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Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 9

Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 9

DUNKEL INDEX

New Orleans at NY Giants
The Saints look to take advantage of a New York team that is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 home games against teams with a losing road record. New Orleans is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+5)

Game 105-106: Baltimore at Washington (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 135.474; Washington 134.590
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 50
Vegas Line: Washington by 3; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+3); Over

Game 107-108: Kansas City at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 119.738; Cleveland 131.638
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 12; 34
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 6; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-6); Under

Game 109-110: San Diego at Pittsburgh (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 130.723; Pittsburgh 134.385
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 3 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 111-112: Tennessee at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 124.006; Indianapolis 133.259
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 9 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 5; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-5); Under

Game 113-114: NY Jets at Jacksonville (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 130.587; Jacksonville 124.870
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 5 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 2 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-2 1/2); Over

Game 115-116: Chicago at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 135.833; Minnesota 128.974
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 7; 33
Vegas Line: Chicago by 2 1/2; 39
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-2 1/2); Under

Game 117-118: Atlanta at Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 133.575; Carolina 132.165
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+3 1/2); Over

Game 119-120: Philadelphia at Tampa Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 122.491; Tampa Bay 137.437
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 15; 44
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 7; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-7); Under

Game 121-122: St. Louis at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 132.615; Buffalo 129.411
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 3; 45
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3; 42
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+3); Over

Game 123-124: Dallas at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 132.704; Cincinnati 134.024
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3); Over

Game 125-126: Miami at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 126.501; San Francisco 145.464
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 19; 35
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 10; 39
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-10); Under

Game 127-128: New Orleans at NY Giants (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 135.415; NY Giants 136.134
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1; 56
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 5; 53
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+5); Over

Game 129-130: Arizona at Seattle (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 121.605; Seattle 138.189
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 16 1/2; 33
Vegas Line: Seattle by 10; 36
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-10); Under

Game 131-132: Detroit at Green Bay (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 129.802 Green Bay 139.596
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 10; 47
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 6 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-6 1/2); Under

MONDAY, DECEMBER 10

Game 133-134: Houston at New England (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 141.139; New England 142.851
Dunkel Line: New England by 1 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: New England by 3 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+3 1/2); Over

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DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Fresno State at Washington State
The Cougars look to build on their 13-3 ATS record in their last 16 home games. Washington State is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Cougars favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Washington State (-7)

Game 813-814: Akron at Creighton (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 59.591; Creighton 75.182
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Creighton by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Creighton (-10 1/2)

Game 815-816: Kent State at Xavier (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 58.086; Xavier 62.863
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 5
Vegas Line: Xavier by 10
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (+10)

Game 817-818: WI-Milwaukee at DePaul (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 47.625; DePaul 60.394
Dunkel Line: DePaul by 13
Vegas Line: DePaul by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: DePaul (-11 1/2)

Game 819-820: UNLV at California (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 66.969; California 68.425
Dunkel Line: California by 1 1/2; 140
Vegas Line: Pick; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California; Under

Game 821-822: Fresno State at Washington State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 55.694; Washington State 65.769
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 10
Vegas Line: Washington State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (-7)

Game 823-824: Fairfield at Rider (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 54.851; Rider 57.842
Dunkel Line: Rider by 3
Vegas Line: Rider by 5
Dunkel Pick: Fairfield (+5)

Game 825-826: Siena at Manhattan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 46.767; Manhattan 51.728
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 5
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Siena (+6 1/2)

Game 827-828: Canisius at Marist (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 52.296; Marist 44.693
Dunkel Line: Canisius by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Canisius by 4
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-4)

Game 829-830: North Dakota at North Dakota State (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 45.789; North Dakota State 60.532
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (+15 1/2)

Game 831-832: NE-Omaha at Iowa State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NE-Omaha 34.710; Iowa State 70.439
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 35 1/2
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 30 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (-30 1/2)

NBA

Utah at LA Lakers
The Lakers look to take advantage of a Utah team that is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 road games against teams with a winning home record. LA is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-6 1/2)

Game 801-802: Toronto at LA Clippers (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 113.074; LA Clippers 122.872
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 10; 198
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 12; 203
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+12); Under

Game 803-804: Milwaukee at Brooklyn (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 113.968; Brooklyn 123.066
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 9; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 5 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-5 1/2); Over

Game 805-806: Indiana at Oklahoma City (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 117.092; Oklahoma City 131.746
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 14 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-9 1/2); Over

Game 807-808: Denver at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 120.315; New York 120.113
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 196
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 5 1/2; 201
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+5 1/2); Under

Game 809-810: Orlando at Phoenix (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 114.832; Phoenix 116.002
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 4; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+4); Under

Game 811-812: Utah at LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 116.872; LA Lakers 125.866
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 9; 212
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 6 1/2; 206
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-6 1/2); Over

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday December, 9

Terron Chapman
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Baltimore Ravens vs. Washington Redskins
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Fresh off their biggest division win in years, the Washington Redskins will look to keep the momentum going Sunday afternoon when they play host to the visiting Baltimore Ravens. The Redskins defeated the defending champion New York Giants, 17-16, on Monday night football for their third straight victory -- all in the division. The Ravens will take the short trip down I-95 looking to rebound from a disappointing 23-20 home loss to the Charlie Batch-led Pittsburgh Steelers.
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The Redskins recent surge has them firmly in the playoff discussion as we head down the homestretch of the regular season. Washington now sits at 6-6 with Sunday’s game looming large. The Ravens find themselves in a three-way tie for the number two seed in the AFC and a first-round bye. If the Ravens want to keep pace, they’ll have to find a way to slow down RGIII and a Redskins offense that leads the league in rushing (168 yds/gm). What was impressive about the Redskins Monday night win was 1) they grinded out a tough game against a division foe and 2) They were able to do so by rushing for 207 yards on 31 carries. The Ravens have struggled against the run this season, allowing 126 yds/gm (23rd in the league). Not a good sign with RGIII, Alfred Morris (fourth in rushing) and the pistol offense on deck.
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The Redskins defense has been shaky at times, particularly on the back end with a secondary that ranks second to last in the league allowing 390 yds/gm. To compound things, cornerback Cedric Griffin was suspended Tuesday after testing positive for PED’s. The Redskins did a good job of limiting the big play on Monday and they’ll have to do the same against Joe Flacco, Tory Smith and co. However, Flacco has struggled away from Charm City and the Ravens offense is nothing to talk about, ranking 23rd in the league in total offense.
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This will be a tough, physical contest between two teams that share similar markets and really don’t like each other. The Ravens are a solid outfit away from home (4-2) but the Redskins appear to have solved their issues at home and are playing with a lot of confidence led by the exceptional play of Robert Griffin III. We’ll look for the Redskins to keep the momentum going in what should be a close game. Look for RGIII to once again be the difference. Lay the slight chalk with the home team. Play on the Washington Redskins (-) the points for 1 unit.

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Ben Burns
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St. Louis vs. Buffalo
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I've had a pretty good read on this year's St. Louis Rams team. With winning tickets on both the Rams AND the "under" in last week's 16-13 victory against San Francisco, I'm now 7-2 in games involving the Rams, 6-1 on sides and 1-1 with totals.
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In addition to last week's win against the 49ers, I also won with the Rams when they defeated the Redskins, Seahawks and Cardinals.
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Meanwhile, I successfully played against the Rams when they were blown out by the Bears and Jets.
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Really, with a little luck, that record could have been every better, perhaps even 9-0. The lone side "loss" came at Miami. The Rams were trailing by double-digits entering the fourth quarter but an 8-pt TD in the final 10 minutes helped them eke out a cover.
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Also, the lone O/U loss was the "under" in the Rams' game at Green Bay. That game had only 23 points scored into the fourth quarter. However, the teams combined for 27 more points in the final stanza, sending the final combined score above the number - barely.
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Off last week's emotional upset "OT" victory, which was their second straight divisional win, I feel that the Rams will be ripe for a letdown here.
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True, last week's win kept them mathematically alive for a playoff spot. However, even the Rams are aware that's not realistic. Also, lets not forget that this team has still only achieved four victories in its last 20 away from St. Louis.
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The Bills, 18-7-1 ATS their last 26 against teams from the NFC West, are 4-1 ATS when laying points this season, 2-0 ATS as home favorites of three or fewer points.
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Off a game in which they racked up 232 yards on the ground and having the advantage of hosting a dome team in December, I feel the Bills are worth a look. I'm not comfortable laying more than a field goal, after the Rams burned me at Miami with a 3-point loss. So, if playing, make sure to get the -3 and not to go higher than that.

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Bryan Power
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Dallas vs. Cincinnati
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The Cowboys are always preferable as an underdog given their recent miserable performances when favored. Last week I went against them in the first half as they actually trailed the hopeless Eagles at the break. But "America's Team" did rally for its second win of the year over Philadelphia, beating their division rivals 38-33.  I also won with the Over, making it a 2-0 Sunday sweep.
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This week they face a Cincinnati team on the road and are currently taking three points. Quietly, Tony Romo is playing some of the best football of his career with a 10-2 TD-INT ratio the past five games.  He is currently on pace to throw for nearly 4900 yards for the season! With the Giants losing to the Redskins Monday Night, the NFC East is anyone's (well except Philadelphia) race right now and by day's end we could have a 3-way lead a top the division.
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Cincinnati comes in at 7-5 and is also in the playoff hunt, battling their own division rival Pittsburgh for a Wild Card berth. The Bengals come in riding a four-game win streak, but who have they really beaten? Their last three wins have all come at the expense of AFC West also-rans San Diego, Oakland and Kansas City, who have a combined three wins between them the past five weeks and that's only because two of them faced off against one another.  I'm not buying the Bengals as better than the Cowboys here and will be taking the points.

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Art Aronson
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Chicago vs. Minnesota
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I like the Vikings to break a losing streak at home here against divisional rival Chicago Bears. Minnesota really may have deserved a better fate against Green Bay last week if it wasn’t for some costly turnovers in the red zone.
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Getting some points at here at home looks to make this a good spot for the purple eaters.
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The Vikings will be happy to get home where they are a nice 4-1 ATS when playing on their own field this year.  Minnesota has lost two straight on the road, including a bad loss to these same Bears team. This game likely offers the team revenge opportunity.
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The Bears look ripe for the picking, having lost three of their last four games. Chicago is just 1-2 ATS when facing divisional opponents.
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The Bears and the Vikings both received terrible news on the injury front after week 13. The Bears will be without leader Brian Urlacher for two to three weeks while the Vikings will lose top receiver Percy Harvin for the season.
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The Vikings will be affected less right away as the team has been playing without Harvin for a few games now and will have to find a way to win games without him. Bears also have to deal with injuries to Charles Tillman and Lance Briggs.
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Adrian Peterson is now the NFL’s leading rusher with 1,446 yards after a 200 plus yard performance last week against Green Bay. I expect him to have a hay day at home against the depleted Bears defence.
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Grab the points at home with the Vikings.

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Jesse Schule
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San Diego vs. Pittsburgh
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The Steelers win on the road at Baltimore last week keeps their playoff hopes alive, but they still don't have much room for error when they take on the Chargers at home this week. The Chargers have played themselves out of the playoff picture, losing four straight games, but they have been competitive in all those losses.
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Ben Roethlisberger is expected to return to the lineup for the Steelers on Sunday, although he's still officially listed as questionable. Pittsburgh is likely to need him, as San Diego has been very tough defending against the run, and the Steelers running game has been average at best this season.
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The Chargers running game can not be described as average, they have been unable to do anything on the ground this year. Last week they only handed the ball off to Ryan Mathews nine times for a gain of just 26 yards. Philip Rivers hasn't exactly been lighting it up either, he's only thrown one touchdown in his last two starts, along with one interception. It's going to be a long day for Rivers going up against the Steelers #1 ranked pass defense.
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The Steelers have seen the total go over 43 only once in their last seven games, while the Chargers have seen the total fall short of the number in each of their last two games. When the Steelers have played at home this season, the under is a perfect 5-0.
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Points should be hard to come by in Pittsburgh this Sunday, take the under.

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SpartanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Redskins -2.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I always call it exactly how I see it. It was a huge win monday night for the Redskins over the rival Giants but let's be real about this, the Giants shot themselves in the foot as much as the Skins defeated them. No disrespect intended. Washington is obviously a player in this thing again and deservedly so. Griffin is energizing that whole city behind the club. I don't care much for owner Daniel Snyder but the Redskins fans are first rate and it's good to see them playing relevant games at this stage of the season once again. Not sure you could have two more opposite guys under center than we have in this match up with Joe Flacco and Robert Griffin. Flacco has the arm but also the mobility of your average statue, Griffin on the other hand does everything on the field one would expect from a guy wearing a cape. IF he can stay upright and injury free the upside for this guy is unlimited. Normally I would look to back the Ravens here to bounce back from the tough loss to the Steelers and expect a letdown from the Skins after that monster win monday night. But frankly I just cannot do it. Flacco should have a lot of success against that Washington secondary but he's simply not the same quarterback on the road and that's just a stubborn fact. Washington is believing in themselves and have that swagger going. I say the right side here is the home team. Take Griffin and the Redskins to keep the winning train on the tracks.

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Jack Jones
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Indianapolis -5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Indianapolis Colts have a lot to play for the rest of the way as they are at 8-4 right now and currently the No. 5 seed in the AFC. The Tennessee Titans don’t have much to play for considering they are just 4-8 on the season, and even if they were to win out they have little to no chance of making the playoffs.
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Indianapolis has been at its best at home this season. It is 5-1 straight up and 5-1 ATS inside of Lucas Oil Stadium this year. Its defense has been very tough at home, allowing just 19.2 points and 334 total yards per game. Tennessee is 2-4 straight up and 2-4 against the spread on the road.
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What many people don’t realize is that the Colts have one of the top offenses in the league. They rank 3rd in the NFL in total offense at 392.1 yards per game. Andrew Luck and company should have their way with a Tennessee defense that gives up 29.9 points per game. The Titans rank 27th in total defense as well, giving up 386.3 yards per game.
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I know the Colts only won by a final of 19-13 in overtime at Tennessee in their first meeting, but that game was more of a blowout than the final score would indicate. Indianapolis outgained the Titans 457-339 for the game while moving the football at will. I look for the Colts to take advantage of their scoring opportunities at lot more often this time around.
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This play falls into a system that is 41-13 (75.9%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. It tells us to bet against road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TENNESSEE) – after scoring 14 points or less last game against opponent after scoring 30 points or more last game.
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The Titans are 1-9 ATS vs. AFC South opponents over the last 2 seasons. Tennessee is 0-6 ATS revenging an upset loss against opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. The Colts are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 December games. Bet the Colts Sunday.

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Carlo Campanella
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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cleveland Browns    
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Kansas City (2-10) overcame their emotional off the field issues to win their second game of the season, 27-21, over Carolina last Sunday. Expect that emotion to continue this Sunday in Cleveland, where Chiefs Head Coach Crennel and QB Brady Quinn both played a few years ago. The Chiefs are averaging 147 rushing yards per game and 4.5 yards per carry behind RB Charles and expect them to continue to depend on him this Sunday in Cleveland against a Browns (4-8) team that's struggled offensively behind rookie QB Weeden, who tossed 2 more Interceptions in Oakland as the Browns now have 6 Turnovers in their last four games. Must take the points against a Cleveland team averaging just 19 points per game and that has scored less than 20 points in 6 STRAIGHT games!

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Ray MonohanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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St. Louis Rams vs. Buffalo BillsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Bills are hardly a juggernaut but at home, as winter sets in, against a “Dome” team I like those odds. Buffalo got their running game going last week with Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller gouging the defense and should be able to again against an average St. Louis defense. The Rams are getting too much respect for having the 49ers number this year including beating them as a heavy underdog last week. In fact they have only one win against a team outside their division this year so it appears familiarity is an advantage for these Rams - they haven’t played the Bills since 2008. The only reason not to take Buffalo is if you feel they have a long way to fall after last week. At -3 all they really have to do is win.

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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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The Eagles pumped some life back into their supporters with a 98-yard punt return in the final minute to garner the cover last Sunday night in Dallas as they now approach ‘Dandy Andy’ time. If the embattled coach can make it through this final quarter of the season, then broke Philly fanatics (1-9-1 ATS before last week’s miracle cover) may be able to have a little holiday cheer as Reid is 19-10 ATS on the road and 17-7 ATS as a dog in his career over the final four games of the season. The veteran coach is also a moneymaking 23-9 ATS as a non-division dog of 6 or more points in his 14 years on the Philadelphia sidelines. Helping matters greatly will be Tampa’s 1-10 SU and 3-7-1 ATS record versus the NFC East since 2008, including 0-2-1 ATS as chalk. In fact, this year alone, the Buccaneers are 0-3 SU versus the East, having been outgained by over 100 yards in all three contests. Thus, you can see why we have no problem fading the Bucs in this uncomfortable favorite role – especially when you consider they are 3-7 SU and ATS in this series when the Eagles own at least one win on the year, and 1-5 SU and 0-5-1 ATS in unlucky Game Thirteen of the season. ‘Reid’ all about it - and grab the points - as the Nick Foles’ Follies nab a second straight cover.  We recommend a 1-unit play on Philadelphia.

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Sean MurphyFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Diego vs. PittsburghFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Chargers are by no means a trendy upset pick this Sunday, but I won't be surprised if they give the Steelers a challenge. Look for the San Diego offense to get back in rhythm on the road, where it has been at its best this season. Save for a bad weather game in Cleveland, the Chargers have been good for 20+ points like clockwork away from home. The Steelers will suffer enough of a letdown following last week's huge road win over the Ravens to open the door for at least three San Diego scoring drives. Not to be outdone, Ben Roethlisberger will make a triumphant return to the field, and lead the Steelers on three touchdown drives of his own, breaking the back of a Chargers defense that has held up well over the last couple of weeks - but simply can't sustain that level of play heading out on the road. A defensive score by Pittsburgh isn't out of the question either, especially when you consider how careless Philip Rivers has been with the football this season (that has certainly been a product of trying to do too much with limited weapons around him). With Big Ben, not to mention WR Antonio Brown back in the mix, the Steelers are one of the AFC's most prolific offensive teams, and the oddsmakers have once again missed the mark, setting another rather low total here at Heinz Field. Pittsburgh is content to outgun San Diego in what has the makings of a fun December matchup in the Steel City. Final verdict: Pittsburgh 27 San Diego 21

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N.Y. Jets -2½ -110 over JACKSONVILLEFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Mark Sanchez just won’t go away. The Jets’ quarterback looked like he was finally doomed to ride the bench for a while after last week’s horrendous showing against the Cardinals. But Coach Rex Ryan hasn’t given up on his QB, at least for this week. Perhaps Ryan realizes that Jacksonville’s defence is not Arizona’s. The Jaguars rank 31st in yards allowed, 30th in points allowed and 31st in 1st downs allowed.
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Rarely do we like to spot road points. Even less so when said team is as inefficient as this year’s Jets. However, we have to take notice when the books make a bad team a road favorite. Jacksonville is 1-5 at home. Prior to win over the lowly Titans, the Jags were outscored by a combined 153-44 in five losses here. Playing to a half empty stadium does not exactly get host fired up either. Sanchez plays best when job is clearly on the line. Mark Sanchez lives for another day.
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Philadelphia +7½ -110 over TAMPA BAYFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We’re seeing the Eagles continue to lose but we’re also seeing them playing with a little more bounce in their step since Nick Foles took over. Foles completed 22 of 34 for 251 yards and one touchdown against a tough Dallas defense last week. Bryce Brown, despite some fumble issues, has done an admirable job replacing LeSean McCoy. Brown gained 189 total yards and two scores versus the Panthers and followed that up with 183 yards and two scores in Dallas. Eagles have too much talent to keep losing by crooked numbers.
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We have to go back to December of 2007 to find the last time the Bucs covered as a fave of 7½ or more. They’ve tried four other times since and failed to cover in each. Now, on pace to have the worst passing yards against in league history, they are spotting prohibitive points? Not on our watch.
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Dallas +3 +107 over CINCINNATIFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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It took a while but Dallas is back where it belongs, as this will mark the first time in five weeks that the ‘Boys will be taking points. With only one cover in past four as faves (at Philly), the sour taste resonates with bettors but we’ll objectively look past that. Underdogs in Dallas games are on a 32-12 run, basically indicating to expect the unexpected. It’s a profitable angle and one we’re not about to miss.
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The Bengals are on a run of their own but last three wins have been against the Chiefs, Raiders and Chargers who combined, own a 9-27 record. Dallas sorely missed RB DeMarco Murray. With a game under his belt and the Cowboys still in the playoff picture, Romo and Co. can steal this one.
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BALTIMORE +2½ +101 over WashingtonREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Redskins are coming off three victories against their three most hated rivals and divisional foes in Philadelphia, Dallas and the Giants. They’re also coming off back-to-back nationally televised games against the ‘Boys on Thanksgiving and the G-Men last Monday. Both nationally telecast RGIII shows were great to watch. They elevated the youngster’s profile even higher than it already was and it also increased the ‘Skins popularity. With that, comes a price and that premium is built into this pointspread, especially after the Ravens lost to a Charlie Batch led Steelers team.
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Once again we find a classic buy low, sell high scenario with the Redskins stock being higher than it’s been in memory. Washington is relevant again but the value on them has passed by. The value now lies in fading them among the RGIII hype. Ravens are still an 9-3 squad taking points to a Washington team that has won just three of its past 12 as hosts.

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Detroit +7 over GREEN BAYFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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While the Lions don’t know how to win, they also don’t know how to lose by many. Detroit’s last three games, all losses, were by a combined nine points. Win or lose, this game should remain close with Packers' offensive line being banged up and Aaron Rodgers having less time to scan the field. Detroit led earlier meeting until late in the game and remain dangerous when taking points. No units risked.
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SAN FRANCISCO -10 over MiamiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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For whatever reason, the 49ers struggle with the Rams. Let’s give the Niners a mulligan and look at the other four played over six weeks excluding St. Louis. That leaves San Francisco defeating four opponents by a combined 110-37, which should spell trouble for an offensively limited Dolphins team traveling to this venue.
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There’s more trouble looming for Miami. They’ll be without the services of left tackle Jake Long after he suffered a triceps injury last week. With rookie Jonathan Martin sliding over to the left side to replace Long and with the Dolphins having no ground game to speak of, look for San Francisco to apply a lot of heat on passing downs. Miami throws up plenty of stinkers every year when the matchups are a problem. This one has that flavour. No units risked.
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SEATTLE -10 over ArizonaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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In Week 1, the Cardinals defeated these Seahawks on the way to Arizona’s undefeated September. That’s a distant memory now that we see what happens when you try to play a full season, in the quarterback era, without a quarterback. Since then, Seattle has soared while the Cards have crash landed. John Skelton retakes the helm for the visitor but that’s not going to help this horrid offense.
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The Seahawks were renowned for its stellar home record but beating the Bears in Chicago will have this team’s confidence higher than usual. Most importantly, it has confirmed the abilities of QB Russell Wilson, who has clearly become a team leader. Seattle is now back where it is best and with a playoff spot very attainable, we don’t see this visitor getting in the way. No units risked.
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CLEVELAND -6½ over Kansas CityFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Chiefs were focused last week. They came out under difficult circumstances and played their best game of the year with the events of the previous day not really having a chance to sink in. This week has been anything but routine, as the players and staff attended the funeral of Jevon Belcher on Wednesday and the practice schedule was altered. Unfortunately, the residue of what transpired last weekend will be evident in this week’s performance. This is a bad team playing on the road after an emotional win. 
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There’s hope in Cleveland after improving Browns won their first road game in 12 tries, preceded by a victory over arch nemesis Steelers. It’s been some time since Cleveland lined up in this price range but combined with current form and catching the Chiefs off an impossible week, the Browns should be able to take control from the get go. No units risked.
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New Orleans +5 over N.Y. GIANTSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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After not posting any touchdowns for three weeks with marginal yardage in each, Eli Manning seemed rejuvenated after the bye week when he passed for three scores on the Packers. Last Monday against the weak Redskins secondary, he only managed one touchdown pass and his 280 passing yards were mostly in the first half. Is the ‘tired arm’ back so soon?
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Giants have dropped three of four and now must contend with Drew Brees coming off one of his poorest performances of his career. That could spell trouble for the champs as New Orleans has had 10 days to prepare after that clunker and G-Men have covered just 2 of 6 played here. No units risked.
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BUFFALO -3 over St. LouisFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Bills are unlikely to make the playoffs but don’t tell them that. Three of final four are against softies and it starts here with visiting Rams. The Rams were exploited for 148 yards on the ground in Week 13. They have been inconsistent defending the run all season. Buffalo, which racked up 232 rushing yards in last week's beatdown of the Jaguars, is fourth-best in the league with a 5.2-yard average per carry. That should all bode well here.
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Yes, St. Louis on a high after defeating 49ers but that could have taken the wind out of their sails, as evidenced in game after tying San Fran when Rams lost 27-13...to the Jets! No units risked.
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CAROLINA +3½ over AtlantaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Cam Newton is more like Super Putz than Superman, imitating the superhero when his team is losing---to the Chiefs no doubt. Still, Newton and the Panthers gifted the Falcons a win in earlier meeting, proving they can compete with the NFC’s top squad.
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The Panthers could also catch the Falcons napping. Atlanta has a three-game lead over every NFC team and they’re coming off a game against New Orleans. They’ve played a slew of consecutive close games. With an 11-1 record and with the Giants on deck, this is the right spot to fade them. Carolina loses often but stays close in most. No units risked.
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MINNESOTA +3 over ChicagoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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No surprise that Chicago has dropped three of four as key injuries continues to pile up. After a very physical overtime loss to the Seahawks last week, these depleted Bears must head to Minnesota’s dome and take on a team that is fighting for a wild card spot while looking to avenge earlier loss.
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The Vikings' running game is their bread and butter, while the Bears have been inconsistent defending the run, having been exploited for big numbers in recent weeks. Look for Minnesota offensive coordinator Bill Musgrave to design a game plan around a physical ground game to set the tempo. Minnesota’s style resembles Seattle’s and we saw the Bears get gassed to it last week. This should stay close. No units risked.
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Tennessee +6 over INDIANAPOLISFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Andrew Luck and the Colts have had a tremendous year but their defense still ranks 20th in opposing passing yards and 22nd in opposing rushing yards. Colts are also coming off a draining win over Detroit in game they needed two TD’s in the game’s final four minutes to secure the win.
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This is the most points this young Indy squad has had to spot this year and it’s against a divisional opponent that Indy already defeated in Tennessee. Not easy for adolescent team to repeat, especially with trip to Houston on deck. No units risked.

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Teddy CoversFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Baltimore vs. WashingtonFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: WashingtonFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Baltimore has been an extremely lucky team all year.  And 'lucky' is the appropriate word -- a 4th and 29 conversion at San Diego isn't an example of 'good offensive football'.  A win at Pittsburgh where the offense didn't score a TD isn't good offensive football either.
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The Ravens didn't score a TD in their win at KC either.  Against Dallas, they gave up more than 200 rushing yards and the Cowboys held possession for more than 40 minutes,  Baltimore still won, thanks to a missed two point conversion.  Against Cleveland, it was a 63 yard interception return touchdown that provided the seven point margin of victory. 
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I could go on and on, but I think you get my point.  A Ravens team that is being priced like a 9-3 contender could easily be a 4-8 bottom feeder or a 6-6 mediocre team.  And after winning SEVEN straight  competitive games in which the game was tied or they trailed in the fourth quarter, the Steelers finally knocked the Ravens back to earth last Sunday, playing with a third string QB.  Baltimore is a paper tiger, and the Redskins are primed to catch them!
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Washington, on the other hand, is coming on like a freight train down the stretch, reeling off three consecutive wins and covers following their own stretch of UNlucky football when they lost five times by a single score in the first nine games of the campaign.  RG3 is essentially unstoppable these days, the most dangerous dual threat QB in the league already as a rookie.  Their defense has stepped up and RB Alfred Morris is another legitimate rookie of the year candidate.  The Redskins are the better of these two teams right now, regardless of what the records say.  Asking them to win by a FG at home seems perfectly reasonable to this bettor!  Take the 'Skins.

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Matt FargoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Dallas vs. CincinnatiFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: CincinnatiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Bengals are coming off a sweep of the AFC West and that does not include Denver so it can be considered a pretty unimpressive streak. Still, Cincinnati defeated the Giants prior to that and its four-game winning streak has got it right back into the playoff hunt.
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The Bengals are 1-3 within their own division and finish the season with games against Pittsburgh and Baltimore so that makes this game and next week's against the Eagles very important. Cincinnati has outgained eight of its last 10 opponents.
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Dallas is coming off a much needed win last week against Philadelphia and it can thanks the Redskins for taking out the Giants which put the Cowboys just one game out of first place. They have had trouble putting consecutive solid efforts together as they Cowboys have won back-to-back games only once and in that occasion, it took overtime at home to beat the Browns to make it two straight wins. Dallas is 4-0 this season against teams in the bottom half of the league and just 2-6 against the top 16.
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Dallas quarterback Tony Romo is coming off his best outing of the year with 303 yards, three touchdowns, 82 percent completion rate and, most importantly, zero turnovers. We know what that means. He has followed up a post-100 passer rating with another only once in three other tried this year. In addition, Dallas has been inconsistent protecting Romo in the pocket and the running game has been inconsistent. Cincinnati should have no trouble winning the line of scrimmage here.
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The Bengals offense is a pretty average unit but it been consistent for the most part which is most important. They had three turnovers in five games prior to last week and they will obviously need to take care of the ball here. Cincinnati is balanced in both the passing game and running game and it has plenty of weapons to get the ball to which is a big strength against an inconsistent defense such as Dallas. The Cowboys are 11th in total defense but 21st in scoring defense.
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Dallas is just 1-12 ATS in its last 13 game following a win including 0-7 ATS following a win of six or fewer points. Cincinnati meanwhile is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games following a win. The Bengals also fall into a great situation where we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are +3 to +7 ppg in scoring differential going up against teams that are between +/- 3 ppg in scoring differential, after allowing 17 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons.

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Accuscore

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Over 50.5

The computer sets the total at 55 points with the over on the posted line occurring 62.1 percent of the time. That is the most likely AccuScore four-star total play of Week 14. Matt Stafford and Aaron Rodgers have combined to throw 948 passes this season. Neither team is particularly good at running the ball, and more often chooses to go to the air. If the Packers get up early as we expect, Detroit will choose to pass even more often.

Indianapolis Colts -5 vs. Tennessee Titans

The Colts win 63.7 percent of simulations, and by 10 or more 40 percent of the time. The computer has the Colts covering the five point spread 50 percent of the time, but I see as a slightly bigger line. Indianapolis quite frankly, at this point is on a freight train towards the playoffs. They have won six of their last seven games including a six point road win vs. the Titans. Most of those games have been very close actually, but I feel the defense will play a bit better at home, and Andrew Luck was just absurdly good last week against Detroit. He seems improved even from just a month ago like something has clicked and he has figured out how to the move the football in the NFL.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans Under 48

The computer sets this line at just 43 points, and has gone a combined 18-4 picking totals in games involving either of these two teams. Tennessee has lost four of their past five games, and in those games they have scored just 13, 20, 19, and 10 points. That includes a 13-19 loss to Indy at home in Week 8.

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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay BuccaneersFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Philadelphia EaglesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Eagles pumped some life back into their supporters with a 98-yard punt return in the final minute to garner the cover last Sunday night in Dallas as they now approach Dandy Andy time. If the embattled coach can make it through this final quarter of the season, then broke Philly fanatics (1-9-1 ATS before last week?s miracle cover) may be able to have a little holiday cheer as Reid is 19-10 ATS on the road and 17-7 ATS as a dog in his career over the final four games of the season. The veteran coach is also a moneymaking 23-9 ATS as a non-division dog of 6 or more points in his 14 years on the Philadelphia sidelines. Helping matters greatly will be Tampas 1-10 SU and 3-7-1 ATS record versus the NFC East since 2008, including 0-2-1 ATS as chalk. In fact, this year alone, the Buccaneers are 0-3 SU versus the East, having been outgained by over 100 yards in all three contests. Thus, you can see why we have no problem fading the Bucs in this uncomfortable favorite role especially when you consider they are 3-7 SU and ATS in this series when the Eagles own at least one win on the year, and 1-5 SU and 0-5-1 ATS in unlucky Game Thirteen of the season. Reid all about it - and grab the points - as the Nick Foles Follies nab a second straight cover. We recommend a 1-unit play on Philadelphia.

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Steve JanusFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Washington Redskins -2.5FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Redskins are now 6-6 overall and just a game back of the Giants in the NFC East. Ever since this team returned from their bye week they have looked like a completely different team than the one that opened the season 3-6. It’s hard to not like your chances with Washington at home laying less than a field goal.
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The Washington offense looked unstoppable at times last week, as the Giants defensive front seven looked lost on their assignments. You simply don’t know when RGIII is going to hand it off, play action pass or take off running. Baltimore’s defense has already been decimated with injuries and just this past weekend lost starting outside linebacker Terrell Suggs. While Ray Lewis is expected to start practicing this week, he isn’t expected to even be considered to play until next week against the Broncos.
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Baltimore’s defense has been no where close to what we have grown to expect over the last decade. The Ravens rank 23rd in the NFL against both the run and the pass and it figures to only get worse without either of their two start linebackers in the lineup.
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Washington seems to save its best for when they play the better teams in this league, as they are an impressive 5-1 ATS over their last six games vs a team with a winning record.

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