Friday Service Plays
Re: Friday Service Plays
Today: Vanderbilt -6.5
Vanderbilt Commodores -6.5 over Siena
Here's another blowout. Vandy just scores too many points and just like I said yesterday when teams play tougher schedules, they are more prepared for this time of the year and Vanderbilt played a very tough SEC schedule. They also played a decent non conference schedule against teams like Wake Forest, Georgia Tech, Utah State, Valpo, South Alabama and UMass. Those aren't top tier teams but they are decent ones and Vandy easily beat them all.
Vandy also played a team from Siena's conference, Iona and the Commodores beat them by 24. Siena ain't staying in this game, there's no way. Vandy just scores so many points and they've done this against great competition, don't tell me they aren't going to score on Siena. They are going to light this team up.
Just too much talent, they've been in too many big situations and they have too much experience for the Saints to contend with. Take Vandy here, they are the play.
Re: Friday Service Plays
50 DIME PLAY
Obviously this game is NOT in the Big Dance but rather the NIT Tournament with a scheduled tipoff of 9:30 Eastern tonight.
No matter though, because when I collect at the cashier's window tomorrow they pay me using the same cold, hard, green cash no matter where the play originates from, the Big Dance, the NIT, or the Arena Football League.
Re: Friday Service Plays
Game: Philadelphia at Orlando
Pick: 4 units on First Half UNDER 104.5 -110 (risk 4 to win 3.6)
Both of these teams have average defenses. Philly is average on offense but Orlando is big-time on offense. Does that spell this game going over 104 in the first half? No way - the line is too high. On the road, Philly games average 97.4 points in the first half. Home games for Orlando average 101.2 first-half points. Philly is off a high-scoring 115-113 contest vs. Denver. The Sixers are 25=13 UNDER the past two seasons after allowing 105+ in their last game. The Magic are 21-12 UNDER in the first half as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. They are alos 8-0 UNDER this season at home revenging a road loss (they lost in Philly February 27th).
Game: Denver at New Jersey
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 226 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Denver has certainly shown they can score and they also play absolutely no defense. They have really become an OVER team of late, playing eight of their last nine OVER the total. The average points scored in their games has been 233. They have also played 10 of 13 on the road against teams with losing records on the season OVER. New Jersey has also become an OVER team of late as six of their last seven have gone OVER. Denver has also played 17-5 OVER when they are a favorite. Both teams are hot offensively and the Nuggets play no defense, so we like the OVER here.
Game: Toronto at Cleveland
Pick: 4 units on First Half UNDER 95.5 -110 (risk 4 to win 3.6)
Chris Bosh is back and said of his first game vs. Miami, "I just wanted to play defense." Gotta love it. He said, "I wasn't worried about offense. Once I get in shape it will come a little easier." We look for lots of defense today from both of these clubs. The last time they played (in January), 76 first-half points were scored. Cleveland home games average 92 points in the first half. They are top-notch on defense, holding opponents to 44.4 per game. They are 28-14 UNDER in the first half the past three seasons after going UNDER in their prior three games. They are 18-7 UNDER over that span after scorign 90 or less in back-to-back games.
Game: Washington at Miami
Pick: 3 units on Washington -13 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
We've been on some big favorites this week and they have all come through. We laid 14 on Dallas and 16 on Denver on Sunday and they both covered. We then gave up 9 on Golden State and 12 on Phoenix on Wednesday and went 1-0-1 or 2-0 depending on the line. Now we see another big line that we feel will be covered. The Wizards are a playoff team that has won four of their last five while Miami owns the worst record in the league. The Heat have packed it in with their coach basically having given up and looking for an out. It didn't get any worse than last game when they put a ridiculous 54 points vs. Toronto. That's the third lowest total in the shot-clock era. Washington has to win the easy games like this as six of their next seven are road games. This one should get ugly too.
Game: Los Angeles Clippers at Portland
Pick: 3 units on Portland -11.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Portland has probably been the most inconsistent team in the NBA. Ironically, they have been highly predictable as a result. You just have to know which way the see-saw is teetering. Their season can be broken down ATS in five segments. They began 6-1 and in the process went 1-0 as a favorite. They then proceeded to go 0-8, and were 0-3 as a favorite. They got hot again, and went 17-3, and 8-1 as a favorite. They followed by going 4-17, and 1-9 as a favorite. They have now gone 8-4, and 3-0 as a favorite. When they are down, they are 4-25 ATS and 1-12 ATS as a favorite. When they are up, they are 31-8 ATS and 12-1 ATS as a favorite. They are up now! As for the Clippers, they are poor and simply can't win. They have covered just three of their last 15, and in their last 13 road losses, ten have come by double-digits, with the average loss by 17 ppg. Riding the Blazers who are on the up-swing, and when they are, they cover everything in sight.
Re: Friday Service Plays
50 DIMER - SIENA SAINTS...20 DIMER - LOUISVILLE CARDINALS...10 DIMERS - GEORGETOWN HOYAS, & CLEVELAN
50 DIMER - SIENA SAINTS
That's right, the MAAC rep Saints!
Vandy is in for a tough one tonight, as the Commodores come into this one in a little bit of a funk, losers of 3 of their last 5 both straight up, and against the spread.
Siena captured the MAAC Championship, and do enter with a 6-game winning streak (4-2 against the spread) under their belts.
Both schools have never met a trifecta they haven't liked, and the Saints hit nearly 40% of their trifectas this season.
The 'Dores do have 3 players back from last year's Sweet 16 edition, but that fact serves to have this number a tad inflated in my mind. Remember this Siena team was able to beat the tall Stanford Cardinal by a dozen earlier this season at home.
The Saints are a capable bunch, and while they may not spring the outright upset, they will be there all the way.
Take the points!
20 DIMER - LOUISVILLE CARDINALS
Louisville had a little luster fade away after losing their last 2 games, but a closer look reveals a 3-point loss (but cover) at Georgetown, and a Big East Tourney loss (in overtime) to Pittsburgh who won it all!
Prior to that Louisville had won 9 in a row. This team is big, fast, can "D" you up, and get hit from behind the arc. The "full monty" if you will, and Boise State will find those facts out the hard way.
The Broncos are dancing a long way from home in Alabama tonight, and I expect the 'Ville will have the stands full with red in this one.
10 DIMER - GEORGETOWN HOYAS
Another blowout here, as the Hoyas advanced all the way to the Final 4 last season before bowing out. No way in the world they allow the Retrivers to hang with them for the full 40 minutes.
Maryland Baltimore County did face one Big East team this year, and they were rocked, as the Mountaineers of West Virginia beat them by 20+ points!
The geographical connection is obvious in this one, but that makes the Hoyas mission all the clearer. DO NOT allow thy neighbor to stay in this game.
Lay the chalk on the mid day card with G-Town.
10 DIMER - CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Chris Bosh is back, and Toronto did snap a 5-game slide with a blowout win, but look who the win came against...lowly Miami!
Let's see if they can do it on the road again tonight against a Cleveland team that is cooking at home, 8 straight wins, while covering in 6 of those victories.
The Cavaliers have won 5 of the last 6 series meetings, and have covered in 3 of the last 5 series tilts.
Have to lay it tonight at Quicken Loans Arena.
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