MLB Trends May 24

MLB Trends May 24

Hot Pitchers
-- Campillo shut Mets out for six innings in his first 2008 start; Arizona won last five Johnson starts, scoring 31 runs.
-- Lannan is 2-1, 2.79 in his last three starts.
-- Arroyo is 1-0, 2.70 in his last three starts.

-- Litsch is 3-0, 3.00 in his last four starts.
-- Danks is 1-0, 2.55 in his last three starts. Weaver is 1-0, 1.46 in his last two starts, but Angels are 1-4 in his road starts.
-- Jackson is 0-0, 0.44 in his last three starts.
-- Lee is 6-1, 1.67 in eight starts this season.
-- Duchscherer is 2-0, 2.25 in two home starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Francis is 1-4, 5.83 in his last nine starts. Vargas is 0-2, 4.77 in two starts for the Mets.
-- Myers is 0-3, 8.58 in his last five starts. Moehler is 1-1, 3.60 in three starts, going five in all three.
-- Marquis is 1-3, 5.95 in his last four starts. Dumatrait is 1-1 in four starts, with a 4.87 RA.
-- Badenhop is 1-3, 7.49 in his last seven starts. Cain has a 6.35 RA in his last five road starts.
-- McClung is making first start for Brewers; he started 37 times for Tampa Bay from 2003-06.
-- Ledezma is 0-1, 5.63 in two starts this season.
-- Penny is 0-2, 10.80 in his last three starts. Lohse is 0-2, 8.61 in his last four starts.

-- Silva is 0-3, 10.02 in his last four starts; Felix Hernandez is scratched for this start with a leg injury. Mussina allowed seven runs (six unearned) in less than an inning Tuesday, after he had won his previous four starts.
-- Hochevar is 1-2, 8.10 in his three road starts.
-- Trachsel is 1-4, 8.20 in his last six starts.
-- Rangers are 1-5 in Feldman starts, (three extra-inning losses).
-- Tigers lost seven of nine Robertson starts. Bonser is 0-1, 8.46 in his last four starts.
-- Beckett has a 4.83 RA in eight starts this season.

Hot Teams
-- Marlins are 3-1 in second game of home series if they lost the opener. Giants won three in a row, scoring 17 runs.
-- Atlanta is 13-2 in its last fifteen home games.
-- Astros are 11-3 in last fourteen home games. Phillies are 3-1 in their last four games.
-- Rockies won four of their last six games.
-- Cardinals won five of their last six games. Dodgers won three of their last four games.

-- Detroit won three of last four games, scoring 34 runs.
-- Rangers won six of last eight road games.
-- Bronx won last three games, allowing total of three runs.
-- Toronto won eight of its last eleven games.
-- Rays won thirteen of last fourteen home games.
-- White Sox won eight of last nine games. Angels won four of their last five games.
-- Oakland won six of last eight home games. .

Cold Teams
-- Cubs are 5-9 in their last fourteen road games. Pirates are 1-4 in their last five games overall.
-- Arizona lost six of its last seven road games.
-- Brewers lost 11 of their last thirteen road games. Nationals are 2-4 in their last six home games.
-- Mets are 4-9 in their last thirteen games.
-- Reds lost eleven of last thirteen road games. Padres are 3-7 in their last ten games.

-- Twins lost seven of last eleven road games.
-- Indians lost their last seven games.
-- Mariners lost eleven of their last twelve road games.
-- Royals lost last five games, allowing 33 runs.
-- Orioles are 4-9 in their last thirteen road games.
-- Red Sox lost six of their last seven road games.

Totals
-- Under is 6-1-1 in Cubs' last eight road games.
-- Three of last four Florida games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Arizona games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Milwaukee road games.
-- Six of last seven Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven games at Coors Field stayed under total.
-- Under is 16-6-1 in games at Petco Park this season.
-- Four of last six St Louis games went over the total.

-- Five of last six Detroit home games went over total.
-- Nine of last 11 Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eleven Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 11-3 in last fourteen Toronto home games.
-- Under is 10-4 in last fourteen Baltimore road games.
-- Eight of last ten White Sox games stayed under total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Boston road games.

Umpires
-- Az-Atl-- Underdog is 5-2 in Timmons games this season.
-- NY-Colo-- Five of last seven Fairchild games went over.
-- Phil-Hst-- Underdog won last seven O'Nora games.
-- Chi-Pitt-- Under is 8-1-1 when Bell is behind the dish.
-- SF-Fla-- Under is 7-2 in Meriwether games this season.
-- Mil-Wsh-- Three of last four Emmel games stayed under.
-- Cin-SD-- Visitor won seven of last nine Campos games.
-- StL-LA-- Under is 8-2 in Layne games this season.

-- Sea-NY-- Favorite won last seven Vanover games.
-- KC-Tor-- Last three Dreckman games went over the total.
-- LA-Chi-- Last four Marquez games went over the total.
-- Balt-TB-- Under is 8-2 in Hickox games this season.
-- Tex-Clev-- Five of last seven scott games stayed under the total, with home side winning last five, favorite last four.
-- Min-Det-- Under is 4-2 in last six Hudson games.
-- Bos-A's-- Under is 6-3-1 with Joyce behind the plate.

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Re: MLB Trends May 24

Trend Sheet

1:05 PM SEATTLE vs. NY YANKEES
Seattle is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Yankees's last 15 games


1:07 PM KANSAS CITY vs. TORONTO
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City


3:55 PM ARIZONA vs. ATLANTA
Arizona is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing Arizona


3:55 PM LA ANGELS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Angels's last 10 games
Chi White Sox are 5-11 SU in their last 16 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels


3:55 PM NY METS vs. COLORADO
NY Mets are 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games at home


6:10 PM BALTIMORE vs. TAMPA BAY
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing at home against Baltimore


7:05 PM CHI CUBS vs. PITTSBURGH
Chi Cubs are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 1-12 SU in their last 13 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs


7:05 PM MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home


7:05 PM PHILADELPHIA vs. HOUSTON
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
Houston is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home


7:05 PM TEXAS vs. CLEVELAND
Texas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Texas is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home


7:10 PM MILWAUKEE vs. WASHINGTON
Milwaukee is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 16 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 1-5-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Washington is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games


7:10 PM SAN FRANCISCO vs. FLORIDA
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Florida
Florida is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


9:05 PM BOSTON vs. OAKLAND
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Boston is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boston
Oakland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games


10:05 PM CINCINNATI vs. SAN DIEGO
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati


10:10 PM ST. LOUIS vs. LA DODGERS
St. Louis is 12-3-1 SU in their last 16 games when playing LA Dodgers
St. Louis is 2-3-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 4-1-1 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games

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Re: MLB Trends May 24

Tips and Trends

New York Mets at Colorado Rockies [FOX | 3:55 PM ET]

Mets: Claudio Vargas has lost both of his starts this year but he's given the Mets a chance to win in each outing. While not spectacular, Vargas has given up a workmanlike six runs in 11.1 innings of work. Both of the games Vargas has started this year have gone under the total. Vargas was lit up in his one start at Coors Field last season as a member of the Brewers. He took the loss in that game after giving up 12 hits and six runs over seven innings.

The OVER is 5-1 in Vargas' last 6 starts overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Rockies (-140, O/U 10): After eight unsuccessful tries, Jeff Francis finally got his first victory of the season in his last outing against the Minnesota Twins. In that game, Francis recorded seven strikeouts and allowed just two runs in 6.1 innings of work. Francis has struggled at home this year, going 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA in five starts at Coors Field. A lot of Francis' problems in 2008 stem from putting runners on base, although he's done a better job recently, allowing only two walks in his last 11 innings on the mound.

Rockies are 2-6 in their last 8 Saturday games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (Side Play of the Day)



Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves [FOX | 3:55 PM ET]

Diamondbacks: Randy Johnson isn't the dominant pitcher he once was but the results have been the same. Despite giving up four runs or more in four of his seven starts, Johnson has benefited from strong run support on his way to a 4-1 record. Overall, the Diamondbacks have won the last five games Johnson has started. The Big Unit is coming off his most impressive performance of the year, pitching seven shutout innings against the Tigers.

Diamondbacks are 15-5 in their last 20 Saturday games.
Diamondbacks are 8-3 in Johnson's last 11 Saturday starts.
The UNDER is 10-1 in Johnson's last 11 road starts.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 3 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

Braves (-115, O/U 9): Jorge Campillo is making his second start for the Braves after a brilliant outing against the Mets, where he didn't allow a run over six strong innings. Campillo made nine appearances as a relief pitcher for the Braves before entering the starting rotation and has a microscopic 0.99 ERA on the year. Campillo has displayed tremendous control this season, striking out 24 batters and walking just five.

Braves are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings.
The UNDER is 8-3 in Atlanta's last 11 home games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 4



Los Angeles Angels at Chicago White Sox [FOX | 3:55 PM ET]

Angels: After struggling for most of the season, Jered Weaver has finally begun to get it together. Weaver won his previous two starts in impressive fashion, striking out 13 and allowing just two runs in his last 12.1 innings pitched. Weaver has allowed 10 hits in a game on three separate occasions this season, but only gave up six hits in his last two starts. Weaver has been hit hard on the road, going 1-3 with a 7.76 ERA in five starts this season.

Angels are 3-6 in their last 9 games as an underdog.
The UNDER is 14-4 in the last 18 meetings.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

White Sox (-125, O/U 9): John Danks has been a beast for the White Sox in 2008, allowing three runs of less in all but one start. Danks hasn't received a lot of run support, which explains his 3-3 record, but he's shutout the opposition on three separate occasions this season. Danks has actually been more effective on the road than at home. In four starts at U.S. Cellular Field, Danks is just 2-2 with an ERA of 4.64, compared to a 1.76 ERA on the road.

White Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 games overall.
The UNDER is 7-2 in Chicago's last 9 Saturday games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 5

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Re: MLB Trends May 24

ATSDatabase Winning 80% Club Stats

Here are today's ATS Baseball STATS AND TRENDS for Saturday, May 24, 2008

When FLORIDA team played as a -100 to -120 Home Favorite - During a night game - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off a Loss vs. NL WEST opponent - Scored 2 or more runs FOR in their last game
SU Record: 9-2-0
O/U/P Record: 5-5-1

When NY METS team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Playing on Saturday - Before a conference game - Allowed 6 runs or more AGAINST in their last game - Coming off a night game
SU Record: 12-8-0
O/U/P Record: 4-16-0

When COLORADO team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Playing on Saturday - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off a night game - Coming off a Win vs. NL EAST opponent
SU Record: 9-2-0
O/U/P Record: 3-8-0

When COLORADO team Played as Home team as a Favorite - 2nd game of a series - Vs NL EAST opponent - Coming off a night game - Coming off a 1 game win
SU Record: 13-2-0
O/U/P Record: 7-7-1

When COLORADO team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Before a non division game - 2nd game of a series - Coming off a night game - Coming off a 1 game win
SU Record: 30-7-0
O/U/P Record: 15-21-1

When NY METS team played as a Road team - Vs. Left handed pitchers - Before a conference game - Coming off a Loss vs. NL WEST opponent - Coming off a 1 run lost
SU Record: 4-6-0
O/U/P Record: 2-8-0

When COLORADO team Played as home team as a Favorite - During the month of May - Playing on Saturday
SU Record: 10-7-0
O/U/P Record: 3-14-0

When FLORIDA team played as a -100 to -120 home Favorite - Last 2 years - Total is between 8.5 to 9.0
SU Record: 7-12-0
O/U/P Record: 13-3-3

When PITTSBURGH team Played as home team as a Underdog - During the month of May - Total is between 9.5 to 10.0
SU Record: 7-8-0
O/U/P Record: 12-3-0

When HOUSTON team played as a 100 to 120 home Underdog - During the month of May - During a night game
SU Record: 4-7-0
O/U/P Record: 2-9-0

When ATLANTA team Played as home team as a Favorite - Playing on Saturday - Vs. Left handed pitchers
SU Record: 16-3-0
O/U/P Record: 11-8-0

CLEVELAND: When ANY MLB Team played as a -160 to -180 Home Favorite - Last 3 years - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Coming off a 4 run lost - Coming off a night game
SU Record: 9-8-0
O/U/P Record: 3-12-2

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