Tuesday Service Plays

Tuesday Service Plays

Scott Spreitzer

Charlotte Bobcats at Minnesota Timberwolves

I'm laying the points with the Timberwoles on Tuesday night. Charlotte has been a horrible dog this season, cashing just 13 of 38 tickets. And, they do not like playing at the pace they're likely to see tonight. The Bobcats are 0-6 ATS against teams that allow 99 points or more, which means they need the game to be played at a slower tempo than they are likely to see against Minnesota.

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Vegas Experts

UNLV Running Rebels at New Mexico Lobos

The underdog is 5-3 ATS in this series. UNLV is 2-1 ATS its last three in the Pit. It has won the last four in the series though New Mexico has covered four of the last five. Even so, Rebels beat the Lobos by 19 in Vegas and are 15-9-1 ATS and 4-3 S/U on the conference road. New Mexico is 15-2 S/U at home but both home losses came in Conference play. There was an early 72-67 loss to SDSU and last Tuesday's 70-69 OT loss to BYU in another must win spot so it's not like the Lobos have been invincible on their home floor. Rebels have some players and a coach that have been around the block a few times.

Play on: UNLV

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Nelly

Portland + over Phoenix

There is big trouble in Phoenix as the Suns have been knocked around since making the big Shaquille O'Neal trade. The Suns have lost four of the last six games and Phoenix has allowed over 113 points in each of the last four contests. The value going against Phoenix is slipping a bit but the Suns are still a very popular team and the lines can't be adjusted far enough to account for the disastrous results. Portland showed some wear through a tough section of the schedule but the Blazers are back on track with four consecutive ATS wins. Portland is 22-8 at home this season and the Blazers have been very tough against the Western Conference with a 14-8 ATS record. Phoenix may get things turned around but the way things are going right now the Suns must remain a go-against team.


James Patrick Sports

Supersonics vs. Pistons

The Pistons return to the Palace to take on the Sonics off an extended West Coast trip and our complimentary selection in Tuesday NBA action is on #505 Seattle Supersonics plus the generous number.


Marc Lawrence

Play On: Kent State

Note: Flashes return to the Memorial Athletic and Convocation Center to host Miami in the final home game of the season. According to our database, Kent is 16-4 ATS in this series whenever the Redhawks are off a win, including at home. In addition, the Flashes have been golden here this season, going 15-0. They've also been strong in Last Home Games as evidenced by their 12-5 SU and ATS mark on Senior Night. Limping home off a 24-point loss, look for Kent State to come up big here tonight.


Great Lakes
         
Detroit U. at Wright State 7:00PM EST
Play on: Wright State

Wright State is heating up going 3-0 ATS their last three games, and 4-2 ATS vs Detroit U. the last three years. Wright State is also 14-3 ATS off a loss vs a conference rival the last three years, and 3-1 ATS when playing in March the last three years. We look for Wright State to roll over Detroit U. for the home ATS Win & cover in tonight's opening round of the Horizon League tournament.

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Jimmy The Moose

Game: Los Angeles Kings at St. Louis Blues
Prediction: St. Louis Blues

Reason: Both team's really struggling right now and the playoffs will have to wait until next season, at least they hope. The Kings are 16-36 in their last 52 games vs. a team with a losing record. In their last 91 road games they are 26-65. St. Louis was off to a good start but that has quickly faded. The Kings are 2-8 in their last 10 trips to St. Louis. The Blues are 27-11-5 in the last 43 meetings with the Kings. Play on the Blues -.

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Vegas Sports Pics

Purdue Boilermakers + 1.5  over (at) Ohio State Buckeyes
   
Ohio State (17-12, 8-8) is 1-8 vs. ranked opponents this season. No.15 Purdue (23-6, 14-2) is 13-1 last 14 games including a 72-67 win at No.10 Wisconsin. The Boilermakers by winning their final two regular season games would claim top seed in the Big Ten tournament.

   
Northwestern Wildcats (pk) over Iowa Hawkeyes
   
Iowa (12-18, 5-12) is 2-10 away from home. Northwestern (8-19, 1-15) showed improvement in its last home game albeit in defeat losing to (now 13-3 Big Ten) Indiana 85-82 on 02/23. Teams met on 02/19, Northwestern squandered a 14 point second half lead losing at Iowa 53-51.

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Big Al McMordie

New Jersey Nets vs. San Antonio Spurs    
Play: San Antonio Spurs   

These two teams met on Sunday evening at the Izod Center, and Tony Parker scored 25 points and led the Spurs to a double-digit win. That's important, as it indicates the San Antonio point guard has recovered from his bone spurs which sidelined him for three weeks. The Spurs have won nine straight regular season meetings vs. New Jersey, and have also won nine straight games since losing at Boston last month. They're also an impressive 28-9 when Parker, Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili are all in the line-up (compared to 13-8 when at least one is injured). Look for Bruce Bowen to contain Vince Carter, and for San Antone to coast to an easy home win. Lay the points.

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JEFFERSONSPORTS 3-0 last night

SAMFORD UNDER 128

Conference tourney time. We know two things. Tenn-martin has owned samford this year. The only way Samford can hang in this game is to slow the tempo waaaaay down. Also, tenn-martin will pick up the D with this being a tourney game. This will be slow paced and I look for it to easily stay under the 128. Their other two matchups didnt challenge this total and this one shouldnt either.

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Arthur Ralph

Super Pick: Virginia TECH

900 Daily Play BEST BET: Phoenix Suns


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Matt Fargo

Miami Ohio vs. Kent State
Play: Miami Ohio   

Everyone is already handing Kent St. this game before it is even played. The squares are all over the Golden Flashes here and why not. They are undefeated at home, they are coming off a road loss in their first game as a ranked team, a win here assures them of at least a tie for the MAC East Division and it is on national television. All of that calls for a Kent St. victory so Miami might as well not even show up and save itself the time and embarrassment. Don’t tell that to the RedHawks however.

Miami is 8-6 in the MAC and has no chance at first place but securing the 4th seed is the ultimate goal right now. A loss here as well as one on Sunday against Bowling Green means the RedHawks fall to 6th in the conference and then must play in the first round of the MAC Tournament as opposed to receiving a bye. Even a win on Sunday assures nothing if it loses tonight since both Eastern Michigan and Central Michigan are pushing for that 4th seed as well.

The RedHawks are being counted out here but one only needs to look at their recent resume. Since January 20th, Miami is 8-4 which can be considered average but a few more breaks its way and that record could be a lot better. Two of those losses came in overtime while the other two came by three and four points. To put the last 12 games into perspective, the eight wins were by an average of 14.1 ppg while the four losses were by an average of 3.8 ppg.

What has also been lost in the Miami season was the non-conference schedule. The RedHawks defeated Xavier, South Alabama and Mississippi St., all leaders of their respective conferences and/or divisions and losses against USC and Louisville were by a combined seven points. Kent St. may have the better overall record but it has defeated only one solid team, St. Mary’s and other than that, there are no quality wins on the slate. Miami is just 10 spots lower in the current power rankings.

Miami has held ten of its last eleven MAC opponents to 64 or fewer points, and excluding its double overtime loss to Western Michigan, it has held opponents to 38.8 percent shooting from the floor. Take away both overtime games and the RedHawks have allowed fewer than 60 points in nine of the other 10 games including just 49 points on 24.6 percent shooting for Ohio in the last game, by far a season low for the Bobcats. Miami is 6-10 away from home this year so winning here is not out of the question. Play Miami RedHawks 1 Unit

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Mighty Quinn

Ohio State -1.5


RedZone Sports

Ill-Chi/Youngstown St. over the total.


POINTWISE

KANSAS STATE RATING: 1

TOLEDO RATING: 2

NEW MEXICO RATING: 4


Jim Feist

Nets-Spurs Under


ARTHUR RALPH

Golden State Over


Cappers Access

Texas
Arkansas
Northwestern


Scott Spreitzer

Wake Forest


Joe Wiz

Loyola Chicago


Glen Mcgrew

Southern Miss

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LT'S LOCK

Arkansas +2


CAPPERS ACCESS

Texas
Arkansas
Northwestern


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Tom Stryker

UNLV vs. New Mexico
Play: New Mexico

New Mexico head Coach Steve Alford will make sure his Lobos take care of business in this Senior Night setting at The Pit. Alford, a disciple of legendary skipper Bob Knight, hasn't forgotten what happened in the first meeting against UNLV. The Runnin' Rebels handed UNM its worst loss of the season - a 79-60 drubbing that was much worse than the final score indicates. The Lobos were sloppy with the basketball (16 turnovers) and trailed by as many as 30 points after intermission. To say that New Mexico wants revenge would be an understatement.

The fact that this MWC contest is being played at The Pit is huge for the Lobos. Except for losses to San Diego State and BYU, UNM carries a sparkling 15-2 SU record on its homecourt and those 15 victories have come by an average of 20.6 points per game! Overall, New Mexico leads the Mountain West in scoring offense (74.8 ppg) and scoring margin (+12.0).

Technically speaking, the Lobos have been solid at The Pit running with a revenge margin of 10 points or more posting a strong 18-6 SU and 17-7 ATS record. In addition, at home matched up against a foe that arrives off back-to-back SU and ATS wins, UNM has played extremely well posting a superb 22-6 SU and 18-10 ATS record.

The Rebels have won four straight in this series and 12 of the past 15 meetings. In this last home game setting and off a rare home loss in their last contest to BYU, Alford and his kids will be prepared to end this streak of UNLV dominance. Take New Mexico.

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Tony George

Nebraska vs. Texas
Play: Nebraska +13.5

The Huskers are sneaky good at times. Texas let their guard down as I lost my Big 12 GOY with them over the weekend against Texas Tech who got destroyed last night at Kansas by 50+ points, proving they are a pretender and Texas simply did not show up. Texas may have lost the Big 12 regular season crown because of that loss proving once again, this time of year nothing comes easy. The Huskers have pulled off some impressive covers and wins, and beating Texas AM on the road a fews ago tells you not to take the Huskers lightly. Texas escaped Lincoln back in January with a 1 point win, and look for NU to keep this closer that the 14 points and make a cover. The noose is tight at the top in the Big 12, and NU will make this a game and they play very good defense on the perimeter.

Play Nebraska.

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Peter Loshak

Defense has never been the Suns' forte, and totals have gone over five of their last six contests.  Play it Over tonight when the Portland Trail Blazers host Nash, Shaq and Phoenix.

As usual, the Suns have been one of the highest-scoring teams in the NBA, but their totals lines still have not been high enough and they currently sport a 34-25 O/U record on the year. This tendency, however, is more pronounced at home, where they are 19-11 O/U as opposed to a more modest 15-14 on the road. Of course, most of those games were from the pre-Shaq era, which clouds the matter further still for this game.

But while some were anticipating a slowdown in the Suns’ style of play with O'Neal supposedly providing a defensive presence inside and a half-court post-up option on offense, such a slowdown hasn’t happened at all. In fact, since Shaq joined the Phoenix rotation, they have gone over the total five out of six games. This may become a second half trend, as Phoenix has actually gone over the total now in 10 out of their last 12 games, dating back to before the All-Star break.

It’s not entirely clear why this is happening, although it is clear that defense is lagging on the Suns as a team. Steve Nash is not doing a whole lot of defending, and Shaq may not be capable of doing a lot of serious tough defense either. So the Suns, sensing this, are probably leaning back on their strength – pushing the pace – to make up for it. This would explain their over trending, and their losing ways of late as well.

As far as Portland is concerned, it is true that they have, over the span of the season, trended under. The Blazers are a solid 25-35 O/U overall, and 12-18 O/U at home. But a quick glance at their recent games tells a starkly different story.

Portland has mutated a bit from the staunchly moderate scoring team they were for most of the year. They went to 230 at home against the Lakers, and even went to 214 against Boston, a team that doesn’t tend towards high-scoring games by nature. It is clear that when confronted with the fast-paced teams of the league, the Blazers are agreeable to that style of play, and can wind up with high final scores in those situations. Portland has in fact gone over the total in five out of their last six home games, and if Phoenix decides to shift into high gear, Portland may well try to beat them at their own game.

In general, the totals of both of these teams are quite erratic. Phoenix, in the midst of their stratospheric game totals, did throw one with Boston into the mix that only went to 162, going under the total by an astounding 54 points. And with the Blazers of course, any game that stays in the 80s and 90s for both teams is par for the course. And furthermore, Phoenix is well aware of their lapsing defense, and may come into this game with a whole different game plan.

But adding it all up, I think a shot with the Over may be worthwhile. Portland is shooting pretty well, and at some point in this game, once things get rolling, I think it will be hard for Phoenix not to revert back to their most familiar style of play, whether it is giving them the lead or not. I’ll take a shot with the Over on this relatively low total for a Suns game of 209.

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ARMVIN SPORTS

CBB
OHIO -3.5
KANSAS STATE -16.5

NHL
TAMPA BAY 105
LOS ANGELES at ST LOUIS Over 5.5

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BEN BURNS

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

BUFFALO
Game: Bowling Green vs. Buffalo
Prediction: Buffalo Reason: I'm laying the points with BUFFALO. Its been a tough year for the Bulls as they enter tonight's game with an ugly 9-18 overall record. Things could have been a lot better though and the Bulls have been a lot more competitive than their record indicates. Of the their last 14 losses, 10 have been by 10 points or less and three were in overtime. In eight of their last 14 losses, the Bulls have held second-half leads. They also suffered back-to-back double-overtime losses to Western Michigan and Central Michigan. Though only 2-11 in the MAC, only two of their regulation losses have been by more than 10 points. Tonight represents a rare winnable game as Bowling Green is the only other team in the Mac East with a record which is below 500. Tonight's also an extra "special" game. Not only are the Bulls playing with "revenge" but this is their home finale, along with "Senior Day" for senior forward Andrew Atman. The final game comes at Ohio (18-10) making this by far their best chance at a victory over a Mac East opponent. I expect the Bulls, who beat the Falcons here by eight last season and 14 in 2006, to make the most of the opportunity. They catch the Falcons in a good "letdown" spot as they have a big showdown with Miami Ohio on deck and are coming off an upset over nationally ranked Kent State. Note that the Falcons are just 3-11 SU the past three seasons when coming off a win over a conference opponent while Buffalo is 7-4 ATS on the season when attempting to avenge an earlier road loss. I feel that this game will mean more to the Bulls and I expect them to be the "hungrier" team. Look for them to salvage some pride by closing out their home schedule with a win and cover, improving to 5-1 ATS the last six in this series. *MAC Conference GOM

OHIO STATE
Game: Purdue vs. Ohio State
Prediction: Ohio State Reason: I'm playing on OHIO STATE. The public has gotten pretty down on the Buckeyes, due to a recent tough stretch. However, a closer look shows that they've primarily won the games that they were "supposed to win" and that they've been highly competitive in the majority of the others. On 1/19, they went into Tennessee, one of the toughest venues in the country, and stayed within five points of the Volunteers. They followed that up by beating up on both Illinois and Minnesota at home and then doing the same to Penn State on the road. Back to back road games were too much and they lost by five at revenge-minded Iowa (they beat Iowa by more than 30 earlier) next time out. The Buckeyes bounced back to thump Michigan in their next game, before losing a close one vs. Indiana. Next, they won big at Northwestern. Once again, back to back road games proved to be too much for them, as they lost by 10 vs. revenge-minded Michigan. Next, they played both Wisconsin and Indiana (on the road) very tough, losing by three and five points. In their last game, again playing the second of back to back road games, they were beaten badly at revenge-minded Minnesota. The point that I am trying to make is that people have the perception that they the Buckeyes are playing poorly. However, the only times that they've truly played poorly in all of 2008 have come when they've been playing the second of back to back road games, all of which happened to come against teams which were playing with "revenge" from a previous loss. They're obviously not in that situation here. Rather, they find themselves as the team playing with "revenge" and as slight home favorites, a role in which they have excelled. Indeed, the Buckeyes are 10-4 SU/ATS the last 14 times that they were listed as home favorites of three points or less. During the same stretch, the Boilermakers were just 3-12 SU/ATS when listed as road underdogs of three points or less. They've also lost seven straight games here and are just 3-15 ATS the last 18 in this series. Look for the Buckeyes to salvage some pride as they avenge the earlier loss and continue their homecourt domination in this series. *Annihilator

NBA

SACRAMENTO
Game: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Sacramento Kings
Prediction: Sacramento Kings Reason: I'm taking the points with SACRAMENTO. The Lakers have finally cooled off a little, going 1-3 ATS their last four games, including an outright loss in their most recent road game. On the other hand, the Kings are going the other way as they snapped their 4-game losing skid with a momentum-building double-digit victory in their last game. I say "momentum-building" as they rallied all the way back from a 20 point halftime deficit. That's no real surprise though as the four losses all came on the road while the victory came here at Arco Arena, where they have been a much better team for years and where they are currently playing very well. Indeed, Sunday's win brought them to 8-1 (7-2 ATS) their last nine games here and 10-2 their last 12. Despite a slow start here this season (due to injuries) the Kings can still finish above 500 here for the season, which provides them with additional motivation. As coach Reggie Theus had to say: "It would be a significant goal of ours to reach that (winning record at home) and I think something that we can build on even for next year in terms of what was expected of us this year and where we're headed." The Kings lost the last time they hosted the Lakers. However, they're still 6-3 SU/ATS the last nine series meetings here with one of the losses coming by only four points. Its also worth noting that the Kings are a terrific 13-3 ATS the last 16 times they were underdogs of six points or less, winning 12 of those game outright. Conversely, the Lakers are 2-5 ATS the last seven times that they were favored by six points or less and they're just 5-11 ATS the last 16 times they were listed as road favorites in the -3.5 to -6 range. Looking back further and we find them at a money-burning 41-61-2 ATS in that role the past decade. Kobe Bryant will get his points. However, he's not likely to get 50+ again as Ron Artest is a former NBA Defensive Player of the Year. Pau Gasol is going to get his too. Although all with the Grizzlies, its interesting to note that Gasol is 0-10 lifetime here. Knowing that they'll be facing the Lakers at LA in less than a week, and three more times to close out the season, look for the Kings to continue their excellent recent homecourt play tonight. *Pacific Division GOM

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Gold Medal Club 18 Karat

Detroit @ Wright State

PLAY ON DETROIT +

WE note Wright State is 0-8 ats at home after 2 conference games- and also a brutal 1-9 ats as home chalk- too many points here!

Gold Medal Club 18 Karat NHL Dog Winner

Chicago @ Minnesota
PLAY ON CHICAGO +
Great line value here as Chicago no longer resembles a M.A.S.H unit, Minnesota does not match up well with this young quick Hawk team and were blanked by the Hawks last time out Minnesota, now is facing some key injuries. Knowing Chicago is 14-7 after scoring 4 goals or more in there last game look for 3 goals to be enough to win this contest

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WINNERS EDGE

NBA

Detroit Pistons - 15 , 2 units

LA Lakers - 5 , 2 units

Atlanta Hawks + 1 , 4 Units ( NBA game of week )

CBB

Arkansas +2 , 2 units

Nebraska + 13.5 , 1 unit

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Al

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies plus the points over Chicago.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes over Purdue.

At 9 pm, on ESPN-U, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Colorado, as KSU falls into a super 49-17 ATS system of mine that plays against certain revenging road teams which are off a SU win, and matched up against a foe off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.

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Locksmith Sports

1 Unit on Atlanta Hawks +1

We'll take the Hawks in the home dog role tonight.  Atlanta has had Golden State's number, mainly because it has young and athletic athletes which can run up and down the floor with the Warriors.  Atlanta just won by 7 points in late February at Golden State and we'll take the Hawks at home in a heartbeat.  Atlanta is 4-1 SU and ATS in this series the past 3 seasons and a perfect 2-0 SU and ATS at home.  Atlanta is a very good home team at 18-11 SU and 17-12 ATS.  Golden State is 1-9 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite this season and 6-19 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite this season period.   The Warriors are 9-20 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season and 4-16 ATS off a home win this season.  It's always tough for a team to play across multiple time zones on the opposite coast.  Take the Hawks here.

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