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Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, March 23

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, March 23

Hollywood Sports

St. Louis at Edmonton
Prediction: Over

St. Louis (16-11-1-1) looks to bounce-back from a 3-2 loss at Vancouver on Tuesday. The Blues have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on the road. Edmonton (11-11-4-3) has seen the Over go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games against teams that scored two goals or less in their last game. The Over is also 7-2-2 in their last 11 games against Western Conference foes. And in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total in 4 of these contests. Take the Over in this one.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, March 23

Andre Gomes

Indiana Pacers / Chicago Bulls Under 179.5

Projected Line: 176 points

Chicago's defense was crushed by Portland on their last game, as the Blazers were on fire on their outside shooting with 14-30 FG from 16-23 feet and 10-21 3pts, while shooting just 9-12 FG at the rim! Only 19 of the 41 FG made from Portland on that game were assisted, something that shows that even though they didn't have a great ball movement, they were able to make the majority of their shots. However, I don't expect the same thing to happen tonight and so, Chicago should make a good defensive bounce back tonight. Indiana's offense has been inconsistent lately, especially on their long range shooting. Things get particularly bad on back to back spots like tonight's game, where they are shooting just 36% FG from 16-23 feet and 29.3% 3pts! Besides that, we have a key matchup between Indiana's frontcourt and Chicago's frontcourt. The good news for Chicago is that David West won't play tonight and he has dominated Chicago on the three games between these two teams this season with 23.3 ppg, 52.1% FG, 8.3 rpg and even 3.7 apg!

On the last game between these two teams, Taj Gibson didn't play due to injury and that allowed Indiana's frontcourt to dominate with David West having 11-18 FG and 31 points, while Roy Hibbert had 7-14 FG, 18 points and 10 rebounds. Without West tonight and with the Pacers on a tough spot, Chicago's defense will shine. On the other side, Chicago's offense will be facing the best defense in the league and the only area where the Pacers's defense struggles is on pick and roll ball handler defense, where they can get outplayed by great guards. The problem is that Chicago's backcourt doesn't have a good and explosive guard to expose the only area where Indiana's defense isn't great. Chicago needs to have good numbers down low to be effective on offense, but Indiana has the best interior defense in the league, as even without David West, the Pacers still have Tyler Hansbrough and Ian Mahmni to help Roy Hibbert on Indiana's inside defense. Therefore, I expect a super low scoring game tonight and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

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