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College Basketball Betting News and Notes Thursday January, 31

College Basketball Betting News and Notes Thursday January, 31

College Knowledge

-- Home side won 10 of last 13 Drexel-George Mason games; Dragons lost last four visits here, by 19-47-1-24 points. Drexel won three of its last four games, is 3-1 on CAA road, with only loss at JMU by 8. CAA home favorites of 6 or less points are 8-11 vs spread. Mason won last three home games, by 25-11-11 points; they're 2-2 as CAA home faves. Patriots are forcing turnovers 23.1% of time, #50 in country.
-- Providence won five of last seven games vs UConn; Huskies lost last three visits here, by 2-15-9 points. Friars are 2-6 in league, 1-3 at home, with home losses by 10-6-4 points. UConn covered four of its last five games; they're 1-2 on Big East road, winning by 7 at Notre Dame, with losses at Marquette by 6 in OT, Pitt by 8. Big East home teams are 1-16 vs spread in games where number is 5 or less points.
-- Home side won nine of last 11 Illinois-Michigan State games; Illini are 0-5 in last five visits here, losing by 6-10-6-10-4 points. Spartans won six of last seven games, are 2-1 as Big Dozen home favorite, with home wins by 24-10-3 points. Illini lost four of last five games; they're 1-3 as dog in league play, with last four losses all by 14+ points. Big Dozen home favorites of 10 or less points are 6-8 vs spread.
-- Middle Tennessee (-16) beat FIU 69-52 at home Dec 29, its fifth win in row over Panthers; Middle had 15 offensive boards in sloppy game- FIU had 23 turnovers, MT 25. Blue Raiders won last four visits here, by 5-3-9-11 points. Young Pitino has FIU 4-1 at home in Sun Belt, losing to USA by 11; seven of their last eight games were decided by 6 points or less. Sun Belt home underdogs are 14-4 against the spread.

-- Butler won 14 of its last 15 games, with only loss by point at LaSalle; they're 5-0 vs spread in A-16, 2-0 as underdog, 2-1 SU on road, winning at St Joe's/Dayton. Saint Louis is 3-2 in conference, 0-2 as home faves, losing in OT to URI, beating UMass by 8. A-16 home favorites of 6 or less points are 13-4 vs spread. Butler is 4-2 SU on road, with three of four wins vs top 100 teams- they've faced the #28 schedule.
-- Home teams won nine of last ten Arkansas-Alabama games; Hogs lost last five visits to Alabama, by 3-21-5-13-6 points. Arkansas is 0-3 on SEC road, losing by 18-12-21 points; home side covered five of their six league games. Crimson Tide's last three games were decided by total of 6 points; they're 3-0 at home in SEC, with three wins by total of 8 points. SEC home favorites of less than 9 points are 6-12 vs spread.
-- Arizona is 5-2 in Pac-12, with four wins by 9+ points, but they're 2-5 vs spread; they're 2-1 on Pac-12 road, losing at Oregon, winning by 10-17 at OSU/Wazzu. Washington lost last three games, by 9-8-5 points; they're 7-3 in last ten games vs Arizona, winning last three by 2-2-9 points; Wildcats lost last five visits here, by 9-5-6-17-9 points. Pac-12 home underdogs are 7-3 against the spread.
-- Home side won six of last seven Oregon State-Cal games; Beavers lost last three visits here, by 4-28-14 points. OSU is 1-6 in Pac-12, losing on road by 1-10 points at LA schools (2-0 as road dog). Underdogs are 5-1 vs spread in last six games. Cal split its two Pac-12 home games, beating Wazzu by 13. This is the first home game in 19 days for Golden Bears. Pac-12 home favorites of 7 or less points are 9-15 vs spread.
-- BYU is 3-0 vs Pepperdine in WCC play, winning by 13-38-25 points, winning 77-64 in visit here LY; Cougars are 3-1 on WCC road, winning by 4-18-18 points. Five of six WCC wins this year are by 17+ points. WCC home underdogs are 3-9 against the spread. Waves lost four of last five games; they're 1-3 at home in WCC, losing at home by 16-12-7 points. Pepperdine is 3-1-1 vs spread as a WCC underdog this season.

-- Gonzaga is 6-0 in WCC, winning road games by 16-7-22 points; they are 2-0-1 as road favorite, won 10 of its last 11 games vs LMU, winning four of last five visits here, with wins by 23-33-10-4 points. LMU lost its last four games, all by 9 or less points; they're were held to 53-57 in last two games, lost last two home games by 4-3 points. WCC double digit favorites are 6-4 against spread, 3-0 on road.
-- Home team won last four Arizona State-Wazzu games; Sun Devils are 0-2 in last two visits here, losing by 17-22 points, but this ASU team is better at 5-2 in league, splitting its two road games on Oregon trip (lost by 3 at Oregon). Coogs are 2-5 in Pac-12, 1-2 at home, with only win at home over Utah by 10- they're 0-5 in league scoring less than 71 points. Pac-12 home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-12 vs spread.
-- Iona (-8.5) beat Niagara 83-72 at home Nov 28, making 12-26 outside arc in game where Niagara shot 52% inside it. Gaels won last five series games, with four wins by 11+ points. Eagles lost last four visits here, by 17-24-12-11 points. Niagara is 4-0 in MAAC home games, winning by 22-4-23-4 points; they've won six in row overall, Iona won eight of last nine. MAAC home teams are 7-12 vs spread if number is 5 or less.
-- Belmont (-9) rallied from 14 down in 2nd half to win at Morehead St last Thursday, 64-63; Bruins forced 20 turnovers, shot 64% inside arc, but were 11-21 at line. Belmont won its first eight OVC games, is 2-2 as home favorite, winning by 35-37-7-12 points. Morehead covered its last four games; they're 5-3 in OVC, losing league games by 3-1-7 points. OVC double digit home favorites are 5-10 vs spread.

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Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Thursday January, 31

Games to Watch
By David Schwab

No. 6 Arizona Wildcats vs. Washington Huskies

The Wildcats lost for just the second time this season with an 84-73 setback against UCLA as 8.5-point home favorites last Thursday. They quickly got back to their winning ways with Saturday's 74-50 pasting of USC that has the team 17-2 SU and 9-8 ATS overall. Arizona is 5-2 in the Pac-12 and the total has stayed UNDER in four of its last six games. It is averaging 75.5 points a game behind Mark Lyons' 14.9 points and Solomon Hill's 13.5-points. Hill is shooting 47.2 percent from the floor and 41.9 percent from three-point range.

Washington's current losing streak reached three games with Saturday's 81-76 loss to Oregon as a 7½-point road underdog. It is now 12-8 SU overall and 4-3 in conference play. The Huskies have gone 10-8 ATS this season and the total has now stayed UNDER in five of their last eight games. CJ Wilcox is pumping in 19 points a game but the team is ranked 128th in the nation in scoring with an average of 69.4 points.

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Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Thursday January, 31

Thursday's Top 25 NCB Betting Notes

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on all of Thursday’s ranked college basketball games:

Illinois at (9) Michigan State (-10.5)

Michigan State attempts to bounce back from a loss to Indiana and keep its perfect home record intact when the Spartans host sinking Illinois. Michigan State had won six straight games before the loss at Indiana and is one of four Big Ten teams with two or fewer conference losses. The Spartans are 11-0 at home as they entertain the Fighting Illini, who are just 3-6 after a 12-0 start. The Spartans have won five consecutive matchups at home, holding the Illini to an average of 55.0 points on 36.3 percent shooting. Illinois is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 road games.

(10) Butler at Saint Louis (-2)

Butler got a boost last week when leading scorer Rotnei Clarke returned to the starting lineup after missing three games with a sprained neck. He picked up where he left off Saturday against Temple, scoring 24 points and distributing a career-high nine assists in the 83-71 win. St. Louis ranks 16th in the nation in scoring defense, allowing just over 57 points a game. The Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall and on the road.

(8) Arizona at Washington (+6.5)

Arizona, which has lost five consecutive games on Washington’s home floor, tries to end that skid when it visits the Huskies.  The Wildcats have lost two of their past five after a 14-0 start and hope last Saturday’s 74-50 trouncing of USC is the start of another long streak. The Huskies have lost three straight following a 4-0 start in conference play.  But Washington hasn’t lost four consecutive games since the 2007-08 campaign. The Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings.

(7) Gonzaga at Loyola Marymount (+15.5)

Gonzaga is in its customary first-place spot in the West Coast Conference and seeks to remain unbeaten in league games when it visits Loyola Marymount on Thursday. The Bulldogs have won 10 of their last 11, the only blemish a last-second loss to Butler on Jan. 19. That also was Gonzaga’s lone road loss in six outings this season. Loyola Marymount has lost four consecutive games and last played Jan. 24 when it suffered a 60-57 home loss against Pepperdine. The Lions are tied for last in the nine-team league with Portland. Loyola Marymount is 0-4 ATS in its last four games.

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Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Thursday January, 31

Thursday's College Basketball Game of the Day: Illinois vs. Michigan State

Illinois (15-6 SU, 7-11 ATS) is coming off a 74-60 loss to Michigan at home last Sunday. They've lost four of their last five games. Michigan State is coming off a 75-70 loss on Sunday getting 9.5, which broke a six-game winning streak. The Fighting Illini travel to Jack Breslin Student Events Center in East Lansing, MI, to take on the Spartans

Matchup:  Last game: (1/31/12) ILLINOIS (+1.5) over Michigan State, 42-41.

Latest Odds: Michigan State is a 10.5-point favorite.

Key Betting Trends:

Illinois is:

9-23 ATS in their last 32 games overall.
7-19 ATS in their last 26 Thursday games.
7-20 ATS in their last 27 vs. Big Ten.
3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. loss.
1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games.
4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
2-10 last 12 matchups on the Under bet in this serise.
6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Michigan St.
Underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Michigan State is:

5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. Big Ten.

Key Injuries:



Michigan State:



Michigan State coach Tom Izzo often lamented what his team lacked when it won 17 of its first 20 games.

After the Spartans lost by five points at then-No. 7 Indiana on Sunday, Izzo was more encouraged than discouraged.

And, he even said the team has a chance to go from good to great.

The Spartans (6-2 Big Ten) stayed at No. 13 in The Associated Press' poll this week, and they host Illinois (2-5 Big Ten) on Thursday night in their only game during a nine-day stretch.

Izzo gave his players a "mental day" on Monday by having them only watch film, plans to give them Friday off and perhaps dedicate a day next week to working on individual skills before preparing to host No. 23 Minnesota next Wednesday.

Even though the Fighting Illini have slumped, Izzo hopes the Spartans realize they are playing a team that was talented enough to post double-digit wins over Ohio State, Gonzaga and Butler - all currently ranked in the top 11.

In Sunday's 75-70 loss to the Hoosiers, Michigan State post players Adreian Payne and Derrick Nix were dominant at times and freshman guard Gary Harris perhaps played his best game. They helped the Spartans have a shot to win - trailing by two points late in the game - despite leading scorer Keith Appling being on the bench with five fouls and two points.

Payne had 18 points, nine rebounds, blocked a shot and had a steal. Nix scored eight points, made a game-high six assists, grabbed five rebounds and had two steals.

Harris scored 21 points - one short of his season high - and made five 3-pointers while playing sound defensively.

Branden Dawson contributed 12 points and eight rebounds, and even though that was a solid performance from a sophomore less than a year removed from major knee surgery, Izzo said the forward will prove to be one of a few pivotal players this season.

Izzo said Michigan and Indiana are definitely better than every other team in the conference, and Illinois found that to be true Sunday.

The Illini lost for the fourth time in five games, 74-60 at home to a Wolverines squad that took over the top spot in the poll Monday.

Brandon Paul led Illinois with 15 points but had five of the team's 15 costly turnovers. The Illini shot 37.1 percent and are at 39.3 in league play after making 44.5 percent of their attempts in opening 13-1.

Michigan State has lost three of four in this series, with all the defeats coming at Illinois. The Spartans have won five straight matchups at home, holding the Illini to an average of 55.0 points on 36.3 percent shooting.

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Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Thursday January, 31

Thursday's Tips
By Brian Edwards

Butler at Saint Louis

Most books opened Saint Louis (14-5 SU, 8-9 ATS) as a two-point favorite with a total of 122½. As of early this morning, SLU was favored by 2.5 and the total was up to 123. Gamblers can take the Bulldogs to win outright for a plus-125 payout (risk $100 to win $125).

Butler (17-3 straight up, 13-5 against the spread) has won 14 of its last 15 games and has taken the cash six consecutive times out. The Bulldogs are off Saturday’s 83-71 win over Temple as six-point home favorites. After missing three straight games, Rotnei Clarke returned to the lineup and produced 24 points and nine assists. Khyle Marshall and Kellen Dunham added 19 and 17 points, respectively.

Saint Louis has won 11 of its 13 home games, going 5-6 ATS. The Billikens have been single-digit home favorites twice, winning and covering easily both times in double-digit wins over New Mexico and Valpo.

Saint Louis returns home in this spot after back-to-back wins on the road. The Billikens won a 67-57 decision Saturday at St. Bonaventure, hooking up their backers as three-point road ‘chalk.’ Dwayne Evans led the way with 18 points and eight rebounds.

Brad Stevens’s team is led by Clarke, a transfer from Arkansas. Clarke is averaging a team-high 16.4 points per game while knocking down 43.4 percent of his attempts from 3-point land.

When Butler needs to ice a lead at crunch time, it has two of the nation’s top free-throw shooters. Clarke makes 86.4 percent of his attempts from the charity stripe, while Dunham, a freshman who averages 11.2 PPG, is shooting at a 91.2 percent clip from the free-throw line.

Butler has been an underdog eight times this season, going 7-1 ATS with six outright victories.

The ‘under’ is 6-3 overall for Saint Louis, 3-1 in its home games with a total.

The ‘over’ is 9-5 overall for Butler, but the ‘under’ is 3-1 its last four games.

Tip-off is slated for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on the CBS Sports Network (613 on DirecTV).

Arizona at Washington

As of early this morning, most spots were listing Arizona (17-2 SU, 9-8 ATS) as a five-point ‘chalk’ with a total of 139½. Bettors can take the Huskies on the money line for a plus-205 return (risk $100 to win $205).

Arizona is tied with Arizona St. for third place in the Pac-12, two games back of conference-leading Oregon. The Wildcats have lost at Oregon and vs. UCLA in league play. They bounced back from last Thursday’s home loss to the Bruins by destroying USC on Saturday, 74-50, as 14-point home ‘chalk.’

Washington (12-8 SU, 10-8 ATS) is in serious danger of missing the NCAA Tournament for a second straight season. The Huskies, with their RPI of 70, can give their resume a big boost if they can upset Arizona (#4 in RPI) tonight. They are 1-4 against RPI Top 50 teams but do have four quality wins over teams ranked 50-100 in the RPI (vs. Seton Hall, vs. Saint Louis, at California and at Stanford).

Lorenzo Romar’s squad has lost three in a row but had won four straight prior to this three-game slide. The Huskies are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games. They have won seven of 11 home games this year, posting a 4-5 spread record. They have not been home underdogs this year until tonight.

UW is led by junior guard C.J. Wilcox, who is averaging a team-high 19.0 points and 4.6 rebounds per game. Wilcox is an excellent perimeter shooter, making 41.9 percent of his attempts from 3-point land.

Arizona has been a road favorite five times this year, compiling a 3-2 spread record. The Wildcats are fourth in the RPI thanks to five Top 38 scalps over the likes of Florida, So. Miss, Miami, Colorado and San Diego St.

The ‘under’ is 10-3-1 overall for Arizona, 4-1 in its five true road assignments.

The ‘under’ is 5-4 overall for UW, 1-1 in its two home games with a total.

ESPN will have the telecast at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.

B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets

Florida has covered the spread in eight consecutive games after blasting South Carolina by a 75-36 count as a 23½-point home favorite last night at The O-Dome in Gainesville. The Gators have won nine in a row and are 7-0 in SEC play with each victory coming by 17 points or more. Kenny Boynton and Mike Rosario scored 15 points apiece for UF, which raced out to a 33-10 halftime lead over the Gamecocks. Billy Donovan’s team will host Ole Miss on Saturday. The Rebels are one game back of UF in the SEC standings with their first league loss coming Tuesday vs. Kentucky.

USC poked a big hole in UCLA’s resume last night, beating its arch rival 75-71 in overtime as a 10-point road underdog. Aaron Fuller and Jio Fontan paced the Trojans with 15 points apiece.

Iowa is a 14½-point home favorite over Penn St. tonight. ESPNU will have television coverage at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.

Alabama and Arkansas both own 12-7 records and will meet tonight at Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa. Most spots have the Tide favored by six. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.

In the late game on ESPN2 at 11:00 p.m. Eastern, Gonzaga will take on Loyola-Marymount as a 16 ½-point road favorite. The Lions have lost four in a row both SU and ATS and own an abysmal 1-6 straight-up record in WCC play. They have been home underdogs twice, however, going 2-0 ATS with an outright win over Santa Clara and a 73-70 loss to Ole Miss as 10-point home ‘dogs.

Gonzaga has won five in a row over LMU, going 4-1 ATS. The ‘under’ has cashed in six straight head-to-head meetings between these WCC rivals.

Gonzaga owns a 5-5-1 spread record in 11 spots as a double-digit ‘chalk’ this year.

Western Kentucky will most likely be without one of its best players tonight vs. Troy. Jamal Crook, who averages 14.5 PPG, is 'doubtful' against the Trojans due to a foot injury. The Hilltoppers are 11-point home favorites.

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Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Thursday January, 31

College basketball Point Spreads and Picks
By: The Linemakers

Four ranked teams will be in action Thursday night, as Michigan State looks to bounce back against Illinois, while Arizona travels to Seattle to take on Washington. Also, Butler visits Saint Louis, and Gonzaga is at Loyola Marymount.

The lines below are from the LVH SuperBook as of approximately 9:30 a.m. PT Thursday.

Illinois vs. No. 13 Michigan State – 7:00 p.m. ET

Michigan State -8.5, Total: 133


· Fighting Illini are 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

· Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings at Michigan State.

· Home team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.

· Under is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.

· Fighting Illini are 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings at Michigan State.

· Underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.

The Linemakers' take: Illinois wants to run it up and down the floor and is 12-1 when scoring over 70 points. The Illini have to shoot it well to be effective. In their six losses, they have shot just 22.5 percent from 3-point range. The Spartans lost at Indiana on Sunday but are playing really well and have beaten Illinois five straight times on this floor. Michigan State will run when asked, and the thought here is that the total is low. We'll side with the OVER.

No. 8 Arizona vs. Washington – 9:00 p.m. ET

Arizona -4.5, Total: 140.5


· Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings at Washington.

· Underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.

· Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings.

· Wildcats are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 road games.

· Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall.

The Linemakers take: It's not been a great year by Washington standards. They come into this one having lost three in a row and are 12-8 on the year. They still have talent, led by C.J. Wilcox (19 ppg) and Abdul Gaddy, and they have beaten Arizona here five straight years. The Huskies have also won five of the last six meetings in the series. This Mark Lyons-led Arizona team is still very young, and we have to side with the Huskies getting points in this spot.

No. 9 Butler vs. Saint Louis – 9:00 p.m. ET

Saint Louis -2.5, Total: 123


· Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games.

· Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall.

· Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last five vs. Atlantic 10.

· Billikens are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a SU win.

· Billikens are 1-4 ATS in their last five Thursday games.

· Over is 9-4 in Bulldogs' last 13 overall.

· Over is 7-2 in Bulldogs' last nine road games.

No. 7 Gonzaga vs. Loyola Marymount – 11:00 p.m. ET

Gonzaga -16.5, Total: 142.5


· Under is 6-0 in the last six meetings.

· Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.

· Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

· Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

· Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings at Loyola Marymount.

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