Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 28

Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 28

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Phoenix at Detroit
The Pistons look to take advantage of a Phoenix team that is coming off a 91-78 win over Cleveland and is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games following a SU victory. Detroit is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Pistons favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3)

Game 701-702: Portland at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 112.769; Washington 110.389
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 2 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 1; 192
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-1); Over

Game 703-704: San Antonio at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 125.848; Orlando 116.873
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9; 189
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-7 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Brooklyn at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 119.948; Boston 123.027
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 3; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 4 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+4 1/2); Under

Game 707-708: Charlotte at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 113.368; Atlanta 120.548
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 7; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 9; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+9); Over

Game 709-710: Phoenix at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 113.745; Detroit 121.485
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 7 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 3; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3); Under

Game 711-712: Dallas at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 112.248; Chicago 121.356
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 9; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 5 1/2; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-5 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: New York at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 125.905; Milwaukee 121.104
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 5; 194
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 1 1/2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (-1 1/2); Under

Game 715-716: Toronto at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 112.784; Memphis 127.602
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 15; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 10 1/2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-10 1/2); Over

Game 717-718: Utah at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 118.179; New Orleans 111.954
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 6 1/2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 3 1/2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-3 1/2); Over

Game 719-720: Houston at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 118.434; Oklahoma City 130.282
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 12; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-9); Under

Game 721-722: Minnesota at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 111.821; LA Clippers 124.122
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 12 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8 1/2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-8 1/2); Over

NCAAB

Michigan State at Miami (FL)     
The Spartans look to take advantage of a Miami (FL) team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Big Ten teams. Michigan State is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spartans favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+2 1/2)

Game 723-724: St. Bonaventure at Ohio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 59.552; Ohio 72.378
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 13
Vegas Line: Ohio by 11
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-11)

Game 725-726: Virginia at Wisconsin (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 64.631; Wisconsin 70.788
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 6; 108
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 9 1/2; 112
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+9 1/2); Under

Game 727-728: Kent State at Youngstown State (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 56.835; Youngstown State 58.810
Dunkel Line: Youngstown State by 2
Vegas Line: Youngstown State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (+4 1/2)

Game 729-730: Cleveland State at Ball State (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 55.398; Ball State 50.570
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 5
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (-3)

Game 731-732: William & Mary at Richmond (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 51.280; Richmond 67.313
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 16
Vegas Line: Richmond by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Richmond (-13 1/2)

Game 733-734: George Washington at James Madison (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 51.038; James Madison 49.318
Dunkel Line: George Washington by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: James Madison by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: George Washington (+1 1/2)

Game 735-736: Temple at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 61.993; Buffalo 57.593
Dunkel Line: Temple by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Temple by 6
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+6)

Game 737-738: Bradley at Central Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 52.672; Central Michigan 47.996
Dunkel Line: Bradley by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Bradley by 3
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (-3)

Game 739-740: Purdue at Clemson (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 63.076; Clemson 69.141
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 6; 127
Vegas Line: Clemson by 4 1/2; 123
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-4 1/2); Over

Game 741-742: Michigan State at Miami (FL) (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 68.412; Miami (FL) 65.690
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 2 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 2 1/2; 128
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+2 1/2); Over

Game 743-744: George Mason at Rhode Island (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 60.581; Rhode Island 53.773
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 7; 122
Vegas Line: George Mason by 4 1/2; 125 1/2
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (-4 1/2); Under

Game 745-746: TX-Arlington at North Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-Arlington 53.106; North Texas 58.779
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: North Texas by 7
Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (+7)

Game 747-748: Tulsa at Wichita State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 53.616; Wichita State 73.078
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-15 1/2)

Game 749-750: Fresno State at Southern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 54.648; Southern Illinois 55.427
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 1
Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+3 1/2)

Game 751-752: Utah at SMU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 53.796; SMU 55.891
Dunkel Line: SMU by 5
Vegas Line: SMU by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+6 1/2)

Game 753-754: Boise State at Creighton (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 59.364; Creighton 74.763
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Creighton by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Creighton (-13 1/2)

Game 755-756: New Mexico State at UTEP (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 60.325; UTEP 57.083
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 3
Vegas Line: UTEP by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+3 1/2)

Game 757-758: Georgia Tech at Illinois (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 58.296; Illinois 68.701
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 10 1/2; 119
Vegas Line: Illinois by 9; 122 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-9); Under

Game 759-760: Boston College at Penn State (9:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 54.893; Penn State 55.961
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 1; 127
Vegas Line: Penn State by 2 1/2; 124
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+2 1/2); Over

Game 761-762: Ohio State at Duke (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 72.263; Duke 80.446
Dunkel Line: Duke by 8; 139
Vegas Line: Duke by 6; 142
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-6); Under

Game 763-764: Wyoming at UC-Santa Barbara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 57.785; UC-Santa Barbara 55.154
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming

Game 765-766: Idaho at Washington State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 54.101; Washington State 64.370
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (-6 1/2)

Game 767-768: UC Davis at Nevada (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 44.514; Nevada 55.822
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Nevada by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC Davis (+12 1/2)

Game 769-770: UC-Irvine at UNLV (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 51.612; UNLV 72.431
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 21
Vegas Line: UNLV by 15
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-15)

Game 771-772: Seattle at Stanford (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 50.798; Stanford 70.453
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 19 1/2
Vegas Line:  Stanford by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+20 1/2)

Game 773-774: Utah State at Santa Clara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 58.909; Santa Clara 60.277
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 7
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+7)

Game 775-776: St. Louis at Washington (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 63.403; Washington 69.900
Dunkel Line: Washington by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington by 3
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-3)

Game 777-778: CS-Northridge at UCLA (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 54.548; UCLA 65.865
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: UCLA by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (+14 1/2)

Game 779-780: Morehead State at Marshall (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 50.276; Marshall 64.359
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 14
Vegas Line: Marshall by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (-11 1/2)

Game 781-782: Duquesne at Appalachian State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 51.294; Appalachian State 49.386
Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 2
Vegas Line: Duquesne by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (+3 1/2)

Game 783-784: Weber State at Dayton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 51.330; Dayton 66.171
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 15
Vegas Line: Dayton by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-13 1/2)

Game 785-786: Elon at Georgia Southern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 51.094; Georgia Southern 51.432
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Georgia Southern by 1
Dunkel Pick: Elon (+1)

Game 787-788: Western Carolina at Furman (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 50.700; Furman 52.708
Dunkel Line: Furman by 2
Vegas Line: Furman by 1
Dunkel Pick: Furman (-1)

Game 789-790: Niagara at Iona (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 49.871; Iona 63.115
Dunkel Line: Iona by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Iona by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-8 1/2)

Game 791-792: Massachusetts at Siena (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 56.775; Siena 51.825
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 5
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 7
Dunkel Pick: Siena (+7)

Game 793-794: North Dakota at South Dakota State (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 45.789; South Dakota State 65.054
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 18
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-18)

Game 795-796: Tennessee Tech at Loyola-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 48.846; Loyola-Chicago 51.276
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Chicago by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Loyola-Chicago by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (+4 1/2)

Game 797-798: Montana at BYU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 58.543; BYU 66.468
Dunkel Line: BYU by 8
Vegas Line: BYU by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana (+9 1/2)

Game 799-800: Northern Arizona at Arizona (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 42.110; Arizona 68.183
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 26
Vegas Line: Arizona by 25
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-25)

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 28

Rob Vinciletti
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New York Knicks vs. Milwaukee Bucks    
Play: New York Knicks
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The Bucks are 0-11 ATS at home with one day or no rest off a road win in which they trailed at the end of the third quarter. They have failed to cover in 5 of 6 at home this season and are 21-55 straight up long term vs winning teams. New York is off a tough Overtime to Rival Brooklyn in their last game. The Knicks are 8-1 straight up and ats when playing with rest this season. Look for the Knicks to get the win and cover here.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 28

Ryan James
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BRADLEY vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN    
PLAY: BRADLEY
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It is hard to believe that Bradley isn't a much larger favorite in this match up against Central Michigan. The Bradley Braves are 4-1 this season while the Central Michigan Chippewas come into this game with a 3-2 record. The level of competition between these two teams has been about the same. Neither team has had what can be considered a tough schedule. This game is going to come down to offense. That may seem like a no-brainer, but normally offense isn't the only factor you look at when successfully handicapping a game. The reason this game comes down to offense is because Central Michigan has had a complete lack of it. They have only one player who has been able to score an average in the double digits (at 10.4 points per game) while Bradley has four players scoring in double digits. I believe this game will be won by closer to 15 points so laying three on the road is not a problem. Bradley wins big in a blowout.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 28

Ray Monohan
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New York Knicks vs. Milwaukee Bucks    
Play: New York Knicks
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The Knicks have lost their last three games away from MSG but are easily the more talented team in this one. Thus far this season they are matching fantastic offense with very good defense to grab victories. Their unbeatable status at home has drifted to their road value but in this one all they have to do is win the game and you win too.

The Bucks are just mediocre at home (3-3) but that drops to an awful 1-5 ATS. I really don't like the talent on Milwaukee, especially offensively. The Knicks should be able to easily outscore Milwaukee unless they're suffering a hangover from the recent overtime loss against Brooklyn.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 28

Dave Cokin
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Saint Louis vs Washington
Pick: Washington
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Both the Billikens and Huskies are less than 100% right now. I'm pretty clearly not a Lorenzo Romar believer, but this is a sharp spot for the home tea, so tonight it's Washington minus the points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 28

Jim Feist
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Clippers
Pick: Los Angeles Clippers
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A tough situational spot for a Minnesota team on a long road trip, the second of a back to back spot while the deep and talented Clippers are rested. The Timberwolves have been short handed all season and rank 28th in the NBA in scoring. The Clippers are 11th in the NBA in points allowed and 8th in point scored. LA plays its second straight home game after a frustrating road trip, ending up a four-game road trip with just one victory. "It's a terrible road trip for us, especially with all of them being winnable games," star guard Chris Paul said. Don't look for any let down at home. Play the LA Clippers.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 28

JR O'Donnell
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Washington St. -7
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Tune up the Idaho Vandals tonight in Pullman ..Power rated @ - 11 flat we are now heating up on the Cbb hardwood....  6-1 paid / free ticket NBA/CBB last night the J Oster "Goes Hard" tonight on the NBA GOW/CBB GOW TICKET.....     Jr 6'10" Brock Motum from Australia can pound the boards ..try this on for size ....    WSU improved to 45-0 all-time in the month of November @ home ..... 46-0 after this baby tonight. 70-58 final... in Pullman tonight.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 28

ParlayJoe

Washington -3

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 28

DAVID BANKS

Oklahoma City Thunder -9

The Oklahoma City Thunder (11-4, 9-5-1 ATS) are coming off of a historic win over Charlotte, although they probably will not have as easy a time vs. the Houston Rockets (6-7, 6-6-1 ATS) Wednesday from Chesapeake Energy Arena in Oklahoma at 8:05 ET on NBA TV. The Thunder beat the Bobcats 114-69 on Monday, and that 45-point winning margin was the biggest margin since the franchise moved from Seattle. However, this will be the Thunder's fifth game in eight nights, and while the Rockets are playing the second of a back-to-back, they had been off since winning their second straight game on Friday vs. the previously hot New York Knicks before Tuesday.

The Thunder have won five of their last six games, although the previous three wins before Monday were all by 10 points or less, which becomes significant with this line projected to be around -10. Oklahoma City has certainly been scoring points, scoring at least 100 points in each of the last six games including the only loss in that stretch, a 108-100 loss to the Celtics in Boston. In fact, the Thunder have one of the best offenses in the NBA, ranking second in the league in scoring at 104.4 points per game, as well a second in both three-point percentage at 41.7 percent and overall field goal percentage at 47.9 percent. However, the reason for the string or relatively close games before the Bobcats came to town is the defense had become rather lax, allowing a disturbing 106.5 points per game in the previous six games, and remember that the Bobcats are not be best shooting team in the league, so the Thunder defense was not the only reason Charlotte was held to 69 points.

This contest also marks the return of James Harden to Oklahoma City after the Thunder traded him to the Rockets just a few days before the start of the regular season after he and the Thunder could not agree on a contract. The Rockets got off to a hot start this season with Harden going wild in the first few games before both he and the team leveled off. Still, Houston does rank fifth in the NBA in scoring at 101.3 points per game and Harden is still ranks fourth in the league in scoring at 25.2 points per game as the starting shooting guard for the Rockets after winning the Sixth Man of the Year award while coming off of the Oklahoma City bench last year. He figures to get a positive response from the Thunder home crowd and you know that he will be extra motivated for this contest. Harden has not been a one-man show though as all five Houston starters are averaging double-digits, so we are probably more likely to see the struggling Thunder defense of recent games here than what we saw against Charlotte.

Interestingly, the Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600 and the Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games vs. teams with losing straight up records.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 28

Matt Fargo

Georgia Tech vs. Illinois
Play: Georgia Tech   

Illinois came into the season unranked and not even receiving a single vote in the AP Poll or the USA Today/ESPN Poll. Now the Illini are ranked 22nd in both polls thanks to a perfect 7-0 start that included a championship at the Maui Invitational but it wasn't all their doing. To be honest, Illinois was fortunate that Butler was able to take out both Marquette and North Carolina as either of those teams would have likely taken out the Illini. Still, it is off to a surprising start and it followed up that Hawaii trip with a one-point win over Gardner Webb on Sunday and I think that is more in line of what this team is made of. Because of the start and the ranking, the Illini are overvalued. Georgia Tech is off to a 4-1 start and this is another team that is on the rise but not quite back to where it used to be. The Yellow Jackets are on the same line with Illinois in that they are two teams with great history but coming off some disappointments and now in rebuilding mode. Georgia Tech went just 4-12 in the ACC last season but is expected to be much better as all five starters are back to go along with a very solid recruiting class. Georgia Tech is coming off a big win over St. Mary's in Anaheim and that victory could be a spark to what lies ahead. The defense was the strength last season and it has already performed better this season, allowing just 51.8 ppg on 37.1 percent shooting including 28.6 percent from long range. The Illini have been shooting very well but that could be an aberration as they were not a good shooting or scoring team a year ago. Illinois has a breakeven 1.00 assist/turnover ratio which is not very good considering its record so the Yellow Jackets defense can dictate this game. A low scoring game is in our favor with the generous line we are getting here.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 28

Jordan Runco

OHIO STATE vs. DUKE    
PLAY: OHIO STATE

The #4 Ohio State Buckeyes (4-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) are coming off a 91-45 win over UMKC at home, giving 28.5. #2 Duke (6-0 SU, 4-2 ATS) is coming off a 76-71 win over Louisville to win the Battle 4 Atlantic from the Bahamas. The Buckeyes visit Cameron Indoor Stadium on Wednesday night from Durham, N.C. to take on Duke at 9:30pmET in the ACC/Big 10 Challenge. Last year: OHIO STATE (-7.5) over Duke, 85-63.

ODDS: The oddsmakers have installed Duke as a 6-point favorite over Ohio State. The total is 144 in most books.

LINE MOVEMENT: The Blue Devils opened as a 6-point favorite and remained there in most books.

COLLEGE HOOPS FREE PICK: Take Ohio State. According to the latest trends: The Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Atlantic Coast Conference, 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game and are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Duke is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games.

This should be a great matchup on paper. Last year at this same time in November, Ohio State scored the first 11 points, led by 19 at the half and was on top by as many as 25 in what ended up as an 85-63 landslide. Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski said his team was tired and overwhelmed. Once again, the Blue Devils are coming off a nice tournament win after travelling to Nassau in the Bahamas. The Buckeyes are led by PF Deshaun Thomas, who leads the team in scoring at 24 points per game. PG Aaron Craft (14.3ppg, 5.3apg) is one of the best point guards in the country and shoots 47% from beyond the arc. Evan Ravenel (6-8, 250) can keep the big Duke frontline off the backboards.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 28

Rob Veno

Wyoming pk at Cal-Santa Barbara 
Recommendation: Wyoming

Level of competition played thus far and home floor advantage both stand as reasons to support UCSB tonight but despite those positives, I fully believe the gap in fundamentals is too wide for the Gauchos to overcome. Roster depletion has left Santa Barbara extremely young and unbalanced in this early part of the season. Head coach Bob Williams offense is now dependent upon the scoring of freshman SF Taran Brown (15.0 ppg) sophomore PF Alan Williams (14.6 ppg). The youthful tandem accounts for 45.1% of the team’s scoring and they’ve attempted 119 field goals while the other 11 players have combined to attempt just 156. This matchup poses real problems for Santa Barbara on the inside because their total reliance on the rugged interior play of Williams (6-7, 240) is not only matched, but likely outdone by Wyoming’s senior paint presence Leonard Washington. With Williams neutralized, Santa Barbara becomes almost exclusively perimeter oriented. Of the players who have taken 20 shots this season, only Brown is shooting better than 40% from the field and their top three 3-point shooters have combined to go 23-of-76, 30.3%. Even at 6-8, Brown is a finesse player launching 34 of his 66 FGA from beyond the arc. Wyoming’s extremely tough defense figures to contest everything which figures to make scoring difficult for UCSB. Conversely, head coach Larry Shyatt’s crew has a solid PG in soph Riley Grabau (7.7 assist-turnover ratio) and a host of capable scorers inside and out. Sophomore Larry Nance Jr. compliments Washington inside and long range marksmen, Luke Martinez (41.9% 3-pointers) and Derrious Gilmore (37.9% 3-pointers) can stretch the defense. Like the diversity and chemistry of Wyoming far more at this point and will side with them here at the pick ‘em price.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 28

Wunderdog

George Mason at Rhode Island
Pick: George Mason -3.5

George Mason has been a fixture at or near the top of the Colonial Conference for years, and that hasn't changed under Paul Hewitt. George Mason won 24 games a year ago, and they won't be far from the top of the Colonial once again. Ryan Pearson is gone, paving the way for Sherrod White who has elevated his game to 15 points per game. Rhode Island has had some very good teams in recent years, but the program is on a down turn, off to a 1-5 start. George Mason simply has too much talent for the Rams to stay in touch for 40 minutes. Lay the points and back George Mason.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 28

John Ryan

Trail Blazers at Wizards
Prediction: Over

The simulator shows a high probability that more than 195 points will be scored in this game. Arguably the worst offensive team in Washington matched up against the worst defensive team in Portland. Washington ranks 30th averaging just 90 PPG and Portland ranks 30th allowing 104.1 PPG. Despite scoring an anemic 90 PPG, Washington can run the fast break where they rank 15th in the NBA averaging 13.2 PPG on the break. Portland is an excellent perimeter shooting team and I fully expect them to have wide open looks. They are averaging 8.4 3-point FG made per game good for fourth best in the NBA. This will force Washington to spread their defense to cover the perimeter, which will then open up the paint area for some easy looks and scores. Washington is winless, but they do have a solid shot at a win tonight, but they will have to make the game a track meet whenever possible. I don't like Washington, but do like them to create a play that will soar over the posted total. I like the OVER.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 28

Charlie Sports

Georgia Tech at Illinois
Play: Illinois

The (4-1) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets of the Atlantic Coast Conference will take on the (7-0) and 22nd ranked Illinois Fighting Illini of the Big 10 Conference in 2012 NCAA Basketball action. The under is 7-2 Georgia Tech last 9 Basketball games played on Wednesday's. Illinois is only 5-14 their last 19 Against The Spread overall. Illinois could be one of the surprise teams in NCAA Basketball this season. Illinois gets the home cover.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 28

John Ryan

St. Bonaventure at Ohio University
Prediction: St. Bonaventure

The simulator shows a high probability that St. Bonaventure (STB) will lose this game by 10 or fewer points. The pace of this game will be significantly slower than the average College game and this heavily favor STB to get the cover. The sim shows a high probability that STB will attempt between 46 and 53 shots, will attempt between four and nine more free throws, will have nine to 13 offensive boards and will win the battle of the boards by a margin of at least four boards. In past games, STB is a solid 21-9 ATS in slower paced games where they attempt 46 to 53 shots over the last 3 seasons; 27-13 ATS in road games when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game since 1997; 13-5 ATS when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997. STB is coming off a 80-75 win over Niagara and solid free throw shooting was a major reason they held on to earn the win. STB is a solid 14-5 ATS after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last 3 seasons. Take St. Bonaventure.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 28

Jesse Schule

Michigan St vs. Miami-Florida
Pick: Michigan St

Michigan State has not played the type of basketball that coach Tom Izzo would like to see from his team this season. The Spartans have turned the ball over 67 times in their last four games, and they have had a few close calls against teams that they should have beaten easily. That being said, since the Spartans lost to UCONN in their season opener in Germany, they have won five straight games>>

Michigan State has not played the type of basketball that coach Tom Izzo would like to see from his team this season. The Spartans have turned the ball over 67 times in their last four games, and they have had a few close calls against teams that they should have beaten easily.

That being said, since the Spartans lost to UCONN in their season opener in Germany, they have won five straight games, including a 67-64 victory over #7 ranked Kansas.

Michigan State has been missing a few key players from the lineup, with Travis Trice and Garry Harris unavailable due to injury. Coach Izzo doesn't want to use this as an excuse, and he acknowledges that the turnovers are an issue that needs to be resolved: "I don't like the way our team is at all," Izzo said. "I'm just trying to figure how much of it is due to our preparation or lack thereof with the guys who are injured. But that doesn't have anything to do with some of my key guys turning it over four or five times."

While the Spartans have had their issues, I still think they are by far the better team here tonight. Michigan State is an underdog, despite the fact that they come in as the #13 ranked team, off five straight victories. They certainly have the talent, and I wouldn't count on them continuing to turn the ball over for the remainder of the season, this is an area where they will improve.

I like the Spartans to win outright,

But take Michigan State + the points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 28

Joe Gavazzi

Clemson -4

Massive rebuilding job for 8th year Purdue head man Matt Painter! He lost the heart and soul of his team in Hummel, Moore and Johnson. Losses to the only 3 quality opponents he has faced, Bucknell, Villanova and Oregon State (by 29 points to the spread) speak volumes. Now he must make his first true road trip to a LittleJohn Coliseum which is never easy for visitors. Third year Clemson HC Brownell has gotten positive early returns from a group of mostly his recruits who have bought in to his philosophy of defense, rebounding and tempo. His Tigers enter on a 3-1 SU, 4-0 ATS run in which they have covered by 29 points including a 21 point victory vs. UTEP and giving Gonzaga their closest contest of the year. No one has scored more than 59 points against the defense that's allowing just 52 PPG.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 28

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Houston/ Oklahoma City Over 207.5: Google News Play The Rockets play a very up tempo game and it has resulted in some high scoring games for them. 4 of Houston's last 6 games have put up at least 218 points, averaging 215 ppg over that stretch. their defense has been very bad of late, allowing 105.3 ppg in their last 8 games and will be facing a very hot Oklahoma City offense tonight. The Thunder come in having hit 110+ points in 5 of their last 6 games, averaging 112.7 ppg over that stretch. At home the Thunder have averaged 107.4 ppg, while the Rockets have allowed 105.2 ppg on the road. The Thunder  defense is middle of the pack, allowing 96.3 ppg, but I do see a Rockets offense that has averaged 108 ppg in their last 5 games putting up at least 100 points in this one, while the Thunder may eclipse 110 points once again. I look for at least 215 points in this one.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 28

Jeff Scott Sports

4 UNIT PLAY

Virginia/ Wisconsin Over 113: Google News Play The Badgers usually play solid defense but they have been a bit inconsistent at that end of the floor, allowing 70+ points 3 times so far. Overall they come in allowing 59.7 ppg, while the Cavaliers have put up 65.3 ppg on the year, so I fully expect Virginia to hit at least 57 points in this one.  The Badgers have been a solid offensive club this year as they have averaged a healthy 75.8 ppg on the year. This is a good shooting team that hits 44.4% of their shots (138th) and that includes 35.3% from long range (123rd). Virginia is also a good shooting team, hitting 45.2% of their shots (108th), while also hitting 37.4% from long ranges (76th). Defensively the Cavs have been solid, but the Badger offense has been very good and should be able to notch at least 60 points tonight. Both teams do slow the pace, but both also take allot of 3's and have been good from behind the arc, plus this could be a physical game with a lot of fouls and both teams are very good from the line. Look for this one to finish in the 120's.   

3 UNIT PLAYS

CREIGHTON -13.5 over Boise State: These Blue Jays are for real as they are ranked 11th in the country with a 6-0 record. Of Creighton's 6 wins, 5 have been by at least 14 points and they have outscored their opponents by 28.5 ppg at home. Their last 2 games were vs Power 6 conferences (Arizona State and Wisconsin) and they had little trouble in those games winning by DD in each. Creighton comes in shooting 53.4% on the year, while holding teams to just 38.5% shooting from the floor, so they have been very good at both ends of the floor. Boise State has had a good start, going 4-1 in the early going but all 4 wins were at home and in 2 of those home wins (UL-Lafayette & Oakland) they failed to cover the spread, shooting a combined 41.1% in the 2 games. They are an average shooting team (44.3%), but at they defensive end not so hot, as they allow teams to hit 45.1% of their shots, which is 276th in the country. Not good when your about to face the 4th ranked shooting team in the Nation. Boise State is picked by most for 7th in the MWC, Creighton is one of those teams with the tools to make a serious run in the Big Dance. Creighton flexes it's muscles again. 


Temple -6 over BUFFALO: This owls team has a chance to have a special year. Fran Dunphy has done a great job in getting Temple back to being one of the better Mid-major programs in the country. This year they are off to a solid 3-1 start, which includes a 14 point win at a very good Kansas State squad. Buffalo was to challenge in the MAC this year, but that may be hard especially the way they have been playing to start the year. The Bulls are just 2-5 on the year and they have had some bad losses, losing to Canisius and Yale away from home and Western Illinois at home. Well Temple is head and shoulders better than those 3 teams. Really don't see how the Owls don't win this one by DD. KEY TREND--- The Owls are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 vs the MAC.


Michigan State/ Miami Over 133: I know that Michigan state is a very good defense as they allow just 58.8 ppg , but this Miami offense has been very good this year as they have averaged 72 ppg on a very nice 47.4% shooting. The Spartan offense has been average at best this year, but they have put up 69 ppg in their last 3 games and should have some good success vs a Miami team that just hasn't been tested defensively just yet. Miami has allowed 65.2 ppg, but all vs creampuffs and should an underrated Spartans offense but up some good points in this one. Both teams like the uptempo game and that should allow both teams to score at least 67 points each. This one may hit 140+. KEY TREND--- Miami is 6-1 OVER in their last 7 non-conference games.


Wyoming -2.5 over UCSB: The Cowboys are off to a solid 6-0 start and they have done it like always, at the defensive end of the floor. Wyoming comes in 16th in the nation in points allowed (53.7 ppg) and 33rd in defensive FG%, allowing just 36.8% shooting. This defense is a bad matchup for a UCSB offense that is 228th in scoring (65.6 ppg) and 200th in shooting (42.9%). UCSB has really struggled to score in their last 2 games, putting up just 56.5 ppg over that stretch. The Gaucho defense has struggled this year as well as they come in allowing 69.6 ppg (242nd) on 43.6% shooting (233rd). Offensive the Cowboys are led by Washington (15.0 ppg, 9.5 rpg) who has really excelled in the paint for the Cowboys. He is a threat to post a double-double every night and can step back and hit shots from the outside as well. The Gauchos don't really have an inside presence that can slow him down. Overall the Cowboys average 67.5 ppg on 43% shooting. Wyoming has a few more scoring options than the Gauchos do. but in the end it will be their lock down defense that will win this one for them.  Cowboys by 7+ here.

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