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MLB Trends May 5

MLB Trends May 5

MLB LONG SHEET

CHICAGO CUBS (18 - 13) at CINCINNATI (12 - 20)


RYAN DEMPSTER (R) vs. JOHNNY CUETO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 878-955 (-194.3 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 253-300 (-85.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 131-187 (-57.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 20-40 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 823-875 (-173.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 650-702 (-129.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 438-429 (-104.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
DEMPSTER is 85-83 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 40-31 (+17.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 72-72 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 52-39 (+22.5 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 220-241 (-56.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 9-24 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 18-27 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 84-110 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 84-110 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 42-61 (-21.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

RYAN DEMPSTER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
DEMPSTER is 4-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.83 and a WHIP of 1.669.
His team's record is 6-2 (+5.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.9 units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.


ST LOUIS (20 - 12) at COLORADO (12 - 19)

JOEL PINEIRO (R) vs. UBALDO JIMENEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 108-96 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 108-93 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 77-67 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 82-69 (+21.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 59-48 (+16.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 67-46 (+32.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against COLORADO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

JOEL PINEIRO vs. COLORADO since 1997
PINEIRO is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 6.94 and a WHIP of 1.542.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
JIMENEZ is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 2.400.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)


PHILADELPHIA (18 - 14) at ARIZONA (21 - 10)

JAMIE MOYER (L) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 114-86 (+27.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 49-38 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 64-38 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 114-86 (+27.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 83-58 (+24.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 36-21 (+16.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MOYER is 44-36 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JAMIE MOYER vs. ARIZONA since 1997
MOYER is 1-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.108.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.


NY METS (16 - 13) at LA DODGERS (17 - 14)

OLIVER PEREZ (L) vs. CHAD BILLINGSLEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 22-6 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in home games in May games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 75-55 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
PEREZ is 18-8 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

OLIVER PEREZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
PEREZ is 5-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.382.
His team's record is 6-4 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.1 units)

CHAD BILLINGSLEY vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.


BOSTON (20 - 13) at DETROIT (14 - 18)

DAISUKE MATSUZAKA (R) vs. JEREMY BONDERMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 27-13 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 20-7 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 4-13 (-11.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 10-17 (-11.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

DAISUKE MATSUZAKA vs. DETROIT since 1997
MATSUZAKA is 2-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.05 and a WHIP of 1.209.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.0 units)

JEREMY BONDERMAN vs. BOSTON since 1997
BONDERMAN is 4-4 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.35 and a WHIP of 1.467.
His team's record is 6-4 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.8 units)


CHI WHITE SOX (14 - 15) at TORONTO (15 - 17)

JAVIER VAZQUEZ (R) vs. DUSTIN MCGOWAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 137-123 (+29.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 337-326 (+48.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
TORONTO is 7-16 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 84-100 (-31.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 9-22 (-16.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 41-46 (-15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MCGOWAN is 5-17 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

JAVIER VAZQUEZ vs. TORONTO since 1997
VAZQUEZ is 4-5 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.54 and a WHIP of 1.279.
His team's record is 6-6 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-7. (-2.8 units)

DUSTIN MCGOWAN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
MCGOWAN is 1-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.25 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)


LA ANGELS (20 - 13) at KANSAS CITY (14 - 16)

ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. BRETT TOMKO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 84-115 (+24.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 108-142 (+22.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 368-375 (+42.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 14-32 (-17.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-1 (+0.5 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
SANTANA is 1-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 6.05 and a WHIP of 1.926.
His team's record is 1-3 (-3.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

BRETT TOMKO vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
TOMKO is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.50 and a WHIP of 1.278.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

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Re: MLB Trends May 5

Hot Pitchers
-- Dempster is 3-0, 3.77 in his last five starts.
-- Pineiro is 2-0, 0.64 in his last couple starts.
-- Touted rookie Scherzer makes first big league start; he retired all 13 batters he faced in major league debut last week.

-- Boston is 6-0 in Matsuzaka starts (4-0, 2.52). Detroit is 4-1 in Boncerman's last five starts.
-- Vazquez is 2-1, 3.04 in his last four starts.
-- Santana is 5-0, 2.70 in six starts this season.
-- Eveland is 2-0, 1.42 in pair of home starts. Olsen beat Tampa 7-4 in his first '08 start (two runs in 6.2 IP)

Cold Pitchers
-- Cueto is 0-3, 8.31 in his last four starts.
-- Rockies lost last four Jimenez starts (0-1, 8.50). Moyer is 0-2, 4.43 in his last four starts.
-- Billingsley is 0-2, 4.91 in two home starts. Perez is 0-2, 14.73 in his last couple starts.

-- Blue Jays are 1-5 in McGowan starts (1-0, 3.00 at home).
-- Tomko is 0-2, 6.61 in his last three starts.
-- Washburn is 0-3, 6.23 in his last four starts. Millwood has a 6.16 RA in his last four starts.

Hot Teams
-- Cardinals won six of their last eight games.
-- Arizona is 12-5 at home this season. Phillies won five of their last seven road games.
-- Dodgers won eight of their last nine games. Mets won five of their last seven games.

-- Red Sox won five of their last six games.
-- Toronto allowed 12 runs in last eight games (5-3); they won five of their last six at Rogers Centre.
-- Angels won seven of their last nine road games.
-- Oakland won six of last nine home games, but is 2-4 in home series openers.
-- Rangers won four of last five games.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost five of their last seven road games. Cincinnati lost five in row overall, allowing 37 runs; they're 1-10 in openers.
-- Colorado is 3-11 in its last fourteen games.

-- Tigers lost last three games, allowing 22 runs.
-- White Sox lost last five games, scoring total of nine runs.
-- Royals lost seven of their last ten road games.
-- Orioles lost four of their last five games.
-- Mariners lost their last five games, scoring nine runs.

Totals
-- Under is 5-1-1 in Cubs' last seven road games.
-- Over is 6-2 in last eight games at Coors Field.
-- Over is 5-2 in Phillies' last seven road games.
-- Over is 9-2 in last eleven games at Dodger Stadium.

-- Last four Detroit home games stayed under the total.
-- Last seven White Sox road games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Royal games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 11-4 in Baltimore road games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Seattle home games.

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Re: MLB Trends May 5

Trend Sheet

7:05 PM BOSTON vs. DETROIT
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing Boston


7:07 PM CHI WHITE SOX vs. TORONTO
Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Toronto is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox


7:10 PM CHI CUBS vs. CINCINNATI
Chi Cubs are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games on the road
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs


8:10 PM LA ANGELS vs. KANSAS CITY
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
LA Angels are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing LA Angels


8:35 PM ST. LOUIS vs. COLORADO
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing St. Louis


9:40 PM PHILADELPHIA vs. ARIZONA
Philadelphia is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia


10:05 PM BALTIMORE vs. OAKLAND
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Oakland is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Oakland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Baltimore


10:10 PM NY METS vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
NY Mets are 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
LA Dodgers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing NY Mets


10:10 PM TEXAS vs. SEATTLE
Texas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

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Re: MLB Trends May 5

Tips and Trends

Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers


Red Sox: Daisuke Matsuzaka has been dominant to start off this season, going 4-0 with a 2.52 ERA. He has allowed just 20 hits in 6 starts covering 35+ innings. Matsuzaka allowed just 2 hits in 7 innings pitched last time out. That came 12 days after missing a scheduled start because of the flu. The Tokyo Native defeated Detroit back on April 8th by not allowing a run over 6.2 innings. The Red Sox are 6-0 with Dice-K on the hill.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Tigers (-110, O/U 9): Jeremy Bonderman is beginning to find his form. The right-hander has allowed just 6 earned runs over his last 3 starts, which covers 17+ innings. Bonderman shutdown the Yankees to just 3 runs on 5 hits in his last start, and entered that contest with an ERA over 5 against them in his career. The 2001 draft pick also held down these Boston bats to just 1 earned on 5 hits in 5 innings back on April 9th.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD


Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds

Cubs: Ryan Dempster has still yet to taste defeat here in '08. The right-hander is 4-0 with a 3.16 ERA. He has allowed more than 3 earned runs just once in 6 season starts. Dempster's road ERA is a miniscule 1.29 and has a solid 10-5 K-Walk ratio. The 1995 draftee got the W back on April 15th against these Reds, as he allowed 4 runs on 5 hits in 6 innings of work.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Reds (-115, O/U 9): Rookie Johnny Cueto is coming off the worst outing of his young career, surrendering a career-high 7 runs and 8 hits in just 1 2/3 innings at St. Louis last Tuesday. Cueto had gone at least 6 innings in each of his previous 5 starts and had not allowed more than 5 runs. He has pitched fairly well at home this season, going 1-1 with a 3.43 ERA.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD


New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers

Mets: The wild side of Oliver Perez has reared its ugly head yet again. The south-paw has walked a total of 14 batters over his last 23 starts, and consequently dropped 2 out of those 3 by a combined 17 runs. Perez said he is "Falling behind hitters" and the numbers prove it. However, the last time this Culiacan Native faced these Dodgers in LA resulted in a 4-1 Mets victory with Perez allowing just 1 run over 7+ innings of work.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Dodgers (-130, O/U 8.5): Chad Billingsley showed last time out in Florida why the Dodgers are so high on him. The 23 year-old allowed just 1 run on 3 hits over 7 innings of work, while striking out 8 Marlins. Billingsley said all of his pitches "felt great" and he looks to build off his first victory of the season. The right-hander has never started against New York in his career, but has allowed just 1 hit in 3 innings of relief.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

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