Australian Open Odds: Day 8 Match Analysis and Picks

Australian Open Odds: Day 8 Match Analysis and Picks

Australian Open Odds: Day 8 Match Analysis and Picks
By Ricky Dimon
Covers.com

DAVID FERRER (-190) VS. RICHARD GASQUET (+150)

Ferrer leads the head-to-head series 4-1 over Gasquet. Somewhat surprisingly (because Ferrer is best on clay), the Spaniard leads it 3-1 on hard courts. All four of Ferrer's victories--including their last two matchups--have been straight-set destructions.

Aside from the Big 4, nobody is hotter than Ferrer right now on the ATP Tour. He made it to the World Tour Finals semis last fall and he opened this season with a title in Auckland. The world No. 5 need five sets to get past Ryan Sweeting in Round 2, but he won 19 of the last 23 games against Juan Ignacio Chela in dominant performance on Saturday.

Pick: Ferrer

NOVAK DJOKOVIC VS. LLEYTON HEWITT (OVER/UNDER 28.5 GAMES)

It's been an amazing run for Hewitt, who is not joking when he keeps saying that he was just hoping to make it through one match this tournament. His body is wearing down, but the Aussie got a retirement from Andy Roddick in Round 2 and he feasted on another big server (Milos Raonic) on Saturday night.

This, on the other hand, is a terrible matchup for Hewitt. The veteran relies on his return of serve, his defense and his consistency, but Djokovic can do all of that and he does it better. Plus the world No. 1 has a much better serve and superior firepower. Unfortunately for the fans, this should be a blowout.

Pick: Under 28.5 games (-120)

PARLAY: PETRA KVITOVA (-350) VS. ANA IVANOVIC (+250) AND MARIA SHARAPOVA (-350) VS. SABINE LISICKI (+250)

Kvitova is up to No. 2 in the world and is waging an all-out assault on Caroline Wozniacki for the top ranking. The Czech won the year-end championships last fall and is the hottest player on tour right now.

Ivanovic leads the head-to-head series 3-0, but they have not faced each other since 2009. Kvitova is a completely different player now. For that matter, so is Ivanovic.

Sharapova has been absolutely destroying people in Melbourne. The Russian has lost a mere five games in three matches. Lisicki will present a tougher test, but the German has already battled through two three-setters. She has never dealt too well with the heat, so all signs point to Sharapova rolling.

Pick: Kvitova and Sharapova

JIE ZHENG VS. SARA ERRANI (OVER/UNDER 20.5 GAMES)

Zheng is a considerable favorite to in this match, in part because she has been on fire through three rounds. The Chinese player dropped only three games in the fist round and six in each of her last two victories. A 2010 Australian Open semifinalist, Zheng should feel comfortable in a big match like this one.

Errani, though, is also in fine form. She dominated her first two rounds, which included a blowout win over No. 29 seed Nadia Petrova. Errani lost a set to Sorana Cirstea on Saturday, but she rolled through the next two sets. The Italian crushed Zheng in their only previous encounter and while she won't do the same this time, that result at least suggests she will make this competitive.

Pick: Over 20.5 games

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