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Sports Gambling Hotline

San Diego at WASHINGTON 

We are going to go against the recent OVER trends these two teams are on, as San Diego comes to town on a 7-1 OVER clip, while Washington has gone OVER in their last pair, and are on a 3-1-1 HIGH clip their last 5 games.

We expect the pitchers to dominate this meeting tonight, as Jake Peavy may be coming off a shaky start, but  Peavy's season ERA is still in the 2's, at 2.77 for the year, while rookie Balester is coming off a rock-solid 7 innings of 1 run ball in a no-decision against Florida.

2 of the 3 meetings this season between the teams have stayed LOW, and overall these teams have played UNDER the posted price to a tune of 8-5-2 since the 2006 season.

Look for Peavy and Balester to match pitches tonight, and for this game to feature more than a few goose eggs on the scoreboard.

Play on the UNDER tonight in DC.

2♦ UNDER

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FRANK ROESENTHAL

PIRATES+105 SB
FISH+115 SB
DODGERS-185 SB
JAYS-135 SB
KC+120 SB
SEATRLE+110 SB+

COLLEGE FOOTBALL
BAYLOR+12.5 SB
UNDER 51.5 SB+

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WILD BILL

St Louis Cardinals +165 vs Zambrano (5 units)
Pirates +105 (5 units)
Orioles vs Pavano +185 (5 units)
Red Sox +130 (5 units)
Tigers +105 (5 units)
Florida Marlins +125 (5 units)
Brewers +115 (5 units)
Twins +115 (5 units)
Padres -140 (5 units)
Mets -135 (5 units)
D-backs +105 (5 units)
Angels +105 (5 units)
Royals +120 (5 units)
Mariners +115 (5 units)
Giants +170 (5 units)


Baylor-Conn Over 50 (5 units)

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Jeff Alexander Sports

1 Unit on Boston Red Sox +131

We'll bet the Sox at a nice price here. The Red Sox have taken 4 of the last 5 meetings in this series and if the Jays have had one weakness during its run, it's been Friday night baseball as they are just 1-5 in their last 6 Friday games. Meanwhile, the Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 Friday games and few teams are betting at starting off a series with a win. The Red Sox are 10-1 in their last 11 during game 1 of a series and 12-3 in their last 15 games following a loss. We'll take the Sox at a nice value here.

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SPORTS REPORTER

*CONNECTICUT over BAYLOR by 17
“That quarterback makes everybody look slow," said Washington State’s head coach about Baylor freshman Griffin, who has helped generate 51- and 45-point home outings for the Briles bunch. But UConn has the first defense that will offer resistance against him – quick, can’t be bullied by Baylor’s personnel, hurries and sacks quarterbacks and produces more than its share of picks. With ball-controlling RB Andre Brown being launched into a Baylor defense looking for steals it won’t get, UConn’s non-scoring drives should pin Baylor far enough back and onto long fields in their first road game, where all the fun could begin if your ticket is stamped “UConn.” CONNECTICUT, 34-17.


THE GOLD SHEET

*CONNECTICUT 33 - Baylor 13—Sure, moribund Baylor program getting jolt of excitement from electric new QB Robert Griffin (school-record 217 YR on just 11 carries last week). But this is the precocious true frosh’s first road start.UConn’s veteran defense hasn’t allowed a meaningful TD in first 3 games, jr.RB Donald Brown has 566 YR (2nd in nation) & 8 TDs, and Huskies 15-4 vs.spread last 19 at Hartford. (FIRST MEETING)


Power Sweep

Baylor at CONNECTICUT - 1st meeting. BU is 0-6 SU & 2-4 ATS on the road vs BCS non-conf and just 1-6 SU & 2-5 ATS in road openers (avg loss by 28 ppg). BU is 11-2 SU & 9-2 ATS prior to a bye. Conn is 14-7-1 as a HF, riding a 9 gm home win streak, but does have a huge Big East gm on deck vs UL. Both of these teams won 4H LPS for us LW. BU seems to have bought into Brile’s schemes and are led by QB Griffin (school record 217 rush yds LW, 683 yds in 2 starts TY) while Conn RB Brown has topped 200+ the L2W (566 yds, 7.2).


Winning Points

Connecticut* over Baylor by 15

Huskies have been pointspread demons of late in Hartford (9-2 ATS in their L11), and as much as we like youn Bear QB Robert Griffin, the savvy to take on this class of defense on the road is still a season away. CONNECTICUT 31-16.


Pointwise

CONNECTICUT 41 - Baylor 14 - (8:00 - ESPN2) -- No questioning improvement of Bears. Check 426 RYs (10.1 ypr) vs defenseless WashSt, after ranking 113th in running LY. Check QB Griffin with 346 total yds in that one, & solid run "D" to date. But Donald Brown (566 RYs, & 8 TDs) is smoking, with QB Lorenzen off a 13-of-15 outing, & UConn has allowed only 98 pts in its last 9 HGs. Lay the wood.


Nelly's Sportsline

CONNECTICUT (-14) Baylor
Baylor rolled to a big win last week but they caught a very favorable situation with extremely taxing travel placed on the opponent.Connecticut earned the first ATS win of the season for the Big East with a convincing win over Virginia last week. Both of these teams had over 380 yards rushing last week and the ground game will again be the focus. Connecticut is one of the top rushing teams in the nation and they had success with starting RB Dixon sitting out last week. The Huskies have also been very tough defensively,allowing just over seven points per game. Although Connecticut could letdown a bit after a big win it has been a very hectic week for the Bears and facing long travel will be tough against a consistently underrated opponent. Baylor was soundly defeated at home in its opening game and there is little weight to Baylor’s win streak as the competition was not of high quality. CONNECTICUT BY 21

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Tom Freese

Game: Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics
Prediction: Oakland Athletics

Oakland is 9-3 vs. an opponent who allowed 5 or more runs in their last game and they are 11-5 after allowing 5 runs in their last game. The A's are 7-1 with Dana Eveland on the mound vs. losing teams. Seattle is 20-45 their last 65 road games and they are 9-23 their last 32 games vs. AL West teams. The Mariners are 0-6 their last 6 road games vs. losing teams and they are 0-7 off a loss. PLAY ON OAKLAND

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LT Profits

Houston Astros @ Pittsburgh Pirates Under 9.0

Randy Wolf of the Houston Astros has been in good form lately and Ian Snell of the Pittsburgh Pirates had had success vs. the Astros, so look for a relatively low scoring game tonight.

Wolf did not pitch well against the Cubs in his last outing, but that snapped a nice string of three consecutive Quality Starts, and he has still not allowed more than four earned runs in any of his last five outings. He also recorded a Quality Start in his only other start vs. Pittsburgh this year, allowing three runs and just four hits in seven innings.

Now Snell has had a disappointing season for the Pirates, but he does have five Quality Starts in his last seven outings. He posted a Quality Start vs. these Astros earlier this month, the fifth time in his last six career starts vs. Houston that he has allowed three runs or less. Furthermore, he is catching the Astros at a good time, as they are batting only .213 as a team over the last 10 games.

With the Pirates scoring three runs or less in three of their last four games, go Under in this spot.

Pick: Astros, Pirates Under 9

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Bob Majors

FLA (+112) vs PHI

The Phillies travel to the Florida Marlins for an evening game. 

The Phillies will have Brett Myers on the mound facing Josh Johnson of the Marlins.

Myers is 5.46 ERA and 3-7 on the road and when he pitches the team is 5-10.  He has pitched previously against the Marlins 20.2 innings; 0-2 with a 5.23 ERA.

Johnson is 2-0 at home with a 4.02 ERA.  His team is 4-1 when he starts.  In his previous starts against the Phillies, Johnson is 1-0 in 12.2 innings and a respectable l.42 ERA.

This is a very crucial game for both teams as they vie for a playoff spot in the NL East.

The Phillies are on top at present and the Marlins are 5 games out.  The Phillies have won 7 in a row and are 42-36 away.  The Marlins have an 8 game win streak and are 44-34 at Home this year and are 5 games back in the Wild Card Race.  The Phillies are ? game ahead of the 2nd place NY Mets.

This game is more important for the Marlins and they are playing in front of a Home crowd.  I like their chances of winning and you get a plus on the Money Line.

Take the Marlins to win this game easily with Josh Johnson on the mound.

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Wunderdog

Los Angeles Angels at Texas
Pick: Los Angeles Angels -101

The Angels have added value here as the oddsmakers are treating them as a team that has clinched a playoff spot and are just playing out the string. This team has an 18.5 game lead, but has still gone out and won six of their last eight. They are in a race with the Rays who trail the Angels by just two games in the loss column for home field advantage throughout the playoffs. This one is chock full of value especially against a mediocre lefthander in Harrison, who enters with a 5+ ERA for the Rangers. The Angels have been a gold mine all season against lefthanders where they have posted a 31-15 mark. The Rangers have really tanked against .500+ teams as they have put up a 3-12 mark in their last 15. I'll back the Angels in this one.

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Dwayne Bryant

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies
Play: Arizona Diamondbacks +103

The D'backs are fighting for their playoff lives. With the wildcard out of reach, Arizona must win the NL West to secure a playoff spot. They trail the Dodgers by 3.5 games heading into tonight's action. Arizona has dropped 10 straight on the road, but their confidence should be high tonight. Arizona knows they have won 10 of 12 against Colorado this season, including five of six at Coors Field.

When Arizona's Max Scherzer made his starting debut earlier this season, I wrote on this page that everyone should keep an eye on this kid. He has not disappointed. Arizona may have lost all five of his starts, but Scherzer is certainly not to blame. In 14 appearances, including five starts, Scherzer owns a 2.80 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. He has struck out 54 batters in just 45 innings. He has also been solid on the road, posting a 3.15 ERA while striking out 26 hitters in just 20 innings. In his last four starts, Scherzer has allowed just 4 earned runs in 22 innings.

Colorado's Jorge De La Rosa has struggled a bit, especially at home where he sports a 4.93 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and .345 OOBP. De La Rosa made one start against Arizona this season (in May at Arizona). In that start, De La Rosa allowed 4 runs on 7 hits and 3 walks in just 4.2 innings.

In their last five games, Colorado has batted .154 and scored 2 runs per game against righties. In that same span, Arizona has batted .312 and scored 6.5 runs per game against lefties.

Take Arizona

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Great Lakes Sports

New York Mets

The New York Mets has a very solid 85-67 record this years, and is a strong 38-28 vs division opponents this year. The New York Mets is also 85-67 when playing on grass this year, and they are 24-12 when playing a team with a losing record the second half of the season. We look for the New York Mets to roll over the Washington Nationals in this National League Divisional showdown for the road win tonight.

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Brad Diamond Sports

Pittsburgh Pirates

Going into Thursday the Houston Astros are 0-4 since the Ike disaster hit the state of Texas. In addition, Pittsburgh is 5 of 6 with RHP Snell on the hill versus the deflated visitor. So, there is a solid lean to the Bucs tonight. Finally, in others games, there appears to be no reason for the Nationals (“the dark side of the force”) to be emotionally invested versus the Padres who insert Jake Peavy on the hill. Take the Padres. Lastly, one game that could be a major trap is the Dodgers and Giants battle. With lefty Barry Zito hurling for the Giants you can fully expect the public (check the prohibitive line) to back the Dodgers. However, having the chance to catch the LA and Pittsburgh encounter Thursday, it was noted that Joe Torre is starting to rest certain players without much advance warning, if you catch my inference.

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Michael Cannon

Philadelphia at FLORIDA +115

Take the Marlins as the home dog tonight.

Josh Johnson gets the start for Florida and he’s had a successful return this season after an arm injury cut his 2007 campaign short. 

The right-hander is 5-1 with a 3.30 ERA on the year and he’s recorded 70 strikeouts in 76 1-3 innings.  Johnson is 2-1 with a 3.62 ERA in four career games against Philadelphia, including 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA in two games this year.

The Phillies will counter with Brett Myers, who is 10-11 with a 4.06 ERA on the season.  The right-hander is 6-9 with a 5.04 ERA in 21 career games against the Marlins, including 1-2 with a 5.23 ERA in three games this year.

The Phillies are rolling, but that just gives us more value with the better pitcher here.

Take the Marlins as they grab the home win.

3♦ FLORIDA

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Drew Gordon

Arizona at COLORADO -115

In case you've been living under a rock, Arizona has been a disaster on the highway, losers of 10 straight and counting! As they desperately cling to their small hopes of catching the Dodgers, the last thing they need is a road series with a motivated spoiler like the Rockies. Its no secret the D-Backs are 5-1 at Coors this season, and Colorado would like nothing more than to reverse that trend when it matters most for Arizona!

Although rookie Max Scherzer pitched well in his last start, it was at home, against a Reds team that threw in the towel a long time ago. In the start prior, he was decent at the Dodgers, but nowhere near as good. Look for the rook to run into trouble tonight on the road, as the Rockies have started to hit again, and average a solid 4.5 runs per game against righties at Coors.

Opposing Scherzer is the Rockies lefty Jorge De La Rosa, who's been solid at home this season, going 5-2 with a 4.93 ERA. His last two home starts have been sub-par, but look for him to rebound nicely against a soft-hitting Arizona offense. In his first start of the month he tossed 7 scoreless vs the Giants, and I expect an effort more like that one against an extremely road-weary D-Backs club tonight.

Bottom line, paybacks a bitch, and that's exactly what Arizona gets tonight, as the Rockies make it their business to spoil whatever chances their division rival has in making the postseason. Starting a rookie on the road, in a critical situation, is a dangerous propostion for the D-Backs, one that will come back to bite them in the end. Look for the Rockies to hand the D-Backs their 11th straight road loss Friday!

Take Colorado behind De La Rosa over Arizona and Scherzer in this MLB match up.

2♦ COLORADO

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Karl Garrett

Philadelphia -135 at FLORIDA

Tonight I lay the road juice with the Phillies as they take on Florida.

Should be a good one, as Florida has won their last 8 games, while the Phils have captured their last 7!

The difference tonight is on the mound, as the G-Man has been highly impressed with what Brett Myers has been able to do since coming back up from a mid-season minor league send down.

Myers has ripped off wins in 4 of his last 5 starts, allowing just 7 earned runs in his last 38-plus innings of work. Better still, the Phils are 8-2 the last 10 times Myers has started.

Florida starter Johnson has been pitching well, and he is 1-0 in his 2 starts against Philly this season, with 2 runs allowed in 13 innings of work.

Still, the G-Man thinks Philadelphia will figure him out tonight.

Phils extend their winning streak to 8 straight, and snap the Marlins 8 game win streak in the process.

3♦ PHILADELPHIA

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Jeff Benton

Can’t quite figure out why the DBacks are slight underdogs in this game. They’ve completely owned the Rockies this season, winning 10 of 12 meetings, including five of six in Colorado. They’re in a playoff chase, while the Rockies are playing out the string. And they have the better pitcher on the mound tonight in Max Scherzer (2.80 ERA, 1.16 WHIP) against Colorado’s Jorge De La Rosa (5.38 ERA, 1.53 WHIP).

True, Arizona is winless in Scherzer’s first five major-league starts, but it’s certainly not the kid’s fault. Including relief appearances, he’s given up 17 runs (14 earned) in 45 innings, and the fireballing right-hander has an impressive 54-18 strikeout-to-walk ratio this year. In Sunday’s start against the Reds, Scherzer gave up just one run and two hits over six innings, walking three and whiffing nine, but the DBacks fell 2-1, continuing a trend of being unable to give Scherzer any run support (they’ve tallied 12 runs in his five starts).

Well, I don’t think the Snakes will have much trouble scoring runs tonight. DeLaRosa has given up four in each of his last two starts (losses to the Astros and Dodgers at home), and in his one start against Arizona this year, DeLaRosa allowed four runs in 4 2/3 innings of a 4-3 road defeat. Finally, the southpaw is facing an Arizona lineup that’s hitting .282 against lefties over the past 10 games (conversely, the Rockies are batting .218 in their last 10 against right-handers).

Throw in the fact that the DBacks have scored at least five runs in 10 of their 12 games against Colorado this year – averaging 6.5 runs per contest – and I’ll take the visitors in this one.

4♦ ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS

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Matt Rivers

For Friday take the Cardinals at Wrigley.

Can you say no-hitter hangover!??!?!? I can totally see Carlos Zambrano lay a semi egg here after that euphoric start in Miller Park last time out. Let's not forget how Big Z is not all that healthy and after throwing a ton of pitches in that last outing may not have been the best thing for him or the Cubs as they try and win it all.

The Cardinals have faded and are not going anywhere after the overachieving and solid first four or so months to the season. Tony LaRussa's squad is also injured as guys like Ankiel and Carpenter are done for the season but Albert is still unreal and with a few others like Glaus and Molina I can see the Redbirds win this thing here behind an ace in Adam Wainwright.

The last time Zambrano pitched at Wrigley against these Redbirds he was drilled helping lead to the injury and I just do not think he is all of a sudden right. The no-hitter, if anything, was not good for him in my book and to get a price back like this with a guy like Wainwright, who very well may be the better pitcher today, is a steal and a half!

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Yankee Capper

2 Units - Padres -140

2 Units - Pirates +105

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Dr Bob

CONNECTICUT (-12.0) 33 Baylor 23

Baylor won big for me last week against Washington State and the Bears still appear to be underrated under new coach Art Briles. Briles has brought in an offense that has proven to be successful at Houston and his fantastic freshman quarterback Robert Griffin is bringing that attack to life with a combination of good passing (9.1 yards per pass play and zero interceptions) and great running (307 yards on just 27 rushing plays). Griffin has been joined by sophomore back Jay Finley, who has run for 232 yards at 8.3 ypr in 3 games. Connecticut is very good defending the pass, but they are just mediocre against the run and I expect Griffin to have another good rushing performance. Baylor’s defense was pretty good against the run last year and their pass defense has greatly improved under the new coaching staff, so the Bears are now about average defensively and shouldn’t be overwhelmed by U Conn’s very strong rushing attack. The Huskies have averaged 305 yards at 6.3 yards per rushing play this season and they’ll get their yards on the ground even though Baylor has yielded just 3.8 yprp in their first 3 games (against teams that would average only 4.0 yprp against an average team). Overall it appears as if Baylor is underrated, as my ratings favor U Conn by just 5 points and using this year’s games only would make this game a pick. Connecticut, however, applies to a very strong 42-10-1 ATS subset of a 106-39-4 ATS home momentum situation, so I’ll only lean with the Bears this week.

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Gold Medal Club

Minnesota vs Tampa Bay

PLAY MINNESOTA + and OVER 9

You give out the knockout punch to Minnesota's starter in the first inning last night, take a 2 run lead into the ninth and lose, not good. This is the kind of game that reveals the youth, and inexperience of being in a pennant race. You can bet that loss was hard to swallow, and tonight will not be any easier, as Edwin Jackson takes the mound. He is 5-6 at home this season, but we note 0-3 in his last 3 starts with an era of 10.95.Ouch! Twins manager Ron Gardenhire remarked after the game how the Twins are having trouble keeping the ball in the ball park, well expect both teams to have that trouble tonight. We will take the value here,in both the side and total!

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