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Friday Service Plays

Re: Friday Service Plays

Free Selection from Totals4U
Friday's free selection: Milwaukee/New Orleans under 200 1/2


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EZWINNERS.COM - FREE SELECTION

Game: Los Angeles Lakers @ Denver Nuggets


(867) Los Angeles Lakers -2.5


The Lakers have owned this series winning the last nine meetings
between these two teams and LA is 8-1 against the spread in those
games. The Nuggets have not fared very well as a small home
underdog as they are 0-5 against the spread in their last five home
games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. The Lakers did play
last night against the Suns, but LA is 10-4 against the spread this
season in the second night of back to backs. Lay the points!


2009 Free Selections Record  33-24  (57.9%)


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ON FIRE 12-2-1 OVER 87% LAST 15 500*'s AS THURS 500* CBB
WINS ON WISC GREEN BAY!! = paid picks

Charlie's Sports - free pick (below)

nba. Philadelphia-3 @ Knicks. Facing the New York Knicks seems to
bring out the best in the Philadelphia 76ers.Philadelphia tries to sweep
the season series with New York for the first time in 23 years tonight
when it concludes a four-game road trip, 76ers cover+3.

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NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISORS

FREE COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS
Yale @ Penn
Time: 7:00 PM EST
Pick: Yale +3

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Karl Garrett

Milwaukee +9 at NEW ORLEANS 

Underdog NBA play tonight on Milwaukee, as the G-Man is not sold on the Hornets minus the points these days, especially at minus near double-digits.

New Orleans has been grinding away lately, and while they do bring a two game winning streak into this on, the Hornets have failed both of them minus the points.

In fact, New Orleans has failed 3 in a row against the spread, and are on a 2-6 spread dive their last 8 games overall!

For the year, the Hornets are just 13-15-1 in their nest against the math, while Milwaukee sports a positive 17-13-2 spread mark away from home this year.

The Bucks are 4-3 both straight up, and against the spread their last 7 games, and they did cover the last series meeting against New Orleans, losing by 4 as the 6-point dog.

Deja Vu all over again tonight, as New Orleans gets the outright, but Milwaukee gets the cover.

Take the Bucks plus the points.

2♦ MILWAUKEE

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Sports Gambling Hotline

Philadelphia +2' at NEW YORK 

We are currently on a 16-6-2 free play run the last 24 days!

The Sixers rebounded from their last second loss at New Jersey on Monday, as they beat the Wizards 106-98 on Wednesday to stop their 4-game slide.

We like Philly to notch another win tonight in the Big Apple as they take on a New York team that has only won 3 of their last 11 games straight up.

Series numbers dictate the play tonight, as Philadelphia has won ALL 3 season series meetings this year, and have now won 4 in a row against the Knickerbockers, and 8 of the last 9 overall, while covering in 7 of those 9 tilts.

New York likes to push the pace, and that plays right into the hands of the 76ers who have had better results this year when playing at an uptempo.

Look for this one to see both teams cracking the century-mark, and in the end Philadelphia to come out on top.

Play on the 76ers at the Garden tonight.

4♦ PHILADELPHIA

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Re: Friday Service Plays

LT Profits

Yale +3

The Yale Bulldogs are still in contention for the Ivy League title at 6-4 inside the conference, two games behind Cornell, and we feel that motivation will be enough to pull the mini-upset when they visit the Pennsylvania Quakers this evening.

This is also a revenge spot for Yale after losing at home to Penn two weeks ago, but that is the only Bulldogs loss both straight up and against the spread in their last four games. In fact, Yale has been rather bettor-friendly all season, going 8-5 ATS in all games that have had a posted line.

Yale has been winning with defense, as they are allowing just 63.0 points per game, and that unit has not been much worse on the road, where they are allowing 64.3 points. Comparatively, Penn is allowing an unacceptable 74.3 points per game at home on 45.2 percent shooting.

The Quakers were expected to compete for the Ivy title as they usually do, but they are just 4-5 inside the conference despite being toughened by a brutal non-conference schedule. They have lost two straight games to basically drop out of contention, and most disconcerting is the fact that both losses came here at home, where they are now a woeful 2-9 SU this season.

A case can be made that the wrong team is favored here, so we will gladly take the points with the better and more motivated team, especially in a revenge role.

Pick: Yale +3

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Tom Freese

La Lakers at Denver

The Lakers are 20-8 ATS when playing with no rest and they are 10-4 ATS their last 14 games overall. Los Angeles is 8-2 ATS their last 10 road games and they are 7-1 ATS their last 8 road games vs. winning teams. Denver is 2-6 ATS their last 8 games as underdogs and they are 2-6 ATS on Friday. The Nuggets are 0-4 ATS their last 4 games overall and they are 2-8 ATS their last 10 games with the Lakers. PLAY ON LA LAKERS -

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Vegas Experts

LA Lakers at Denver

We know the old handicapping axiom about playing without rest in Denver, but this number is way too short considering the difference between the Lakers and every other team out West. Los Angeles has dominated this head to head series, winning and covering 10 of the last 13 meetings. The Nuggets have failed to cash in four straight games, mainly because they are playing no defense (allowing nearly 115 PPG). Bad news against the NBA's best offense.

Play on: LA Lakers

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Re: Friday Service Plays

DUNKEL

Cornell at Dartmouth
Cornell hits the road against at Dartmouth team that is 8-2 ATS against conference opponents and 5-1 ATS at home.  The Big Green are the pick (+10) according to Dunkel, which has Cornell favored by only 5 1/2.  Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (+10). 

Game 877-878: Cornell at Dartmouth
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 56.953; Dartmouth 51.411
Dunkel Line: Cornell by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Cornell by 10
Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (+10)

Game 879-880: Columbia at Harvard
Dunkel Ratings: Columbia 47.842; Harvard 49.396
Dunkel Line: Harvard by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Harvard by 5
Dunkel Pick: Columbia (+5)

Game 881-882: Brown at Princeton
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 45.643; Princeton 50.822
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 5
Vegas Line: Princeton by 6
Dunkel Pick: Brown (+6)

Game 883-884: Yale at Pennsylvania
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 49.619; Pennsylvania 54.831
Dunkel Line: Pennsylvania by 5
Vegas Line: Pennsylvania by 3
Dunkel Pick: Pennsylvania (-3)

Game 885-886: Illinois-Chicago at Loyola-Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 57.630; Loyola-Chicago 50.277
Dunkel Line: Illinois-Chicago by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois-Chicago by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (-2 1/2)

Game 887-888: Siena at Niagara
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 60.471; Niagara 63.668
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 3
Vegas Line: Niagara by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (-2 1/2)

Game 889-890: Iona at St. Peter's
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 51.306; St. Peter's 50.943
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Iona by 2
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+2)

Game 891-892: Marist at Canisius
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 43.692; Canisius 52.862
Dunkel Line: Canisius by 9
Vegas Line: Canisius by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-4 1/2)

Game 893-894: Manhattan at Fairfield
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 52.457; Fairfield 52.018
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 3
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (+3)

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Nite Owl Sports

Manhattan Jaspers @ Fairfield Stags
2 units: Manhattan Jaspers +136

While most college hoops cappers take friday off to catch their breath and "re-group" for a busy Saturday after a hectic Wed and Thursday with the typical "avalanche" of college hoops games on those two days, Friday has been one of our most productive days over the last few years, because it features a full slate of games with "soft" lines played in the under the radar Metro Atlantic Conference, which has been a virtual ATM machine for us over last few years. And there are two reasons for our success in this conference -- one reason is that there are some strong conference trends which seem to "play out" every year in the Metro Atlantic, and the second is that with the line makers concentrating mostly on the typical large "card" of Friday NBA games and the "crush" of college hoops games on Sat, and knowing that these Friday college hoops games will generate very little betting action because they get very little attention from bettors, many of the lines for these games are simply "soft" or inaccurate, like this one.

In the Metro Atlantic the middle rung teams (such as Manhattan and Fairfield in this match-up) tend to be pretty evenly matched, and they play in mostly small arenas in front of fairly small crowds, the result of which is that small road dogs of 2-5 points have had a good deal of success not only ATS but also (by victorious these games SU) vs the money line as well. In this game our pick, Manhattan, has a better conf record (9-7 vs 8-8) than its opponent, and is 3-1 SU away (all as dogs) vs the teams in the middle and bottom of the conference, plus road wins at non-con teams of the same level, with a 15 point bracket buster win at W&M on Sat and an early season 6 point win at American Conf leader Binghamton (20-8). And jaspers have not only won their last 3 such games SU, they are one of only 3 teams in the conference (the other two being conf "powers" Siena and Niagara) with a victorious SU record (7-5) on the road. Moreover, they are 2-1 SU in their L3 games at Fairfield.

And speaking of Fairfield, the Stags don't look too formidable, as they have lost 7 of their last 10 games, and are just 2-2 SU as light home faves vs middle rung teams of the conf plus their 5 point bracket buster home loss (as 1.5 point faves) Sat to a CAA Hofstra team comparable to Manhattan.

So take Manhattan and these generous money line odds of +135, risking two units to win 2.7 units for us at the pay window when jaspers win on the court.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Siena +2.5

The public likes the favorite in this matchup, but I feel strongly that Siena is the better team on any floor any night of the week. Siena dominated Niagara 82-65 a month ago as a 5.5-point favorite at home. Siena is 5-1 SU and ATS in the last L6 overall meetings. It is on a perfect 8-0 ATS run at Niagara and on a 15-4 ATS run in this series since 1997. Siena is as dangerous a dog as you'll find, the problem is we don't get the Saints in that role to often so we will look to capitalize when we do. Siena is 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average score of 81.2 to 72.3 in these spots. Bet Siena tonight.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Craig Trapp

Philadelphia 76ers vs. New York Knicks    
Play: Over 213½

Really like the over in this matchup. The Knicks have been scoring at will lately going over in there last 8 home games. The last two times these teams played in Madison Square garden the total was 226. Nate Robinson since winning the dunk contest is almost averaging 30 pts per game. Tough matchup for PHI and think Robinson will lead the Knicks again to a large scoring night. PHI since Brand went down to injury have went back to playing more wide open offense and trying to get more points with easier fast break points. SCORE NYK 115 - PHI 112

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Re: Friday Service Plays

John Ryan

Marist vs. Canisius    
Play:Marist +4.5

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Marist as they travel to face Canisius slated to start at 7:30 EST. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 39-20 ATS mark for 66% winners since 1997. Play on a dog that is a poor free throw shooting team hitting 61-65% and is facing a terrible free throw shooting team hitting <=61% and in a game involving two average rebounding teams posting +/-3 reb/game differentials. AiS shows a 90% probability that Marist will get between 40 and 44 rebounds. Note that Marist is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Canisius is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) as a home favorite or pick over the last 3 seasons. Take Marist.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Larry Ness

Siena @ Niagara
PICK: Niagara

There can be little argument that Siena is "the class of the MAAC." All five starters returned from a team which won 23 games last year, including a first-round NCAA 'spanking' of Vandy (83-62). Siena is 22-6 overall and leads the MAAC at 15-1. A quick check of the RPI rankings reveals the Saints come in at 24. Hasbrouck (15.0), PG Moore (8.1-6.0 APG) and the 6-6 Ubiles (14.6-5.4) form an excellent backcourt, with small forward Franklin (13.6-7.2) being greatly helped out this year by blossoming 6-9 sophomore Rossiter (9.4-7.4). Missing from LY's mix is sixth-man Fisher (8.0) but Jackson (8.6) has filled that role nicely this year. Siena's early losses came to Tenn, Wichita St and Okla St in the Old Spice tourney in November. The Saints also lost by 13 points at Pitt and after falling behind 30-10 at Lawrence on Jan 6 to Kansas, lost just 91-84 to the Jayhawks. Since that loss, Siena's lone loss (team has won 12 of 13) came 90-88 at Rider. Siena hasn't played since beating Northern Iowa 81-75 (led 40-19 at the half) last Saturday in a Bracket Buster game but the pointspread (Saints are two-point dogs) tells us that Siena is in for a tough game tonight. Niagara was very impressive in beating Illinois St 70-56 last Friday night in its Bracket Buster game, the Purple Eagles' EIGHTH win in their last nine games (7-2 ATS), since losing 82-65 at Siena. By the way, Niagara's lone loss in that stretch (like Siena) is to Rider (90-87). Lewis (16.5-4.6), who was the MAAC's tourney MVP back in 2007 when Niagara beat Siena for the title, is the team's leading scorer this year. He's been joined by two Big East transfers this year, Villanova's swingman Benn (13.9-9.0-3.0) and former U Conn guard Garrison (10.2). Nelson (7.6-4.6-5.3) returns at PG, as Niagara typically goes with a four-guard lineup (calling Benn a guard). That leaves some pressure on the 6-10 Egemonye (12.3-6.9) and he's played well, helped out by the 6-6 Williamson (8,1-2.8) at times. Siena's locked in the No. 1 seed and the conference tourney will be played in Siena's hometown of Albany (not home arena). As for Niagara, after losing twice to the Saints last year (allowed 94 points each time) and by a score of 82-65 this year, tonight's home game holds great significance. For that reason, I'm taking a shot with the Purple Eagles, who have the talent to match up with the Saints.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Evan Altemus

Selection: INDIANA +12

Boston is in a horrible spot here from a situational aspect. They are coming off of a long west coast road trip, one in which they had all three of their best players get banged up. Kevin Garnett is still out until late March, but both Ray Allen and Paul Pierce are expected to play. The Celtics road weary legs showed in their last game, an outright loss at the Clippers.  Meanwhile, Indiana has played well despite being without Mike Dunleavy and Danny Granger.  The Pacers are 4-2 both straight up and against the spread since the All-Star break.  They took Boston to overtime the last time these two teams met, and the Pacers have the offense to stay in this game. Boston will also more than likely rest their players in the 4th quarter if they get a large lead, meaning that Indiana would have a good chance for a back door cover. However, the Pacers will take advantage of Boston's tired legs and keep the game close.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Jeff Benton

I went against Cleveland last night when it was in Houston and scored an easy 5 Dime winner with the Rockets, who snapped the Cavs’ five-game SU and ATS winning streak. But LeBron and Co. have lost consecutive games just once all season, and that was earlier this month when they followed up their first home loss of the season (101-91 to the Lakers) with a one-point, highly controversial loss in Indiana two days later.

Not only have the Cavs lost two in a row only once, but at 37-19 ATS, they remain the best pointspread team in the NBA, having had just a pair of three-game ATS slides and one two-game ATS slump. Otherwise, Cleveland hasn’t gone consecutive games without cashing. Furthermore, the Cavs have been as good as any team in the league on back-to-back situations (9-3 ATS) and they're 10-1 SU following a loss this year. And while they struggle to cover spreads in Thursday night marquee games (now 3-10 ATS in the last 13 TNT showcase games), they’re a rock-solid 9-1 ATS in their last 10 contests on Fridays.

As for the Spurs, you gotta tip your cap for the way they’ve played this week without both Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili, scoring impressive home wins over two playoff-caliber opponents in Dallas (93-76) and Portland (99-84) thanks to the stellar play of point guard Tony Parker. And they come into this game having won four in a row and six of eight, while going 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10. However, to think San Antonio is going to continue to roll without two of its three best players – Duncan is questionable tonight; Ginobili is out a few more weeks – is crazy. And to ask them to beat a third consecutive top-notch opponent (one that you know is going to play inspired tonight after last night’s embarrassment in Houston), well, that’s a tall order.

The road team has won the last four meetings in this rivalry, including Cleveland’s 90-88 victory in San Antonio last year as a 7½-point road underdog. And while the Spurs got revenge the following month in a 112-105 road win in Cleveland, they did so courtesy of monster contributions from Ginobili (46 points, five rebounds, eight assists) and Duncan (23 points, 13 boards). With no Ginobili and – at best – a limited, limping Duncan, I envision a monster game from LeBron and yet another big bounce-back victory for Cleveland.

6&#9830; CLEVELAND CAVALIERS

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Matt Rivers

For Friday take the Clippers.

The Sacramento Kings are an absolute joke right now and even at Arco should lose this game.

Obviously the 15-43 Clippers are not a team that you can fully trust anywhere no less the road but with Baron Davis and Zach Randolph back healthy along  with possibly having Marcus Camby, Eric Gordon and Al Thornton this Los Angeles team is fairly talented and a ton better than their pathetic record indicates.

I have said all along that a healthy Clipper team this season would have been alright but that really didn't happen as the team was decimated with injuries.

Sacramento is horrific right now. They are not only awful but just made a bunch of trades including their second and third best players in John Salmons and Brad Miller so there is absolutely no chemistry at all. Kevin Martin can certainly fill it up with the best of them but that really is about all this team right now has.

The Clips just shocked the high flying Celtics on Wednesday as the 10 point home dog and will start to win some games in this second half of the season as the pieces start coming back.

Ride Los Angeles' weaker team today and for the next little bit as there will be some value.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Drew Gordon

Oklahoma City +9 at DALLAS 

It should be no secret that the Thunder present a tremendous amount of value, going 34-22 ATS on the season, including 16-10 ATS on the road! The guys in Vegas seem content with continually underestimating this team, and I'm happy to take advantage. Here's another example, as Durant and company can and will keep this tough road game within the number tonight in Dallas.

Speaking of Kevin Durant, if he were in a larger market, he'd get the credit he deserves, but in case you haven't noticed, he's been the league's deadliest scorer since the Break. I fully expect he'll once again impress against a good, but not great Mavericks defense tonight. Along with Durant, Green can man-handle Dirk down-low, and while he's been slow to get back to form, Krstic is a better player than Dampier at this point.

On the flip side, people who follow Dallas know that Dirk is struggling mightily, and if he doesn't contribute on the offensive end, then the Mavs will have a lot of trouble covering a near double-digit spread. True, Howard is playing well, but rest-assured he'll have his hands full with Durant tonight, and will be hard-pressed to exert himself on the offensive end after chasing around Durant all night.

Finally, don't misunderstand me, the Mavericks will almost certainly win this contest, but covering the bloated number is another story entirely. Dallas is just 11-17 ATS at home this season, and while they did beat up on Milwaukee in their last home game, the Thunder match up better, especially considering the way Durant is playing. Play on the road dog!

Take Oklahoma City plus the points over Dallas in this NBA match up.

2&#9830; OKLAHOMA CITY

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Chris Jordan

L.A. Lakers -2' at DENVER 

Seems like everyone is falling prey to the allure of this game, and I don’t like when there are far too many people on one side of a game. So, I’ll make this a comp selection, and lay the road chalk with the Lakers.

I know they just put up 132 points in Phoenix last night, and the though of going into the rarified air of Denver makes no sense on the second of back-to-back nights, but I’m going to say the Lakers have plenty left in the tank after last night’s clash with Shaq and company.

Denver is dinged up quite a bit, as Carmelo Anthony has a bruised knee and Nene missed his second straight game, also due to a bruised right knee, and is expected to remain out of action for one more week.

Los Angeles is averaging 112.4 points in its last five games against the Nuggets, who been held under 100 four times in those games.

Taking a look at some numbers, the Lakers are on ATS runs of 7-1 when visiting teams with a winning home record, 6-1 when laying the chalk on a road, 8-2 on the highway, 8-3 as the installed chalk and 10-4 overall. On the flipside, the Nuggets are on ATS slides of 2-6 as an underdog, 1-5 as the home pup, 2-6 on Friday nights and 0-4 overall.

Los Angeles has covered four of its last five meetings in the Mile High City, while the favorite has gotten it done five of the last seven battles.

1&#9830; L.A. LAKERS

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Johnny Guild

Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets

Los Angeles Lakers have won nine straight versus the Denver Nuggets, including twice this season. Take the surging Lakers to overwhelm the struggling Nuggets on their home court and win their seventh straight game overall. Denver has dropped three of its last four games, going 0-4 ATS and is 1-8 ATS in the last nine clashes against LA Lakers, 1-4 both straight-up and against the spread in the last five battles versus Los Angeles at the Pepsi Center.

Los Angeles Lakers -2.5


NCAAB

Siena Saints +2.5

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Tom Stryker

ORLANDO (-) over Detroit

Honestly, it doesnt matter how banged up and out of sync Detroit is right now. Orlando will have no mercy at all when the Pistons come to town.

According to my NBA database, the Magic are a dismal 6-26 SU and 12-18-2 ATS in their last 32 meetings in this series. Detroit has dismissed Orlando in the first round of the 2007 playoffs and, after five games, in the Eastern Conference semifinals last season. If that wasnt bad enough, the Pistons slipped past the Magic in the first meeting this year at home by the final of 88-82. To say that Orlando wants revenge would be an understatement!

Payback has been a profitable venture for the Magic. In its last 39 games in a revenge mode, Orlando is a tremendous 30-9 SU and 32-7 ATS including a nearly perfect 15-1 ATS in this set matched up against a foe that checks in off a straight up loss. Equally impressive, when running against an opponent that carries a won/loss percentage less than .500, Superman and Company are a powerful 48-11 SU and 38-19-2 ATS including a remarkable 37-8 SU and 32-12-1 ATS in non-division play.

The Magic are clicking on all cylinders right now and theyre still chasing Cleveland for the best record in the Eastern Conference. Theres no way Orlando will take its foot off the gas tonight. Lay the lumber. Take Orlando.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Scott Rickenbach

Illinois-Chicago Flames (-) @ Loyola Chicago

This play narrowly missed my service play list today. Even though the Flames can not improve their position in terms of hosting a first round game in the Horizon League tournament, that does not mean they will play without emotion here. This is a big rivalry game for these two teams from Chicago. Illinois-Chicago knows that they can prevent Loyola Chicago from even having a shot at hosting a first-round tournament game and that is plenty of motivation for the Flames.

The Flames and Ramblers simply don't get along. They can't stand each other and it means that the intensity is up when these teams meet. While the Ramblers would love nothing more than to get the big home win here they have a pair of big problems. One is turnovers as that continues to plague Loyola Chicago and it plagued them the last time these teams met. The other concern for the Ramblers is that they simply have no answer for the Flames big man, VanderMeer. This means domination in the paint and Illinois-Chicago does come into this game playing their best basketball of the season. Consider a small play on the Flames minus the short number in this one on Friday night.

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