Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, December 15,2009

Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, December 15,2009

Teddy Covers

20* Big Ticket Heat

Nets/Cavs Over

Rider

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Lenny Del Genio

Game: Wyoming at Tennessee Dec 15 2009 7:00PM
Prediction: Tennessee
Reason: Play on Tennessee at 7:00 ET. While most of the campus in Laramie, Wyoming gets ready for this Saturday's New Mexico Bowl (school's 1st bowl appearance since '04 and just their second since '93), the poor basketball team will be served on a platter to 8th ranked Tennessee Tuesday in Knoxville. The Vols moved up a spot in the latest poll thanks to then third-ranked Villanova falling Sunday at Temple, a game we were unfortunate enough to be on the wrong side on. Oh well, it's been a great season (see promo again for full details) and our pain will be Bruce Pearl's pain. This will be just Wyoming's second road game of the season with their first being an 80-77 loss to another one of our favorite's, Denver. Historically, the Cowboys have not been a good road team, particularly when coming off a SU win. Dating all the way back to the '97 season, they are just 33-57 ATS in this situation and if it was a home win that figure drops to 22-42 vs. the number. If they are off BB home wins, they are 7-18 ATS. Tennessee will be excited for this matchup as it is just their second game in 13 days. Their only game last week saw them destroy in-state rival MTSU 75--54. Even better is the fact the Pearl was able to use his bench liberally, showing off his team's depth, as senior guard J.P. Prince led the way with 17 points. This really shapes up as a total mismatch as both teams like to play at around 75 possessions per game, only UT scores far more. The Cowboys weren't even averaging a point per possession heading into the six-point win over Northern Colorado on Saturday, a game which they shot just 40% from the floor. It was the sixth straight game where the team shot 41% or worse from the floor. Good luck against a Vols team that is averaging nearly 93 PPG on this floor. Making matters worse is the fact the Wyoming has been a bit banged up with leading scorer Muojeke missing time. He plays here, but it won't be nearly enough. Tennessee is our 20* CBB Non-Conference Blowout of the Month.

Portland -7

The Sacramento Kings continued their series of frenetic results since leading scorer Kevin Martin went down in early November with a 120-100 win Saturday night at home vs. Minnesota. After the Martin injury, the team would go on to win four straight, then lose four straight, then win four straight, then lose four straight again. To some, Saturday night's win might signal the start of a third positive four-game stretch, but not us. Even without C Greg Oden (out for the year), the Blazers have a tremendous edge over Sacramento on the front line. They lead the league in rebounding and are a staunch defensive club, allowing just 91.7 PPG at home. They give up three points less per game than any other team in the Western Conference. Portland plays very well in the Rose Garden with six of their first eight home victories coming by nine or more points. This will be their first home game following a four-game East Coast swing and just one of two home dates in a 10-game span. Expect a focused effort as they are due for a cover with just four ATS wins over their last 14 games. Sacramento is just 5-15 ATS on the road off BB ATS wins and allows over 107 PPG away from home. Their last visit here resulted in a 32-point loss. Portland is our 20* Western Conference Game of the Month.

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Bob Balfe

Rockets -4.5

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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

Sacramento/Portland Under 199

For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the "under":

Sacramento makes its first visit to Portland since a 109-77 loss Dec. 16th. The Kings are far from the team they were a year ago though; it took the Kings 40 games to notch their 10th victory last season, and coach Paul Westphal is trusting his young players more.

And a big part of Sacramento's recent turnaround has been its play on the defensive end.

Keep in mind that the total has gone "under" the posted number in four of Sacramento's last five vs. Portland.

On the other side of the court: Back home following a disappointing eastern trip, the Trail Blazers look to snap a two-game slide with their fourth straight victory over the Kings.

Assistant Dean Demopoulos served as Portland’s head coach during a 1-3 trip that ended with Saturday’s 108-101 double-overtime loss to Milwaukee. LaMarcus Aldridge scored a season-high 31 points, including six straight in the first overtime, but Portland (14-11) was unable to close out the Bucks; with so many injured, I look for Portland to concentrate on its defense to create its offensive this evening.

The total has gone "under" the posted number in nine of Portland's last 13 at home.

Bottom line: When taking into account the Trailblazers injury problems, and the improved play on the defensive end by the Kings of late, and the rest of these strong O/U trends and facts, the sharp money in this matchup is on the UNDER!

9* UNDER.

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Opposite Action Plays

Knicks/Bobcats Under 196.5

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KBHoops

5* Bulls UNDER 193.5 *POD*
5* Phoenix -1
5* Sacramento +7


Pitbull

20 units Charlotte -4.5
20 units Bulls Under 193.5

15 units Portland St +14
15 units Florida St -17.5

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, December 15,2009

Jim Feist

25* NBA Situational Slam Dunk

Charlotte

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, December 15,2009

The Booooj

30 Units Toronto +7

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, December 15,2009

BLACK WIDOW

6* Widow Wiseguy NBA Tuesday "Total" Money Maker Nets/Cavs UNDER 196.5

5* Wiseguy NBA "STEAL" of the Week New Jersey Nets +14.5

4* Spurs/Suns UNDER 210.5

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, December 15,2009

Matt Fargo

9* Rider Broncs +7

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, December 15,2009

Erin Rynning

Rockets -4

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Wunderdog

New York Knicks at Charlotte
3 Units UNDER 198.5

The Charlotte Bobcats are an improved team and have played tough at home all season, where they are 8-3. One of the reasons is that this is a team not afraid to play defense and is never in a hurry on the offensive end. They are allowing just 91.5 points per game, and favored here, so the Knicks will have to score to push this one over the total. This one looks about right based on the 102-100 game they played here early in the season, but what goes unnoticed is that the game went to OT and was tied at 82 in regulation, just 164 points scored. The Knicks are 17-8 to the UNDER after a game in which they scored 100 or more. I like this one to go UNDER the total.


San Antonio at Phoenix
3 Units San Antonio +130

The Phoenix Suns have run the table at home at 8-0, but they really haven't had too many challenges as seven of the eight teams that they have faced at home are terrible road teams. The seven teams combine for a winning percentage on the road of .216! The overall record of these teams is 19-69 on the road. They have had one challenge, beating Orlando by three, but overall this team is a lot more vulnerable than they look. San Antonio is a good team with veteran players that are more than capable of winning on the road. The Spurs are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 in Phoenix and have what it takes to win this game. I'll play the Spurs on the moneyline in this one.


New Mexico State at UCLA
3 Units New Mexico State +8

What a difference a year makes. UCLA has been in the thick of the national title hunt the past several years, but now the cupboard is truly empty. The Bruins have lost to Long Beach State by 11 and Portland by 27 points, and suffered a loss to UC Fullerton at home - not a good team amongst them. This isn't just a bad team by UCLA standards it is a bad team period. The shooting has been abysmal and they have no one that can shoot free throws, or drain a three-point shot. New Mexico is off a road game at UTEP, and pinned the first loss of the season on the Miners, so they certainly have enough to stay in this one. I'll go with New Mexico State.


Philadelphia at Pittsburgh
3 Units UNDER 6

The defending Stanley Cup Champions have it going at home thanks to goaltending and defense that has allowed just 39 goals in 17 games, or just better than two per contest. This will be the first of back-to-back games vs. the Flyers. The Flyers have really struggled putting the puck in the net over their last 10 games. Aside from a six-goal outburst against the Islanders, the other nine show just 11 goals. Even including the big game, they are scoring just 1.7 per night over their last 10 games. Without that game, they are scoring barely one per game. The Flyers have played UNDER the total to a 34-15-4 mark in their last 53 on the road. When coming off a good defensive showing where the Penguins allowed two goals or less, they have played 41-19-1 in their next game to the UNDER. The last four played in Pittsburgh have all gone UNDER, so I like the UNDER in this one.


Washington at Colorado
3 Units Washington -150

The Washington Capitals are a very good hockey team that is playing hot right now. They have tasted defeat just twice in their last nine games. The Avalanche started out hot, but have faded with just six regulation wins in their last 18 games, and have followed a win with five losses in their last seven. The Washington Capitals have never been intimidated coming to Colorado, and have a good track record against the Avalanche as they are 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings. I'll go with Washington in this one.

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Tom Freese

New York at Charlotte

Charlotte is 12-3 ATS their last 15 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than 40% and they are 35-17 ATS off an ATS win. The Bobcats are 22-10 ATS their last 32 home games and they are 6-2 ATS their last 8 home games vs. the Knicks. New York is in a 80-37 ATS Play Against System that says to Play Against road underdogs of 3.5 to 10.5 points revenging a loss where their opponent 100 or more points if they are playing with 3 or more days of rest. 10* "NO BRAINER" PLAY ON CHARLOTTE -


Wyoming at Tennessee

Tennessee is in a 39-11 ATS Super System that says to play on home teams who have shot 47% or higher in their last three games against an opponent who attempted 20 or more free throws than their opponent. The Volunteers are 17-8-1 ATS their last 26 games as favorites of 13 or more points. Wyoming is 20-36 ATS in Non-Conference road games and they are 2-10 ATS after three straight games attempting 10 or more free throws than their opponent. The Cowboys are 7-28 ATS in road games off two or more straight home games and they are 1-4 ATS as road underdogs of 13 or more points. 10* PLAY ON TENNESSEE -


Washington at Colorado

Colorado is 6-0 UNDER their last 6 games overall and they are 5-0 UNDER with one day of rest. The Avalanche are 6-0 UNDER on Tuesday and they are 4-0 UNDER after allowing two goals or less in their last game. Washington is 6-1 UNDER vs. Western Conference teams and they are 4-1-1 UNDER vs. an opponent who allowed two goals or less in their last game. The Capitals are 7-1 UNDER their last 8 meetings with the Avalanche and they are 5-1 UNDER their last 6 games on The Mile High City. 10* PLAY ON 'UNDER'

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MATT FARGO

9* CBB DARK HORSE DANDY

Play: Rider +7

One particular game stands out on the Rutgers schedule and that is the game against Colgate where the Scarlet Knights won by only nine points. That is a game Rutgers should be winning handily as the Red Raiders are now 0-9 on the season and considered one of the worst teams in Division I (ranked 326th out of 345 teams). Overall Rutgers has played the 342nd ranked schedule so its 6-2 record is hardly impressive. Adding to that is the fact that Rutgers now has to play on without its best big man as Gregory Echenique is out for a month after needing eye surgery. He is the team’s leading rebounder and the second leading scorer. On the season Rutgers is hitting 65.9 percent from the free throw line and that is just below what I consider the mediocre line which is right at 66 percent. Also, despite playing a cupcake schedule, the Scarlet Knights have a 0.91 assist/turnover ratio and that comes down to the play of the point guard which was one of the big questions coming into this season. Rider has suffered some big losses this season as it fell to Kentucky by 29 points and Virginia by 33 points but the Broncs are not without big wins as well. In their opener they went to Mississippi St. and defeated the Bulldogs while more recently they took out St. Josephs. This is a team that has the ability to unseat Siena in the MAAC if things come together like they should. They went 19-13 last season and have four starters back including guard Ryan Thompson, the MAAC Preseason Player of the Year. He averaged 18 ppg last season and while his scoring is down this year, 15.1 ppg, the Broncs have four players averaging double digits all of which happen to be those four returnees. Despite the easy slate for Rutgers of late, it has struggled making shots and that is a part of a situation that favors Rider. Play on road teams that are allowing 45 percent or worse shooting on the season going up against an opponent that have shot less than 40 percent from the floor in three straight games. This situation is 68-32 ATS (68 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* Rider Broncs

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Cal Sports

5* Knicks Under

3* Geo St

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Eric Degarde

3* Phoenix -1.5

1* Florida State Under 116.5

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Kelso

25 Units Florida St -18

5 Units N Mex St +9

5 Units Bulls +10

3 Units Rider +7

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, December 15,2009

ATS

4 Units S.Miss

3 Units Knicks

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, December 15,2009

Winning Points

Tennessee
Southern Miss
Phoenix
Sacramento Over

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Re: Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, December 15,2009

PRIMETIME SPORTS ADVISORS

1 Unit La Tech -2
1 Unit Suns -1.5
1 Unit Lakers -9.5

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