MONDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

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LARRY NESS

My 15* Horizon League Game of the Month is on Wisconsin-Green Bay at 8:00 ET. No. 13 Butler (19-1) improved to 10-0 in conference play for the first time in school history with its 59-51 victory over Valparaiso last Friday. It was the Bulldogs' 11th win in a row (7-3 ATS) since the team lost its lone game of this season, 54-51 at Ohio State on Dec 13. It's quite a "second act" for Butler head coach Brad Stevens, who won 30 games last year, in his first season at the school. Butler lost stellar guards Green (14.6-6.5-5.1) and Graves (13.6) off last year's team, along with the 6-7 Campbell (11.7), the 6-6 Betko (4.9-2.4) and the 6-8 Streicher (4.0-2.7). Amazingly, the Bulldogs haven't "missed a beat." The 6-7 Howard (13.3-7.0) is back for his sophomore year and is joined up front by 6-8 freshman Hayward (13.0-6.3). In the backcourt, freshmen Mack (12.8-4.0-3.8) and Nored (3.3-3.1-2.6) are joined by 6-3 junior Veasley (8.9-4.0). While that trio hasn't matched the production of Green and Graves, one can't ignore Butler's 19-1 mark. The 6-8 Jukes (3.9) and guard Vanzant (3.9) are the team's top reserves. Butler's dominated its Horizon League foes going back to last year, as Friday night's win was its 21st straight victory in league play. That ties the record which is held by Wisconsin-Green Bay, which won 21 consecutive games in the Midwestern Collegiate Conference from 1995-1997. The Midwestern Collegiate Conference became the Horizon League in the 2001-02 season. The Phoenix have lost NINE straight to the Bulldogs but are worthy opponents tonight. This team was only 15-15 last year but returned all five starters and will enter this game having won 11 of its last 13 overall (8-2 ATS), since its lone home loss of the year on Dec 18. That loss came to Oakland (Mich) 79-76 in OT but Green Bay will take a 10-1 SU (7-0-1 ATS) home mark into this game. Green Bay actually matches up extremely well with Butler in this game. The 6-8 Tillema (16.4-4.4) is the team's leading scorer while coming off the bench and is listed as a shooting guard. He's a tough matchup for any team, while Green Bay's starting guards Cotton (12.4 PPG up from 4.6 LY) and Fletcher (10.0-2.4-2.9) are hardly chopped liver. The 6-9 Schactner (11.2-4.6), 6-5 swingman Evans 99.6-5.1) and the 6-9 Berry (6.7-5.8) are the starters in the front court. Butler is 11th in the nation in FG defense (37.6 percent) and third in scoring defense (55.4 PPG) but the 17-6 (9-2 in Horizon play) Phoenix lead the Horizon League in scoring (72.2 PPG) and are shooting 41.0 percent on threes for the season. As mentioned earlier, Green Bay's lost just two of its last 13 games. The Phoenix lost at Loyola-Chicago on Jan 2 and avenged that this past Saturday, routing the Ramblers, 87-68. The other loss came at Butler (68-59) on Jan 22 and the Phoenix can make amends for that game, tonight. Green Bay's last win over Butler came back on 1/8/2005 (57-50) and it's about time the Phoenix broke through. As Rod Stewart once sang, "Tonight's the night." Horizon League Game of the Month 15* Wisc-Green Bay.

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Yankee Capper

MIAMI HEAT -9.5

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RON RAYMOND

5* Buffalo Sabres +140

5* Kings/ Under 222.5

5* Kansas /Baylor Under 153

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Indiancowboy

4 Unit Play. Take San Antonio Spurs @ Golden State Warriors Over 213

To start off the week in the hopes of winning our 7th straight week in the NBA, let's ride the Over in Golden State today. I think out of all the games today, this is the most intriguing For starters, the line is that is placed on this game is a bit eye-popping. The public is on San Antonio to a tune of 77% making it the biggest public play with the public being on the Lakers at 76% at NY which comes in second. San Antonio (SA) beat this team 123-88 earlier this year, so GS has plenty of revenge and will be up for this game for certain. Note, that SA prior to that game had not been playing well and needed a big win for their morale as that was around the time that Manu and Tony Parker just came back. This Spurs team went through hell in some respects prior to their two key players coming back and when they came back against the Warriors at home, it was a big lift. Both those fellas pitched in about 20 minutes of action a piece in a blowout win. Thus, GS has plenty of revenge getting fired up for this game. Usually, when I believe the dog is likely to make a big upset as in many of my plays, I also lean on the over as well. I have written extensively about my philosophy of "active dogs" and overs and published over double-digit articles about such a principle. This is my Principle and has even been termed the "IC principle" of active dogs and overs. With about 77% of the public on the Spurs today, I do think GS will be very active and consequently play their game. Of course, I don't expect this team to put up just 88 points today as this is the same GS team that put up 105 against Cleveland at home (losing SU by 1 point) and 119 against a defensive Hawks team. Look, the Spurs are good. But, by no means are they holding themselves as far as offensive output. This team put up 114 at Phoenix and 106 at Utah. This team has played 3 straight overs. The public is split on the total in this game with a smaller % actually favoring the Under. If the Phoenix vs. Spurs game can total 218 and the Utah vs. Spurs game can total -206, who is to say that this game does not total over 213? GS comes off tough loss to the Rockets on the road and in some respects are banged up. After all, Azu is questionable Monday but this team team still has plenty of weapons. From the likes of Crawford, Jackson, Ellis, Maggette, Watson and Biedrins. That's 6 fellas who I believe will all be in double-digits and consequently, I expect this game to go over the posted total when all is said and done in a very competitive and exciting game. If you were looking for my honorable mention I liked, I actually think Utah will do very well today coming back home after a tough loss to Portland on the road against a banged up Bobcat team with no Wallace today. But, let me take the Over here in GS as I don't want to back a Jazz team that gets nearly 70% from the public but rather take the Over as it is 4-1 for the Spurs as a small favorite under 4.5 points (indicating when the Spurs are heavily backed by the public, they are in competitive games), the over is 13-5 for the Warriors as Underdogs at home meaning that at home they are competitive and send the total over while the over is 7-2 between these two teams of late.


4 Unit Play. Take St. Peter +11.5 over Siena

Wanna be a Peacock today? Well, that is who we will be rooting for this evening. St. Peter comes off a big win over Iona on the road by a score of 67-64. This team has showed promise despite losing many games this season as they have been very competitive at home and on the road. After all, this team is a quiet 8-4 ATS on the year despite being 6-15 SU on the year. Folks just look at their SU record and fail to realize that this team has potential to cover such big spreads, but just not win SU. Let's not forget that this team was showing signs of improvement and promise prior to the shocking win over Iona on the road as 14 point Underdogs. This team lost by just 1 point to Loyola Maryland on the road despite being 9 point dogs, this team lost by just 2 points to Manhattan despite being 11 point dogs, this team covered against Niagara at home as 14 point dogs, this team lost by 6 to Marist as 10 point dogs on the highway and this team lost 13 easily covering the 22.5 spread against Siena on the road. Well, now they play that same Siena team at home today. Look, if this team can lose by 13 points to Siena on the road, who is to say they can't be competitive to fall within the 11 point spread at home today? The game against Siena the first time around, this team was a bit shell-shocked in the early goings as they were outscored 19-33 at the end of the first half. But, in the second half, this team actually outscored Siena 33-32. I believe they take that confidence with them at home from the first half to the second half as they will stay competitive and focused throughout this game. Remember, this team has been playing better consistently as the season has gone on and Siena comes off a huge win over Canisius at home. I simply feel they will not have that edge today coming off such a big win as they have defeated this St. Peter team by double-digits already this year and will take it relatively lax in the first half. Look for a game similar to when Siena played Marist on the road and won by 6 points in OT or Siena's road game against Manhattan when they won by 4. I expect Siena to win this game by 7-9 points today but to have St. Peter fall inside the 11.5 safety net. The Saints of Siena are 0-4 ATS as favorites of 7 to 12 points and St. Peter is 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 conference games. Besides, the Peacock is the National Bird of India which is my ancestry despite the fact I born and raised in Bama, how can they let me down?

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AntonWins

3 units Dallas/Orlando Over 207.5

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RAS

Appy St./GA Southern UNDER 155

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Big Al

3* Golden State

1* Phoenix Suns

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Dime Players

Ga South -3'

Ana -1' +220

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CALIFORNIA SPORTS

4 BUTLER
3 Golden State


Sports Unlimited

5* Clippers +9'
3+ Golden State/San Antonio over 213


Spritzer

UConn

Grizzlies


PPP

4 Spurs

3 Kings


INSIDER SPORTS


4* San Antonio -4

3* Louisville -2.5


PROFIT ON SPORTS

Sacramento/Phoenix OVER 222

San Antonio -4


Malinsky

4* N.O.

4* Clips over


Special K

20* Baylor

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Winning Angle



NCAA



Play Connecticut (+3) over Louisville* (NCAA Top Parlay)



Connecticut has won 6 consecutive games when playing their 3rd game in a week and they have also won 11 of the last 12 games coming off a win by 10 points or more.  Connecticut ha won 16 of the last 19 games after scoring 85 points or more in the last game.






Play Baylor (+1.5) over Kansas* (NCAA Top Parlay)



Baylor has covered the spread in 13 of the last 17 games when the total posted is between 150 and 159.5 points and they have also covered the spread in 14 of the last 19 games when playing their 2nd game in three days.  Baylor has covered the spread in 6 consecutive games coming off three conference losses and they are averaging over 86 points a game at home this season.




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Re: MONDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Is it possible to put the accuscore back where it was
before the super bowl?

Thanks   wink

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Undefeated77 wrote:


Is it possible to put the accuscore back where it was
before the super bowl?

Thanks   wink

Drop the boss a note Undefeated since i'm not sure what it is your talking about.

http://www.thespread.com/contact-us/con … rvice.html

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