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THURSDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Re: THURSDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
I'm laying the points with the LA LAKERS. The Magic deserve plenty of credit for their great run through the Eastern Conference. I expect them to find things significantly more difficult in this round though. They had real trouble with a mediocre (at best) Philadelphia team in the first round and then were fortunate to catch the Celtics without their best player. They were admittedly impressive against Cleveland but I feel the Lakers will be a much tougher matchup. The Cavs had Lebron. The Lakers have Kobe. Call that a wash. (Personally, at this stage of their careers, I'd choose to have Kobe leading my team.) In my opinion, Kobe has a much better supporting cast than Lebron did though - not to mention a much better coach. Additionally, the fact that the Lakers have been here while the Magic have not should not be overlooked. The Lakers know how critical Both teams have been tested. The Magic have had three straight hard-fought matchups while the Lakers are off back to back very difficult ones of their own. After fighting so hard, both teams should enjoy having a few days off. That said, I feel that the rest should be more beneficial to the Lakers. For starters, Kobe had logged a ton of minutes and had been played very physically. Although he still played at a very high level, he had acknowledged being exhausted. He's the most important player for the Lakers (obviously) and having him fresh is important. Additionally, the Lakers have a coaching edge. While many don't like him, I feel that Van Gundy has done a fine job and is a decent coach. That said, Phil Jackson is one of the best of all-time and he should be able to make more effective use of the time off. Note that the Lakers were 5-2 ATS (6-1 SU) when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. Conversely, the Magic were just 1-3 ATS (2-2 SU) when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. The fact that the Magic won here during the regular season and the fact that they stole Game 1 at both Boston and Cleveland will surely be noticed by Jackson's Lakers. They're 23-13-1 ATS the last few seasons when attempting to avenge an earlier home loss and I expect them to take care of business here. *Main Event
I'm playing on LA and Orlando to finish UNDER the number. The Magic saw their final three games (and five of six) against the Cleveland all finish on or above the total. While that's helped to provide us with a generous total for tonight's game, it shouldn't be reason for concern. For starters, the Magic have had plenty of time to 'cool off.' This is also an entirely different opponent. Additionally, they've seen the UNDER go 8-1 the last nine times that they were coming off three or more consecutive games which landed on or above the total. Also, note that the majority of games from Orlando's previous two matchups (Boston and Philly) finished below the total. As for the Lakers, while they did see their final game vs. Denver eclipse the total, they've still seen the UNDER go a profitable 8-2 their last 10 games and 12-4 their last 16. LA home games have been particularly profitable for 'under' bettors. In fact, the UNDER is a perfect 5-0 the last five games here and 7-1 the last eight. Looking back a bit further and we find that 15 of the last 20 Laker home games have stayed below the total. It's also worth noting that the Lakers, who are currently favored by six points at most shops, have seen the UNDER go a perfect 5-0 the last five times that they were listed as home favorites in the -3.5 to -6 range. The Lakers are still bitter about losing in last year's Finals and the theme this year was getting "tougher" and better defensively. Looking at last year's Finals and we find that Game 1 (played at Boston) finished with only 186 points. The three games played at LA averaged just 185.67 points, none of them finishing with more than 201. I look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than most are expecting. *TOW
Re: THURSDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
William E Stockton
20* NBA Lakers -6(100 Dime BIG TICKET)
20* MLB Yankees over 11.5
10* MLB Oakland +155
10* MLB Colorado +155
10* MLB Cubs +120
10* MLB Reds +170
On Hot & Cold Pitchers
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On Hot & Cold Services
Is in this New Section Done By Blade
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Re: THURSDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
(Top Play) Detroit Red Wings Money Line (+) @ Pittsburgh
(Regular Play) OVER the total in Chicago-AL vs Oakland
The A’s certainly won’t be mistaken for an offensive juggernaut anytime soon. However, that doesn’t mean that they’re not offering value in certain situations and this is one of those spots! Part of the reason Oakland has such unimpressive offensive numbers is that they play in a pitchers’ park. This is evident too when they are on a run like they are now. The A’s have won three of their last four on the road and they’ve scored five runs in all three wins and averaged two homers per game during this four game stretch. US Cellular Field favors the long-ball and, in afternoon games, the ball often carries even better. As impressive as Mark Buehrle’s overall numbers are this season, note that he has given up 20 hits in his last 14 innings at home. Also, he’s allowed four homers in his last four outings. The A’s hit Buehrle at a .352 clip in his two starts against them last season and the White Sox southpaw had a 5.88 ERA and a .350 BAA in his six daytime starts last season. Oakland’s recent results means that they’re stepping to the plate with confidence right now and they’ve also enjoyed recent success against Buehrle which also adds to their confidence level! While the A’s should score well today it’s their pitching that is a concern. Southpaw rookie Brett Anderson gets the start and he’s 2-5 with a 5.70 ERA and a .292 BAA this season! Also, he’s compiled a 6.46 ERA away from home as he misses the help of his pitcher-friendly home park when he’s on the road. The White Sox lineup includes plenty of power that can do some damage at US Cellular Field. While the A’s have started three rookie starting pitchers so far in this series and they’ve all enjoyed success, Anderson is easily the most hittable of the bunch and he’s also allowed 8 homers in his 23.2 innings of road work. That is a major concern as he enters this afternoon at US Cellular Field which is capable of becoming a launching pad in an afternoon game. The A’s do have some good arms in their bullpen but, they’ve also got a number of guys who have struggled recently. The problem today for the A’s is that the call to the bullpen is likely to come too early. Anderson has averaged under 5 innings per start in his last seven starts! His struggles continue here and, after three straight unders in this series, look for a high-scoring slugfest this afternoon! Play OVER the total in the Chicago White Sox game as a regular selection.