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PlusLineSports Daily Baseball Pick

KC Royals vs Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox -1.5 +129

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EZWINNERS

MLB

2 STAR: (908) HOUSTON (+$118) over Chicago
(Listing Backe only) (Risking $200 to win $236)

2 STAR: (915) LA Dodgers (+$136) over Arizona
(Listing Lowe only) (Risking $200 to win $272)


CFL

5 STAR: (418) TORONTO (-3.5) over Edmonton
(Risking $550 to win $500)

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TONY MATHEWS 

Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox
Selection: Chicago White Sox -1.5 Runs +130

The Kansas City Royals will use starting pitcher Brian Bannister. Brian Bannister has struggled this season. In fact, Brian Bannister has a 5.24 ERA on the season. In addition, Brian Bannister has a 9.92 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Brian Bannister having another bad game today.

The Chicago White Sox will use starting pitcher John Danks. John Danks has been pitching very well this season. In fact, John Danks has a 2.67 ERA on the season. We see John Danks pitching another great game today.

The Chicago White Sox are 43-15 in their last 58 meetings against the Kansas City Royals (when playing in Chicago), and should be able to get another blowout win today!

Take the Chicago White Sox -1.5 Runs

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JOHN FINA

Selection: Colorado Rockies -1.5 Runs +105

Today the Pittsburgh Pirates will be on the road as they take on the Colorado Rockies (the Colorado Rockies are 8-1 in their last 9 home games). We will side with the Colorado Rockies -1.5 Runs! One reason why we will side with the Colorado Rockies is beacuse they will be sending to the mound the much better starting pitcher. This says it all... The Pittsburgh Pirates Starting Pitcher (Zach Duke) has a 7.42 ERA in his last 3 starts, while Colorado Rockies Starting Pitcher (Aaron Cook) has a 3.22 ERA in his last 3 starts. To say the least, the Colorado Rockies should be able to get a blowout win today! Take the Colorado Rockies -1.5 Runs

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MATT RIVERS

For Sunday take the Cubs in Houston

Ryan Dempster has not been the same pitcher on the road as at home and Brandon Backe is coming off of that gem in Washington but I do not believe that the Houston righthander will be able to repeat that feat here and will therefore back Dempster and the visitors from the Windy City.

I have no issues with the talented Astros as there is an upside there but all in all the Cubbies are the superior team, with or without the banged up Kerry Wood, and Dempster overall has been really good this season. The sinkerballer has had some issues on the highway but he is still more trustworthy to me than Backe.

Last time out the Houston starter was great in Washington but when push comes to shove Backe is a mediocre hurler who should come right back down to Earth here as the Law of averages kicks in showing what he is.

Look for Derrek Lee and Aramis Ramirez to get their hacks in and in the end Dempster to get another road victory.

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JAKE TIMLIN

Sunday selection is the Colorado Rockies -1 1/2 Runs.

On the verge of a four game sweep the Rockies are in great shape for the sweep thanks to being at home and going with their ace in Cook. Yep already knowing how he was before his masterful All-Star performance it is Cook who gives the Rockies their best shot at winning on any given night. After all thanks to his 11-6 record that supports an ERA of 3.57 Cook looks good to get his 12th win tonight against a Pittsburgh team that has been blasted by the Rockies over the last 3 days by a combined score of 17-6 with all three games coming by 2 or more runs for Colorado. Flat out thanks to the Rockies having won 8 of their last 9 at home and going with their ace today I look for nothing less then a Rockies blowout win.

Colorado -1.5 Runs

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TONY WESTON

The Mets and Reds let me down with the total yesterday, but I'm heading back to that series, but I'm switching gears as I'm going with New York to get over on Cincinnati.

New York comes into this game 6-4 its last 10 road games and is 13-5 its last 18 games overall.

But the main difference today will be Mets starting pitcher Mike Pelfrey, who is 8-6 this season with 3.64 ERA. Though Pelfrey has a 5.56 ERA on the road, he is 4-2 in eight road starts this year, while the Mets are 4-4 in those starts.

After the Mets went 0-4 in his first four starts away from home, they've gone 4-0 in his last four road starts. Also, over Pelfrey's last seven starts he is 6-0 with one no decision, while New York is a perfect 7-0.

Also, since the start of June, Pelfrey?s ERA has gone from 4.65 to its current 3.64.
Pencil in Pelfrey as your starting pitcher and go with the Mets on the road today.

3♦ METS

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  BOB HARVEY

CLEVELAND INDIANS

The Cleveland Indians have a huge pitching mismatch as they meet the Mariners in the rubber match of there three-game series. Not much has gone right for the Indians this season, but they've got a good chance to win nearly every time Cliff Lee takes the mound. Lee (12-2, 2.31 ERA) is tied for the AL lead in wins and is second in ERA. Those numbers earned him a start in Tuesday?s All-Star game, and he responded by striking out three and allowing one hit in two scoreless innings. Cleveland is 13-5 when Lee pitches, compared with a 29-49 record in all other games. He won his final start before the break July 11 by striking out seven in six innings of a 5-0 victory over Tampa Bay. Meanwhile the Mariners will go with Carlos Silva whose been as bad as Lee's been good. Silva is 4-11 overall with an ERA of 5.46. But since the beginning of May, he's 1-11 with a 6.93 ERA. His .317 opponent batting average for the year ranks among the five worst in the majors, not what the Mariners were hoping for when they signed him to a four-year, $48 million contract before the season.The right-hander has been a bit better recently, allowing two runs in three of his last four starts

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Sportsbettingstats

Boston Red Sox at L.A. Angels

In yesterdays game between these two teams the Angels beat the Red Sox 4-2. The Angles have the best record in the majors, are in 1st place in the AL West with a 8 game lead over the Oakland A's, and are 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Red Sox are 5-5 in their last 10 games and trail the Tampa Bay Rays by 1.5 games in the AL East. Taking the mound for the Angels is Jon Garland (8-6 4.20 ERA), who has been a steady back end of the rotation starter for the Halos and in his last outing went 2 innings giving up 7 runs in a loss. In yesterdays win over the Red Sox the Angels scored 4 runs on 9 hits and left 5 men on base. Taking the mound for the Red Sox is the knuckle-ball master Tim Wakefield (6-6 3.60 ERA), who in his last outing went 7 innings giving up only 1 earned run in a win. In yesterdays loss to the Halos the Red Sox scored 2 runs on 8 hits and left 12 men on base.

Staff Pick: In this game the advantage in the pitching match up is a toss up, even though Wakefield had a better outing in his last start and Garland was shelled for 7 runs in only 2 innings in his last start. Wakefield has been rolling for almost 2 months, as he has a 2.13 ERA in his last 9 starts dating to late May, and he is coming off his best start of the season in that span, as he allowed 1 run and 2 hits in seven innings of a 12-1 win over the Orioles last Saturday. The Angels are cruising in the AL West and have the biggest lead of any division leader at 8 games. The Red Sox have lost 5 straight road games and even though they have the best home record in the majors (57-42) their record away from Fenway is only 21-31. The Halos have only allowed 9 runs in their last 4 games. In their last few games the Red Sox have been getting on base, but they have not been getting clutch hits, as can be shown in last nights game where they stranded 12 runners. Wakefield has had trouble against Angel superstar Vladimir Guerrero, who is 7/16 lifetime against him with 4 home runs. The Red Sox rank 2nd in the AL in runs scored (498) and the Angels rank 10th (420). The Red Sox need to start to win, as being mediocre in the AL East will not allow them to catch the Rays or stay ahead of the Yankees, who will surely make their 2nd half push. Wakefield is pitching well as of late, but the Halos will get to him as they are streaking and playing with a ton of confidence. Look for a close game but for the Angels to win in a game that will see a lot of offense from both teams.

Angels 9 Red Sox 7

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VEGAS EXPERTS

Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona got a much needed win yesterday behind Dan Haren and you have to like them again today with Brandon Webb on the hill. Webb is 9-3 all-time vs. the Dodgers and has won seven straight decisons against them, including a 4-0 mark last year with two shutouts. He also owns an 11-1 TSR against teams with a batting average of .255 or less on the season. Dodgers are just 1-4 in this ballpark in 2008.

Play on: Arizona

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ATS Lock Canadian

Edmunton +3.5  3 units

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KELSO

High Rollers Club 10 unit

Tampa Bay


Best Bets Club

5 unit - Arizona
4 unit - Boston
3 unit - Milwaukee

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Jeff Scott Sports

2 UNIT PLAYS

MINNESOTA -132 over Texas

The Rangers are 5-12 in the last 17 meetings and 4-9 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, while the Twins are 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter and 17-4 in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.The Twins are playing some of the best ball in the majors right now as they come in here winners of 17 of their last 24 games overall and 14 of their last 16 at home. Overall the Twins at 33-18 at home, scoring 5.3 rpg and hitting .290 in the process. Minnesota is 4-2 at home vs Texas this year and has scored 7.5 rpg n those 6 games. Vicente Padilla is making his first start since coming off the DL and had really struggled before going on it as he was 0-2 with a 15.58 ERA in 2 starts. Vicente is 7-2 on the road, but with a 5.20 ERA on the year. Scott Baker has been solid for the Twins this year, going 6-2 with a 3.47 ERA overall, including a 3-0 mark with a 2.67 ERA at home and a 4-0 mark with a 3.0- ERA in his last 5 starts. He will be taking on a strong Texas offense that scores 6.1 rpg vs righties on the year, but also one that has been held to just 2 runs in the first two games of this series. The Minnesota pitching has stymied this Texas offense in this series, while the Twins offense has put 20 runs on the board vs the 29th ranked Texas pitching staff. Minnesota is just too hot to go against them here, especially when taking on a pitcher fresh off the DL. Twins get the sweep.

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TOM FREESE
       
Cleveland at Seattle

Cleveland starter Cliff Lee is 7-2 in 9 career team starts vs. the Mariners and they are 13-5 in 18 starts made by Lee this year. The Indians are 5-1 their last 6 games overall and they are 4-1 after scoring 5 or more runs in their last game. Seattle is 6-13 their last 19 home games and they are 14-30 their last 44 games vs. losing teams. The Mariners are 4-22 after scoring 5 or more runs in their last game and they are 6-20 vs. a team that allowed 5 or more runs in their last game. The M's are 2-9 in the last 11 starts made by Carlos Silva. PLAY ON CLEVELAND -

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BRIAN MARSHALL

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds
Plays On: New York/Cincinnati Under 8.5

The New York Mets will be lead by starting pitcher Michael Pelfrey. Michael Pelfrey has been pitching well this season. In fact, Michael Pelfrey has a 3.64 ERA on the season. In addition, Michael Pelfrey has a 0.41 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Michael Pelfrey giving up very few hits and runs today.

The Cincinnati Reds will be lead by starting pitcher Edinson Volquez. Edinson Volquez has also been pitching well this season. In fact, Edinson Volquez has a 2.29 ERA on the season. We see Edinson Volquez also giving up very few hits and runs today.

The bottom line, we should see very little scoring today.

Take the New York Mets/Cincinnati Reds Under 8.5

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JB's Computer Picks

Cincinnati Reds -130

Minnesota Twins -140

St. Louis Cardinals -145

Cleveland Indians -140

Arizona Diamondbacks -150

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LT Profits

Los Angeles Dodgers +130

Brandon Webb of the Arizona Diamondbacks is certainly one of the best pitchers in all of baseball, but Derek Lowe of the Los Angeles Dodgers has actually been the better pitcher over the last six weeks or so, and he gets the call as a decided underdog here.

Lowe is coming off of another gem vs. the Atlanta Braves where he allowed one run on only two hits in 7.1 innings of a 2-1 victory. That gives him a 2.75 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in his last three starts and eight Quality Starts in his last 10 outings. He has also allowed one earned run or less in five of his last six starts vs. Arizona including one start this year, and he is not exactly facing a scorching Diamondbacks lineup in this spot.

Now Webb is 13-4 with a 3.37 ERA overall, but he has not seemed like himself lately. In fact, he has just three Quality Starts in his last seven starts, with the D-Backs as a team going 3-4 in those games. Perhaps most discouraging is his uncharacteristic 1.37 WHIP over his last three starts.

Finally, the Dodgers clearly have the superior bullpen here, giving them even more value at this price.

Pick: Dodgers +130

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Michael Alexander

Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox
Play: Chicago White Sox   

The Kansas City Royals look to take the rubber game of their three game weekend set versus the Chicago White Sox today after a convincing win yesterday. The win yesterday was their first of the season on the road versus the White Sox this season. Overall the Royals have struggled on the road posting only a 22-30 record. The Kansas City offense has struggled recently as well posting 3.9 runs per game and hitting only .217 in their past seven.

Today Kansas City will send vetern right-hander, Brian Bannister, to the hill. Bannister has really struggled on the road posting a 2-5 mark with a horrible 8.14 ERA. In his last three starts he has struggled to get anyone out posting an 0-2 mark with an astronomical 9.91 ERA. His last start versus the White Sox was back on July 9th where he gave up 5 runs in 6.7 innings and lost 7-6.

The White Sox come into this one needing a victory as well as they are only a 1/2 game in front of the red hot Minnesota Twins. The loss yesterday was their 4th in their last 6. Overall the White Sox have been very tough at home posting an impressive 33-14 while scoring 5.7 runs per game while hitting .270 as a team.

Chicago will counter today with left-hander John Danks. Danks has been having a good year thus far posting a 7-4 overall mark with a sparkling 2.67 ERA. Danks has hadd some good success versus the Royals posting a miniscule 1.98 ERA. In his last two starts at home Danks has given up only 3 earned runs in 14.3 innings of work.

SUPPORTING TRENDS: CHI WHITE SOX are 12-2 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in home games in day games this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 22-3 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in home games with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 4-16 (-10.6 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.

Not the lowest of numbers in this one but there's a huge disparity in this pitching matchup. Look for Chicago to continue their home dominence over the Royals. I'm taking the White Sox in this one.

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Tony Karpinski

Cleveland Indians vs. Seattle Mariners   
Play: Cleveland Indians 

Cliff Lee has been lights out all season for the Indians and I see little reason to believe that's about to change as he faces the less than daunting Seattle attack. Cliff is 5-0 at home with a low ERA, but how about his numbers away from Cleveland? Is there a pitcher better on the road this season than Cliff? He has seven road victories to just two road losses. He also has an ERA of just 2.77. Cliff has allowed just five home-runs all season to go along with his great WHIP. Carlos Silva tosses for the M's, and while he's been a little better lately, he's anything but dominating. Huge edge on the mound for the Indians, and it's a game they should win.

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WILD BILL

Florida +145 (5 units)
Mets +120 (5 units)
Nationals +185 (5 units)
Astros +125 (5 units)
St Louis -145 (5 units)
Brewers +120 (5 units)
Arizona -145 (5 units)
Yankees -140 (5 units)
Tigers -125 (5 units)
Over 9 1/2 Detroit-Balt (5 units)
Tampa -145 (5 units)
Texas +125 (5 units)
Indians -135 (5 units)
Boston +100 (5 units)

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