SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
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College Blowout Game Of The Year
TCU (-30 ½) over Wyoming
Prediction: TCU by 55-60
Weather in Fort Worth: Clear, 75 degrees, 28% relative humidity and no wind.
Comments: For openers, I grade college games with a 47-step process and TCU (6-1) grades out on top in all 47—something almost unheard of—and it is meeting what appears to be the worst Wyoming (2-5) squad in years. TCU got its starting quarterback back from the injury list last week and absolutely destroyed nationally ranked BYU, 32-7. After watching TCU dismantle and run over BYU with its speed and quickness, I do not believe there is any way Wyoming can even keep it close and would be willing to bet the visiting Cowboys will not score a single point. TCU has the top-ranked defense in NCAA I-A, giving up just 218.7 yards per game, including just 20 yards a game rushing. If there were not impressive enough, the Horned Frogs also lead the NCAA in sacks with 33. It is just difficult to figure out a way Wyoming, which averages just 9.0 points and 256 yards on offense will stay in the game working against a defense of that quality. TCU gives up just 10.9 points per game has absolutely dominated every team it has played except Oklahoma to which it lost, 35-10. This is a classic contest of strength against weakness and TCU should have the cover by half-time.
Alabama (-5 ½) over TENNESSEE
Prediction: Alabama by 14-17
Weather in Knoxville: Partly cloudy, temperature of 55, relative humidity of 55 and wind out of the WNW at 7 miles per hour.
Comments: This is for Alabama a grudge-game without end. It is the firm belief of the Crimson Tide athletic department and the citizens of Alabama that Tennessee coach Phil Fulmer was the person who turned the school into the NCAA for alleged rules violations. As one who scouted in the SEC for several years, I can assure you this grudge might die in about 100 years and it will be a motivating factor for the Tide as they roll into Knoxville, as if they needed any extra inspiration. Alabama (7-0). Tennessee (3-4) has no offense and has seen its season blow up because of it. Oh, yes, Alabama is ranked second in the BCS standings and has no intention of blowing that by getting beat in this spot.
Re: SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Triple - Dime Bet
Pittsburgh / Rutgers Under 43.5
The Pittsburgh Panthers are coming off season highs in yards (499) and points (42) last week against Navy, but it's important to consider the opponent. The Middies totaled a season-low 57 passing yards and simply could not stop Pitt on the ground or through the air. The Panthers rank second in the Big East in total defense - allowing just 287 yards per game - and they will be facing a Rutgers defense that is tied for fourth in the conference with 12 sacks and ranks second in pass defense at 176.6 yards per game. That leads me to believe that Pitt will look to control this game by running the ball and the clock while the Scarlet Knights will continue their struggles offensively. Rutgers is averaging just 13 points in Big East play and has held the Panthers to an average of 13 points in winning the last two meetings. The UNDER has cashed in all three conference games for the Scarlet Knights so far this season as well, and I see no reason why that trend will not continue here. With a 60% chance of rain also predicted for Saturday in Pittsburgh, I think we can definitely expect another low-scoring game. The Panthers have also seen the UNDER cash in nine of their last 12 games overall. Bet the UNDER to cash for them again as my Triple Dime Big East Total Play O' the Year
Wake Forest +3 vs Miami
Double - Dime Bet
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons have not failed to cover back-to-back games in the same season since the first two games of the 2006 campaign. Meanwhile, the Miami Hurricanes are 0-3 against the spread at home this season and have gone 12-31-1 ATS in their last 44 games there. Is Miami really favored in this game based on an 18-point win at Duke last Saturday? Is Wake Forest really an underdog in this spot based solely on a 26-0 loss at Maryland a week ago? Yes and yes. The Demon Deacons would be favored by a field goal had they beaten the Terrapins or least hung tough in that game, and they should win this game at Miami with outstanding defense. They have not surrendered more than 13 points in consecutive games this season and will limit the 'Canes off that monster offensive performance against an inferior opponent. Bet Wake Forest as my Double Dime NCAA Underdog Play O' the Week.
BYU -23 vs UNLV
The BYU Cougars are coming off a very disappointing loss at TCU on October 16th but should be primed to bounce back and take out their frustrations against a UNLV team surrendering an average of over 250 passing yards and 34 points per game on the road this year. The Rebels have been absolutely abysmal away from home outside of a stunning 23-20 overtime win at Arizona State back on September 13th, going 5-17-2 ATS in their last 24 road games. Meanwhile, BYU is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 home games and crushed UNLV 52-7 in the last meeting at Provo two years ago. The Rebels have surrendered more than 500 total yards in three straight games and will get buried in this tough spot. That's why I'm backing BYU as my Single Dime NCAA Big Chalk Play O' the Day.
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4* OKLAHOMA ST. +12.5
The Oklahoma State Cowboys and the Texas Longhorns put perfectly identical 7-0 records on the line, in this big time Big 12 battle this Saturday. Everyone in the media and his dog, is absolutely in love with the Longhorns and their star QB Colt McCoy, which sets up well for the biggest let down situation and upset of the year . Remember when , Texas came in against Oklahoma as underdog and upset them 45-35 . The pundits and linesmakers for the most part thought that the Sooners were the superior team. I myself thought , OU was over rated, and I was right. Do not get me wrong Texas was impressive in that game, and what was even more impressive was HC Mack Browns ability to keep his teams emotional adrenalin pumping right into the Missouri game delivering a 56-31 pounding of a Missouri Tigers team that had a one dimensional pass attack.
I thought the Longhorns would be in an emotional letdown situation, last week, after their big win against Oky. They instead came out strong against Missouri, but seemed to start running low on fuel in the 2nd half of that game, and I'm betting they run out of gas completely before this current game ends. Three straight games, against this type of competition, will take a great deal of needed energy out of any team and unfortunately for the Longhorns that is the situation they find themselves in.
Oklahoma State has come a long way, over the last few years, and are in my opinion the most under rated team in the country, and are a dark horse national championship contender. I think most pundits are still having a hard time, believing Oklahoma State can be on the same level as a big name program like Texas or USC . You can call me crazy, but this Cowboys team behind one of the nation's premier offenses has the ability to move the chains, against any opponent in this nation. OSU unlike Missouri or even Oklahoma owns the best ground attack in the nation, behind the legs of Kendall Hunter( 9TDs) . I know the Cowboys are ranked at fifth in the country in rushing at 283.1 yards per game, but in my opinion are better than their current ranking, as their 24 Tds illustrates. The best part about the Oklahoma State offense, is that the passing game is equally as dangerous , averaging 218.3 yards per game, with Zac Robinson (70.1 %,1,488 Yds,14 TD ) under center. This lethal ground and aerial attack combines to put an average of 46.4 ppg on the board. Needless to say, they will be able to run and gun with their opponents today, in what will be a back forth slugfest. The deciding factor will come, down to which team is fresher and has the most stamina. OSU after what I can best describe as an easy 34-6 winning scrimmage against Baylor last week, is hands down the pick.
Final notes & Key Trends: Texas is 10-20 ATS off a home win against a conference rival . Oklahoma State in a game with a total of 63 or higher(11 games), have seen their margin of victory ring in at SU by an average 7.9 PPG.
Projected score : OSU 37 Texas 35 Play on Oklahoma State 4 * to cover -Take the points
Re: SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Play On: Texas Tech
The Red Raiders look to snap a two-game ATS losing skein when they take on the Jayhawks in a huge Big 12 Conference contest in Lawrence. The key to this contest comes from the fact that Kansas enters off a big battle with Oklahoma, a game in which they got the money despite allowing 674 yards in the process. Look for the Jayhawks to drop to 0-9 ATS in games after facing the Sooners. Grab the points with Texas Tech today.
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Mississippi-6.5 vs Arkansas
The Mississippi Rebel (3-4; 1-2) travel to the Arkansas Razorback (3-4; 2-2) in a Saturday evening game.The Rebels have RB Dexter McCluster who has been erradick and plagued by turnovers. He has great abilities to move the offense and has to show on the field Saturday. The Rebels defensive front has been great against the run and has to make the Razorback abandon the running game to help them win this game. The Razorbacks have to maintain an offensive balance and has to be effective throwing the ball. RB Michael Smith had a standout game against Kentucky last week rushing for 192 yars and two touchdowns. The defensive has been lackluster as they allowed Kentucky to come back from a 20-7 deficit and beat the Razorbacks 21-20.The Rebels are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass; 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games; and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.The Razorbacks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
I like the Rebels to win by a good margin as we suggest giving the points and taking the Rebels on the road.
Hawaii +3.5 vs Nevada
The Nevada Wofpack (4-3; 2-1) travel to the islands to visit the Hawaii Rainbows (3-4; 2-1) in a WAC conference game. The Rainbows are double tough at Aloha Stadium and will pose a problem to the Wolfpack.The high scoring Wolfpack have scored at least 45 points for the fourth straight game with a 44-17 defeat of Utah State last week. QB Colin Kaepernick threw for a touchdown and ran for two more as they stomped the Aggies at home. He was 1020 for 197 yards with one interception. The Warriors lost to Boise State on the road by a 27-7 score. QB Inoke Funaki was 17-34 for 188 yards and 5 interceptions.The Wolf Pack are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win. The Warries are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
We like the Warriors getting the points at home.
Georgia Tech -14.5 vs Virginia
Two ACC teams that are playing well meet in a Saturday Afternoon Tilt. The Virgina Cavaliers (4-3; 3-1) meet the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (6-1; 3-1) in an ACC dog fight.After a stumbling start, Virginia has become a factor in the ACC race by winning three straight includinga 16-13 overtime win over North Carolina last Saturday.Georgia Tech beat Clemson 21-17 last week to jump into the top 25 and are on top of the ACC. Their defense ranks in the top 10 in the country in eight separate categories and rank fifth in the nation in scoring defense at 11.6 ppg.The Cavaliers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games while the Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games and 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games overall.
We like the the Yellow Jackets at home to explode and win convincingly. Give the points and take the Jackets at home.
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HIGHEST RATED 300,000* OF THE SEASON Plus Bonus Locks
Your winners here are on:
1. 300,000♦ Kansas
2. 75,000♦ South Florida
3. 75,000♦ Colorado
4. 75,000♦ Tennessee
5. 50,000♦ Arizona
1. Texas Tech certainly has that great offense with Graham Harrell and an unreal wide receiver in Michael Crabtree but this team is half a fraud and not close to being the sixth or so best team in the country. To ask them to win this game on the road is beyond silly and that is fully knowing how KU just struggled mightily against the pass of Sam Bradford and Oklahoma.
Kansas is not going to win the National Championship and without Aqib Talib this season may not even be as stout as last year's squad but these guys are no joke as the fat cookie eating Mark Mangino has his KU boys playing at a very high level once again.
Todd Reesing is just so solid and a guy that you can totally depend on. He may not be able to fling it 80 yards or gun it in there like a John Elway but the guy does not make many mistakes and runs the show in great fashion. Throw in Jake Sharp and Dezmon Briscoe and a monster advantage of being at home and for the Rock Chalk Jayhawk to only have to win the game in order to grab the cash is a joke!
Tech is what it is, nothing is really any better this season than in years' past. Mike Leach' offense can put up points but overall the team is not the same on the road as in Lubbock and the defense is extremely sketchy as always and will come up short against a semi beast on the highway. They have still played nobody. At home they needed overtime to get past Nebraska and were just losing at the half against a terrible A&M squad. The signs are there, it's just a matter of us capitalizing on this blowout today as that is what will happen.
Tech is 7-0 right now and ranked very highly. You will look back in a month when they are 7-4 and unranked and see how easy this really was!
2. Laying points on the road is never the greatest way to go and South Florida at times can lay an egg but this Louisville team is just awful. Steve Kragthorpe has destroyed this program as the Cardinals are just not good at all. Last season with Brohm and Douglas and Urrutia we saw a talented talented squad that underachieved to the max under the new coach. This season though the cupboard is a lot more bare and even at Papa John should get completely outclassed.
I watched the 'Ville a bunch of times and they are terrible. At home against Kentucky they were embarassed getting shut out if not for a safety and UL looked horrific in that luckier than lucky win at Memphis a few weeks ago as they scored three special teams/defensive touchdowns in order to win while being badly outplayed by a Tiger team that is mediocre at the very very best and had its backup Quarterback playing.
George Selvie is unreal and will get in Hunter Cantwell's grill throughout. On the other side of the ball Grothe, Ford and the Bulls will have their way and in the end this thing has 31-14 SF written all over it!
3. Missouri's offense is unreal and Colorado's has been struggling mightily which is certainly scary but the Tigers just lost back-to-back games and were destroyed by Colt McCoy and Texas in Austin so asking them to now win a game going away is too much.
Sure Chase Daniel, Jeremy Macklin, Chase Kauffman and the home boys will flex their collective muscles a bit and put up some points but after losing at home to Okie State and looking as putrid as they did last weak this number is just way too much. You know that Gary Pinkel's team is not nearly as confident as they were before this skid and with the number climbing from around three touchdowns to close to four touchdowns it is just a total no-brainer.
Cody Hawkins and the Buffalos offensive is certainly challenged a bit and have been relatively awful but this is still a rivalry and a game that I can see them be competitive in with the situation at hand.
For gosh sakes this is still a Colorado program that has some athletes and pride. They were able to beat Pat White and West Virginia earlier in the season and have enough of an upside to stay in this gargantuan number.
I can totally see 34-21 and a beyond easy cover as the Tigers are just looking for a win now. To ask them to pull away more than likely is not in the cards!
4. Forget about what Alabama did in Georgia in that game about a month ago. That is just one of those things that every once in a blue moon will happen when all of the stars align in a crazy way.
Sure the Tide is a talented team that can run the ball with Glen Coffee and John Parker Wilson is a solid Quarterback. They also boast a quality defense as well but on the road like this at night in Knoxville and laying a handsome number!??!!?!? Come on!??!!?
Tennessee is having a rough season I understand that and the offense is not very good I understand that as well but this is still Phil Fulmer's Vols at home, at night, plus almost a touchdown!?!?!?
UT was able to be competitive and cover in Athens a few weeks back and did just get some things going in the burial and easy cover over Mississippi State. With Arian Foster the men in orange can still be scary on the ground. Obviously Jonathan Crompton was not very good and it cost him his job but the way UT has been showing some improvement and the way the BCS goes this is the perfect spot for yet another top team to fall from the ranks of the undefeated.
Winning on the road in the SEC is very very tough, forget about how the Tide rolled in Athens as that was a complete aberation. Alabama is overvalued here and many more times than not will not cover this game.
5. I'll roll with Arizona for sure here as the Wildcats have been unreal at home this season and tonight is their biggest game of all as they welcome in big bad USC.
I still do not trust Pete Carroll's offense. No doubt the Trojans' defense is hard hitting and bad to the bone with Malaluga and others flying around the field but with Joe McKnight banged up I can totally see Mark Sanchez and company look mediocre unlike last week's 69 point performance against possibly thee single most pathetic team in the nation in Washington State. Paul Wulf by the way should fall off a cliff as the Cougars are the most disgusting thing I have ever seen!
Willie Tuitama and Arizona's offense is no joke. They were down 10 last week at home to Cal and came out of the lockeroom on-fire in a blowout win over a competent Golden Bears squad. Also look back to last season when Mike Stoopes had his squad ready against a top team in the nation in Oregon. Yes the Ducks lost Dennis Dixon in that game which hurt but Arizona was still ready to play that day in the easy win.
I will not at all be shocked to see the Trojans play like they did in Oregon State and for this game to be competitive until the end. The Wildcats are phenomenal at home, unlike on the road where they lost in Stanford and New Mexico. This team is going to be as jacked as can be and ready to go here against a USC team that still has a huge target on their chests.
Do not be shocked by a shocker here as the upside of the 'Cats is certainly there!
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