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MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, May 30
MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, May 30
MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Toronto Blue Jays at Atlanta Braves
Braves wrap up this four-game set at Turner Field hooking lefty Mike Minor (6-2, 2.47 ERA) against Blue Jays' knuckler R.A. Dickey (4-6, 4.85 ERA). Minor allowed three hits and struck out 10 over 7 1/3 scoreless innings against the Mets last time out moving his TSR to 7-3 on the season. Minor in solid form allowing two or less runs in four of his five May starts (4-1 TSR) faces Toronto for just the second time in his career. The southpaw handcuffed Jays back in 2011 going 7 innings of 1 run ball in a Braves 5-1 victory right here in Atlanta. Meanwhile, Dickey struggling in his last outing against Orioles gave up six runs in the 6-5 loss. Dickey has not had success vs Braves in his career posting a 2-5 mark with his team (NYM) 3-7 over the ten starts. Braves with the second best N.L. home record at 15-6 plating 4.6 runs/game, 8-2 last ten hosting Toronto are -$1.50 to -$1.65 favorites to even the series. With Jays sporting the third worst road record in the A.L. at 9-14 plating 3.9 runs/game, ridding an 0-4 road skid swinging at a left-handed starter, 8-14 last 22 as road dog vs a port side hurler and Dickey on a 0-4 slide tossing from the bump in Atlanta lay the lumber w/Braves and Minor.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, May 30
MLB Odds and Picks
By: The Linemakers
LAS VEGAS -- If the Cardinals-Royals series was truly was a battle for Missouri, the Kansas City side would be retreating, and the history books would report that the Royals batters were starving and their pitching no longer had the strength to fight.
It’s been a long, tiresome journey for the Royals over the past month that has seen them lose 19 of their last 23 games, including their past eight and three in a row to the Cardinals, their I-70 rival.
Before the losing started for the Royals, their record was 17-10. They were riding a four-game win streak and were only a half-game behind first-place Detroit. When four days of rain that passed through Kansas City stopped in early May, so did the Royals’ winning ways. Heading into tonight’s game, the Royals (21-29) find themselves in their familiar position in the cellar of the AL Central, 7.5 games behind the division-leading Tigers
The preseason hype that the Royals – with a new rotation and now-seasoned prospects – were ready to conquer the division makes us wonder what we were we thinking. Things may become even worse when the K.C. faithful watches former top prospect Wil Myers tear it up in Tampa Bay when he finally gets called up to the majors.
The season is not lost, however, and there is plenty of time for the Royals to make us forget their current stretch.
Despite the Royals’ performance throughout May, they still have a talented roster. If they – pardon the cliché – “take things one day at a time”, things could get better. Most of that theory rests with pitching, and they do have the starters to be able to compete consistently at a high level. At some point, they’ll go on an impressive run like we saw over their first 27 games.
James Shields’ 2.96 ERA indicates he is better than his 2-6 record suggests. The Shields-for- Myers deal was still a good trade, and the Royals should be commended for attempting to produce a winner for fans who haven‘t seen playoff baseball since the World Series victory in 1985.
The Royals will try to avoid a four-game sweep tonight at Busch Stadium and will call upon one their key pieces, Jeremy Guthrie, to right the ship. Guthrie (5-3, 3.92 ERA) has been the Royals’ rock of stability since being acquired from the Rockies last season, but his last three starts exemplify how bad things have been for Kansas City.
The Royals won six of Guthrie’s first seven starts, but he’s been pounded in his last three, all losses. He’s allowed 17 earned runs and eight homers in 19 1/3 innings over those three starts. In his first seven starts, he allowed only 11 runs and seven homers.
In his last start, though, there were signs that nothing is wrong with Guthrie. He held the Angels without a hit for five innings, but unraveled in the eighth inning, allowing four runs in an eventual 7-0 loss.
We should be able to count on Guthrie to pitch well tonight, but what about the Royals hitters, who have produced only 16 total during their eight-game losing streak?
A tonic could be on the way, as right-hander Michael Wacha, one of the Cardinals’ top prospects, makes his major league debut tonight. Wacha pitched at Texas A&M and dazzled the Cardinals during spring training. He's posted a 4-0 record with a 2.05 ERA at Triple-A Memphis this season. He's going to be a good one, and the future looks bright for a team that already features Shelby Miller, but a lot of things can go wrong in debut.
The one advantage Wacha has tonight is that the Royals' batters haven't seen him and they'll be getting most of their pre-game knowledge on him from scouting reports.
But by no means should Wacha be a -163 favorite today, even with the Royals’ losing streak and lack of hitting. Look for Guthrie to keep the Cardinals in check and for the Royals to welcome the kid with a few runs before he exits after 80 pitches or so.
Royals (Guthrie) +153 at Cardinals
Reds/Indians OVER 9 (-110)
Blue Jays (Dickey) +140 at Braves
Pirates (Locke) +110 vs Tigers
Season to date record: 101-92-1 (+945)