Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, April 10

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, April 10

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Braves -155FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami is 0-4 against left handed pitching this year. This is just a bad baseball team. The Braves are the best team in the National League. This is about as high as you should ever go betting baseball, but I am confident the Braves will be far more superior tonight’s game. Take Atlanta.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, April 10

Brett Atkins

My free winner for hump day is on the Sacramento Kings, laying points to the New Orleans Hornets tonight at Sleep Train Arena. This is an easy number to cover, as two bad teams get together for a tussle in Northern Cal.

There is something to be said when you have to shoddy teams playing, as you can generally find a value line more times than not. And if there's one thing I can say about the Kings, as bad as they may be, they're always going to play you tough at home. And since the home team has 9 of 10 straight up, and the straight-up winner in this series is on a 7-1 ATS run I think you have to side with the Kings in this game.

You look at this team on paper, and yes it's lost four straight at home. Then look at the opponents, and you're going to see the Kings have played the Lakers, Rockets, Mavericks and Grizzlies. Overall, Sacto is on a five-game home losing streak, and this might be the right time to side with the Kings to snap that skid.

The Hornets is playing the second of back-to-back nights, after losing to the Lakers in Los Angeles last night, and this will be the team's fifth road game in eight days.

Finally, and maybe most importantly, though the Hornets have covered the last four meetings, the Kings are in on a 15-2 ATS run when hosting New Orleans.

Lay the chalk.

3♦ SACRAMENTO

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, April 10

Brad Wilton

My comp play for Wednesday is the New Orleans Hornets as the road underdog against the Sacramento Kings.

New Orleans is wrapping up a 5 game road swing, and they have split their last pair straight up, while covering in both as the underdog. The Hornets have also held the upper-hand in this rivalry, winning outright and against the spread in each of the last 3 meetings between the teams.

The Hornets have also taken 6 of the past 10 overall meetings versus the Kings.

As for Sacramento, the Kings home losing streak has now hit 5 in a row with their loss to Memphis on Sunday.

Hard to get excited about actually laying points with a Kings team that is riding both a protracted home court losing streak, and a series losing streak, so I say to take the points with the underdog Hornets tonight.

3♦ NEW ORLEANS

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, April 10

Jeff Benton

Wednesday freebie is the Under in the Braves-Marlins game.

Last night just 5 runs combined between the teams, as Atlanta made it 3 straight Unders, and Unders in 5 of their last 6 games this season. The Braves have been getting some stellar April pitching, as they have held the opposition to 2 runs or less in 3 straight games, and 6 of their last 7 on the year!

Miami has now held Under the total in their last 3 games, and are an overall 5-2-1 Under for the season.

It will be Mike Minor going for the Braves. Minor is 6-0 with an ERA under 2 over his last 8 starts dating back to last season. Alex Sanabia counters for Miami, and he did pitch very well in his season debut, working 6 scoreless in Miami's only win over the Mets last week.

Runs are hard to find once again tonight, play the Braves-Marlins Under the total.

4♦ ATLANTA-MIAMI UNDER

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, April 10

Craig Davis

Gave you a free play winner on the Thunder last night.

Sticking in the NBA for Wednesday, free play on the Nuggets at home over the Spurs.

All is not lost for the Nuggets as they still have an outside shot of getting a higher seed in the Western Conference playoffs.

If Denver can get a big win tonight at home where they've only lost three times all year, they'll inch closer to the Spurs and Thunder for one of the top two seeds instead of #3.

San Antonio (57-20) is still slightly in first place in the West with just a few games to go, though they did drop three of their last four before holding off Atlanta by two on Saturday.

Despite the fact that both teams are banged up, both coaches have said they'll play as if this were a Finals matchup because there's still a lot on the line.

Denver is looking for their franchise-record 21st straight home win tonight and a win here would make it even sweeter.

The Nuggets (53-24) have won 19 of 21 overall, but the injuries keep creeping up at the wrong time... the latest casualty is Danilo Gallinari who will miss the rest of the season and the playoffs with a torn ACL.

Too much at stake for Denver here tonight... take the Nuggets minus the small number to get the job done.

3♦ DENVER

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, April 10

Scott Delaney

The American League West defending champion Oakland Athletics arrived in Anaheim on a five-game win streak yesterday, and the Angels of Anaheim were looking to remind them whose owned the division for so long. The Halos came back from a 5-2 deficit, tied the game and stole momentum.

Then the A's had a reminder of their own.

The division leaders broke out the bats and pulled away for a 9-5 road win in the series opener, and now the gloves are coming off, as I have the Angels taking this second game. Trust me, the Angels are going to be pissed off for a few reasons, and will likely be out to win big tonight.

Now they've not only lost the Sunday night televised game, as the Texas Rangers avenged their season-opening loss to the Houston Astros on national TV with a huge win, but they've dropped their home opener on the same day they learned their ace (Jered Weaver) will be out four weeks.

Tonight we're going to see an angry Angels team take it to Oakland and score a huge win, in the opener of what is somewhat of a statement series. These new-look Halos want nothing more than to send a message to everyone - including the first-place A's - they're ready to contend for the division title.

All Angels.

2♦ ANGELS

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, April 10

Tony GeorgeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Brooklyn Nets +3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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What the hell is Boston doing laying points to anyone right now that is a decent team?  I am not putting stock into the Cletics, who have free fallen for the past 2 weeks, beating up on Washington who they had trouble putting away in their last game.  They have lost 6 out of their last 10 games and only covered 3 of those games and the Nets are the better team who is playing with DOUBLE revenge here.  Celtics scoring 97 and allowing 100 ppg their last 5, and that will not cut it tonight against a red hot on offense scoring 103 ppg their last 5.  Nets better, and I will take the points.

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San Antonio at DenverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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A heavyweight battle tonight in the Rockies, as the Nuggets host the San Antonio Spurs. Denver has surely been unbeatable on home hardwood where they have run off 20-straight wins. What is even more impressive than that is the fact that during this stretch they are 11-0 vs. teams that would be in the playoffs if the sesson ended today, with a winning margin of 14.8 points per game. San Antonio is certainly capable of playing with Denver, but not the way they are playing right now. The Spurs jare ust 4-4 over their last eight, and have not beaten a playoffs team on the road since the end of February. Lay the points on Denver in this one.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, April 10

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Milwaukee -120 over CHICAGO:  The Brewers are off to a slow start, thanks mainly to allot of offensive injuries, but they are still 21-7 in the last 28 meetings in this series and the Cubs are just 15-40 in their last 55 games as a dog. The Brewers have a solid edge on the mound in this one with Loshe over Feldman and with their offense hurting some that is key. Scott Feldman is off a rough opening start as he allowed 4 ER's in 4.2 innings of work vs Atlanta, and this after he finished last year going 0-5 with a with a 6.92 ERA in his lat 8 starts last year. Something just isn't right with this guy and I feel that Milwaukee can capitalize. Kyle Loshe pitched very well last year, going 16-3 with a 2.86 ERA and he started off in fine fashion this year, allowing just 1 ER in 6 innings vs Arizona.  Kyle is 2-1 in this park, despite a 4.32 ERA, but he is just so locked in that I feel he can totally shut down the Cubs here. Bi edge on the mound should offset the minimal edge the Cubs have at the plate, giving Milwaukee a nice win here.


San Diego/ LA Dodgers Over 7: I know that one games means very little, but last year Petco was one of the hardest parks to hit homers out of and last night in the 1st game played here with the shortened fences there were 3 dingers hit in the game and 12 runs scored overall. The Padre offense has not looked all that good this year, but they did look good in their home opener, scoring 9 runs on 11 hits. The Dodgers offense scored just 3 runs last night, but still had 10 hits in the game and i feel they can put a few more runs on the board in this one. Eric Stults has pitched well for the Padres, but this is an upgraded Dodger offense, while on the other side we have Chad Billingsley, who may have some rust as he is coming off the DL. We may not get 12 runs in this one, but I do expect at least 9 here.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, April 10

Nelly

Twins / Royals Over

Liam Hendriks has posted great minor league numbers but he simply has not been able to produce for the Twins at the big league level. The Australian makes his 22nd career start tonight and his career ERA is 5.80 with a 1-10 record. In his 2013 debut he threw three solid innings but then ran into big trouble in back-to-back innings, eventually pulled with two outs in the 5th inning. He posted just one strikeout and allowed eight hits. The Royals saw Hendriks twice last season getting eight runs on him in less than nine innings and this is a Royals team that has won five of the last six after a 0-2 start. The Royals have scored 38 runs in the last six games as this offense is living up to its potential. Minnesota's bullpen has seen a lot of work with marginal results and after getting just six outs from Mike Pelfrey last night the Twins could be in a bad situation on the mound today. Wade Davis hopes to find new life as a starter this season after pitching entirely in the bullpen for the Rays last season. Davis had good relief numbers last year and he was a reliable regular in the Tampa Bay rotation on good teams in 2010 and 2011. Davis did not have a strong 2013 debut, giving up two home runs and allowing nine hits in four innings in his first start. Minnesota has a few power threats in the lineup and the Twins are getting some production from the back of the lineup even if the top of the order is struggling a bit. Minnesota could be a strong 'over' team this season as the offense appears to be healthy and improved but this is still a team that will have a hard time on the mound. The 'over' is 7-3 in the last 10 games between these teams and that trend should continue Wednesday night.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, April 10

SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Milwaukee/ORLANDO Under 201½FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Both meetings this year between these two have gone over the number but the two teams have been playing tighter ball recently, with the Bucks playing under the number in their last four games and the Magic going under in their last three. Furthermore, the previous two meetings between these two were both in Milwaukee. In Orlando however, things are bound to be quite different. Milwaukee has played under the number in its last five road games, suggesting they are paying more attention to detail when traveling. It’s also worth noting that JJ Reddick is back in Orlando for the first time since being traded so chances are he’ll be a little rusty. Milwaukee still has something to play for (they have a small chance of getting the 7 seed) and in what should be a hotly contested battle, the under comes in as the prudent choice.
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LA Lakers/PORTLAND Over 201½FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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What do you get when a team is likely to start four rookies against the most underachieving team stacked with talent, fighting for their playoff lives, with everything to play for? A lot of points for the Lakers. Yes, the Lakers are fighting it out for their playoff lives while the Blazers are starting three of four rookies and that’s something this savvy Lakers group can exploit. For Portland, Wesley Matthews, Nick Batum and Centre J.J Hickson are all likely to miss the game due to various injuries so expect the Lakers to score and score often.
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The Lakers have been giving up a fair amount of points on the road this year and have not been good on their second of back to back games so expect Portland to get their fair share of points as well. Portland is in a serious funk. They’ve dropped eight in a row with six of its opponents scoring 103 or more points and four of those racking up 111 or more. No reason the Lakers can’t add to the Blazers misery and go off for a crooked number. 
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Pass NHL

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, April 10

Ian Cameron

Oakland at LA Angels
Play: Oakland

Joe Blanton, nor the struggling 2-5 LA Angels, are a difficult choice to fade as favorites right now. Blanton was not good in his first start of the season allowing five runs and three homers in just five innings at Cincinnati. I’m not ready to trust Blanton here against a hot Oakland Athletics squad that has won six games in a row. And unlike LA, who has scored four runs or less in five of their first seven games, the A’s are scoring runs in bunches with six or more in each game during this stretch. The Angels bullpen has also struggled quite a bit with a 4.18 ERA (25th in MLB). Coupled with Blanton, that should give Oakland plenty of run scoring opportunities.

Oakland lefty Tommy Milone was a very strict home/road dichotomy pitcher in 2012 notching a 2.74 ERA at home but a 4.83 ERA on the road. However it must be mentioned that his one road start against the Angels was one of this better road efforts: two runs on seven hits in five innings of work last April.  Milone opened this season with a 6-2 victory over Seattle. He allowed two homers in the first inning but settled down to allow only two singles and a walk over his last six innings. LA’s lineup has struggled mightily against left-handed pitching already this season with a team batting average of only .244. At a plus price, I just can’t pass up a bet on the A’s.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, April 10

Steve Merril

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Portland Trail Blazers
Play: Portland Trail Blazers

The Lakers will likely be without their starting point guard again tonight as Steve Nash is listed as doubtful due to his hamstring injury. Nash suffered the injury early in the game at Sacramento on March 30th and has since missed the past four contests. The Lakers have gone 3-1 SU in those past four games, but are just 1-2-1 ATS and all four games took place at the Staples Center with three home games and an "away" game versus the Clippers on the same court. The Lakers will now be playing their first true road game without Nash since he was injured on March 30th. Los Angeles is just 15-23 SU in true road games this season, compared to 26-10 SU at home, when removing the four home/road games against the Clippers which occur on the same floor. Meanwhile, Portland has also been a much better team at home this season, going 22-16 SU, compared to just 11-28 SU away. The Blazers present value tonight as a home underdog with two days of practice and preparation time, especially against a short-handed Lakers' squad that must travel without rest after playing the Hornets last night. Portland is 6-2 ATS in the past eight head-to-head meetings and Los Angeles is playing with pressure as they try to hold onto a 1/2 game lead over Utah for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Teams in must-win situations are not good plays as the oddsmakers over-inflate the lines and these squads often underachieve due to the pressure. Keep in mind, if the Lakers were good enough to win when they had to this season, they would not be in this situation right now.

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Freddy Wills

Chicago White Sox vs. Washington Nationals
Play: Washington Nationals     

Zimmerman continues to be a stud and has a 1.99 ERA in 11 interleague starts. Gavin Floyd has been good in 17 inter league starts as well, but the difference will be Denard Span who has a .484 OBP to start the year. He has killed Floyd over his career going 17-35 and I don’t anticipate that changing today which should open things up for a Nationals lineup that’s hitting the ball right now. Zimmermann also does not give up HR’s which is where the bulk of the White Sox offense came from a year ago. White Sox just 8-22 in their last 30 road games vs. a RH starter. White Sox are also 7-19 in Floyd’s road starts vs. a winning team while the Nationals are 22-8 in Zimmerman’s last 30 starts as a favorite.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, April 10

Sean Murphy

Vancouver vs. Calgary
Pick: Under

The last three meetings in this series have all totaled at least six goals, but I look for a different story to unfold on Wednesday night in Calgary.

The Canucks skated to a 5-2 win over the Flames on home ice last week. Note that Vancouver hasn't been nearly as potent offensively on the road this season, where it averages just over 2.2 goals per game. It's not as if the 'Nucks are firing on all cylinders offensively right now, as they've scored two goals or less in three of their last five games.

Calgary picked up a much-needed win in Colorado on Monday night, giving up just one goal in the process. That marked the second time in their last three games that the Flames held the opposition to two goals or less.

After getting embarrassed by the rival Oilers (8-2) in their most recent home game, we can expect the Flames to bring the proper level of focus and intensity to the table tonight. They've held the Canucks to exactly two goals in each of their last three meetings at the Saddledome.

While these two teams are at opposite ends of the spectrum right now, I do expect Calgary to put up a fight in what should be a rather tight-checking affair.

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Will Rogers

Phoenix vs. Edmonton
Pick: Edmonton

The Oilers host Phoenix tonight, and both these teams are clinging to a slim hope that they can still make the playoffs. The Oilers are four points back of eighth place Detroit, while Phoenix sits three back of the Red Wings. Neither of these teams can afford to leave points on the table, so tonight's game should showcase two very desperate teams.

Here are my keys to the game:

1: Special Teams - The Oilers have one of the most dangerous power-play units in the league, ranking 3rd amongst 30 teams, converting on nearly 23 percent of man-advantage chances.

2: Home ice - The Oilers are 8-5-3 at home, while the Coyotes are just 4-9 away from home. Edmonton has won both of the previous meetings this season, one of those was at Rexall Place.

3: X-Factor - Taylor Hall has scored four times, and has six points in his last three home games. "We're really in a tough spot right now. We really had to win this one," forward Taylor Hall said. "It's going to take a lot for our group, and we're just going to have to stay motivated because you never know what can happen."

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, April 10

Jack Jones

Atlanta Hawks -2.5

The Atlanta Hawks come into this game with the Philadelphia 76ers hungry for a victory tonight. They have lost three straight coming in, and they want to make sure to get back to playing their best basketball before the playoffs.

Atlanta can also improve its seeding in the Eastern Conference as it is still alive for the No. 4 and No. 5 seed. It would be the No. 6 seed if the season were to end today, so there's no question it has a lot to play for.

Adding fuel to the fire for the Hawks is the fact that they just lost at home to these same 76ers by a final of 90-101 on April 5th less than a week ago. Philadelphia will be playing the second of a back-to-back and its 4th game in 6 days, while Atlanta will be playing on three days' rest.

The 76ers are 8-23 ATS in their last 31 games playing on 0 days rest. The Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games overall. Bet the Hawks Wednesday.

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Dave Price

Boston Red Sox -135

Boston is out of the gate strong as it is swinging a hot bat. The Red Sox have especially lunched on right-handed starters. They are hitting .339 and scoring an average of 8.7 runs in 3 games against them. They've had little trouble conquering the righty they'll see this evening. They have never lost to Jake Arrieta, winning all 4 times they've faced him. He has an ERA of 5.73 in those 4 starts. Ryan Dempster gets the ball for Bean Town. He's 2-0 lifetime against the Orioles and held them to 1 run and 4 hits in 8 innings of a 5-1 victory last August. Bet Boston.

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Jeff Alexander

Washington Wizards -1.5

Wade and Bosh are doubtful and James is questionable for this contest. With home court throughout the playoffs almost a certainty, the Heat can focus on making sure they enter the postseason as close to 100 percent as possible in terms of health. Washington will miss out on the postseason so it will treat this game against the defending champs like game 7 of the Finals. The Wizards have been tough as nails at home where they have won 9 in a row by an average of 13.0 points. They have a home win against the Heat earlier this season and have also recorded notable home victories over the Thunder, Bulls, Clippers, Knicks, Nuggets and Pacers. Take Washington.

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Teddy Covers

LA Dodgers at San Diego
Play: San Diego

This is a straight fade of Chad Billingsley in his 2013 MLB debut.  Billingsley came on strong after the All Star break last year following a 4-9 start to the campaign, but a torn ligament in his elbow cut his season short.  Billingsley avoided surgery, but his rehab has not been without problems, including a badly bruised index finger on his throwing hand from a bunting drill in spring training.  He finished the spring allowing seven runs in just 7.2 innings of work.  His minor league rehab start last week was equally problematic, struggling with his control in another subpar effort.  I’m not expecting vintage Billingsley tonight!

San Diego bounced back strong yesterday following a dismal 1-5 road trip to open the season – two series where they were outscored by a combined 40-14 margin.  The Padres lineup pounded out nine runs; their first legitimate outburst in the reconfigured, more hitter friendly confines of Petco Field.  And let’s not forget that the Padres ranked among the top eight MLB money winners at home last year, despite finishing ten games under .500 overall. 

Padres’ starter Eric Stults threw seven innings of one run ball in his lone start against the Dodgers last year.  The Padres have won nine of his last eleven starts, despite the fact that Stults has been the underdog eight times during that span; clearly an undervalued commodity right now.  And Bud Black’s bullpen behind Stults was an elite unit last year, and shut the door on the Dodgers yesterday.  Expect more of the same tonight!

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