NFL Trends Week 2

NFL Trends Week 2

SAN DIEGO (7 - 9) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 12) - 9/15/2013, 1:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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CLEVELAND (5 - 11) at BALTIMORE (14 - 6) - 9/15/2013, 1:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TENNESSEE (6 - 10) at HOUSTON (13 - 5) - 9/15/2013, 1:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MIAMI (7 - 9) at INDIANAPOLIS (11 - 6) - 9/15/2013, 1:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CAROLINA (7 - 9) at BUFFALO (6 - 10) - 9/15/2013, 1:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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ST LOUIS (7 - 8 - 1) at ATLANTA (14 - 4) - 9/15/2013, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 63-90 ATS (-36.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 94-127 ATS (-45.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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WASHINGTON (10 - 7) at GREEN BAY (12 - 6) - 9/15/2013, 1:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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DALLAS (8 - 8) at KANSAS CITY (2 - 14) - 9/15/2013, 1:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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MINNESOTA (10 - 7) at CHICAGO (10 - 6) - 9/15/2013, 1:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEW ORLEANS (7 - 9) at TAMPA BAY (7 - 9) - 9/15/2013, 4:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DETROIT (4 - 12) at ARIZONA (5 - 11) - 9/15/2013, 4:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
DETROIT is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
DETROIT is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games against NFC West division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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JACKSONVILLE (2 - 14) at OAKLAND (4 - 12) - 9/15/2013, 4:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DENVER (13 - 4) at NY GIANTS (9 - 7) - 9/15/2013, 4:25 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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SAN FRANCISCO (13 - 5 - 1) at SEATTLE (12 - 6) - 9/15/2013, 8:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PITTSBURGH (8 - 8) at CINCINNATI (10 - 7) - 9/16/2013, 8:40 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 111-144 ATS (-47.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 58-86 ATS (-36.6 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Re: NFL Trends Week 2

1:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. ATLANTA
St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
St. Louis is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Atlanta   
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games

1:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. BUFFALO
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road   
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games at home

1:00 PM
MIAMI vs. INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Indianapolis
Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis   
Indianapolis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
Indianapolis is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami

1:00 PM
DALLAS vs. KANSAS CITY
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City   
Kansas City is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games
Kansas City is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas

1:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. GREEN BAY
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games on the road   
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Green Bay's last 7 games when playing Washington

1:00 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games on the road
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia   
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-11-1 SU in its last 13 games ,

1:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. HOUSTON
Tennessee is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games
Tennessee is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road   
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Chicago
Minnesota is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago   
Chicago is 1-4-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

1:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BALTIMORE
Cleveland is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Baltimore
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore   
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

4:05 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 15 of New Orleans's last 22 games
New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans
Tampa Bay is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

4:05 PM
DETROIT vs. ARIZONA
Detroit is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Arizona
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona   
Arizona is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games

4:25 PM
DENVER vs. NY GIANTS
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Denver is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Giants   
NY Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Denver
NY Giants are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

4:25 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. OAKLAND
Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Jacksonville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games   
Oakland is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oakland's last 8 games

8:30 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. SEATTLE
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
San Francisco is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 9 games

8:40 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
Pittsburgh is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

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Re: NFL Trends Week 2

2-Minute Handicap
Playbook.com

Thursday, September 12

NY Jets SERIES: 1-5 L5 / 1-3 L4 A... 1-4 O/U Game Two
NEW ENGLAND 6-2-1 Thursdays... 8-21 DD favs (3-9 vs div)
      
Sunday, September 15

San Diego 7-0 OVER Game Two... 0-7 SUATS L7 years frist trip east
PHILADELPHIA SERIES: 1-4-1 L6... 17-7 H after Mondays
      
Cleveland SERIES: 3-0 L3A... 7-0 div RD's w/revenge... 9-2 A vs .250 < opp
BALTIMORE SERIES: 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS... 0-4 favs > 6 after allow 35 > pts... 1-5 home off DD loss vs < .500 opp... 8-1 O/U Game Two
      
Tennessee SERIES: 0-4 L4... 8-2 div away off DD ATS win
HOUSTON 7-1 vs div opp Games 1-4... 4-1-1 ATS Game Two
      
Miami SERIES: 1-3 L4... 8-0 non-div dog < 10 pts... Philbin: 7-1 dog < 10 pts
INDIANAPOLIS 9-1 SU Game Two... 10-3 Games 1-4 vs non-div opp
      
Carolina 4-1-1 O/U Game Two... 11-4 RF vs opp off loss
BUFFALO 4-1 SU Game Two... 1-7 after Patriots
      
St. Louis SERIES: 4-1 L5A... 1-6 SU Game Two... 2-11 Games 1-4 as dogs > 5 pts
ATLANTA 6-1 Game Two... Smith 19-5 off SU loss
      
Washington 5-0 away w/O/U line 47 > pts... 2-13 vs .250 < opp
GREEN BAY SERIES: 6-1-1 L8... 7-1 SU Game Two
      
Dallas 5-1 O/U Game Two... Garrett: 4-0 as dog > 4 pts
KANSAS CITY 1-6 SU Game Two... Reid: 10-5 fav vs Cowboys
      
Minnesota 6-0 as dogs 6 < vs opp off SU win... 4-0 as dogs Games 1-4 after allow 28 > pts... 2-12 O/U Game Two... Frazier: 6-0 vs opp off SU win
CHICAGO SERIES: 6-1 L7 / 5-0 L5 H... 1-9 as favs in 2nd of BB home games... 1-4-1 O/U Game Two
      
New Orleans    6-1 SU Game Two... 1-8 Games 1-4 as favs 3 > vs < .500 opp
TAMPA BAY SERIES: 3-7 L10 / 1-4 L5 H... 5-1 Game Two
      
Detroit SERIES: 0-6 L6 A... 0-11 as RF's < 6 pts... 1-4 SU Game Two
ARIZONA 5-1 Game Two... 8-2 home vs NFC North
      
Jacksonville 8-0 Games 1-4 as dogs 6 < pts w/revenge... 0-6 Game Two... 6-0-1 O/U vs AFC West... 1-7 Games 1-4 vs < .500 opp
OAKLAND SERIES: 0-5 L5... 9-0 O/U home before div div away game
      
Denver 11-2 SU Game Two... 5-1 vs .250 < opp... 1-5 before Raiders
NY GIANTS SERIES: 0-3 L3... 7-0 O/U Game Two
      
San Francisco SERIES: 0-4 L4 A... 6-0-1 Game Two
SEATTLE 10-0 vs > .500 opp... 1-5 SUATS Game Two

Monday, September 16

Pittsburgh 8-0 as div dogs of 4 > pts... 6-2 SUATS Mondays off loss vs div opp... 0-8 O/U Game Two
CINCINNATI SERIES: 1-4 L5 / 1-10 L11 H... 6-14 SUATS Mondays
      

ABBREVIATIONS LEGEND: For the most part, results are presented in this order: Series, Good Results, Bad Results, Over/Under Totals and Coaches Results. All team and coaches results are Against The Spread and pertain to preseason - unless noted otherwise. (NOTE: * = Check earlier result this season for similar situation and/or line in this game). ATS = Against The Spread, SU = Straight Up, A = Away, H = Home, Dog = Underdog, Fav = Favorite, L = Last, N = Neutral. OVER/UNDER results in Over (first) / Under (second) sequence. Site Numbers (Home One, Home Two; Away One, Away Two) designate 1st or 2nd home or road games of preseason. Dual team or coaches results - Straight-Up and Against The Spread - are separated with a ' / '. Asterisk * = check team previous game for possible similar result.

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Re: NFL Trends Week 2

Week 2 NFL Trend Sheet
By Jeff Scott Sports

NY Jets @ New England (-12.5, 44)

The NY Jets are 1-4 ATS the last in the series...5-0 ATS on the road off a SU dog win in weeks 1-4... Ryan is 4-0 ATS as a dog of 9 or more... The road team is 21-8-1 ATS the last 30 meetings... The Over is 15-5-2 in the Jets last 22 road games vs winning team... The Over is 20-8-1 in Jets last 29 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game... The Over is 17-8 in the Jets last 25 games off an ATS win. The Over is 7-0-1 the last 8 meetings.

The Patriots are 3-15 ATS their last 18 games as a favorite more than 11... 1-9 ATS at home vs a division opponent that's seeking revenge... Patriots are 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game... 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games... 16-5 Over in their last 21 games vs the AFC East... 5-0 TS their last 5 Thursday games... The Over is 36-14 in their last 50 games on Fieldturf... The Over is 28-11 in their last 39 games following a SU win.

San Diego @ Philadelphia (-9.5, 54)

The Chargers are 4-1-1 ATS the last 6 in the series... 1-7 ATS with an OU line of 46 or higher... 0-7 ARS in their first trip east the last 7 years... 0-6 ATS their last 6 games following an ATS win... 9-1 Over in 1st of BB road games... 7-0 Over in game 2... 38-15-4 Over in their last 57 road games... 15-6 Over in their last 21 games in September... The Over is 5-1 when they are aff a Monday game and playing on Sunday.

The Eagles are 10-2 SU & ATS after playing the Skins... 6-19-1 ATS their last 26 home games... 5-1 ATS after rushing for 150+yards... 0-7-1 ATS after allowing 350+ yards in their last game... The Over is 9-1-1 in their last 11 home games... The Over is 5-0 in their last 5 week 2 games... The Under is 27-10 after they scored 30 or more points.

Cleveland @ Baltimore (-6.5, 44)

The Browns are 7-0-1 ATS as divisional road dogs with revenge... 10-4 ATS following a SU loss... 9-3-1 ATS their last 13 games on fieldturf... The road team is 7-0 ATS the last 7 meetings... 9-2 ATS away vs a team with a .250 or worse record... 1-8 ATS as dogs of less than 13 off a SU loss as a favorite... 0-9 ATS after scoring 10 or less points vs an opponent off a SU & ATS loss... 10-1 Ats in games 1-4 off a DD ATS loss... The Under is 12-3-1 after they score 15 or less points... The Under is 34-15-3 vs a losing team.

The Ravens are 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game... 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record... 9-2 ATS as favs of less than vs a sub .500 team that's seeking revenge... 7-0 ATS as division home faves of less than 10 in weeks 1-4... John Harbaugh is 7-1 ATS off a DD SU Loss... The Over 8-1 in their last 9 September games... Under is 5-0 in Ravens last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game... Over is 12-4 in Ravens last 16 games following a S.U. Loss... 8-1 Over in game 2.

Tennessee @ Houston (-9.5, 43)

The Titans are 7-21-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record... 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC South... Teams are 10-23-1 TS their last 34 games off a win vs Pittsburgh... 0-6 ATS off a DD spread win... 8-2 ATS on the road vs division off a DD ATS win... The Over is 9-3 in Titans last 12 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game... The Under is 9-3 in Titans last 12 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game...

The Texans are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game... 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 division games during week 2... 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 games on grass... 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 vs. AFC South... The Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS the last 6 meetings... 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 2... The Under is 11-2 in Texans last 13 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game... 14-6 in Texans last 20 games in September... The Over is 7-3 the last 10 meetings... 8-1 OVER vs undefeated team from game 2 on out... 1-7 Under as home faves of 14 or less with an OU line of 43 or less.

Miami @ Indianapolis (-3, 42.5)

The Dolphins are 26-9 ATS in their last 35 road games vs. a team with a winning home record... 6-15-3 ATS in their last 24 games in September... 80- ATS as non-div dogs of less than 10... 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Indianapolis... The road team is 9-2 the last 11 meetings... The dog is 8-2 the last 10 meetings... The Under is 17-4 in Dolphins last 21 games on fieldturf... Under is 12-3-1 in Dolphins last 16 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game... 16-5-1 in Dolphins last 22 games following a ATS win... 21-7-1 in Dolphins last 29 vs. AFC...

The Colts are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss... 10-3 ATS games 1-4 vs non-div opponents... 1-5 ATS as favs in 2nd of BB home games... 1-5 ATS as favs of 3 or more vs the AFC East... 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games on fieldturf... 19-8-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record... The Under is 12-2 in Colts last 14 home games... The Under is 8-1 in Colts last 9 vs. a team with a winning record... The Under is 20-8 in Colts last 28 vs. AFC... The Under is 21-6 in Colts last 27 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game... 7-0 Over as non-div faves of 3 or more in 2nd of BB home games.

Carolina (-3, 44) @ Buffalo

The Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games... 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record... Road team is 4-0 ATS the last 4 meetings... 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games in September... The Over is 6-1-1 in Panthers last 8 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game... Over is 11-3 in Panthers last 14 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game... Under is 10-3 in Panthers last 13 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game...

The Bills are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in Week 2... 6-1 ATS as non-div dogs of less than 7 points vs a sub .500 opponent... 1-7 ATS after playing New England... 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game... 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win... The Under is 13-6-1 in Bills last 20 home games vs. a team with a losing road record... The Over is 7-2 in Bills last 9 games in September.

St Louis @ Atlanta (-7, 47.5)

The Rams are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game... 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games... 18-38-2 ATS in their last 58 games in September... 2-11 ATS in games 1-4 as dogs of 5 or more... 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game... The Under is 20-8 in Rams last 28 games following a S.U. Win... The Under is 39-18-1 in Rams last 58 road games... The Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings... 0-6 Under after playing Arizona

The Falcons are 19-5 ATS in their last 24 games following a S.U. Loss... 6-1 ATS in game 2... 10-21-1 ATS in their last 32 home games vs. a team with a winning road record... 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game... 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game... The Under is 42-15-3 in Falcons last 60 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game... The Under is 7-0 in Falcons last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game... The Under is 10-3 in Falcons last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.

Washington @ Green Bay (-7.5, 49.5)

The Redskins are are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games... 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game...9-0 ATS as dogs of more than 4 points vs a sub .500 non-div opponent... 2-13 ATS vs sub .250 opponent... 5-0 ATS away with OU line of 47 or higher... Over is 5-0 in Redskins last 5 games in September... The Under is 21-8-1 in Redskins last 30 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game...

The Packers are 6-1-1 ATS last 8 in the series... 6-1 ATS after allowing 31 points... 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. Loss... 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 home games... 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS loss... The Over is 9-3 in Packers last 12 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game... The Over is 17-7 in Packers last 24 home games... The 20-7 in Packers last 27 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game... The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings... 13-0 Over as non-div NFC home faves of less than 14.

Dallas @ Kansas City (-2.5, 46.5)

The Cowboys are Cowboys are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game... 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game... 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 2... The Over is 5-1-1 in Cowboys last 7 games in Week 2... Under is 9-2 in Cowboys last 11 road games... The Under is 7-2 in Cowboys last 9 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game...

The Chiefs are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record... 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. Win... The Under is 20-5-1 in Chiefs last 26 games on grass... The Under is 12-3 in Chiefs last 15 games in Week 2... The Under is 12-3-1 in Chiefs last 16 vs. a team with a winning record... The Under is 17-5 in Chiefs last 22 home games.

Minnesota @ Chicago (-6.5, 42)

The Vikings are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 2... 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings... 6-0 ATS as dogs of 6 or less vs an opponent off a SU win... 4-0 ATS as dogs during weeks 1-4 after allowing 28 or more points... 5-1 ATS as divisional dogs of 6 or more vs an opponent w/ revenge... 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Chicago... Under is 7-1 in Vikings last 8 vs. a team with a winning record... Under is 14-3 in Vikings last 17 games in Week 2...

The Bears are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games... 1-9 ATS as favs in 2nd of BB home games.. The Favorite is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings... The Home team is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 meetings... 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. Win... The Under is 6-1 in Bears last 7 vs. NFC North... The Under is 5-1 in Bears last 6 games in Week 2...

New Orleans (-3, 47) @ Tampa Bay

The Saints are 1-8 ATS in games 1-4 as favorites of 3 or more vs a sub .500 opponent... 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS win... 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC South... 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings... 3-16 ATS vs winless teams from game 2 on out... Road team is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 meetings... The Over is 14-4 in Saints last 18 vs. NFC... Over is 6-1 in Saints last 7 games in Week 2... Over is 12-5 in Saints last 17 vs. a team with a losing record... The Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings...

The Buccaneers are 9-25-1 ATS in their last 35 home games... 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 2... 1-6 ATS as dogs off a SU favorite loss... 0-6 ATS off a non-conf road game... 6-0 ATS with division revenge during games 1-4... 0-5 ATS vs division opponent with an OU line of 47 or higher... The Under is 5-0 in Buccaneers last 5 games following a S.U. Loss... The Under is 5-0 in Buccaneers last 5 vs. NFC... 2-11 Under vs division opponent with OU line of 47 or higher.

Detroit (PK, 47.5) @ Arizona

The Lions are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 road games... Lions are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Arizona... 0-11 ATS as road favorites of less than 6... 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game... 6-16 ATS in their last 22 vs. NFC... The Over is 6-1-1 in Lions last 8 games in September... The Over 20-6 in Lions last 26 vs. a team with a losing record... The Over is 40-16-2 in Lions last 58 road games... The Over is 20-8-2 in Lions last 30 games following a S.U. Win... The Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings... 9-0 Over vs a sub .400 opponent... 12-1 Over away off a SU win...

The Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 2... 1-6 ATS as favorites off a divisional road game... The Home team is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 meetings... 8-2 ATS home vs NFC North... 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games... 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game... The Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. NFC... The Over is 46-18-1 in Cardinals last 65 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game... The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona...

Jacksonville @ Oakland (-6, 39)

The Jaguars are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 2... 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC... 8-0 ATS with revenge as dogs of 6 or less in weeks 1-4... 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings...1-7 ATS vs losing teams in weeks 1-4... The Under is 7-2 in Jaguars last 9 games in Week 2... The Under is 18-7-1 in Jaguars last 26 vs. AFC... 6-0 Over last 6 games vs the AFC West...

The Raiders are 20-43-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record... 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games... 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win... The Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings... Under is 7-1 in Raiders last 8 games overall... The Over is 15-7-1 in Raiders last 23 games in September... Under is 6-1 in Raiders last 7 games following a S.U. Loss... Under is 5-1 in Raiders last 6 vs. AFC... 9-0 Over at home before a division road game... 12-1 Over as hopme faves of 7 or more vs sub .500 teams.

Denver (-4.5, 55) @ NY Giants

The Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games... 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record... 5-1 ATS vs sub .250 opponents... 1-5 ATS before the Raiders...Non-div road teams are 1-8 ATS in game if they scored 40+ in a SU& ATS win and are now facing a team off a loss... The Over is 8-1 in Broncos last 9 games on fieldturf... Over is 6-0-1 in Broncos last 7 games following an ATS win... The Over is 8-3 in Broncos last 11 road games... The Over is 48-21-2 in Broncos last 71 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game... 6-0 Over before playing the Raiders...

The Giants are 10-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record... Tom Coughlin is 8-1-1 ATS last 10 as a dog...9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 2... The Over is 6-0-1 in Giants last 7 games in Week 2... The Under is 8-1 in Giants last 9 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game... Under is 6-0 in Giants last 6 vs. a team with a winning record... The Over is 13-3-1 in Giants last 17 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

San Francisco @ Seattle (-2.5, 44.5)

The Niners are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 2... 0-4 ATS last 4 games at Seattle... 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games in September... 26-12-1 ATS in their last 39 games overall... The Over is 6-0 in 49ers last 6 games following a S.U. Win... The Over is 6-0 in 49ers last 6 vs. a team with a winning record... The Over is 11-1 in 49ers last 12 games overall...

The Seahawks are... 14-7 ATS at home on Sunday nights... 10-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record... Pete Carroll is 11-0 ATS vs winning teams... 1-7 ATS as home faves of less than 7 points off a SU win vs an opponent off a SU win... 19-7 ATS in their last 26 vs. NFC... The Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings... 0-5 ATS vs division after allowing 10 or less points... 41-20-2 ATS in their last 63 home games... 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 2... 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games overall... The Under is 7-0 in Seahawks last 7 games in September... The Over is 21-6 in Seahawks last 27 vs. a team with a winning record... The Over is 20-8 in Seahawks last 28 games on fieldturf... The Under is 9-3 in Seahawks last 12 games in Week 2... 6-1 Over after allowing 10 or less... 0-6 Under as favs of 6 or less in weeks 1-4...

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati (-6.5, 40.5)

The Steelers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU Loss... 7-1 ATS as Monday night dogs with revenge... 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings in Cincinnati... 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 meetings overall... Road team is 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 meetings... 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 vs. AFC... 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games... The Under is 8-0 in Steelers last 8 games in Week 2... Under is 7-2 in Steelers last 9 vs. AFC North... Under is 4-1 in Steelers last 5 Monday games... Over is 7-2 in Steelers last 9 road games...

The Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC... 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall... 0-4 ATS on MNF vs an opponent off a SU fav loss...The Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings... 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC North... 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games... The Under is 8-2 in Bengals last 10 games overall... Over is 10-3 in Bengals last 13 games following a S.U. Loss... Under is 6-0 in Bengals last 6 vs. AFC... The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings...7-1 Over with an OU line of less than 40.

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Re: NFL Trends Week 2

NFL Trends & Angles - Week 2

Opening Week of the 2013 season in now in the books, and unlike past years, and the underdogs had a slight edge ATS despite favorites going 12-4 straight up, as the dogs ended up 8-7-1 vs. the number. Also there was absolutely no Week 1 edge in totals either way, with the 'over' and 'under' splitting 8-8.

Those results aside, contrarian angles seem to work best in September when lines are the softest because bettors often over-react to results of the previous week, perhaps especially in this Week 2, as it is still early enough where no one knows for certain just how good or bad most teams are.

Also you will notice that we have sections below for Good/Bad Team trends, and as a reminder, we are not using those terms subjectively. Good Teams are defined as teams that won at least 10 of their last 16 games and Bad Teams are ones that lost at last 10 of their last 16 games.

Thus, now that we are one game into this 2013 season, the Good/Bad parameters are no longer based on a quick lookup of 2012 records like they were last week since they are based on a rolling set of each team's last 16 games, meaning that this weeks qualifiers are based on their records of the last 15 games of 2012 plus the results last week.

All records presented are for the last 13 years since the 2000 season, and as we will continue to do throughout this month, all of this week's records are for September games only.

All Teams - General Angles

Play against September home favorites coming off a straight up loss (87-55-10, 61.3% ATS): Many times, teams that are favored following a loss are favored more because of reputation than because of performance on the field, and that makes the chalk vulnerable in these situations. Of course there will be situations where these teams bounce back well, but as you can see by the September record, the teams have been overvalued much more often than not. Qualifiers: St. Louis +7 at Atlanta, Cleveland +6.5 at Baltimore, Washington +7.5 at Green Bay, Jacksonville +5.5 at Oakland and Pittsburgh +7 at Cincinnati (Monday).

Play on September conference underdogs that were favored in their last game (88-55-8, 61.5% ATS): Novice bettors almost always prefer to bet favorites, and in their minds, when they see a team is an underdog after being favored the prior week, their general feeling is that either the team was overrated to begin the year or the team is now going up against a superior team. Qualifiers: Cleveland +6.5, San Francisco +3, St. Louis +7, Tampa Bay +3, Washington +7.5 and Pittsburgh +7 (Monday).

Play against September home favorites coming off a road game (130-90-13, 59.1% ATS): Bettors often assume that home favorites that were on the road the prior week will automatically improve solely because of now having home field. While that does happen from time to time, this record suggests that home field is actually being overcompensated for in the betting line. Qualifiers: N.Y. Jets +11.5 (Thursday), St. Louis +7, Cleveland +6.5, Washington +7.5, Tennessee +9.5, Dallas +3, Jacksonville +5.5, San Diego +7, San Francisco +3, Pittsburgh +7 (Monday).

Good Teams - At Least 10 Wins in the Last 16 Games

Play against Good Teams as September road underdogs (46-30-7, 60.5% ATS): Sometimes bettors can get too stuck on the previous season and they automatically flock to teams coming off of double-digit-win seasons when they turn up as underdogs early the following year. Oddsmakers are quite aware of this, so when those previous winners turn up as underdogs early, there is usually a good reason for it. Qualifier: Seattle -3.

Play the 'over' when Good Teams play September division games (76-54-3, 60.2%): Just like any other sport, NFL teams are more familiar with division opponents that any other teams on their schedule, and that is not to mention that division games are the most important ones. Truly good teams know how to take advantage of familiar defenses and they usually get up for these games, often resulting in higher scoring, especially when the familiar opponents try to keep pace. Qualifying 'overs': N.Y. Jets at New England (Thursday), Cleveland at Baltimore, Minnesota at Chicago, Tennessee at Houston and San Francisco at Seattle.

Play the 'over' when Good Teams are favored over Bad Teams during September (62-42-1, 59.6%): This is a often a case of a favorite being so much better then its opponent that it can name the score, but there are also occasions where the inferior team gets up for these games early in the year while they still have playoff aspirations just like everybody else. Both of these circumstances usually produce higher scoring games. Qualifying 'overs': N.Y. Jets at New England (Thursday) and Cleveland at Baltimore.

Bad Teams - At Least 10 Losses in the Last 16 Games

Play on Bad Teams as September road underdogs (110-73-10, 60.1% ATS): Perception is a wonderful thing, and novice bettors almost always shy away from teams that looked awful the previous year when they are road underdogs early on the following season. Thus, the books can pad the lines of these games a bit, inherently giving value to the dirty dogs. This is also a fantastic winning percentage for this size of a sampling. Qualifiers: N.Y. Jets +11.5 (Thursday), Cleveland +6.5, Jacksonville +5.5 and San Diego +7.

Play against Bad Teams as September conference favorites (60-35-3, 63.2% ATS): Now when teams that were bad last year are suddenly thrust into the favorite role vs. somewhat familiar conference opponents, it is a totally different mindset. These are teams usually not accustomed to being favored and they often wilt when being expected to win. Qualifiers: Arizona +1½ and Jacksonville +5.5.

Play on the underdog when two Bad Teams face each other in September (49-24-4, 67.1% ATS): This has always been one of our favorite angles and it goes back to the theory we just mentioned in the previous trend, that being that bad teams that are suddenly expected to win often crack. Meanwhile, the underdogs often feel disrespected by being underdogs vs. such weak opponents, and they usually use that for inspiration. Qualifiers: Arizona +1½, Jacksonville +5.5 and San Diego +7.

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Re: NFL Trends Week 2

Gridiron Angles - Week 2
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

NFL USER TREND:

The Jaguars are 6-0 ATS as a dog against a non-divisional AFC team, following a game where Maurice Jones-Drew ran for less than 57 yards.

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

The Redskins are 11-0-2 ATS since October 13, 1996 as a road dog on grass after playing as a favorite.

The Buccaneers are 0-9-1 ATS since December 2006 as a home dog between away games.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:

Demaryius Thomas is 0-7 ATS (-10.0 ppg) coming off a game where the total was under 51 and he had at least 103 receiving yards.

NFL O/U TREND:

The Chiefs are 0-15-1 OU since December 05, 2010 when their opponent’s season-to-date average pass attempts per game is greater than 35.

PICK SIXTY SPORTS WEEKLY TIP:

Last week we looked at Seattle’s tendency to start the season with low scoring games away from home. This week we can scroll to the other end of the September scoring chart to see a Detroit Lions team who ranks in the top 5 for both Over/Under percentage and scoring margin “Over” the total the past 10 years.

Detroit’s (11-6-1 O/U) vast majority of overs were losses but since Jim Schwartz took over in 2009, the Lions have learned how to score. When it’s a non-divisional opponent in the first three months of the season Detroit’s record soars to 22-5-1 O/U (82-percent) and this code shows their record away from home in September through November:

That’s 10 overs, 1 under and a push with games going over the mark by an average of more than eight points per game. The line for Detroit at Arizona is 47.5 and we like this game to go over the number.

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Re: NFL Trends Week 2

StatFox Super Situations

NFL WASHINGTON at GREEN BAY

Play Under - Any team against the total off a road loss, in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season 57-25 since 1997. ( 69.5% 29.5 units )

NFL SAN DIEGO at PHILADELPHIA

Play On - Any team vs the money line (SAN DIEGO) off a cover where the team lost as an underdog against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog 21-10 over the last 10 seasons. ( 67.7% 0.0 units )

NFL CLEVELAND at BALTIMORE

Play On - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (CLEVELAND) after 1 or more consecutive losses, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight losses 67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% 32.9 units )

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