MONDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

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Insider Sports Report

4* Pittsburgh/Washington OVER 36.5
Range: 34.5 to 38

3* Detroit -5.5 over Charlotte
Range: -4 to -7.5

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Has anyone seen Indian Cowboy's NBA pick for tonight?  Thanks fellas.

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indiancowboy

Cavs +3.5 (POD)

Get your tums ready. You're going to need it. Look, the bottom line is while the public jumps all over the jock straps of the Mavericks at home, we are going the other way. Think about it, why would the Mavericks be favored by just 3 points over the Cavs? It's because the Cavs have consistently had their number. The Cavs also come off a loss at New Orleans and will be fired up not to lose back to back games. The Mavs have not looked overly impressive this year and with the addition of Mo Williams this team is even better from last year. Remember, this team took the Celtics to the wire at Boston and they can certainly beat Mavericks team that is getting used to Carlisle. Look for the Cavs to win this baby outright and remember, the Cavs are 5-0 ATS following a straight up loss, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games and the Mavs are 0-5 ATS following a straight up win meaning that Vegas keeps a close tab on the Mavs and their ATS streaks.

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Anybody have Al Demarco's over/under pick?

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Joyce Sterling

Memphis +2

Golden St. is on the road for the 3rd time in 4 nights. Memphis lost 96-86 at Chicago on Saturday, Gay had 20 points but the Grizzlies couldn't hold an eight-point halftime lead and were outscored 54-36 in the final two quarters, They hang on at home tonight

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Two Minute Warning

Pittsburgh +2 1/2

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NSA

NFL
20* Pitt
10* Pitt/Wash Under

NBA
Philly
Orlando
Cleveland
Charlotte

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Blade wrote:


BIG AL

MONDAY NIGHT NBA BANK SHOT

Sacramento Kings

1* Washington Redskins -2.5 or less

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DOC

3 Unit Play. Take Over in Pittsburgh Steelers @ Washington Redskins

Not much explanation is needed for this game but hear is the one telling stat that cannot be disputed. The over is undefeated on Monday night in 2008 winning eight of nine times (one push). Points can come easily on Monday night and who are we to argue with such an overwhelming trend. Washington 24, Pittsburgh 20.

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BEN BURNS

NFL BEST BET

I'm playing on the Steelers and Redskins to finish UNDER the number. Monday night games have been sailing above the total this season and not surprisingly the majority of the betting public favors the 'over' again this evening. That's helped keep tonight's number relatively generous. "Generous" may sound like a funny term for an over/under number in the 30s. However, this number could easily be closer to 34 if these teams were meeting on a Sunday afternoon. That's because both defenses are excellent. Washington comes in allowing 18.7 points per game and just 17.7 at home. The Redskins have been particularly stingy lately, allowing an average of only 15.7 points through their past three games. During that 3-game stretch, opponents are managing a mere 236.7 yards of offense per game. For the season, the Skins are limiting opponents to only 249.7 yards per game here at home. Not surprisingly, the UNDER is 3-1 in their games here and 5-1 in their six games played on grass overall. The Skins have faced several strong offensive teams too, including Dallas, Arizona, Philly, New Orleans and the Giants. Remarkably, Pittsburgh's defensive stats are even better. The Steelers are allowing only 15.7 points per game, including just 13 per game on the road. Opponents are managing only 236 yards of offense against them (best in the NFL!) including a mere 223 in their road games. Both teams like to run the ball regularly, which helps to keep the clock moving. This is particularly true of Washington. The Redskins 33.5 rushing attempts per game is the most in the NFC and third most in the league. The Steelers, listed as small underdogs, have seen the UNDER go 5-2 the last seven times they were listed as underdogs and 9-3 their last 12 in that role. Looking back a number of years and we find the UNDER at 17-11-1 when they've played on Monday Night. During the same stretch, the Skins have seen the UNDER go 11-5-1 when playing under the Monday Night spotlight. Look for a heavy dose of the run from both teams as this hard-hitting defensive affair proves lower-scoring that most are expecting. *Best Bet

BLUE CHIP NBA "TOTAL" BLOWOUT

I'm playing on the Warriors and Grizzlies to finish UNDER the number. The Warriors remain a high-scoring up-tempo team. They've topped the 100 point mark in each of their first three games, two of which finished above the total. However, all three of those games came against teams which were capable of trading points with them. Tonight, the Warriors will face an offensively-challenged team which knows it will need to slow them down in order to compete. The Grizzlies are averaging only 81 points themselves and their first three games have averaged a mere 168.3 combined points. A big part of their problem is that they can't score from the outside, going just 6-of-32 on 3-pointers through their first three games. In addition to having trouble scoring, the Grizzlies have played solid defense thus far. They've held all three opponents to double-digits and in their lone home game, the Grizzlies limited the Magic to a mere 84 points. Orlando would go on to score 121 the following night. Not surprisingly, all three Memphis games have fallen below the total. Note that they've gotten tougher in the paint with the addition of Pau Gasol's younger brother, Marc. The younger Gasol is a 7-foot-1, 280-pound center who has already been hanging tough with the likes of Yao Ming and Dwight Howard. He's averaging more than a block a game while averaging nearly double-digits in rebounds. Tonight's total has already climbed from it's opening number and may even go higher. I feel that is giving us excellent value. The Warriors have been a high-scoring team for years but have still seen the UNDER go 40-28 (59%) the last 68 times they played a road game with an over/under line ranging from 195 to 199.5. During the same stretch, the Grizzlies have seen the UNDER go 19-12 (61%) in home games with totals in the same range. The last three meetings in this series have all fallen below the total and I look for this evening's game to be lower-scoring than most are expecting once again. *Blue Chip

PERSONAL NBA FAVORITE

I'm laying the points with PHILADELPHIA. The 76ers are off to a rather disappointing 1-2 start. Note that the lone victory was a 29 point rout. Keep in mind that this was a team that made the playoffs last season and then signed Elton Brand to make them significantly stronger. With four of their next five games coming on the road, the 76ers would badly like to right the ship with another blowout victory. The Kings should provide the perfect "victim." At 0-3, Sacramento is a mess right now. They've got one quality player (Kevin Martin) currently in the lineup and not a whole lot else. Note that Martin has struggled in two of three games, too. The Kings began the season with a loss to a weak Minnesota team. They've followed that up by getting crushed by 26 points at Miami and 22 points at Orlando. This is the final game of their 4-game road trip and it should be easy for them to get caught looking ahead to the return trip home. Regardless of whether that proves to be the case, with Brad Miller still serving a suspension, the Kings will have no answer in the paint for Brand, Dalembert and co. Note that Philly leads the league in rebounds and are fifth in the league in points in the paint. The 76ers were listed as home favorites in the 9.5 to 12 point range four times the past couple of seasons. They won all four of those games, going 3-1 against the number. With their significant advantage in the paint, I look for the 76ers to record another convincing victory tonight. *Personal Favorite

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LENNY STEVENS

10* Steelers
10* Sixers

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Bob Akmens

10* Washington -2.5

10* Warriors/Grizzlies Over 196

10* Cavaliers/Mavericks Over 192

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Maddux Sports

5 units Washington -2.5

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Tom Freese

10* Pitt/Wash Under

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Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take Pittsburgh (+1.5) over Washington (NFL Power Play)

Washington
• 1-4 ATS in home games when the total posted is between 35.5 and 38 points
• 3-10 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of the last 8 games
• 2-6 ATS in non-conference games the last 3 seasons

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NORTHCOAST

Monday Night Magic Wash -2.5

Marquee Pitt/Wash Under

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Al DeMarco

10 Dime - Pittsburgh / Washington Over the Total

When I went against the Steelers last week, telling you New York would win outright in Pittsburgh as a road dog, you might recall my entire premise was based on the Giants taking a page out of Philadelphia's defensive playbook. The key to both NFC East clubs beating the Steelers was pressure they each put on Ben Roethlisberger. The Eagles sacked him nine times; the GIants sacked five times, hit him on 10 on occasions, and intercepted him four times.

Tonight you've got another NFC East club on Pittsburgh's docket, but Washington is missing a key ingredient shared by the Giants and Eagles: the Redskins don't have a pass rush. Washington imported Jason Taylor from Miami to bring the heat, but he's mostly been an injured spectator this season and consequently the 'Skins have just 10 sacks in seven games.

Remember when Pittsburgh faced Jacksonville earlier this season and the Jaguars were unable to get pressure on Big Ben? Personally, I've always thought the Steelers are far more dangerous when they're less reliant on running the ball and instead let Roethlisberger cut loose. He's got the receivers in his arsenal, including Santonio Holmes, who has been reinstated after being suspended for the New York game. And Pittsburgh is also expected to have Willie Parker available to give the ground game a boost, too. To me, those are the ingredients needed to make this game go over the posted price.

Defensively, I expect the Steelers, who are ranked 3rd versus the run with an average yield of 71.6 yards per game (2.8 ypc), to bottle-up Clinton Portis, preventing him from ringing up a sixth straight 120+ yard rushing performance. I believe for the 'Skins to be competitive they must take chances offensively, relying more on Jason Campbell, and that's another factor contributing to my prediction on the over.

The Steelers had gone over the total in three straight games prior to last week's versus the Giants. The Redskins are not in New York's class defensively. They're not as good as Philadelphia either. Pittsburgh stayed under in losses to both of those NFC East foes, but as I illustrated earlier, those teams had an element Washington doesn't: an effective pass rush. Without one, the Steelers will throw the ball with confidence and move the chains. The oddsmakers have set this total too low based on Pittsburgh's previous outings against the NFC, and that is a mistake.

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Jeff Benton

10 Dime: STEELERS

5 Dime: CAVALIERS

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Eddie Roman

Highest Rated 10,00 Unit NBA Game of the Year

Golden State Warriors -2 @ Memphis

Golden State played some good teams to start the season and they did start out with two straight losses. They opened their season at home against a very good New Orleans team and they hung right with them before losing by 5 at the end. It was a 1 point game heading into the 4th quarter.

Then they went up to Toronto. First road game of the season and it was a long trip to get there but despite it all they hung with a much improved Toronto team before falling by 4 in overtime. They had the lead with 14 seconds to go before Bosh hit two free throws sending the game into OT.

Then, they played a team who isn't so good, the New Jersey Nets and they blew them out. Yeah, the final score says they only won by 8 but they were up 16 heading into the 4th quarter. Now they play another team tonight that isn't that good and I just feel the Memphis Grizzlies will not be able to run with this squad. They are to good and to athletic for a team like Memphis to hang around with.

They won all 4 meetings with this team last year and 3 of the 4 were relatively easy. Look for them to continue their domination of the Grizzlies tonight and at this price, I feel they are a gift. Golden State is 3-0 ATS this season as the oddsmakers haven't been able to figure them out yet and tonight is another example of it. GS is a huge winner. It should never be in doubt.

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