TheSpread.com

Vegas Hot Sheet

Premium Picks

New England -13.5
Green Bay -7

Silver Rated Picks

SD/NE over 46
GB/NYG under 40.5

Picks Pal

Michigan St at Minnesota

Michigan State is 15-2 and number 11 in the country as they take their 3-1 Big Ten record to Minnesota. Minnesota is 12-4 and struggled in their last game from the field and from the FT line. Look for Minnesota and Tubby Smith's team to bounce back with a big conference win at home.

Play on Minnesota

Bryan Leonard

San Diego Chargers @ New England Patriots

PICK: under

REASON FOR PICK: Chargers/Patriots under: The Pats got slowed down in Baltimore with windy weather, and this weather situation looks worse -- 14 degrees, windy conditions. San Diego DC Ted Cottrell put in a more attacking, aggressive defense in midseason and will continue that in an attempt to get to Tom Brady, which is the only way to try and trip up the Pats. San Diego's running game should chew up the clock. Both teams have been strong in the red zone since Week 8. Don't look for a lot of offense. PLAY THE CHARGERS/PATRIOTS UNDER

THE SPORTS MEMO

San Diego at New England -14 O/U 49

Recommendation: New England

We used the over in the Patriots game last week in this same price range, but we’ll adjust to some injury information and some good old visual evidence from last week’s performances to determine a new plan of attack this week. Jacksonville had been on a monumental run going over the total in 11 straight prior to their trip to Foxboro and their performance against Pittsburgh told us that trend was likely to continue against the League’s most diverse offensive attack. Typically these Chargers have the weaponry we would equate with an over team as well, but if you watched the game last week you saw Tomlinson and Rivers injure their knees and you saw a hobbled Antonio Gates become a non-factor. You also saw the Colts take over early in the game as Peyton Manning picked apart the secondary. That doesn’t bode well against Tom Brady who is as patient in the pocket as any QB that has started in the NFL. Brady doesn’t force anything, taking only what is available; take away Moss and Welker kills you. Take away Welker and Ben Watson goes for 25 down the middle. Watson is covered? Throw to Gaffney. The Chargers were able to take advantage of three turnovers from the Colts as Indy drove the field. Each turnover stopped what looked like sure scoring drives. But the Pats don’t turn the ball over, period. Both LT and Rivers are questionable as of now but we’ll call for them to gut it out come game time. If they can’t go the onus falls on Michael Turner and Darren Sproles in the backfield and Billy Volek under center. Either scenario is fine for us. We expect the combination of stout defense from the Pats (who have given up less than 14 points per game at home this season) and a conservative clock management style offense (to protect and relieve pressure from their injured offensive stars or backups) from the Chargers. While the Pats have fallen off course by covering just once in their last seven games, and the Chargers have produced the single best run ATS in the NFL down the stretch (9-1 including eight straight) this week sets up nicely for a blowout as Belichick’s crew head to another Super Bowl.


New York at Green Bay -7 O/U 42

Recommendation: Green Bay

The Giants continued their improbable run on the highway cashing another ticket and taking the outright win in Big D. But if you watched the game you probably came away less than impressed by the G-Men, and a quick glance at the box score would justify your feelings. New York was completely dominated from a numbers standpoint: They were out gained by over 100 yards (including a 64 yard deficit on the ground), lost the time of possession battle by 13 minutes, gave up more sacks and allowed the Cowboys to covert on 10-16 on third down. It wasn’t exactly the performance of a lifetime and certainly those numbers wouldn’t get the job done against the Packers. Green Bay spotted the Seahawks a 14 point lead after two quick Ryan Grant turnovers. But Grant fully redeemed himself by going over 200 yards while scoring three TDs and the Packers,who scored a TD on six straight possessions, ran away from Seattle(quite literally). The same fundamental and situational matchups that made the Packers an appealing bet last week make them an appealing bet again this week. Their rushing attack is absolutely looking like one of the best in football right now as Ryan Grant continues to punish defenses behind an excellent zone blocking offensive line. Grant pushed his streak of 100 yard efforts to six in his last 11 outings while scoring at least one TD in each of his last seven games. The Giants’ numbers tell a story of being able to defend the run; they do after all rank in the top ten in that category.But we saw Marion Barber run all over them before Dallas decided to give up on the run, something the Packers don’t seem likely to do. The Giants and their backers will point to the pressure they put on Tony Romo, and the fact that they are one of the best pass rushing teams in the NFL as being a big plus for them this week.But Green Bay utilizes the three step drop quick-to-intermediate passing game really neutralizing much pass rush, and their WRs are amongst the best in producing yards after the catch. Lambeau has been magical this season (7-1-1 ATS) once again and they’ll be rocking this week as their beloved Pack head to the Super Bowl

Lenny Stevens

20* GOY GREEN BAY
10* SD


Jimmy The Moose

Game: New Jersey Nets at Phoenix Suns Jan 20 2008 8:05PM
Prediction: under


John Fina

Miami (Ohio) -13


Ats Lock Club

4 units NE -14
3 units Teaser NE -8 GB -1.5


Arthur Ralph

Super Pick
St Louis NCAA Hoops

New England
Green Bay

Free Play: Missouri State

Frank Rosenthal

SAN DIEGO VS NEW ENGLAND
304 PATRIOTS-13.5 S
OVER 46.5 S

NY GIANTS VS GREEN BAY
306 PACK-7
UNDER 42

NBA
802 SUNS-10.5

COLLEGE HOOPS
804 UCONN-1.5
805 FSU+1.5
819 BG+14.5

Cappers Access

San Diego
G Bay


Redzone Sports Comp

Mich St

BIG AL

At 8 pm, our Revenge Game of the Month is on the Washington State Cougars, who have lost 13 straight games to Oregon since 2002.

At 4 pm, our Big 10 Game of the Month is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers minus the points over Michigan State, as Tubby Smith's men fall into a 73-37 ATS system of mine that plays on certain conference home teams, priced from -8 to pk, who are matched up against a foe off a win.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Nets over Phoenix, as New Jersey falls into 24-0 and 61-32 ATS systems of mine.

At 3 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the New England Patriots over San Diego.

At 6:30 pm, on Sunday, our NFL Playoff Game of the Year is on the Green Bay Packers minus the points over the NY Giants. New York is playing solid football, no doubt, but this will be its third consecutive road game in the Playoffs

Triple Threat Sports!

2* Wake Forest (-) over Florida State

Seminoles are off big games vs Duke and Clemson, making a letdown spot quite likely here. For their part, Wake has home wins this season over BYU, Air Force, and Virginia Tech, and they are also 7-2 SU as series host. Finally, Demon Deacons playing with revenge for an eight point loss in Tallahassee last season, a game that saw FSU enjoy a big home home referee edge, shooting 18 and making 16 more free throws. Now that "home cooking" is on the side of WF, we look for things to even out today.

Stan Sharp

double-dime bet Washington St. -8.5 vs Oregon

Analysis: Today Stan has made a BIG BET on Washington St. Two of Stan's Top 3 College Bettors have also played this game big today. This is the only game Stan is Betting Today. TAKE WASHINGTON ST as STAN'S COLLEGE TV BLOWOUT BIG BET OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.