MLB Trends April 14

MLB Trends April 14

MLB WRITE-UP

Monday, April 14

Hot Pitchers
-- Kuroda is 1-1, 3.55 in his first two American starts. Duke has a 2.84 RA in his first two starts, both no-decisions.
-- Sanchez struck out 10 in six scoreless IP in his last start, after a poor start first time out.

-- Lester is 1-1, 3.00 in his last two starts. Westbrook is 1-1. 2.76 om his first two starts this season.
-- McGowan is 0-0, 3.27 in two starts, both Toronto losses.
-- Blackburn has 2.25 RA in his first two '08 starts.
-- Santana is 1-1, 3.00 in two starts this season.
-- Smith allowed two hits, three runs in six IP in his first start.
-- Washburn is 1-1, 3.00 in two starts this season. Greinke is 2-0, 0.60 in his first two starts this season.

Cold Pitchers
-- Randy Johnson makes '08 debut here for Diamondbacks.

-- Albers was 0-4, 9.17 in his last four starts LY.
-- Bonderman is 1-1, 4.63 in two starts this season.
-- Sonnanstine is 1-1, 6.00 in two starts. Kennedy has 13.50 RA in two appearances this season.
-- Texas was outscored 12-2 in first two Jennings starts (7.45).
-- Buehrle has one awful start, one good start in '08.

Pitchers vs Teams
-- Duke lost 5-4 to Dodgers LY, allowing five runs in six IP.
-- Sanchez was 0-2, 15.75 vs Arizona LY. Johnson was 0-0, 3.75 in two starts vs Giants last year.

-- Westbrook was 1-2, 4.82 vs Boston LY. Lester beat Indians
6-2 in first start LY (two runs in six IP).
-- McGowan lost 5-2 to Orioles LY, giving up three runs in 6 IP.
-- Bonderman was 1-1, 1.66 in three starts vs Twins LY.
-- Kennedy is 1-1, 8.68 in two starts vs Rays. Road team is 3-0 in Sonnanstine's starts against Bronx (2-1, 4.22).
-- Santana was 1-2, 7.33 in four starts vs Rangers LY. Jennings beat Angels 9-5 LY, allowing five runs in 5.2 IP.
-- Buehrle was 0-1, 3.86 in two starts vs Oakland LY.
-- Washburn was 2-0, 1.80 against Royals LY.

Totals
-- Five of last six Arizona games went over the total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Pittsburgh road games.

-- Four of last six Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Baltimore games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last six Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last nine Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Five of six Tezas home games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in Oaklnad home games.
-- Under is 10-1 in the Royals' last eleven games.

Hot Teams
-- Pirates won last three games, allowing four runs.
-- Arizona won eight of its last nine games. Giants are 4-2 in last six games, after a 1-6 start to season.

-- Red Sox won three of their last four games.
-- Minnesota won three of its last four games.
-- Toronto won four of its last five road games.
-- White Sox, A's both won seven of their last nine games; the Pale Hose didn't allow a run in their last two games.
-- Mariners won four of their last six games.

Cold Teams
-- Dodgers lost five of their last six games.

-- Indians lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Orioles lost three of their last four games.
-- Tigers lost ten of their first twelve games- they didn't score any runs in their last two games.
-- Rays lost five of last seven games. Bronx is 2-4 on the road this season.
-- Angels are 0-4 in game following their last four wins.
-- Rangers lost their last three games.
-- Royals lost three of their last four games.

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Re: MLB Trends April 14

MLB ADDITIONAL Trend Sheet

7:05 PM BOSTON vs. CLEVELAND
Boston is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
Cleveland is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Boston
Cleveland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games


7:05 PM MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
Minnesota is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games


7:05 PM TORONTO vs. BALTIMORE
Toronto is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 8 games


7:10 PM NY YANKEES vs. TAMPA BAY
NY Yankees are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Yankees's last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees


8:05 PM LA ANGELS vs. TEXAS
LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games on the road
Texas is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Texas is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing LA Angels


8:11 PM OAKLAND vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Oakland is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games at home


10:10 PM KANSAS CITY vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City


10:10 PM PITTSBURGH vs. LA DODGERS
Pittsburgh is 4-14 SU in their last 18 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games


10:15 PM ARIZONA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Arizona is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games
San Francisco is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 9 games when playing at home against Arizona

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Re: MLB Trends April 14

Tips and Trends

Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Indians

Red Sox: Red Sox starter Jon Lester looks to bounce back from a rough outing against the Tigers in his last appearance, where he allowed 4 runs in 5+ innings against Detriot?s struggling bats. Lester said he feels like he has been making solid pitches so far this season despite his 4.50 ERA. The south-paw has only allowed just 5 earned runs over 12 innings pitched in his regular season career against the Indians.

Red Sox are 2-9 in their last 11 games as an underdog.
Key Injuries - 3B Mike Lowell (thumb) 15-day DL

PROJECTED SCORE: 6

Indians (-116, O/U 9.5): After losing 9 regular season starts in 2007 Indians starter Jake Westbrook has began his 2008 campaign strong. Westbrook is 1-1 on the young season, but has allowed just 5 earned runs over 16.1 innings pitched: including a complete game against the Angels on April 8th. The right-hander is 3-2 with a 4.81 ERA in 6 career starts against the Red Sox..

Indians are 21-7 in their last 28 home games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 7


LA Angels at Texas Rangers

Angels (-115, O/U 10.5): Angels starter Ervin Santana was one of the weak spots in the Angels rotation last year, with 14 losses. However, Santana has looked strong in both of his outings this season: 4 ER in 12 IP. Ervin Santana has said he feels very confident in the way he is throwing right now, but the last time the right-hander was in Arlington he was lit-up for 6 runs in just 5 innings.

Angels are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings.

Key Injuries - Closer Francisco Rodriguez (ankle) is available

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Rangers: After having an abbreviated 2007 season due to injuries Rangers starter Jason Jennings is off to a rocky start here in ?08. Jennings is 0-2 with a 7.45 ERA with 6 walks compared to just 2 strikeouts. While being pulled early in his most recent start he hurled a ball into the stands in frustration. The right-hander?s struggles have been finding that strike-zone and Los Angeles is fresh off putting up double-digits against Seattle on Sunday.

Rangers are 17-6 in their last 23 home games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD


Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants

Diamondbacks (-130, O/U 8): D-Backs starter Randy Johnson will be making his first appearance of the 2008 season. Johnson, rehabbing from back surgery, allowed 8 runs over 10 innings pitched in his 2 starts for Triple-A Tucson. The Big Unit said he almost felt like he was regressing during those rehab stints, but Johnson did have 8 strikeouts while allowing just 2 earned runs in his last appearance against the Giants.

D-Backs are 4-9 in their last 13 Monday games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Giants: Giants starter Jonathan Sanchez bounced back from a horrific first start on the season (7 ER 4 IP) in his most recent start, throwing 6 shut-out innings against the Padres in a 1-0 victory. Sanchez said he felt comfortable in front of the home crowd in that victory, however he has allowed 7 earned runs over his last 4 innings of work against the Diamondbacks.

Giants are 3-9 in their last 12 games as an underdog.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

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Re: MLB Trends April 14

MLB LONG SHEET

PITTSBURGH (6 - 6) at LA DODGERS (5 - 7)

ZACH DUKE (L) vs. HIROKI KURODA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 5-23 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DUKE is 5-23 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ZACH DUKE vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
DUKE is 1-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 7.99 and a WHIP of 1.817.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

HIROKI KURODA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.


ARIZONA (9 - 3) at SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 8)

RANDY JOHNSON (L) vs. JONATHAN SANCHEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 116-65 (+49.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 616-499 (+85.6 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 142-75 (+46.3 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters since 1997.
ARIZONA is 102-79 (+23.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 102-79 (+23.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 76-54 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 69-60 (+7.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 49-30 (+16.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 76-99 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-47 (-17.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 76-99 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

RANDY JOHNSON vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
JOHNSON is 7-8 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.227.
His team's record is 10-10 (-8.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-7. (+3.3 units)

JONATHAN SANCHEZ vs. ARIZONA since 1997
SANCHEZ is 0-3 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 8.10 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)


BOSTON (7 - 6) at CLEVELAND (5 - 7)

JON LESTER (L) vs. JAKE WESTBROOK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 339-297 (-62.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JON LESTER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
LESTER is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

JAKE WESTBROOK vs. BOSTON since 1997
WESTBROOK is 4-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.47 and a WHIP of 1.834.
His team's record is 4-4 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.7 units)


TORONTO (7 - 5) at BALTIMORE (7 - 5)

DUSTIN MCGOWAN (R) vs. MATT ALBERS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 48-65 (-39.9 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997.
TORONTO is 13-27 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 8-21 (-16.6 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 51-37 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 434-468 (-100.9 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 154-206 (-65.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 434-468 (-100.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 16-30 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 27-56 (-22.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DUSTIN MCGOWAN vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
MCGOWAN is 0-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.978.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

MATT ALBERS vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.


MINNESOTA (6 - 6) at DETROIT (2 - 10)

NICK BLACKBURN (R) vs. JEREMY BONDERMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 33-47 (-21.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 40-50 (-18.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 2-10 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 0-6 (-8.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 0-6 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
DETROIT is 2-9 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in April games this season.
DETROIT is 1-8 (-11.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
DETROIT is 2-10 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 1-9 (-11.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 0-5 (-8.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
BONDERMAN is 3-11 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in home games in April games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NICK BLACKBURN vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

JEREMY BONDERMAN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BONDERMAN is 3-6 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.38 and a WHIP of 1.568.
His team's record is 4-9 (-5.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-4. (+2.9 units)


NY YANKEES (6 - 7) at TAMPA BAY (6 - 6)

IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. ANDY SONNANSTINE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 101-78 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 15-21 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 46-77 (-23.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 21-41 (-20.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 (+1.8 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

IAN KENNEDY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
KENNEDY is 1-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.608.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

ANDY SONNANSTINE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
SONNANSTINE is 2-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.98 and a WHIP of 0.885.
His team's record is 2-1 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)


LA ANGELS (7 - 6) at TEXAS (5 - 7)

ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. JASON JENNINGS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 49-38 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 33-18 (+15.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 49-38 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
JENNINGS is 3-17 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JENNINGS is 1-11 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JENNINGS is 0-8 (-9.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JENNINGS is 3-17 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-1 (+1.9 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. TEXAS since 1997
SANTANA is 4-4 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.483.
His team's record is 5-5 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-2. (+5.6 units)

JASON JENNINGS vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
JENNINGS is 1-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)


OAKLAND (8 - 5) at CHI WHITE SOX (7 - 4)

GREG SMITH (L) vs. MARK BUEHRLE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 412-417 (+38.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
OAKLAND is 5-0 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 49-64 (-24.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

GREG SMITH vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

MARK BUEHRLE vs. OAKLAND since 1997
BUEHRLE is 3-9 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.07 and a WHIP of 1.356.
His team's record is 4-13 (-10.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-5. (+5.6 units)


KANSAS CITY (7 - 5) at SEATTLE (6 - 7)


ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. JARROD WASHBURN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 94-81 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 53-34 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 14-6 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 87-73 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 70-54 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHBURN is 21-28 (-20.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ZACK GREINKE vs. SEATTLE since 1997
GREINKE is 0-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.278.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

JARROD WASHBURN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
WASHBURN is 8-4 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.36 and a WHIP of 1.189.
His team's record is 9-5 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-8. (-2.6 units)

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