MLB Trends Monday, May 6

MLB Trends Monday, May 6

Hot pitchers
-- Reds are 3-0 in Arroyo's home starts (2-0, 2.86).
-- Cahill is 1-1, 1.98 in his last four starts.
-- Bumgarner is 3-0, 1.55 in six starts this season.

-- Former Ranger Feldman is 2-0, 2.30 in his last two starts.

-- Jimenez is 1-0, 3.00 in his last two starts.
-- Buchholz is 6-0, 1.01 in six starts this season.
-- Shields is 1-0, 2.57 in his last two starts.
-- Sale is 2-0, 2.57 in his last two.

Cold pitchers
-- Maholm is 0-3, 6.62 in his last three starts.
-- Miami is 0-6 when Leblanc starts (0-4, 6.53).
-- Cashner is 1-2, 5.14 in three starts this season.
-- Capuano allowed two runs in five IP in his only '13 start, vs San Diego.
-- Phillies lost Lee's last four starts (0-2, 6.50 in last three).

-- Tepesch is 1-2, 4.35 in his last four starts.

-- Parker is 1-4, 7.67 in six starts this season.
-- Worley is 0-3, 9.13 in his last five starts.
-- Buehrle is 0-2, 6.16 in his last three starts.
-- Hellickson is 0-1, 7.36 in his last couple starts.

Totals
-- Eight of last eleven Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Miami road games went over the total.
-- Over is 11-3-1 in last fifteen Dodger games.
-- Nine of last twelve Philly road games stayed under the total.

-- Eight of last ten Texas games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven games at Wrigley Field.

-- Six of last eight Cleveland home games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in the last seven games at Fenway Park.
-- Last eight Tampa Bay games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven Kansas City home games.

Hot teams
-- Reds won nine of their last eleven home games.
-- Padres won eight of their last eleven games.
-- San Francisco won ten of its last twelve home games.

-- Rangers won their last three games, allowing four runs.

-- A's won five of their last seven games.
-- Indians won six of their last seven.
-- Tampa Bay won five of its last six home games.
-- Royals won nine of their last twelve games.

Cold teams
-- Braves lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Marlins are 2-8 in series openers, 5-11 overall on road.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last nine home games.
-- Arizona lost five of its last six games overall.
-- Phillies lost seven of their last nine games.

-- Cubs lost 11 of their first 15 home games.

-- Red Sox just got swept at Texas, but they've won their last five at home.
-- Twins are 3-8 in their last eleven road games.
-- Blue Jays lost 11 of their last 15 games.
-- White Sox lost five of their last seven games.

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Re: MLB Trends Monday, May 6

2:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. KANSAS CITY
Chi White Sox are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 9 games when playing Chi White Sox

7:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Oakland's last 16 games on the road
Oakland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

7:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

7:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. BOSTON
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Boston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games at home

7:10 PM
TORONTO vs. TAMPA BAY
Toronto is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

8:05 PM
TEXAS vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas's last 12 games on the road
Texas is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Texas
Chi Cubs are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games

10:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
LA Dodgers are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Arizona

10:10 PM
MIAMI vs. SAN DIEGO
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
Miami is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games when playing Miami
San Diego is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing Miami

10:15 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 12 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Francisco's last 12 games when playing Philadelphia
San Francisco is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

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Re: MLB Trends Monday, May 6

ATLANTA (18 - 12) at CINCINNATI (18 - 14) - 7:10 PM

PAUL MAHOLM (L) vs. BRONSON ARROYO (R)

Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 7-17 (-15.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
MAHOLM is 21-51 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 117-82 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 117-82 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 74-47 (+19.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 70-41 (+21.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 30-22 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 112-81 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 55-42 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 110-80 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 315-338 (-79.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

PAUL MAHOLM vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
MAHOLM is 7-4 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.70 and a WHIP of 1.338.
His team's record is 12-8 (+6.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-10. (-2.0 units)

BRONSON ARROYO vs. ATLANTA since 1997
ARROYO is 6-3 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.36 and a WHIP of 1.640.
His team's record is 9-6 (+6.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-6. (+2.8 units)

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MIAMI (10 - 22) at SAN DIEGO (13 - 18) - 10:10 PM

WADE LEBLANC (L) vs. ANDREW CASHNER (R)

Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 78-113 (-31.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 102-144 (-36.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 79-115 (-32.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 23-11 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

WADE LEBLANC vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

ANDREW CASHNER vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (16 - 15) at LA DODGERS (13 - 17) - 10:10 PM

TREVOR CAHILL (R) vs. CHRIS CAPUANO (L)

Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 66-72 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CAHILL is 18-8 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 43-50 (-15.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 5-13 (-13.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA DODGERS are 8-14 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-1 (+1.2 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

TREVOR CAHILL vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
CAHILL is 4-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.03 and a WHIP of 1.105.
His team's record is 6-1 (+5.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.5 units)

CHRIS CAPUANO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
CAPUANO is 2-5 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.74 and a WHIP of 1.351.
His team's record is 4-6 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-4. (+1.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (14 - 18) at SAN FRANCISCO (19 - 12) - 10:15 PM

CLIFF LEE (L) vs. MADISON BUMGARNER (L)

Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 95-96 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-33 (-14.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 43-53 (-20.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 44-57 (-23.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 95-99 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-10 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
LEE is 14-22 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LEE is 14-21 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LEE is 8-15 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LEE is 6-14 (-13.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 14-4 (+9.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 70-43 (+18.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 124-85 (+32.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 172-104 (+65.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 124-85 (+32.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 80-46 (+31.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 47-22 (+26.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CLIFF LEE vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
LEE is 4-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 1.98 and a WHIP of 0.841.
His team's record is 4-3 (-0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-6. (-5.3 units)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
BUMGARNER is 1-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.232.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (18 - 14) at CLEVELAND (14 - 14) - 7:05 PM

JARROD PARKER (R) vs. UBALDO JIMENEZ (R)

Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 76-52 (+31.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 71-42 (+34.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 114-85 (+40.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 34-24 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 53-45 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 108-79 (+38.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 79-50 (+38.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JARROD PARKER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
PARKER is 2-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.385.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
JIMENEZ is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.583.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (13 - 14) at BOSTON (20 - 11) - 7:10 PM

VANCE WORLEY (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)

Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 14-3 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BOSTON is 57-75 (-30.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 56-75 (-30.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 43-59 (-25.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 89-104 (-29.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 45-52 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 75-94 (-35.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

VANCE WORLEY vs. BOSTON since 1997
WORLEY is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 3-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.25 and a WHIP of 1.450.
His team's record is 3-2 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (11 - 21) at TAMPA BAY (14 - 16) - 7:10 PM

MARK BUEHRLE (L) vs. JEREMY HELLICKSON (R)

Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 6-13 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 8-16 (-10.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TORONTO is 1-9 (-9.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TORONTO is 11-21 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 4-12 (-9.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TAMPA BAY is 66-46 (+20.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 92-39 (+28.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 480-570 (+21.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
BUEHRLE is 43-23 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MARK BUEHRLE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BUEHRLE is 6-4 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.33 and a WHIP of 1.259.
His team's record is 9-5 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-8. (-2.7 units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. TORONTO since 1997
HELLICKSON is 3-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.232.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (20 - 11) at CHICAGO CUBS (11 - 20) - 8:05 PM

NICK TEPESCH (R) vs. SCOTT FELDMAN (R)

Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 58-54 (-19.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 72-121 (-34.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 677-645 (-152.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 72-121 (-34.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 33-62 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 51-89 (-26.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FELDMAN is 9-17 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FELDMAN is 20-33 (-23.8 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
FELDMAN is 9-17 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FELDMAN is 15-26 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against TEXAS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

NICK TEPESCH vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

SCOTT FELDMAN vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHI WHITE SOX (12 - 17) at KANSAS CITY (17 - 10) - 2:10 PM

CHRIS SALE (L) vs. JAMES SHIELDS (R)

Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 73-84 (-25.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 10-3 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SHIELDS is 11-2 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SHIELDS is 19-5 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 479-485 (+44.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 3-13 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-2 (+1.1 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

CHRIS SALE vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
SALE is 4-3 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.62 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 4-3 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-1. (+4.9 units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
SHIELDS is 4-4 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.361.
His team's record is 7-6 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-7. (-1.7 units)

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Re: MLB Trends Monday, May 6

National League

Atlanta at Cincinnati
Maholm: Atlanta 9-7 SU in road games after a win by 4 runs or more
Arroyo: Cincinnati 24-40 SU in home games after batting .225 or worse over a 15 game span

Miami at San Diego
Leblanc: Miami 42-80 SU as an underdog of +100 or higher
Cashner: San Diego 21-13 SU after having won 3 of their last 4

Arizona at LA Dodgers
Cahill: Arizona 45-27 SU after having lost 3 of their last 4
Capuano: LA Dodgers 9-17 SU after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals

Philadelphia at San Francisco
Lee: Philadelphia 21-35 SU after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival
Bumgarner: San Francisco 19-7 SU after 9 consecutive games versus division rivals

American League

Oakland at Cleveland
Parker: Oakland 43-30 SU after batting .240 or worse over a 20 game span
Jimenez: Cleveland 13-29 SU after having won 4 of their last 5

Minnesota at Boston
Worley: Minnesota 19-13 SU after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals
Buchholz: Boston 17-35 SU after having lost 3 of their last 4

Toronto at Tampa Bay
Buehrle: Toronto 4-12 SU against division opponents
Hellickson: Tampa Bay 66-46 SU against left-handed starters

Interleague

Texas at Chicago Cubs
Tepesch: Texas 116-64 SU as a favorite of -125 to -175
Feldman: CHI Cubs 23-50 SU after 2 or more consecutive losses

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Re: MLB Trends Monday, May 6

Diamond Trends - Monday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Royals are 13-0 since September 15, 2008 as a home 140+ favorite when they are off a win in which they came back from a deficit for a net profit of $1300.
   
OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Royals are 0-11 OU since May 04, 2009 as a 140+ favorite when they won the last two games their starter started for a net profit of $1100 when playing the under.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

When Madison Bumgarner starts the Giants are 13-0 since July 06, 2011 at home after throwing more than 100 pitches last start as between a -170 favorite and +130 dog for a net profit of $1300.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

The Marlins are 8-0 OU since 2010 after two straight wins where they never trailed and the last win was by 5+ runs.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

The Twins are 0-8 since June 12, 2008 as a 170+ dog when they are off a win in which they never trailed for a net profit of $800 when playing against.

When Trevor Cahill starts the Diamondbacks are 0-7 OU since May 28, 2012 after a quality start at home for a net profit of $700 when playing the under.

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