MLB TRENDS JULY 28

MLB TRENDS JULY 28

Hot Pitchers
-- Lilly has a 2.77 RA in his last couple starts.
-- Sabathia is 4-0, 1.64 in four starts for the Brewers.
-- Oswalt is 2-1, 2.49 in his last four starts.
-- Kuroda has a 1.37 RA in his last five starts.

-- Red Sox are 8-1 in Matsuzaka's home starts. Angels are 8-4 in Weaver's last dozen starts.
-- Guthrie has 1.93 RA in his last couple road starts. Mussina is 3-1, 1.41 in his last five starts.
-- Shields is 2-0, 2.35 in his last couple of starts. Burnett is 2-1, 1.77 in his last three starts.
-- Rogers is 2-0, 3.75 in his last two starts.
-- Buehrle is 2-1, 2.91 in his last three starts.
-- Braden won at Tampa in his first '08 start, allowing one run in his five IP.

Cold Pitchers
-- Hirsh is making first '08 start; he was 8-11, 5.26 in 28 starts the last two seasons. Snell is 0-2, 13.50 in his last three starts.
-- Morton is 1-3, 6.90 in his last six starts. Looper is 0-3, 5.84 in his last five starts.
-- Nolasco is 0-2, 5.50 in his last three starts. Maine is 1-2, 6.58 in his last five starts.
-- Reds are 2-7 on road when Cueto starts.
-- Owings is 0-6, 8.23 in his last seven starts. Maddux is 0-3 in his last six starts, with a 7.99 RA.
-- Correia is 0-6, 6.85 in his last nine starts.

-- Indians lost last three Byrd home starts (0-2, 7.47).
-- Slowey is 1-1, 9.00 in his last three starts.
-- Hernandez is 0-2, 4.00 in three starts vs Texas this season. Rangers are 2-5 at home when Feldman starts.
-- Greinke is 0-2, 12.00 in his last two starts.

Hot Teams
-- Rockies won nine of their last ten games.
-- Mets won fifteen of their last nineteen games. Marlins are 5-2 in game after their last seven losses.
-- Brewers won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Padres won their last three games, scoring 18 runs. Arizona won five of its last six games.
-- Dodgers won seven of their last ten games.

-- Angels won nine of their last eleven games. Red Sox are 10-3 in their last thirteen home games.
-- Bronx won eight of their last nine games.
-- Blue Jays won six of last eight games.
-- Tigers won five of their last seven games.
-- Texas is 9-5 in its last fourteen home games.
-- White Sox won four of their last five games.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates are 0-3 since trading Nady, Marte.
-- Atlanta is 4-8 in its last twelve home games.
-- Cardinals lost six of their last seven games.
-- Cubs lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Reds lost five of their last seven games. Astros lost five of their last seven games, including their last four at home.
-- Giants lost twelve of their last fifteen games.

-- Orioles lost fourteen of their last nineteen games.
-- Tampa Bay lost eight of its last ten road games.
-- Mariners lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Indians lost four of their last five games.
-- Minnesota lost five of their last seven games.
-- Oakland lost nine of its last eleven games. Royals lost five of their last seven games.

Totals
-- Over is 5-2 in Colorado's last seven games.
-- Last four Atlanta home games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Florida home games.
-- Over is 7-2 in Milwaukee's last nine home games.
-- Over is 6-0-1 in Houston's last seven games.
-- Eight of last ten San Diego games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in Dodgers' last six games.

-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight games at Fenway Park.
-- Over is 16-7-1 in Orioles' last 24 games.
-- Under is 9-2-1 in last dozen Tampa Bay road games.
-- Over is 12-6-1 in last nineteen Cleveland games.
-- Last five Texas games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-1-1 in last eleven White Sox games.
-- Over is 9-2 in Royals' last eleven road games.

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Re: MLB TRENDS JULY 28

Trend Sheet

7:05 PM BALTIMORE vs. NY YANKEES
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore


7:05 PM COLORADO vs. PITTSBURGH
Colorado is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado


7:05 PM DETROIT vs. CLEVELAND
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games


7:05 PM LA ANGELS vs. BOSTON
LA Angels are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Boston is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Boston is 17-8 SU in their last 25 games when playing at home against LA Angels


7:07 PM TAMPA BAY vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Toronto's last 14 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Toronto is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay


7:10 PM NY METS vs. FLORIDA
NY Mets are 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 11 of NY Mets's last 15 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 7 games at home
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets


7:10 PM ST. LOUIS vs. ATLANTA
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
St. Louis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home


8:05 PM CHI CUBS vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
Chi Cubs are 6-13 SU in their last 19 games on the road
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs


8:05 PM CINCINNATI vs. HOUSTON
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati


8:05 PM SEATTLE vs. TEXAS
Seattle is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle


8:10 PM CHI WHITE SOX vs. MINNESOTA
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chi White Sox's last 11 games
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox


10:05 PM ARIZONA vs. SAN DIEGO
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing Arizona
San Diego is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games at home


10:05 PM KANSAS CITY vs. OAKLAND
Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing Kansas City


10:10 PM SAN FRANCISCO vs. LA DODGERS
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games

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COLORADO (48 - 58) at PITTSBURGH (48 - 57) - 7:05 PM
JASON HIRSH (R) vs. IAN SNELL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 47-58 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 51-72 (-28.8 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997.
COLORADO is 16-35 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
COLORADO is 47-58 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 31-45 (-14.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PITTSBURGH is 71-51 (+22.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 343-323 (+37.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
SNELL is 33-26 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 81-62 (+22.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 16-7 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
COLORADO is 105-93 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

JASON HIRSH vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
HIRSH is 1-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

IAN SNELL vs. COLORADO since 1997
SNELL is 1-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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ST LOUIS (58 - 49) at ATLANTA (49 - 55) - 7:10 PM
BRADEN LOOPER (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 28-20 (+9.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ST LOUIS is 58-49 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 28-24 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ST LOUIS is 58-49 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 21-15 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 39-30 (+10.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LOOPER is 10-3 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 49-55 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 100-106 (-24.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 48-53 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 32-38 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRADEN LOOPER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
LOOPER is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 23.60 and a WHIP of 4.120.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

CHARLIE MORTON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

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NY METS (57 - 48) at FLORIDA (55 - 50) - 7:10 PM
JOHN MAINE (R) vs. RICKY NOLASCO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 5-12 (-9.0 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
NY METS are 55-54 (-22.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 42-35 (+15.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
FLORIDA is 29-21 (+13.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
FLORIDA is 431-487 (+32.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
FLORIDA is 233-246 (+43.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
FLORIDA is 55-50 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 37-23 (+20.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
FLORIDA is 29-23 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
FLORIDA is 22-14 (+9.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
FLORIDA is 22-17 (+10.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
FLORIDA is 54-48 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 39-39 (+6.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NOLASCO is 13-7 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 12-7 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 7-2 (+7.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 54-30 (+21.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MAINE is 22-7 (+14.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 4-2 (+0.9 Units) against FLORIDA this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

JOHN MAINE vs. FLORIDA since 1997
MAINE is 3-1 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 0.979.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

RICKY NOLASCO vs. NY METS since 1997
NOLASCO is 2-3 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 11.21 and a WHIP of 2.603.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.3 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (61 - 44) at MILWAUKEE (60 - 45) - 8:05 PM
TED LILLY (L) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 921-986 (-189.2 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 22-30 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 864-902 (-167.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 15-22 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 15-25 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 439-480 (-122.2 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 49-56 (-18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 12-19 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 59-43 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 29-19 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 60-45 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 131-82 (+24.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SABATHIA is 7-16 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in home games in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-2 (+3.1 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

TED LILLY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
LILLY is 1-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 5.81 and a WHIP of 1.338.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-4. (-4.3 units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
SABATHIA is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 34.76 and a WHIP of 4.292.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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CINCINNATI (50 - 56) at HOUSTON (48 - 56) - 8:05 PM
JOHNNY CUETO (R) vs. ROY OSWALT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 18-27 (-13.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CINCINNATI is 63-81 (-21.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 438-504 (+48.2 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 377-451 (+32.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 285-325 (+30.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 324-369 (+40.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
HOUSTON is 144-171 (-34.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 48-64 (-20.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-0 (+3.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
CUETO is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 6.43 and a WHIP of 1.429.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

ROY OSWALT vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
OSWALT is 18-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.068.
His team's record is 18-4 (+9.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-11. (-1.9 units)

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ARIZONA (53 - 51) at SAN DIEGO (41 - 65) - 10:05 PM
MICAH OWINGS (R) vs. GREG MADDUX (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 53-51 (-7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 16-21 (-9.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 32-36 (-10.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 24-28 (-8.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MADDUX is 27-15 (+11.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 146-124 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 17-7 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN DIEGO is 14-26 (-13.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SAN DIEGO is 11-31 (-21.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN DIEGO is 23-31 (-15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 41-64 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 23-29 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 18-30 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 41-64 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 28-45 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 27-43 (-18.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MADDUX is 1-9 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MADDUX is 150-116 (-39.2 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 4-5 (+0.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

MICAH OWINGS vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
OWINGS is 0-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.095.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.5 units)

GREG MADDUX vs. ARIZONA since 1997
MADDUX is 2-13 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.30 and a WHIP of 1.548.
His team's record is 6-15 (-15.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-10. (-1.1 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (43 - 61) at LA DODGERS (52 - 52) - 10:10 PM
KEVIN CORREIA (R) vs. HIROKI KURODA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 114-152 (-33.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 62-89 (-25.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 114-152 (-33.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 123-80 (+31.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 63-35 (+20.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 121-69 (+50.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 643-530 (+86.4 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 354-337 (+43.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 4-12 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 64-53 (-33.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -200 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 4-2 (+1.2 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

KEVIN CORREIA vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
CORREIA is 1-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 7.47 and a WHIP of 1.659.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)

HIROKI KURODA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

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Re: MLB TRENDS JULY 28

LA ANGELS (64 - 40) at BOSTON (61 - 45) - 7:05 PM
JERED WEAVER (R) vs. DAISUKE MATSUZAKA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 16-2 (+12.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 this season.
BOSTON is 37-13 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 24-6 (+15.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
BOSTON is 60-33 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 29-10 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 26-13 (+10.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA ANGELS are 30-17 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA ANGELS are 60-39 (+19.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 64-40 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 27-11 (+13.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 33-19 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
LA ANGELS are 13-3 (+10.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 59-35 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 121-83 (+19.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 322-244 (-48.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
BOSTON is 22-27 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 5-1 (+4.2 Units) against BOSTON this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

JERED WEAVER vs. BOSTON since 1997
WEAVER is 0-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.18 and a WHIP of 1.455.
His team's record is 1-5 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.6 units)

DAISUKE MATSUZAKA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
MATSUZAKA is 0-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.78 and a WHIP of 2.141.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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BALTIMORE (49 - 55) at NY YANKEES (58 - 46) - 7:05 PM
JEREMY GUTHRIE (R) vs. MIKE MUSSINA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 49-85 (-22.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 37-20 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 39-32 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 39-38 (+7.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY YANKEES are 153-117 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 62-55 (-15.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MUSSINA is 84-72 (-33.1 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
MUSSINA is 46-37 (-34.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 5-4 (+2.4 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.3 Units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GUTHRIE is 1-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.88 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

MIKE MUSSINA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
MUSSINA is 10-7 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.66 and a WHIP of 1.307.
His team's record is 12-11 (-9.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-14. (-8.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (61 - 43) at TORONTO (53 - 52) - 7:07 PM
JAMES SHIELDS (R) vs. A.J. BURNETT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 4-21 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in road games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 70-141 (-45.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 14-4 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 117-87 (+26.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 32-25 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 26-18 (+9.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TAMPA BAY is 39-28 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 42-18 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
TAMPA BAY is 44-28 (+12.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 33-20 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 61-43 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 31-39 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-2 (+4.9 Units) against TORONTO this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. TORONTO since 1997
SHIELDS is 4-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.41 and a WHIP of 0.921.
His team's record is 5-0 (+5.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BURNETT is 6-4 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.030.
His team's record is 7-8 (-5.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-4. (+4.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (53 - 51) at CLEVELAND (45 - 58) - 7:05 PM
KENNY ROGERS (L) vs. PAUL BYRD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 18-26 (-16.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
DETROIT is 33-43 (-17.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 21-11 (+12.2 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 10-2 (+8.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 this season.
ROGERS is 45-24 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ROGERS is 43-22 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ROGERS is 32-12 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 14-26 (-17.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CLEVELAND is 44-53 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 34-38 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 23-34 (-17.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CLEVELAND is 14-22 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 45-58 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-3 (+1.7 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

KENNY ROGERS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
ROGERS is 13-9 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.403.
His team's record is 16-12 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 14-13. (-0.7 units)

PAUL BYRD vs. DETROIT since 1997
BYRD is 9-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.149.
His team's record is 13-5 (+8.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-10. (-3.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (39 - 65) at TEXAS (54 - 51) - 8:05 PM
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. SCOTT FELDMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 34-61 (-29.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 26-44 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 29-44 (-15.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 13-25 (-13.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SEATTLE is 39-65 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 10-28 (-16.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
SEATTLE is 63-91 (-35.2 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997.
TEXAS is 54-51 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 72-55 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 18-13 (+10.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TEXAS is 48-45 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 40-33 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 43-29 (+23.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 31-20 (+16.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
HERNANDEZ is 18-5 (+11.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HERNANDEZ is 8-2 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 6-4 (+4.2 Units) against SEATTLE this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.5 Units)

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. TEXAS since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 4-6 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.21 and a WHIP of 1.291.
His team's record is 4-9 (-9.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-4. (+4.8 units)

SCOTT FELDMAN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
FELDMAN is 0-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHI WHITE SOX (59 - 44) at MINNESOTA (57 - 47) - 8:10 PM
MARK BUEHRLE (L) vs. KEVIN SLOWEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 33-23 (+11.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MINNESOTA is 17-6 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 57-47 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 34-19 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 26-8 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 29-18 (+14.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MINNESOTA is 34-19 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season.
MINNESOTA is 41-29 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 34-19 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 59-44 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 29-15 (+14.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 749-637 (+77.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 435-438 (+38.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 18-34 (-17.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 7-4 (+2.3 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BUEHRLE is 21-11 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.70 and a WHIP of 1.325.
His team's record is 22-11 (+8.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 18-15. (+1.6 units)

KEVIN SLOWEY vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
SLOWEY is 1-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.267.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (47 - 59) at OAKLAND (53 - 51) - 10:05 PM
ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. GREG SMITH (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 44-38 (+15.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 71-102 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 104-144 (+18.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 17-32 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 47-51 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 30-32 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-0 (+3.1 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. OAKLAND since 1997
GREINKE is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.375.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

GREG SMITH vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
SMITH is 0-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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Re: MLB TRENDS JULY 28

National League

Colorado at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET
Jason Hirsch (R) vs. Ian Snell (R)
Hirsch: COL 16-35 on the road
Snell: Pit 17-8 at home with triple revenge

St. Louis at Atlanta, 7:10 ET
Braden Looper (R) vs. Charlie Morton (R)
Looper: StL 16-9 after scoring 2 runs or less
Morton: ATL 9-16 against NL Central

NY Mets at Florida, 7:10 ET
John Maine (R) vs. Ricky Nolasco (R)
Maine: NYM 5-12 AWAY with a money line of -100 to -125
Nolasco: 11-5 TSR as an underdog of +100 or higher

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee, 8:05 ET
Ted Lilly (L) vs. CC Sabathia (L)
Lilly: 3-6 TSR against division opponents
Sabathia: 3-0, 1.00 ERA in L/3 starts

Cincinnati at Houston, 8:05 ET
Johnny Cueto (R) vs. Roy Oswalt (R)
Cueto: CIN 1-8 after 7+ consecutive home games
Oswalt: 18-4 TSR against Cincy

Arizona at San Diego, 10:05 ET
Micah Owings (R) vs. Greg Maddux (R)
Owings: 5-1 TSR against division opponents
Maddux: 1-9 TSR in July

San Francisco at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Kevin Correia (R) vs. Hiroki Kuroda (R)
Correia: SF 11-2 after 3+ consecutive overs
Kuroda: Dodgers 4-12 at home after 3+ consecutive wins

Florida at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 ET
Rick Vandenhurk (R) vs. Jason Marquis (R)
Vandenhurk: Fla 7-0 after scoring 4 runs or less 6 straight games
Marquis: Cubs 3-12 vs. Florida

American League

LA Angels at Boston, 7:05 ET
Jered Weaver (R) vs. Daisuke Matsuzaka (R)
Weaver: LAA 13-3 AWAY when the total is 9 to 9.5
Matsuzaka: BOS 20-8 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5

Baltimore at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET
Jeremy Guthrie (R) vs. Mike Mussina (R)
Guthrie: BAL 45-93 as an underdog of +125 to +175
Mussina: NYY 35-12 after allowing 9+ runs

Tampa Bay at Toronto, 7:05 ET
James Shields (R) vs. AJ Burnett (R)
Shields: TB 4-21 AWAY in July
Burnett: Tor 14-4 at HOME in July

Detroit at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Kenny Rogers (R) vs. Paul Byrd (L)
Rogers: 8-0 TSR when the total is 10 or higher
Byrd: 2-10 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125

Seattle at Texas, 8:05 ET
Felix Hernandez (R) vs. Scott Feldman (R)
Hernandez: SEA 1-11 after a win by 4+ runs
Feldman: TEX 16-8 OVER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Mark Buerhle (L) vs. Kevin Slowey (R)
Buerhle: 18-5 UNDER AWAY when the money line is +125 to -125
Slowey: MIN 40-23 UNDER after a win by 2 runs or less

Kansas City at Oakland, 10:05 ET
Zach Greinke (R) vs. Greg Smith (L)
Greinke: 10-1 UNDER in 2nd half
Smith: 10-0 UNDER in night games

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Re: MLB TRENDS JULY 28

Tips and Trends

Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox [ESPN | 7:05 ET]

Angels: Jered Weaver has pitched well over the last month, allowing two runs or less in all of his five starts over that stretch. Because of minimal run support, Weaver has compiled a 2-1 record with two no-decisions in those five starts. In his last outing against Boston, Weaver took the loss after being touched up for 10 hits and five runs over five innings. On the road this season, he's 4-4 with a 4.50 ERA. The UNDER is 3-1-1 in Weaver's last five starts.

Angels are 10-3 in their last 13 games as an underdog.
Angels are 8-21 in the last 29 meetings at Boston.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

Red Sox (-155, O/U 9): Daisuke Matsuzaka has been close to untouchable over his last five starts, allowing just three runs in 30.2 innings of work. Dice-K's dominance isn't anything new, however. In 17 starts this season, Matsuzaka has allowed two runs or less a remarkable 12 times. The Red Sox are a stellar 10-2 in those games and 14-3 overall this season when Dice-K takes the hill. The UNDER is 7-3 in Matsuzaka's last 10 starts.

Red Sox are 41-13 in their last 54 home games.
The UNDER is 23-9-3 in Boston's last 35 Monday games.

Key Injuries - SS Julio Lugo (.268; quad) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (Side Play of the Day)



New York Mets at Florida Marlins [7:10 PM ET]

Mets (-120, O/U 9): John Maine pitched seven innings against the Phillies his last time out, getting the win after allowing just three runs. However, the seven innings has been an aberration. In his four prior starts, Maine didn't get out of the fourth inning three times. Maine's short outings mean you can expect a lot of work from the Mets bullpen tonight. Even though he's been inconsistent, the Mets are 5-2 in Maine's last seven starts.

Mets are 15-4 in their last 19 games overall.
Mets are 12-2 in the last 14 meetings at Florida.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 5

Marlins: Ricky Nolasco has lost two straight games, with both defeats coming at home. In those two losses, Nolasco has allowed 15 hits and nine runs in only12 innings of work. Nolasco is just 4-4 at home this season, compared to 6-2 on the road. Before his recent two-game losing streak, Nolasco had allowed three runs or less in his seven prior starts, going 5-0 with two no-decisions. The Marlins won all seven of those games.  The UNDER is 5-1 the last six times Nolasco has taken the mound.

Marlins are 8-3 in their last 11 games as an underdog.
The OVER is 22-7-1 in the last 30 meetings at Florida.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 4



Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers [8:05 PM ET]

Cubs: Ted Lilly takes the ball for the Cubs tonight in Game 1 of this important series with the Brewers. Lilly has been pitching pretty well for Chicago, allowing three runs or less eight times in his last 10 starts. Lilly's first start of the season was against the Brewers but he only lasted 4.2 innings after giving up five hits and four runs. Lilly is 5-3 at home and on the road this season, but his ERA drops from 5.34 to 3.84 away from Wrigley Field.

Cubs are 1-9 in their last 10 games as an underdog.
The OVER is 5-1 in Lilly's last 6 starts overall.

Key Injuries - Closer Kerry Wood (24 saves; finger) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Brewers (-175, O/U 7.5): C.C. Sabathia has been a monster since coming over from Cleveland to Milwaukee. In four starts with the Brewers, Sabathia has pitched three complete games and has only allowed five runs over 33 innings, while striking out 31. In other words, complete and utter dominance. Overall, the Brewers and Indians are a combined 8-2 in Sabathia's last 10 starts.

Brewers are 25-10 in their last 35 games as a favorite.
The OVER is 7-2 in Milwaukee's last 9 home games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 6



Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins [8:10 PM ET]

White Sox:  Mark Buehrle has been sharp in his last 10 starts, allowing two runs or less an impressive seven times. During that stretch, Buehrle is 6-2 with two no-decisions. After a brief two-game losing streak, Buehrle has bounced back by winning his last two starts over Texas and Kansas City. However, those games were at home. Tonight Buehrle takes to the road where he's 1-3 in his last four starts.  Buehrle's last four appearances on the road have gone UNDER the total.

White Sox are 1-9 in their last 10 games in field turf.
The UNDER is 16-5 in Chicago's last 21 games on field turf.

Key Injuries - 3B Joe Crede (.255; back) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Twins (-115, O/U 8.5): Kevin Slowey is 1-1 with a no-decision in his last three starts but he's been lit up pretty good in each of those outings. In his last three appearances, Slowey has given up 15 runs in just 15 innings, although the Twins won two of those games thanks in large part to an explosive offense. Slowey was abused his last time out versus the White Sox, giving up an obscene 10 hits and eight runs in just three innings of work. The OVER is 6-2 in Slowey's last eight starts.

Twins are 18-5 in their last 23 home games.
Twins are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings at Minnesota.

Key Injuries - OF Carlos Gomez (.248; back) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5

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