MLB Trends June 5

MLB Trends June 5

Hot Pitchers
-- Braves won all six Jurrjens home starts (4-0, 2.83). Nolasco is 3-0, 2.89 in his last three starts.
-- Pirates won five of six Maholm home starts.
-- Wellemeyer is 3-0, 2.42 in his last four starts. Nationals won eight of last ten Redding starts.
-- Banks is 2-0, 0.60 in two appearances for the Padres; in only start, he threw complete game and beat Giants 5-1.
-- Dempster is 3-1, 2.73 in his last four starts. Billingsley is 2-1, 1.00 in his last four starts.

-- McGowan is 2-0, 3.46 in his last two starts.
-- Rays won six of last eight Shields starts.
-- Olson is 1-0, 1.50 in his last couple starts.
-- Sabathia has 1.89 RA in his last five starts, but Indians lost his last three- they scored eight runs in his last four outings. Rangers won Millwood's last four home starts.
-- Contreras is 3-0, 1.54 in his last five starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Touted rookie Bailey makes first start for Cincinnati; he was an average 4-4, 4.15 at AAA Louisville this season. Hamels has a 12.10 RA in his last two starts, but Phillies won three of his last four starts at home.
-- Astros lost six of last seven Backe road starts.
-- Lannan is 1-3, 3.70 in his last four starts. Parisi gve up eight runs in 2.2 IP in his first start, a 14-4 home loss to Pirates.
-- Pelfrey is 0-6, 6.34 in his last eight starts.

-- Wang is 0-1, 7.92 in his last three starts.
-- Baker comes off DL to start here; Twins are 5-1 in his starts.
-- Lester is 0-1, 6.30 in two starts since his no-hitter.
-- Meche is 0-2, 3.50 in his last three starts.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won eight of their last ten games.
-- Braves are 17-4 in their last twenty-one home games.
-- Cubs won nine of their last ten games.
-- Cardinals won eleven of their last sixteen games.
-- Mets won even of their last nine games.

-- Red Sox won five of their last six games.
-- Toronto is 10-5 in its last fifteen road games.
-- Rangers are 11-6 in their last seventeen home games.

Cold Teams
-- Reds are 4-14 in their last eighteen road games.
-- Marlins lost nine of their last twelve road games.
-- Pirates lost seven of their last ten games. Astros lost six of their last seven games, scoring ten runs.
-- Nationals lost four of last five games, scoring one run in their last three games.
-- Padres are 9-14 in their last 23 home games.
-- Dodgers lost ten of last thirteen games.

-- Rays lost five of their last seven road games.
-- Bronx lost three of its last four games.
-- Orioles lost five of last seven games. Minnesota is 5-8 in last thirteen home games.
-- Indians are 3-10 in their last thirteen road games.
-- White Sox lost three of their last four games. Royals lost nine in a row on the road, outscored 58-21.

Totals
-- Seven of last nine Hamels starts went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Backe starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 11-3-1 in last fifteen Florida road games.
-- Five of last seven Wellemeyer starts stayed under. In the last eleven Redding starts, over is 6-3-2.
-- Six of last nine Pelfrey starts stayed under the total.
-- 12 of last 15 Dodger games stayed under the total.

-- Last three Wang starts all went over the total.
-- Eleven of last fifteen Minnesota home games went over.
-- Shields' last three road starts all went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Texas games went over the total; 86 runs scored in their last four games. Sabathia's last seven starts all stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten White Sox games stayed under the total, as have last seven Contreras starts.

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Re: MLB Trends June 5

Tips and Trends

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox  [NESN | 6:05 PM ET]

Rays: The Rays have won James Shields' last three starts, although he hasn't factored in any of the decisions. Shields has been average in those three outings, giving up nine runs in 21.2 innings of work. He's been much tougher at home than on the road this season. In five road starts, Shields is just 1-2 with a 6.04 ERA. Traveling to Fenway Park may not help Shields get over his road woes. In six career starts versus the Red Sox, Shields is just 1-3 with an ERA of 4.76.

Key Injuries - NONE


Red Sox (-130, O/U 9 ): Jon Lester is starting to put it all together but he still struggles with his control. Despite sporting a 3.67 ERA this season, Lester has walked 36 batters in 76 innings pitched. Lester is in a bit of a two-game funk since pitching his no-hitter against the Royals. In his last 10 innings pitched, Lester has allowed 14 hits and seven runs. Lester has been tough at home, going 2-1 with a strong 2.72 ERA in six starts at Fenway Park.

Key Injuries - NONE


Florida Marlins at Atlanta Braves  [7:10 PM ET]

Marlins: Ricky Nolasco is on top of his game right now, winning three straight and four of his last five starts. Nolasco had a rough start to the season but has been able to turn things around, allowing just nine runs is his last 29.1 innings pitched. Nolasco has done some of his best work on the road, going 4-1 with a 3.99 ERA in seven starts. Despite the fact that Nolasco has pitched well in his last five outings, four of those games have come in OVER the total.

Key Injuries - NONE


Braves (-155, O/U 9.5): Teams haven't had much luck when facing Jair Jurrjens at Turner Field this season. In six home starts, Jurrjens is a perfect 4-0 with an impressive 2.06 ERA. Jurrjens has given up three runs or less in 10 of his 12 starts but he's coming off his worst outing of the year against the Reds, where he gave up six walks and six runs in just 4.1 innings of work. The last three games Jurrjens has started have easily soared OVER the total.

Key Injuries - NONE


Cleveland Indians at Texas Rangers  [8:05 PM ET]

Indians (-125, O/U 10): This isn't the way C.C. Sabathia and the Indians envisioned the season going. He's just 3-7 with a 4.72 ERA. Sabathia has actually pitched pretty well in his last three outings but has gone 0-2 with one no decision. Over that three-game span, Sabathia has given up seven runs in 22 innings of work. Sabathia could get well against the Rangers, a team he's 7-2 against over his career. Despite Sabathia's poor record, the UNDER has cashed in his last seven starts.

Key Injuries - NONE


Rangers: Kevin Millwood has been inconsistent this year but the high-scoring Rangers have still won four of the last five games he's started. Millwood is perfect at home this season going 3-0 in six starts, although his ERA is a less than imposing 4.65. The OVER has been a moneymaking proposition with Millwood on the mound this year, cashing in six of his last seven starts.

Key Injuries - NONE


Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers  [10:10 PM ET]

Cubs: There aren't a lot of people who thought Ryan Dempster would be 7-2 with a dazzling 2.75 ERA at this point in the season. Dempster has been of baseball's biggest surprises, contributing to a strong Cubs rotation. Dempster has given up three runs or less in nine of 12 starts this season. While Dempster has been unbeatable at home, he's had bad luck on the road, going 0-2 in four starts despite sporting a 2.08 ERA. Five of Dempster's last six starts have come in UNDER the total.

Key Injuries - NONE


Dodgers (-125, O/U 7.5): The Dodgers have lost Chad Billingsley's last two starts but it's been far from his fault. Billingsley gave up just two runs in 13 innings but came away with a loss and a no decision. The loss was a 3-1 defeat to the Cubs at Wrigley Field, a game where Billingsley allowed just four hits while striking out seven. Don't expect to se a lot of runs scored when Billingsley takes the hill. The UNDER is 6-0 in his last six starts.

Key Injuries - NONE

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Re: MLB Trends June 5

ATSDatabase Winning 80% Club Stats

Here are today's ATS Baseball Stats and Trends for Thursday, June 5, 2008

When CHI WHITE SOX team played as a Home team - During the month of June - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite - Coming off a Win vs. AL CENTRAL opponent
SU Record: 12-3-0
O/U/P Record: 7-8-0

When TAMPA BAY team played as a 100 to 120 Road Underdog - Coming off vs. American League opponent - Playing on Thursday - Coming off a Road loss - Coming off a night game
SU Record: 8-2-0
O/U/P Record: 7-3-0

When MINNESOTA team played as a Home team - After a non division game - During a day game - Coming off a Win vs. AL EAST opponent - Coming off a 1 game win
SU Record: 5-11-0
O/U/P Record: 3-12-1

When NY YANKEES team Played as Home team as a Favorite - During a day game - Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 - Coming off a 1 game win - Coming off a Home win
SU Record: 11-2-0
O/U/P Record: 6-6-1

When BOSTON team Played as home team as a Favorite - During the 2008 season - Vs AL EAST opponent
SU Record: 9-2-0
O/U/P Record: 5-6-0

When CLEVELAND team played as a -120 to -140 road Favorite - During the month of June - Last 5 years
SU Record: 9-2-0
O/U/P Record: 8-2-1

When BOSTON team played as a home team - During the 2008 season - Vs Division Opponent
SU Record: 9-2-0
O/U/P Record: 5-6-0

When TAMPA BAY team played as a 100 to 120 road Underdog - During a night game - During the month of June
SU Record: 3-10-0
O/U/P Record: 11-2-0

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