Tuesday Service Plays

Tuesday Service Plays

CTO

*BRADLEY over Southern Illinois....CTO scouts report Bradley can’t wait (and neither can we) for this revenge game with rival SIU following the Braves’ sloppy (18 TOs) 77-64 setback at Carbondale Jan. 8, when prolific PG Ruffin was sidelined with a sports hernia.Bradley, which has already avenged two losses when Ruffin (nation’s active career leader in assists!) was sidelined for a 7-game stretch in late Dec.-early Jan., adds to the list vs. the weak-travelin’ Salukis (2-10 SU, 3-9 vs. spread on road TY), who lack creative scorers,especially in hostile surroundings, such as deafening Carver Arena.

*BRADLEY 74 - Southern Illinois 63 RATING - 11

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Carlo Campanella

Cleveland Cavaliers at Milwaukee Bucks

Cleveland just over a basket road Favorite as they head to Miluakee on Tuesday evening. Lay the small number with a Cavs squad that's won 3 STRAIGHT games knowing that Cleveland is a very profitable 34-18 ATS off back-to-back home battles under HC Brown.

Play on: Cleveland

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Marc Lawrence

Game: Seattle SuperSonics at Golden State Warriors
Prediction: Golden State Warriors

Warriors are back home off Saturday's embarrassing 117-110 home loss as 8.5 point favorites against Atlanta. Enter the Sonics, a team Golden State has handled with ease of late (10-1 ATS last eleven games). Look for Seattle to be the perfect fodder here tonight. Lay the points with the Warriors.


Jimmy The Moose

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Islanders
Prediction: Pittsburgh Penguins

Reason: Both team's come into this one having won 6 of their last 10 games. The Penguins are 15-5 when playing with 1 day of rest between games. Pittsburgh has won 5 of their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record. New York is 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Islanders have lost 3 of the last 4 meetings vs. the Penguins. Play on the Pittsburgh Penguins -.

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Nelly

Vanderbilt + over Tennessee

This is as difficult of a scheduling situation as could possibly occur for Tennessee. In one of the most anticipated late-season non-conference games in many years, the Volunteers delivered a big win to knock off then-undefeated and #1 ranked Memphis. Now Tennessee is the #1 team in the nation and the pressure will be tremendous with such a quick turnaround. This in-state rivalry is a much bigger deal for Vanderbilt and the Commodores own an amazing 17-0 record at home this season. Tennessee won easily in the first meeting of the season in Knoxville but Vanderbilt shot just 14 percent from three-point land, normally a key strength in the offense. Look for Vanderbilt to take advantage of a very tough situation for Tennessee and deliver the big win.


Great Lakes
         
San Diego State at UNLV
Play on: UNLV Rebels

The Rebels are a very respectable 10-5 ATS in the role of a favorite this year, and 25-18 ATS at home the last three years. The UNLV Rebels is also a very nice 10-3 ATS when playing on Tuesday's the last three years, and 39-21 ATS when playing a team with a winning record the last three years. We look for the UNLV Rebels to crush the San Diego State Aztecs for the home ATS Win & cover for Tuesday.


Dave Cokin

Boston College @ Virginia Tech

Play: Virginia Tech -5.5

Virginia Tech overcame several scheduling dynamics disadvantages in scoring an earlier OT win at Boston College. The rematch shouldn't be as competitive. The Hokies certainly won't be overlooking the Eagles, as this is a very big game as far as their NCAA Tourney hopes are concerned. BC is on a big slide having lost eight of their last nine, and could be weary on the back end of a road trip saw them lose Saturday at Florida State. This is the tougher half of the journey, and I don't see the Eagles being up to the task. Virginia Tech minus the points.


James Patrick Sports
Cavaliers vs. Bucks

Look for the Cavs to flex their new muscle as they are now one of the elite rosters in the NBA after their wheeling and dealing this past week. Bucks can’t match up with the new front line of Cleveland and will go down to defeat at the Bradley Center in Tuesday Night action. Our Tuesday NBA  selection is Cleveland Cavaliers.

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Vegas Sports Pics

Southern Illinois Salukis + 1 over (at) Bradley Braves
   
Bradley (17-12, 9-7) vs. Southern Illinois (16-12, 10-6) is 13-3 last 16 meetings off posting a 77-64 home win over Bradley on 01/08, Brave's third leading scorer Warren, who is now out with a broken hand, scoring a team high 18 points in the losing effort.

   
Tennessee Volunteers - 2 over (at) Vanderbilt Commodores
   
No.18 Vanderbilt (23-4, 8-4) vs. No.1 Tennessee (25-2, 11-1) on a nine game winning streak enters ranked number one in the nation for the first time in school history. The Volunteers are 4-1 last five meetings off posting an 80-60 home win over Vanderbilt on 01/17.

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EZ Winners

1 STAR: (502) MIAMI (+2) over Sacramento
(Risking $110 to win $100)

1 STAR: (511) WASHINGTON (+12) over Houston
(Risking $110 to win $100)

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Vegas Experts

Sacramento Kings at Miami Heat

If Miami is to get its second win in its last 25+ games this should be the time versus a Kings team that is 9-19 on the road. Miami has beaten Sacramento five straight at home and seven in a row overall. It is 12-3 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons while Sacrmanto is 10-21 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

Play on: Miami

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Alex Smart

Washington Wizards +12.0

Reason: The Washington Wizards enter into this tilt against the red hot Houston Rockets off back to back wins vs the Charlotte Bobcats and the New Orleans Hornets. They won those tilts against the Hornets despite of playing without Caron Butler and Gilbert Arenas. The Wizards have proved on numerous occasions that they own a cohesive bench that is able to play with heart and determination, making them a good bet as double digit underdogs in this spot, against a Houston team that is perceived to be superior. Final notes & Key Trends: The Wizards have covered 5 straight as road dogs and are 21-7 ATS L28 away as a dog of 6.5 to 12 points. Play on the Wizards cover

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Vernon Croy

Sacramento Kings vs. Miami Heat
Play: Sacramento Kings   

1 Unit, Take Sacramento -2, The Kings are 16-8 ATS in non-conference games this season and 15-8 ATS after playing a non-conference game. Miami is just 7-20 ATS at home this season and they are just 4-18 ATS in their last 22 games when playing a team with a losing record. The Heats opponents are averaging 106 ppg against them over their last 5 games and their opponents are shooting 37% from 3 point range against them at home this season. The Kings are shooting 38% from 3 point range on the road this season and they will be able to out-rebound the Heat badly tonight on the road. Take Sacramento as my NBA free play for Tuesday night as they should cover by 6-10 points against the Heat who are just 4-24 SU after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

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Matt Fargo

B.Y.U. vs. New Mexico
Play: New Mexico   

I’ve mentioned numerous times that revenge cane be a tricky thing and should only be used as a motivator and not solely as a reason for a play. Revenge is definitely a motivator tonight for the Lobos but there are many other factors going into this one as well. BYU took care of New Mexico by 17 points in the first meeting, the second biggest defeat of the season. The Cougars shot the lights out, hitting a remarkable 13-16 from three-point land (81.3 percent), and held J.R. Giddens to a season-low four points.

BYU is coming off a loss at San Diego St. on Saturday which snapped a nine-game winning streak and suddenly brought UNLV and New Mexico back into the MWC race. The schedule heavily favors the Cougars however as the final three games are against nobody’s no wrapping up a conference title should not be a problem. However, coming out of the Pit with a win isn’t going to be easy as the Lobos remember what BYU did last season, coming in and winning by 21 points.

Really good teams have the ability to win games on the road and that is something that BYU no doubt can do as it is 6-4 on the road. However, it is New Mexico that is the team getting it done. After going 3-19 in true road games the past two seasons and 8-43 in the five seasons from 2003-07, the Lobos are 7-5 this year. Obviously this is not a road game but it is for making a point that the Lobos can be now classified as one of the top teams around. It doesn’t hurt being 15-1 at home either.

The Lobos lead the MWC in scoring offense at 75.0 ppg, scoring margin at +12.5 and three-point shooting at 43.7 percent. New Mexico has won six straight games including a huge win Saturday. The Lobos defeated Utah at the Huntsman Center for the first time since 1989, snapping an 18-game losing streak there. Now they look to break another streak and that is a five-game losing streak to the Cougars. The last time they lost 6 straight games was during a 0-22 start to the series between 1950 and 1962.

New Mexico has covered six straight and that sets up a solid situation. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after covering the spread in five or more consecutive games, playing their 3rd game in a in seven days. This situation is 43-17 ATS (71.7 percent) since 1997 with the average point differential being +10.5 ppg. New Mexico is 13-2 ATS as a home favorite this season, with a scoring margin of +22.8 ppg. The Lobos are also 14-2 ATS after two or more consecutive wins this season. They get their payback Tuesday.

Play New Mexico Lobos 1 Unit

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Stephen Nover

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks
PICK: Milwaukee Bucks

REASON FOR PICK: The Cavaliers improved themselves at the trade deadline getting LeBron James needed help with the additions of Ben Wallace, Joe Smith, Wally Szczerbiak and Delonte West for flaky Drew Gooden and disgruntled Larry Hughes.

Pumped up, the new players helped the Cavaliers bury the Grizzlies in their first game wearing the Cleveland uniform. But the NBA is all about situations and this isn't a good one for the Cavaliers.

I see a letdown and look-ahead here for the Cavaliers. They play Boston on Wednesday. Keep in mind, too, these new players have barely practiced together. Cavaliers coach Mike Brown still is tinkering with how to dole out minutes and keep everyone satisfied.

The Bucks have won their last two home games, defeating Denver and Detroit. Their win against Denver, when they trailed by 23 points, was a huge morale boost. The Bucks still have realistic playoff designs being in the Eastern Conference. But they must win home matchups such as this one.

Michael Redd is the key for Milwaukee. When his shot is on, the Bucks are tough to beat at home. Redd is 28-for-51 (55 percent) from the floor in his last three games. He's averaging 27 points during this span.

A one-unit play for me on the Bucks covering as a live home underdog.

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College Cappers

CBB
60 Dime - Western Michigan -8.5
25 Dime - San Diego State +8
10 Dime - San Diego State ML +300
20 Dime - Bradley -1
20 Dime - Tennessee -2

NBA
25 Dime - Sacramento -2
15 Dime - Houston -12

FREE
1 Dime - Virginia Tech -5

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EdgeOnOdds

Phoenix Suns @ Memphis Grizzlies
Pick: Over 213

Reasoning: The Phoenix Suns and Memphis Grizzlies meet in a Tuesday Night in the battle of the second best and the second worst teams in the Eastern Conference. The total in this game is set at 213. The number 213 is an extremely interesting numbers for both of these teams this year. The Phoenix Suns have played a total of 56 games this year, care to take a guess of what the average over under line was for all the games they played this year? Yep, you got it 213.42, right on the money. The Memphis Grizzlies have played 56 games as well this year; care to take a stab at their average total? Close, but no cigar. The Grizzlies average total this year was 212.99 .01 points away from the set total. So these two stats have simply stated that the odds makers have set this game in the dead average of each of these teams’ seasons so far. However, at closer look the odds makers have set a total within 1 point on either side of this average total three times to Memphis and four times to Phoenix. All three times that the total was set in the average to Memphis it went over (3-0). Each time it was set with Phoenix it went over each time (4-0). So here is my take on the whole total situation we have going here, the odds makers did not see an advantage either way in this one so they set the dead total to grab 50% of public money on each side. However, over poses as the play here because of the styles these two teams play. Memphis struggles on offense slightly scoring 99.5 points per game and the reason games they play fall under the total is due to their lack of offense. This year the Grizzlies are 25-31 O/U, defensively they allow 105.0 points per game, a number the Suns can easily eclipse with their high powered offense that averages 109.2 points per game. The Suns defense should also allow Memphis to score more then normal. This season the Suns are giving up 104.2 points a game. I love these two teams to get running and scoring a ton of points. Jump on the 213 that should not move to much through the course of the day and watch these two teams shoot the lights out.

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Lock of the day

Drake -1.5

Drake is a team to be reckoned with. They will handle Missouri State today. Missouri State has 15 losses this year. They will not beat a Top 20 team. Drake is very good, they just beat #8 Butler. We like Drake today.

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ATS Consultants Newsletter Plays

Hoops

Orlando over New Jersey 103-90 Best Bet (3 units)
The Nets have all but given up and the Jason Kidd deal or lack thereof, has put this team in a holding pattern. Even if the deal is completed by this time, the Nets will have no leader. The Magic had a strong first half and has to finish well to get a third seed. Dwight Howard is too much for the Nets to handle inside.

Preferred Plays (2 units)
Cleveland Cavs over Milwaukee 98-81
South Florida over Seton Hall 78-66
Vanderbilt over Tennessee 88-81

Hockey

Preferred Plays (2 units)
Over in the Atlanta/Montreal game
Boston over Ottawa

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Jeffersonsports

PHOENIX -9.5


POINTWISE

NORTHWESTERN RATING: 3


Cappers Access

Virg Tech

Vandy


Scott Spreitzer

South Flor


Joe Wiz

Northern Ill


Redzone Sports

Heat

S.Ill-Bradley Under


Bob Donahue

Lakers


ARTHUR RALPH

UNLV


MIGHTY QUINN

Wichita State

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PHILLY CONNECTION

Miami+2


NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE

TENN -2

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BURNS

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

MISSOURI STATE
Game: Drake vs. Missouri St.
Prediction: Missouri St. Reason: I'm taking the points with MISSOURI STATE. Its been an impressive season for the over-achieving Drake Bulldogs. This figures to be an extremely difficult spot though as Drake has already clinched its first regular-season Missouri Valley Conference title in 37 years and is coming off a road win over a top 10 opponent. In other words, the Bulldogs have all but locked up their first trip to the "Big Dance" since 1971. Therefore, it would get pretty easy to have a letdown off the big road win and/or get caught looking ahead to "more important" games. Regardless of the Bulldogs' mindset, winning at Missouri State is no easy task. In fact, the Bulldogs have lost six straight here and are an ugly 1-15 all-time. Drake beat the Bears 65-54 on Jan. 12 in Des Moines. However, that game was closer than the score indicates, as the teams were tied with four minutes remaining. Missouri State may be near the bottom of the MVC, but it has been tough to beat at home, going 13-2. The Bears have won their last three games in Springfield by an average of 23.0 points. This will be the Bears' first game against a ranked opponent of the entire season and I expect a highly inspired effort. Look for them to be the hungrier team, continuing their homecourt dominance in this series.

VANDERBILT
Game: Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt
PM Prediction: Vanderbilt Reason: I'm taking the points with VANDERBILT. I lost by going against Tennessee in the big win at Memphis. I think I was just a game too early though and I'm going to attempt to go against them again this evening. Talk about a "letdown" spot. Not only are the Vols finally in first place in the polls and coming off a huge win over a hated instate rival but that was their first win over a top-ranked opponent since 1969. Letdown or not, this is an extremely difficult venue to play at. In fact, the Commodores have won 17 straight home games and 30 of their last 31 here. To say that the Commodores will be extremely motivated is probably an understatment. Not only do they now get a crack at the #1 team in the country but they also will be attempting to avenge a 20-point blowout loss at Tennessee in January. The Commodores were also slight home underdogs when they hosted the Volunteers last season and they managed a narrow upset win. That dropped Tennessee to 0-2 SU/ATS the past three seasons as road favorites of -3 or less and brought Vanderbilt to 3-1 SU/ATS as home underdogs of +3 or less. Looking back further and we find the Commodores at a profitable 13-7 ATS the last 20 times they were home underdogs of three points or less, with all 13 of those "covers" resulting in outright victories. They've won three of the last four series meetings here and I expect them to score another 'upset' this evening.

SETON HALL
Game: Seton Hall vs. South Florida
Prediction: Seton Hall Reason: I'm taking the points with SETON HALL. Recent results have given us solid value with the visitors here. The Bulls have come off three straight pointspread victories, while the Pirates have failed to cover in three straight. A closer look shows some similarities though. Both teams were just 1-2 SU over those games and both teams are coming off an extremely close game. Seton Hall knocked off Depaul by two points while South Florida lost by one at Cincinnati. That was the second straight 1-point game which the Bulls have played (fifth straight decided by 11 or less) and I won't be surprised to see their tendency to play close games continue this evening. Seton Hall already beat South Florida by 10 earlier this season and they also won here last February. In fact, they're 4-0 SU/ATS the last four meetings. Making it to the Big Dance is pretty unlikely. However, at 16-11, if they can sweep their final four games, they still have an outside shot. That's not quite as unbelievable as it sounds as three of those games come against weak teams (South Florida, St. John's and Rutgers) and the only "good" team is Syracuse, with that game coming at Seton Hall. Again, sweeping those four games is probably unlikely. However, the possibility is there and that gives the Pirates a lot to play for. Look for a highly motivated effort as the Pirates build off the win over Depaul, continue their success in this series and improve to 18-12 ATS the last 30 times (lined games) they had failed to cover the spread in their previous three games.

NBA

MIAMI
Game: Sacramento Kings vs. Miami Heat
Prediction: Miami Heat Reason: I'm taking the points with MIAMI. While their record certainly doesn't show it, the Heat are a better team right now than they have been for quite some time. They came very close to snapping their losing skid last time out, eventually losing in overtime to Philadelphia. As Pat Riley noted: "We did everything we could to win except win..." Facing a team which they have dominated here, I expect them to "take the next step" and earn the first victory of the "post-Shaq" era. The Heat are 16-3 all-time against the Kings here at Miami, winning five games in a row against them there by an average of nearly 13 points. Overall, Miami has gone a perfect 8-0 ATS the last eight meetings and has won the last seven matchups outright, since losing at Sacramento on Jan. 13, 2004. The Kings haven't been playing well defensively lately, as they are allowing 111.3 points over the last three games, while allowing opponents to hit 47.7 percent (31-for-65) from 3-point range. For the season, the Kings are just 9-19 SU on the road, including a 0-1-1 ATS mark as road favorites of three points or less. Looking back further and we find them at just 2-10-2 ATS (4-10 SU) in that role the past three seasons. During the same stretch, the Heat have gone a healthy 9-5 SU/ATS when listed as home underdogs of three points or less. It's also worth noting that the Heat are 28-3 SU, going 21-8-2 ATS, the last 31 times that they played a home game with an over/under line ranging from 200 to 204.5. The Heat play three road games after this, including a rematch with Sacramento on Sunday, and it goes without saying that they'd love to snap their skid before leaving town. As Dwayne Wade said: "Nobody in this locker room is going to quit..." Look for a highly motivated effort and for the Heat to get it done. *Non-Conference GOW

MILWAUKEE
Game: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Prediction: Milwaukee Bucks Reason: I'm taking the points with MILWAUKEE. I played on the Bucks in their first game back from the Break and they knocked off Detroit. At the time, I mentioned that they were healthier than they had been in the first half and that I expected them to start off the second half on a profitable run, at least at home. Following the upset over the Pistons, it wasn't a huge surprise that they were blown out at Detroit in the rematch. They didn't hang their heads though. Rather, they returned home and upset Denver in their most recent game. Michael Redd appears to finally be back to 100% health as he scored a season-high 41 points in the win over the Nuggets. He had this to say: "Major wins against quality teams, that's encouraging. We have to come out every game, from here on out, with an attitude." This game is arguably more important to Milwaukee. While the Cavs are battling for playoff seeding, currently 3.5 games out of the final spot, the Bucks are battling for their playoff lives. The Cavs were impressive on Sunday as their new players made their debut and the team won by 20 points. That was at home though and it also came against Memphis, the second worst team in the West and one with no shot at the playoffs. Conversely, today's game comes on the road and comes vs. a highly motivated divisional opponent, one which already played the Cavs extremely tough (Bucks were 2-0 ATS) in two games at Cleveland, winning one of those outright. Note that the Cavs are just 1-5 ATS this season when coming off a double-digit victory in their previous game. Its also worth noting that they've got a huge showdown with the Celtics on deck for tomorrow and that the Cavs are just 5-8 ATS on the season when playing the front end of back to back games. Additionally, they're still without Daniel Gibson and there's still likely to be an adjustment period to all the new faces in the lineup. Look for the Bucks to prove to be the hungrier team, continuing their recent strong play at home and improving to 9-3 ATS on the season after scoring 105 or more points in their previous game. *Best Bet

UNDER Lakers/Blazers

NHL

OTTAWA
Game: Ottawa Senators vs. Boston Bruins
Prediction: Ottawa Senators Reason: I'm playing on OTTAWA. We're getting an excellent price with the better team due to the fact that the Sens lost 5-0 at Toronto yesterday. The Sens are 13-7 the last 20 times they played the second of back to back games though and 21-13 the past three seasons after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Additionally, the Sens will be out for "revenge" as the Bruins upset them at Ottawa a few weeks ago. Note that the Sens, who were listed at -200, outshot the Bruins by a 31-22 margin. Additionally, note that they had won four straight series meetings before that and that they've won their last four visits to Boston. This is the Bruins' first game back home off a successful 5-game road trip. That's often a difficult situation and I expect them to stumble against a fully focus and determined Ottawa club. *Eastern Conf. GOW

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John Ryan

Game: Minnesota Wild at Washington Capitals
Prediction: Minnesota Wild

Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Minnesota ? Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 100-40 and has made 44.7 units in profits since 1996. Play on road favorites of -200 or less against the money line with an average goalie posting a save percentage of 89.5-91.5% versus a team w/ a poor goalie posting a save percentage of <=89.5% after 40 games. Washington is a terrible defensive team allowing 3.05 GPG and ranking 25th in the NHL. Note that Minnesota is 17-3 against the money line (+13.8 Units) against terrible defensive teams that are allowing 3+ goals/game and in the 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Take the Wild.


Game: Portland Trail Blazers at Los Angeles Lakers
Prediction: Under

Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play UNDER Lakers/Trailblazers ? AiS shows a 76% probability that 200 or fewer points will be scored. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 170-114 for 60% since 1996. Play under with all teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 in a game involving two average defensive teams allowing a shooting percentage of 43.5-45.5% after 42+ games and in a game involving two average rebounding teams with a differential of +/-3 rebounds per game after 42+ games. Although hitting 60%, this system has covered the number by 7 or more points in 49% of the plays. Portland certainly has a defensive game plan when facing a strong team this season. Note that Portland is 20-10 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 13-5 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams that are scoring 103+ points/game this season. Lakers have been playing very well and it starts with taking care of the ball on offense. Note that Lakers are also 28-11 UNDER in home games after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers since 1996.


Game: BYU at New Mexico
Prediction: New Mexico

Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on New Mexico ? AiS shows a 70% probability that New Mexico will win this game by 5 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 43-17 ATS for 72% since 1997. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games and is playing only their 3rd game in a week. BYU is certainly a strong team and deserving of the 25th ranking in the nation. They shoot 46% from the field and are hitting 49% over their past 5 games. Their defense has allowed 38.8% shooting and 39.3% shooting over their last 5 games. All of these strengths, however, work against them in this game against New Mexico. NM is 8-1 ATS versus excellent teams allowing a shooting percentage of >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons; 9-2 ATS versus good defensive teams allowing a shooting percentage defense of <=42% this season. Take New Mexico.

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Wolkosky Milan

10* SAC/MIA UNDER 203
10* ORL/NJN UNDER 203½
10* CLE/MIL UNDER 199
10* SEA/GSW UNDER 223

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