EXCEPT in their lone loss in that timeframe, a 17-14 home defeat to Stanford which prevented them from playing for the National Championship. Does Stanford have the game plan to shoot down the Ducks? There is a major reason why that may not occur. It is on the defensive side of the ball, where last year’s Stanford defense allowed just 17/336. This year, the Cards are just a bit more permissive at 19/354. Meanwhile, Oregon’s defense has improved from 22 to 17 PPG. You will pay a bit of an inflated price to back Oregon because since that loss to Stanford, they have gone 10-0 SU, 9-1 ATS and have covered 12 consecutive games on the road. This year, they are winning by an average count of 56-17. With the Kansas Jayhawks and Andrew Wiggins not suiting up until tomorrow night (against LA Monroe), best advice for this contest is Rock Chalk, Flock.

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