NHL Betting News and Notes Sunday 4/15

NHL Betting News and Notes Sunday 4/15

Sunday's Best NHL Bet
By Covers.com

Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings (-150, 5)

The Detroit Red Wings got just what they wanted in the first two games of their Western Conference quarterfinal series with the Nashville Predators – a split on the road. The Red Wings did it the hard way, rebounding to win Game 2 in Nashville after dropping the opener to seize home-ice advantage in the series.

The Predators will have to find a way to win in Detroit, something they have done only 11 times in the last 40 meetings (11-27-2) in the Motor City.

Nashville could not recover from falling into an early 2-0 hole Friday, and one of the main reasons was the ineptitude of its power play. The Predators ranked No. 1 in the league with the man advantage during the regular season, but they were 0 for 6 Friday and have been stymied on 12 power-play chances in the series.

Nashville played an overall better game Friday, limiting the Red Wings to only 17 shots – the second-fewest allowed in franchise postseason history.

The Predators also outshot Detroit for only the second time in 14 postseason meetings between the teams, but Pekka Rinne surrendered three goals on the first 10 shots.

Pick: Under

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NHL Playoffs on NBC: What Bettors Need to Know
By Bill McBride
Covers.com

Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings (-149, 5)

Series: Tied 1-1


This series got a little chippy, and certainly gained an edge, during Game 2, when Nashville defenseman Shea Weber and Detroit forward Todd Bertuzzi dropped the gloves. So, now that we know there’s a genuine hate on both sides, we should have a dandy Game 3.

Under the radar, as always

Detroit didn't get the kind of start it wanted in Nashville, but the Game 2 win was just what the doctor ordered, and it was typical Detroit. The Red Wings have stars, but the fabric and the culture of Hockeytown truly lies in the unsung players that have dotted Red Wings rosters for the last 20 years.

And this year’s team has plenty of them. In Game 2, two of them stepped up as center Cory Emmerton, who had just six goals and 10 points this season, and defenseman Ian White, who had seven and 32, each scored in the 3-2 road victory. White had just 13:07 time on the ice, but also posted two blocks and two hits.

Pressure on Pekka

Through two games, Nashville goaltender Pekka Rinne is right about where he should be - numbers wise. The standout, who posted a 2.39 GAA in the regular season, has made 49 saves and allowed five goals.

But will it be enough? Rinne is now walking into enemy territory and, though the Predators are slowly building up a playoff backbone, there’s still a long way to go, top to bottom.

The biggest cause for concern should be Game 2. In Game 1, he saw plenty of rubber, and made 35 saves. But Friday, he made just 14 stops and looked shaky at times. Hockey bettors will truly see what he’s made of in Detroit these next two games.

Valtteri the victor

The postseason, as any hockey fan will tell you, is a war of attrition, and it's not just the flash-and-dash goal scorers who lead the way. It's the grit and grind, as well, and those who fight through the fatigue who succeed.

Detroit center Valtteri Filppula has plenty of skill and is far from a mucker or grinder. But in Game 2, he played the kind of game befit of the latter.

He posted three shots and four blocks and even picked up a two-minte minor, all in a 26-shift effort that spanned 18:38 of ice time. It’s the kind of effort that will resonate with head coach Mike Babcock, and so you can expect the same kind of playing time in Game 3.

History

The Red Wings have won four of their last five Sunday games, and have won 19 of their last 26 first-round playoff contests. These two teams have gone 0-3-3 over/under in their last six meetings.

Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers (+106, 6)

Series: Flyers lead 2-0


Perhaps a change of scenery and a chance to get out of town, will help jumpstart the slumping Penguins, who just can’t seem to come up with the defensive plan to hold leads and stop the Flyers. Pittsburgh’s Dan Bylsma has been outcoached severely by Philadelphia’s Peter Laviolette, but opportunity knocks in Game 3.

He’s off the Marc

The numbers were so good in the regular season, it was hard for anyone to see this slide coming. Marc-Andre Fleury went 42-17-4 with three shutouts and a 2.36 GAA. He had already been to two Stanley Cup Finals, and won one of them.

But something's off right now and the Penguins simply have no answers. Fleury has allowed 11 goals in two home games and has stopped just 45 shots. The Flyers can come at you in waves and they get offense from all four of their lines, so Fleury can never truly relax out there, and it's showing.

He has a .804 save percentage and if you combine the regular season and postseason overall, the Penguins have now lost six of eight to Philadelphia.

Clutch Claude

Claude Giroux, the Flyers' best player, didn't get much hype leading up to the series, because, quite frankly, he's not Sidney Crosby or Evgeni Malkin. But the forward nearly reached 100 points this regular season (93) and simply had a game for the ages Friday night.

In 31 shifts, covering 22:30 of ice time, he had three goals, six points and was a plus-4. He threw 10 shots on net and walked away with .517 faceoff percentage. Not bad.

Giroux won't win the award, but will get some mention for the Hart Trophy this year for his regular-season work. But so far, his postseason work has been even better.

Tracking Sid

Clearly, Crosby won't sit down this weekend and tell you that he's playing well or that he's on top of his game. With his team facing a 0-2 hole, there are bigger, clubwide problems for him to focus on.

Crosby is producing for the Penguins in this series. In two games, he has two goals and four points. There's plenty of work ahead though. He definitely needs more shots on net - he has just four in seven periods - and as always, his toughness quotient remains a question mark.

One thing is for sure: His stamina is back. He had 24 shifts Friday night, covering 20:34 of ice time in the 8-5 loss.

History

Think over. Both teams can fly up and down this ice and in two games, they have combined for 19 goals. The over is 3-0-1 in the last four installments of this rivalry. Dating back to March 18, the Penguins have lost four of the last five to the Flyers.

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NHL Preview

Predators @ Red Wings -- Teams split pair of games in Music City, with team that led after first period going into shell in last two periods and then hanging on. Detroit lost five of last eight games. three of last four at home. Nashville won five of last seven games, allowing total of five goals in the wins. Teams split eight games in this year's season series, with Predators winning four of last seven games in Motor City. Nashville was 0-12 on power play in first two games, Red Wings 2-10.

Penguins @ Flyers -- Pittsburgh outscored Flyers 6-1 in first period in first two games, still lost both, as Flyers are now 6-2 vs Pens this season; not often an NHL team scored five goals in a home playoff games and loses, but Penguins allowed eight goals on 31 shots and head east down 2-0. Philly is 2-3 with man advantage in series, Pittsburgh 2-7. Flyers won nine of last 11 games overall, have six third period goals in Games 1-2, but are 3-4 vs Pittsburgh in last seven series games in this building.

Devils @ Panthers -- New Jersey came out and dominated first period in Game 1, outshooting hosts 26-6, outscoring them 3-0, handing Florida its ninth loss in last 11 games- this is Panthers' first playoff appearance in 12 years- it showed. New Jersey is 21-13 in Miami, 3-1 in last four; over last three years, Devils are now 7-6 overall when facing Florida. There were only 40 faceoffs in Game 1, so lot less stoppages than in most games (next lowest Game 1 had 58). Panthers split last six games in Jersey, but they need win here to show they belong.

Canucks @ Kings -- LA hasn't won playoff series since 2001; they're 1-5 in first round series since losing in '93 Finals, but they head home up 2-0 and are 7-2 in last nine games at Staples. Vancouver won the Presidents' Cup last two years, but now has immense pressure on it, losing first two games at home (both 4-2), as both games went over total (under was 7-0-1 in previous eight games in series). Canucks are 0-10 on power play in series; Los Angeles 3-12. Vancouver lost five of its last seven road games overall.

Armadillosports.com

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NASHVILLE (49-27-0-8, 106 pts.) at DETROIT (49-29-0-6, 104 pts.)

Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 48-35 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 44-31 ATS (+76.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 27-20 ATS (+6.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NASHVILLE is 18-12 ATS (+30.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
NASHVILLE is 29-17 ATS (+7.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
NASHVILLE is 14-7 ATS (+21.7 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 17-9 ATS (+7.0 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
DETROIT is 20-24 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 10-10 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 10-10-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.6 Units)


PITTSBURGH (51-26-0-7, 109 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (49-26-0-9, 107 pts.)

Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 10-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after a division game this season.
PITTSBURGH is 28-16 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 18-5 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 2-9 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-13 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-27 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 11-9 (+4.1 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 11-9-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
9 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.4 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)


NEW JERSEY (49-28-0-6, 104 pts.) at FLORIDA (38-27-0-18, 94 pts.)

Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 49-33 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 28-9 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 16-11 ATS (+28.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
NEW JERSEY is 28-18 ATS (+7.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
FLORIDA is 80-119 ATS (+213.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.
FLORIDA is 32-59 ATS (+104.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 1-9 ATS (+10.4 Units) in the first round of the playoffs since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 6-7 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 7-6-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.5 Units)


VANCOUVER (51-24-0-9, 111 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (42-27-0-15, 99 pts.)

Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 11-3 ATS (+7.2 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
VANCOUVER is 10-2 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
VANCOUVER is 66-42 ATS (+22.4 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 103-89 ATS (+198.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 187-164 ATS (+355.9 Units) in road games second half of the season since 1996.
LOS ANGELES is 41-42 ATS (-28.3 Units) in all games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 36-38 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 11-9-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

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NASHVILLE vs. DETROIT
Nashville is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home

PITTSBURGH vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

NEW JERSEY vs. FLORIDA
New Jersey is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Jersey is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Florida
Florida is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against New Jersey
Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

VANCOUVER vs. LOS ANGELES
Vancouver is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 6 games on the road
Los Angeles is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Los Angeles is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games

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Nasbville at Detroit
Nashville: 12-32-2 SU at Detroit
Detroit: 31-10 SU in home games

Pittsburgh at Philadelphia
Pittsburgh: 3-10 SU off home loss
Philadelphia: 14-6 SU off BB road games

New Jersey at Florida
New Jersey: 27-12 SU as favorite
Florida: 1-9 SU in 1st round playoff series

Vancouver at Los Angeles
Vancouver: 7-0 SU revenging 2 straight losses as favorite
Los Angeles: 88-100 SU at home after scoring 4+ goals last game

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