MLB Trends April 16

MLB Trends April 16

MLB WRITE-UP

Hot Pitchers
-- Webb is 3-0, 2.57 in three starts in '08.
-- Hudson is 2-0, 1.93 in his last two starts. Hendrickson is 2-0, 2.92 in his last couple starts.
-- Zambrano is 1-0, 1.32 in two home starts this season.
-- Wainwright is 1-1, 3.50 in three starts this season.
-- Germano has 0.69 RA in two starts, but Padres lost both tilts, scoring total of one run.

-- Gabbard is 1-0, 2.13 in two starts this season. Litsch has 3.38 RA in winning both his starts this season.
-- Wang is 3-0, 1.23 in three starts this season.
-- Hernandez is 3-0, 2.57 in three starts this season.
-- Home side won all three Weaver starts this season (1-2, 3.79).
-- Blanton has 2.84 RA in two home starts. Hernandez is 1-0 in his three starts this season, with a 2.08 RA.

Cold Pitchers
-- Zito is 0-3, 7.31 in three starts (Giants outscored 20-2).
-- Oswalt is 0-3, 9.56 in three starts this season. Kendrick has a 13.51 RA in his first two starts this season.
-- Maine is 0-1, 4.50 in two starts this season. Chico is 0-1, 5.56 in two road starts this season.
-- Fogg is 1-1, 9.00 in two starts this season.
-- Villanueva is 1-1, 4.77 in two starts this season.
-- Redman is 1-1, 6.75 in two starts this season.
-- Penny is 0-2, 6.00 in his last two starts. Maholm is 0-1, 4.36 in his two starts this season.

-- Sabathia is 0-2, 11.57 in three starts this season. Galarraga is making first start for struggling Tigers.
-- Buchholz is 0-2, 4.09 in two starts (Red Sox outscored 14-3).
-- Contreras is 0-1, 6.94 in two starts this season. Loewen has 7.45 RA in two starts this season.
-- Shields is 1-1, 4.50 in three starts this season.
-- Meche is 0-2, 7.13 in three starts this season.

Totals
-- Seven of last eight Arizona games went over the total.
-- Six of eight Houston road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in Washington road games.
-- Four of last five Florida games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-0 in Zambrano starts this season.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Cardinal home games.
-- Four of last five Colorado games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in Pittsburgh road games.

-- Last three Detroit games all went over the total.
-- Six of eight Toronto road games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last eleven Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten Baltimore games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Tampa Bay games stayed under.
-- Under is 11-2 in the Royals' last thirteen games.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in Oakland home games.

Hot Teams
-- Arizona won nine of its last eleven games.
-- Phillies won four of their last five home games.
-- Marlins won three of last four home games.
-- Cubs won four of their last five home games.
-- Cardinals won last six home games.
-- Padres won three of their last four games.
-- Pirates won four of their last five games.

-- Tigers won last two games, scoring 17 runs, but are 1-3 in the last four road games.
-- Blue Jays won four of their last five games.
-- Red Sox won five of their last six games.
-- White Sox won seven of last ten games overall.
-- Royals won five of first eight road games. Angels won three games in row, scoring 24 runs.
-- A's won eight of their last ten games;

Cold Teams
-- Atlanta lost six of eight road games.
-- Astros lost six of their eight road games- they blew 3-0 lead in ninth last night, losing 4-3.
-- Mets are 4-5 in last nine games. Nationals lost ten of their last eleven games.
-- Reds lost last four games, scoring total of nine runs.
-- Rockies lost five of last six road games.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last eight games.

-- Rangers lost their last five games, allowing 31 runs.
-- Indians lost nine of their last twelve games. .
-- Orioles lost five of their last seven games.
-- Seattle allowed 21 runs in last three games (1-2).
-- Rays lost seven of last nine games. Twins lost three in row, allowing 22 runs. Young-Harris/Bartlett were traded last winter for each other.

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Re: MLB Trends April 16

MLB Tips and Trends

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees


Red Sox: Boston's Clay Buchholz pitched well in his last outing against the Yankees, giving up just one run in 6.0 innings of work. However, Wang shut down the Red Sox, so Buchholz?s effort went for naught. Buchholz has only started six games but he?s slowly becoming one of baseball?s best young pitchers, sporting an ERA of 2.14 during his brief career.

Red Sox are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings.
The UNDER is 8-3 in Boston's last 11 games on grass.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Yankees (-150, O/U 9): New York's Chien-Ming Wang has pitched lights-out so far this season, going 3-0 with a minuscule 1.23 ERA. Wang already befuddled Boston once this year, pitching a complete game while allowing just two hits and one run. In his three wins, Wang has only given up three runs over 12 innings and batters are hitting a lowly .156 against him.

Yankees are 40-16 in their last 56 Wednesday games.
The UNDER is 8-1 in New York's last 9 games on grass.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD


Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs


Reds: Cincinnati's Josh Fogg has split a pair of starts so far this season, failing to pitch more than 5 innings in either. Fogg has surrendered a total of 9 runs and 9 hits in 9 innings overall with 3 walks and 6 strikeouts. He is an even 7-7 during his career against the Cubs to go along with a 5.69 ERA.

Reds are 8-2 in their last 10 Wednesday games.
Reds are 2-7 in their last 9 road games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Cubs (-210): Chicago's Carlos Zambrano will try to rebound from his first loss of the season at Philadelphia back home in the friendly confines of Wrigley Field. Zambrano has allowed just 2 runs in 13 2/3 innings at Wrigley so far this year, walking 1 and striking out 12. He is 10-9 lifetime vs. Cincinnati with a 3.39 ERA.

Cubs are 7-2 in their last 9 games on grass.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD


Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals

Brewers: Milwaukee's Carlos Villanueva will look to bounce back from his first loss of the season in his first road start. Villanueva's first 2 starts have both come at home, and the good news is that he was a slightly better pitcher on the road last season. He was 3-2 with a 3.70 ERA away from home in 2007 and is 2-1 lifetime vs. St. Louis with a 2.70 ERA.

Brewers are 10-5 in their last 15 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Cardinals (-130, O/U 8.5): St. Louis pitcher Adam Wainright is 1-1 in 9 appearances during his career against the Brewers with a 2.14 ERA. Wainright has scattered 8 hits in each of his first 2 starts of 2008 but has been fortunate to walk away with a 1-1 mark and 3.60 ERA, walking just 1 and striking out 10 in 15 total innings of work.

Cardinals are 15-4 in their last 19 games overall.
Cardinals are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD


Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres

Rockies: Colorado's Mark Redman is filling the role of the team's fifth starter right now - barely. Redman has failed to pitch a full 6 innings in either of his first 2 starts, giving up 8 runs and 16 hits in less than 11 total innings. He was lucky enough to get 7 runs of support while he was in the game last time out against Atlanta in an eventual 12-6 victory.

Rockies are 2-9 in their last 11 games as an underdog.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Padres (-140, O/U 8.5): San Diego's Justin Germano has never beaten the Rockies in 5 career starts, going 0-3 with an inflated 8.34 ERA. Colorado is hitting .316 against him, which is twice as high as what he is allowing to 2 opponents this season (.152). Unfortunately, the Padres have scored just 1 run combined in his 2 starts totaling 13 innings, as he has walked away with a no-decision each time.

Padres are 18-8 in their last 26 home games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

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Trend Sheet

3:45 PM ARIZONA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Arizona
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona


7:05 PM BOSTON vs. NY YANKEES
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston


7:05 PM CHI WHITE SOX vs. BALTIMORE
Chi White Sox are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Chi White Sox are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home


7:05 PM DETROIT vs. CLEVELAND
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home


7:05 PM HOUSTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Houston is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Philadelphia is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Houston


7:07 PM TEXAS vs. TORONTO
Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Texas is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Toronto's last 19 games when playing at home against Texas


7:10 PM ATLANTA vs. FLORIDA
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Florida is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games


7:10 PM WASHINGTON vs. NY METS
Washington is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
NY Mets are 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington


8:05 PM CINCINNATI vs. CHI CUBS
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home
Chi Cubs are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games


8:10 PM TAMPA BAY vs. MINNESOTA
Tampa Bay is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home


8:15 PM MILWAUKEE vs. ST. LOUIS
Milwaukee is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Milwaukee
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee


10:05 PM COLORADO vs. SAN DIEGO
Colorado is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Colorado
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado


10:05 PM KANSAS CITY vs. LA ANGELS
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Kansas City is 8-15 SU in their last 23 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 8 games at home


10:07 PM SEATTLE vs. OAKLAND
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Oakland is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games at home


10:10 PM PITTSBURGH vs. LA DODGERS
Pittsburgh is 5-15 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Pittsburgh is 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games at home
LA Dodgers are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games

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Re: MLB Trends April 16

Arizona at San Francisco, 3:45 ET
Brandon Webb (R) vs. Barry Zito (L)
Webb: 25-9 TSR when the total is 7 to 8.5
Zito: 6-13 TSR at home in April

Houston at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Roy Oswalt (R) vs. Kyle Kendrick (R)
Oswalt: HOU 22-43 Away when the total is 8.5 to 10
Kendrick: PHI 47-27 after 1 or more consecutive unders

Atlanta at Florida, 7:10 ET
Tim Hudson (R) vs. Mark Hendrickson (L)
Hudson: 9-2 TSR, 2.47 ERA vs. Florida
Hendrickson: FLA 2-11 at Home scoring 4 or less in 3 straight

Washington at NY Mets, 7:10 ET
Matt Chico (L) vs. John Maine (R)
Chico: 14-7 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5
Maine: NY Mets 15-21 as a home favorite of -150 to -200

Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 ET
Josh Fogg (R) vs. Carlos Zambrano (R)
Fogg: 6-1 TSR as an underdog of +150 or more
Zambrano: 7-12 TSR in home games

Milwaukee at St. Louis, 8:15 ET
Carlos Villanueva (R) vs. Adam Wainwright (R)
Villanueva: MIL 45-79 Away vs. righties
Wainwright: STL 71-44 OVER after allowing one or less in a win

Colorado at San Diego, 10:05 ET
Mark Redman (L) vs. Justin Germano (R)
Redman: COL 48-36 against division opponents
Germano: 5-16 TSR in night games

Pittsburgh at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Paul Maholm (L) vs. Brad Penny (R)
Maholm: PIT 10-36 on the Road after a loss by 4+ runs
Penny: 42-19 TSR in home games

American League

Detroit at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Armando Galarraga (R) vs. C.C. Sabathia (L)
Galarraga: DET 2-9 when the total is 8.5 to 10
Sabathia: CLE 50-25 against division opponents

Texas at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Kason Gabbard (L) vs. Jesse Litsch (R)
Gabbard: TEX 31-19 Away after a loss
Litsch: TOR 31-12 at home when the total is 9 to 9.5

Boston at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET
Clay Buchholz (R) vs. Chien-Ming Wang (R) ESPN2
Buchholz: BOS 43-25 Under as road dog
Wang: NYY 10-1 Under as favorite

Chicago White Sox at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Jose Contreras (R) vs. Adam Loewen (L)
Contreras: 13-21 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5
Loewen: BAL 12-3 at home with a money line of -100 to -125

Tampa Bay at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
James Shields (R) vs. Livan Hernandez (R)
Shields: TB 3-22 Away off BB home games
Hernandez: 8-2 TSR as a home underdog

Kansas City at Los Angeles Angels, 10:05 ET
Gil Meche (R) vs. Jered Weaver (R)
Meche: 39-24 TSR when the total is 8 to 8.5
Weaver: LAA 14-23 at home after 4+ overs

Seattle at Oakland, 10:05 ET
Felix Hernandez (R) vs. Joe Blanton (R)
Hernandez: SEA 70-55 in night games
Blanton: OAK 4-13 after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

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