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Saturday Service Plays

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Brandon Lang

25 Dime Packers - I know everyone keeps talking about playoff experience, and how much it will make a difference, but you know, since the start of the season I’ve been hearing about Green Bay’s experience – or lack thereof – and how it would be its Achilles’ heel. But three key ingredients have brought this team this far: 1. Brett Favre. 2. Ryan Grant. 3. Defense.

That’s all the experience I need in this game, as I don’t care about Seattle being in the postseason five consecutive seasons and the Packers having been absent from the playoffs since the 2004 season. What matters is the here and now, and the fact remains that quarterback Brett Favre has appeared in 20 playoff games, and will guide this young squad today with no problem.

Remember, this game is on the Frozen Tundra, where the Packers are 14-2 all time in the playoffs, while Seattle’s mark away from home is a bleak 1-7. Need more experience … how about the fact Favre ranks second in postseason history with 34 touchdowns.

As for Grant, he proved critics wrong by showing everyone the Packers do indeed have a rushing game this season, and between the 40s, can be extremely dangerous in taking the pressure off of Favre’s shoulders. In its last game, Green Bay tallied 217 yards on the ground and a modest 177 via air mail, the first time the team gained more rushing yards than passing yards all season. Grant emerged midway through the season and has had five 100-yard games and collected 929 yards since Week 8.

As for the defense, this team has held 10 opponents to 17 points or less, including three of its last four. At home this team is giving up just 14.3 points per game, and I highly doubt we’ll see a letdown with what’s at stake here. Remember, Washington’s defense stepped up last week to stymie Seattle – it wasn’t the offense that got the ‘Hawks all of those 35 points. And that was in Seattle. Let’s lay the chalk in this one, Green Bay rolls here.

5 Dime Jags Over - I’m not going to waste your time singing the praises of the Patriots’ record-setting, fast-break offense. We all know that Brady, Moss and company put up points about as frequently as Pac-Man Jones runs afoul of the law (New England scored 589 points this year, topping the 30-point barrier in 12 of its 16 contests.) So we know the Patriots are going find the end zone multiple times in this game.

What you probably don’t realize is how prolific the Jaguars’ offense has been. Jacksonville has scored at least 24 points in 11 consecutive games, averaging 30.5 points during that stretch. And what do you know, the over is 10-0-1 in those 11 games, with the last seven topping the posted price. The over is also 10-1 in Jacksonville’s last 11 road games, 8-0 in its last eight as a road underdog, 13-3-1 in its last 17 against the AFC, and 4-1 in its last five playoff games.

Meanwhile, for the Patriots, the over is on runs of 16-6 overall, 8-3 at home, 13-5 as a favorite, and 10-3 as a double-digit favorite.

As for this specific total, it is a big one, no question about it. However, eight of Jacksonville’s 17 games have hit at least 50 combined points, including six of the last seven overall and four in a row on the road. Also, New England’s games have reached the 50-point plateau 10 times this year, including that 38-35 season-ending shootout against the Giants on the road two weeks ago

With no indications of bad weather on the horizon, this has all the makings of what I like to call a Brothel Game: lots of back-and-forth action with little defense and lots of scoring.

5 Dime Texas – Much like the football team at Missouri, the Tigers’ basketball team exudes confidence when it steps on the floor. And that’s fine against most teams, but this Texas team has played a much tougher schedule, and certainly has a much more athletic roster than Mizzou. The Longhorns have completely owned Missouri this team, winning and covering nine straight meetings. And the fact Missouri is 10-0 at home doesn’t scare me, since four of its guests have garnered a line. And when it’s hit the road, the Tigers are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS. That tells me that when facing bigger tests, they’re not all that formidable. Texas is 4-1 SU and ATS on the highway, so look at this as a bargain in this Big 12 clash, as roll with the same Longhorns who won by 13 on this court last season.

5 Dime UNLV – Lon ******’s troops are playing exceptionally well right now, and with a date with BYU approaching, the Rebels can’t afford to let up – especially against a sloppy team like Air Force. ****** has been benefiting from experienced players this season, and has figured out a way to get his Rebels to compete with the likes of Arizona and Louisville – despite a pair of tough-luck losses against both. Wink Adams has been the Rebels' sparkplug this season, averaging 14.9 points per game, and though he’s shown a tendency to get trigger happy from the perimeter, his consistency against teams that tend to be lax on defense and careless with the basketball has helped UNLV in its 12-3 run into conference play. I know Air Force has traditionally been a tough place to play for the Rebels, but these are entirely different basketball teams this season. Play the road-warrior Rebels in this one.

5 Dime Washington State – The Cougars are a special breed this year, and it’s not because of the stifling defense we’ve seen the first two months of the season. Heck, that’s something we’ve come to expect from Wazzou. No, this team is no longer about defense any longer, as it’s come full circle with a balanced offense that is putting up about 70 points a game. Sure, this is the toughest test of the season for the 14-0 Cougars, but nine of those wins have come on the road, where they’ve covered five of seven lined games. And though the Bruins have swept the season series the past two seasons, the road team is 4-0 ATS the last two years. The fact there are two top five defenses playing in this one, and Washington State has ability to match UCLA basket-for-basket, this one could be low scoring and could come down right to the end.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays


Ohio State PICK 3-UNITS


Texas Longhorns -1 2-UNITS

Special K

20* Marquette

California Sports

4*Washington State +6'

Stan Lisowski

4*Pistons -10


Blade game of month- Miami FL

Wildcat - Marquette game of week

The reaper - Drake

Fletch - Utah St

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Northeastern at George Mason (-10) - 11:00am Pacific - Game #533-534
Preseason CAA favorite George Mason returns home 2-2 in conference play and hungry for a win. Last time out at Delaware they led by as many as 19 in the second half before a combination of foul trouble, minor injuries, and questionable officiating (Delaware shot 34 FT's to Mason's 13) led to their demise. Starting PG Jordan Carter missed two games but is working his way back and is now close to 100%. Starting G Dre Smith (ankle) was limited last game but is expected to be nearly full strength today. Northeastern has been a bad CAA road team as a result of their northern most location in the league. They are 5-21 on the road overall over the past 2+ years. Northeastern's top four starters are all underclassmen so it is safe to say this team is a year away from serious contention in the league. Mason has played seven games at the Patriot Center this year and is undefeated, including an 11 point win over Top 25 Dayton. The last time these teams played Northeastern blew out a shorthanded Mason by 23 points in Boston, so the Patriots have extra motive here. After blowing second half double digit leads in back to back games there will be no letting up today. Expect a double digit victory.

Play: George Mason -10 1/2 UNIT

UNC-Wilmington at James Madison (-7) - 5:00pm Pacific - Game #627-628
Still high on the Dukes despite two straight road losses that will only leave them with extra focus on winning today. Following a big win over VCU at home, JMU traveled to Hofstra and lost a letdown game in which Hofstra's leading scorer Agudio returned from injury and played effectively. The Dukes then lost a nine point second half lead at W&M after their two top players Carter and Jalloh fouled out. In both road games opposing coaches played zones for extended periods of time and attempted to slow the tempo. We should see neither tactic used extensively today as the Seahawks like to get out in transition themselves. As for Wilmington they snuck by Hofstra at home on Thursday night in a ESPNU game and now must bounce back with one less day of preparation as well as needing Friday to travel. The Dukes high energy style leads itself to better play at home and it has shown as they are undefeated at the Convocation Center this season including quality wins over Siena and VCU. JMU should be extra motivated today as they have lost 14 straight times to UNCW. Madison coach Keener has had this date circled on his calendar for a while as students are back in town for the first time in over a month and they should be extra ready with this late start for TV considerations. Give the points.

Play: James Madison -7 1 UNIT

Pacific at Cal State Northridge (-5) - 7:00pm Pacific - Game #667-668
The Matadors continue to show that they are for real. They have reeled off three straight impressive wins to start conference play including two road wins, one coming at league favorite UCSB, and followed that up with a 35 point home win over UC Davis on Thursday. Newcomers PG Josh Jenkins and wing Deon Tresvant have proven to be difference makers. Jenkins has the third best assist rate per minute in the country and Tresvant exploded for 31 points in the win at UCSB. Another good looking guard, Rodrigue Mels, missed seven straight games with a groin injury but returned Thursday and will be available today adding to CSUN's already deep bench. CSUN has always been a high scoring team but they also enter tonight with the best FG% defense in the conference. Pacific will be playing their third straight road game in an 8 day span. The Tigers had to work to beat a much less talented Long Beach State team by 6 on Thursday night and just have not played at a high enough level this year to contend in this spot. CSUN is 3-0 in conference play for the first time ever as a D-1 school and expects a large home crowd tonight. Give the points.

Play: Cal State Northridge -5 1/2 UNIT

Nevada (-2.5) at Hawaii - 9:00pm Pacific - Game #673-674
The Wolfpack had won 6 of 7 games with only loss coming at #1 North Carolina before losing freakishly at San Jose State on Thursday night. Due to a canceled game Nevada had a 10 day layoff prior to the game and in addition to showing rust got SJSU on easily their best night of the season as they hit difficult shot after difficult shot down the stretch to win by 2. Nevada left that game with a bad taste in their mouth and are sure to be very focused for this game. I have been high on the Wolfpack all season and they added senior combo guard Lyndale Burleson at the semester break. Burleson adds needed depth and experience in the backcourt and has proven to be a playmaker on both sides of the court. Hawaii has been bad all season with only a single win over a team ranked in the current Sagarin top 200, that coming vs #188 San Jose State. They lost starting center Stephen Verwers to injury four games back and do not have much support off the bench. Expect Nevada to take care of business with a road win here.

Play: Nevada -2.5 1 UNIT

Montana State at Northern Arizona (-4.5) - 3:30pm Pacific - Game #687-688
The Lumberjacks started three freshman in place of three regular starters Thursday vs Montana and fell behind by as many as 11 early on. Once the regulars got going they were able to overcome the deficit and pull away for a quality win and cover. Junior PG Josh Wilson, the schools all-time assist leader, was one of the players to come off the bench and he responded with an impressive 19 point/8 assist game. Top inside man Kyle Landry finished with 27 points and 11 rebounds, his seventh double double of the season. NAU remains a very good team with good depth who is very tough to beat at home. Montana State is 1-5 on the road and is coming off a heartbreaking 1 point loss at awful Sacramento State late Thursday night who had previously not beaten a D-1 team. They now face travel and fatigue issues for this game that tips off 3 1/2 hours earlier than usual. The Bobcats have been a surprise in the Big Sky this year but I believe they will present less of a challenge than Montana did on Thursday night. Expect Northern Arizona to get the money again. Give the points.

Play: Northern Arizona -4.5 1 UNIT

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Re: Saturday Service Plays


3* NE/Jax over 50
3* GB/Seattle over 43

Top Opinons
GB -7
NE -13

Phil's Plays
4* NE/Jax over 50
3* GB -7

Hula Bowl
Marquee DBL East +3
Marque Single under 38

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Greg Shaker

CBB Total
triple-dime bet Miss. St / Georgia Over 134.5

Analysis: NCAAB: Georgia Bulldogs at Mississippi State Bulldogs - Over 134.5 -110 Unit Value: 3 DIMES

Note: Both of these schools play very good D and especially the Miss State Bulldogs who are ranked #16 in D efficiency but we have something going in this game that is going to give us what we want. We have two teams that have shown that they like to push the ball and both have done so at a much larger than usual clip. They also have great O Efficiency. The Home Bulldogs regularly average 120+ shots in these games at Starkville, and the last 4 times they have met each other we have seen that as well. Miss State is coming off their best performance on the Year at LSU and the Tigers managed just 39 points in that contest. They will not hold Georgia to that level, not even close. Both teams are very physical and we are going to see more than our share of free throws because of that. Just simply way too much pace here at Starkville today and a +140 game is on the way for us. Play up to 138.

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Alex Smart

Michigan +4.0 / 2 units

South Alabama -1.0 / 2 units

Missouri State +5.5 / 2 units

NC Wilmington +7.0 / 2 units

Johnny Guild


Seton Hall (10-5) at Pittsburgh (13-2) Pittsburgh Panthers - 12

Georgia Tech (7-7) at Miami-Florida (13-1) Miami-Florida Hurricanes -6

Kansas (15-0) at Nebraska (11-2) Kansas Jayhawks - 10

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EZ Winners

3 stars-Green Bay and Jacksonville

Billy Coleman

5*goy GB/Seattle over

Sportsbook Guru

10 units Green Bay/Seattle UNDER 43.5
4 units Seattle the half (orginally -7.5)

New England -13

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4-Unit Play. #527 Take Texas -1 over Missouri (1:30 pm)

It's not so much that Mizzou lost all of its big games away from Columbia, but I take more away from the fact that the Tigers have yet to show they can beat a strong program. Losses to Michigan State, Arkansas, California and Mississippi State have shown they need to prove they can knock off the better teams in the country before we don't bet against them. And here against a top program in Texas, it will be the Longhorns that keep Missouri down in big games. UT's starting backcourt of A.J. Abrams and D.J. Augustin will outplay Mizzou's guards, while Damion James will continue to show why he might be the nation's most imprroved player. Texas is 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS in the last nine meetings vs. Missouri. They again prove to be the better program, and come out of the 'Show Me' state with a nice victory.

2-Unit Play. #544 Take Penn State -2 over Minnesota (2 pm)

Don't sleep on the Nittany Lions. Suprising to most maybe, but Penn State has quietly reeled off seven wins in a row. Led by the scoring duo of Geary Claxton and Jamelle Cornley, they'll get it done in Happy Valley over a Gophers team that has not chosen to go on the road much during the first part of the season, and when they have Minnesota has looked pretty average. The home team improves to 9-0 on their own court.

3-Unit Play. #551 Take Maryland +4.5 over Virginia Tech (2 pm)

I am not impressed with the Hokies, as they have shown a consistent lacking in putting bad teams away. They lost to Richmond and looked sloppy against both Elon College and Liberty. Maryland is a much refined program, and their overall athleticism and solid guard play will give Virginia Tech problems. The Terps have won four in a row coming into this afternoon's game, and they get the check mark to come away with this one outright.

5-Unit Play. #563 Take Western Michigan -2 over Eastern Michigan (4 pm)

I know the Broncos have struggled a bit of late, but they have not played as poorly as ECU. Eastern Michigan has lost five straight and seven of its last eight games. Western Michigan, a team picked in the preseason to finish high in their respective division, has a lot of offensive balance and doesn't rely on any one player to carry the load. They have defeated Eastern nine straight times, and this one-sided series stays on the side of the favorite from Kalamazoo.

3-Unit Play. #603 Take Troy State +3 over Florida Atlantic (6 pm)

Last time out the Trojans played as bad as they have all season, scoring just 49 points and shooting 27 percent all game. That will not be the case here, as they face a bad FAU team that has won four games this season. Prior to that setback, Troy had won seven of its last nine, and here they get back in the win column.

3-Unit Play. #601 Take Old Dominion -2 over Deleware (7 pm)

We cashed with a 5-unit play with the Monarachs earlier this week, and we're going right back to the well with them. In this CAA clash, both teams come in close or atop the conference standings, but its the Blue Hens that are posing. 4-0 thus far in league play, but all four victories have been close contests. ODU is the more establish, veteran program, and this win has value with the likes of VCU and George Mason already establishing themselves as conference contenders. Old Dominion wants that label as well, and they will take a step closer to the previous two teams with a victory over Deleware, their sixth straight victory in this series.

4-Unit Play. #605 Take Southern Illinois -2 over Indiana State (7 pm)

If the Salukis are to get back into the MWC race and have a shot at the Big Dance, they are going to have to win a road game sooner or later. And this is really a good spot for them to get that much need away victory. SIU just came off a double digit victory over a good Bradley team, and they are more than capable of beating Indiana State to get going some momentum for the latter part of the season. Here's to a big time, and possibly seasoning boosting win for Southern Illinois.

4-Unit Play. #639 Take Creighton -1.5 over Wichita State (8 pm)

The Shockers just got blasted at Missouri State earlier this week, not to mention they have dropped three of their last four. Last week the Blue Jays went into Missouri State and came out with the victory. Creighton is the better team, and they'll finish ahead in this match-up, as they continue their push through conference play.

3-Unit Play. #631 Take South Alabama -2 over New Orleans (8 pm)

The Sun Belt leaders are red hot right now, and we saw exactly that with a nice victory over Western Kentucky last week. Winners of eight straight, the Jaguars will get their ninth in a row, as they take care of New Orleans. Two of SAU's three losses this season have come to undefeated Vanderbilt and one-loss Mississippi, and both games the Jags played their opponents extremely tough. Look for a 70+ point performance and a cover from South Alabama.

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personal elite..............s alabama
personal best.................unlv,ohio st, wash st
wes tcoast conf marys
platinum........................g mason, troy, tulane
inner greens, clev st
5 star executive................mia-oh
4 star............................youngstown
3 star.............................wash
total......................spurs under 88
personal best.....................mavs
5 star executive.........................celtics
personal over over

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Gavozzi/ PPP

Foots--4*GBay--3*GBay over--2*NEng--3*NEng over--3*Indy--1* Indy under--2*NYGiants--3*NYGiants under


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Frank Rosenthal

503 CELTICS-6.5
513 MAVS-7

515 AUBURN+15
517 NC ST+20
539 ND+7
550 PITT-12
554 UCLA-6
582 BYU-19
599 FSU+10
643 DAYTON-4
658 NEBRASKA+10.5

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main event.................stmarys
big east goy..................marquette
ko....................iowa, indy st louis, drake, nc greensboro
5 star hammer..................byu
4 star mex
nba blowout gom...............pistons
direct line releases.............over in both games
main event.........................GB
nfl 2nd round goy..................NE

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7-Unit Play. Take #542 Miami (-6) over Georgia Tech (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 12)
Note: This is our ACC Game of the Year. Play for 6-Units at -6.5 or -7.0. After that it's at your own discretion, but I'm looking for a double-digit victory. That being said, it's still about line value.

I love this situation and I’m loving the Hurricanes here. Miami is a very, very talented and deep team, a true sleeper in the ACC. They are 13-1 on the season and have a Top 25 resume but aren’t getting the love they deserve. Miami is 30th in points allowed defense and 13th in field goal defense and should lock down on a Tech team that has absolutely no inside presence. Miami has won its past two meetings with the Yellowjackets – including a win last year when Tech may have had more talent. Well, Miami is the better team here and should open conference play with a convincing home win. The Hurricanes beat VCU by six. They beat Providence by six. They beat Mississippi State by six. All three of those teams are better than the Jackets. Georgia Tech is coming off a disappointing road loss against rival Georgia on Thursday and has been one of the worst road teams in the nation over the past three years. Tech is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 road games and 6-17 ATS in their last 23 games played away from home. Miami is 5-1 ATS at home, 5-0 ATS as a favorite, 5-2-1 ATS in ACC play, and 13-3-1 ATS overall. I’m looking for an 8- to 12-point victory here and a solid 7-Unit score. Go Hurricanes!

3-Unit Play. Take #517 North Carolina State (+19.5) over North Carolina (Noon, Saturday, Jan. 12)
Wow. Lot of points. A LOT of points. Now, I’m not saying UNC couldn’t hammer the Pack by 20 or more. I’m just saying I think it’s highly unlikely. N.C. State has covered three straight in this series and has lost by 20 or more just once in the last 10 meetings. The road team is 7-3 ATS and even though their players play with their heads up their butts a lot of the time they still have some guys that can play some ball. N.C. State has shot under 50 percent in two straight games. I’m looking for them to shoot just well enough to only get blown out by about 15.

4.5-Unit Play. Take #652 Louisiana-Monroe (-3) over Arkansas State (8:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 12)
Arkansas State is 0-6 on the road this year while the Warhawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games. UL-M was humiliated against Western Kentucky on Thursday and I can assure you that they won’t shoot 22 percent again tonight. I think that UL-M is due for a breakout game and is too good to be 0-4 in conference play. I think they win. And if they win they’re going to cover against a team that is completely coming apart at the seams. The Warhawks are 10-1 ATS as a home favorite.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #519 Fordham (+19.5) over Xavier (Noon, Saturday, Jan. 12)
Eight of Fordam’s last nine losses to the X-Men have come by an average of 16.3 points. I think we’re getting solid value in this one, similar to the St. Bonaventure game earlier this week.

2-Unit Play. Take #563 Western Michigan (-2) over Eastern Michigan (4 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 12)
I thought this number should have been around 8.0, give or take a point. WMU has beaten EMU five straight times and brought back everyone from the team that bludgeoned them twice last year. I do think EMU will put up a fight, but I don’t think they have enough consistency on offense to spring the upset.

2-Unit Play. Take #535 Connecticut (+10) over Georgetown (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 12)
I think that Connecticut has enough athletes and enough size to matchup with the Hoyas, who have not been a strong ATS club this year. G-Town only beat the Huskies by 13 last year and they were a much better club then. Also, a dirty secret about the Hoyas is that other than a game at Memphis they have played exactly one game against a Top 110 team, and that was a less-than-impressive win at Alabama. The Huskies actually lost by less to Memphis and I think they have enough to hang around in this one.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #549 Seton Hall (+12.5) over Pittsburgh (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 12)
You may not have noticed, but The Hall is actually a pretty game squad. They have played Top 100 teams Marquette, Connecticut, N.C. State, St. Mary’s, Penn State and Virginia this year. They are 1-5 SU in those contests but their average loss was just 8.2 points. Pitt is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings and the underdog is 8-2-1 ATS. The Panthers are a tough bunch, but they are not the same without Levance Fields and Mike Cook. I actually think Seton Hall can win this one, so we’ll take a boatload of points.

2-Unit Play. Take #551 Maryland (+4.5) over Virginia Tech (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 12)
I don’t think the line is necessarily wrong, from the oddsmaker’s perspective, but I do think the wrong team is favored. If that makes any sense. I really like the look that Maryland has had in its eyes over the last two weeks and I think they can win this one. VT doesn’t have anyone inside to keep Maryland out of the lane and I think the experience of the Terps will be enough against a very, very young Hokies club.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #556 Houston (-1) over Arizona (3 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 12)
This game is a total trap for the Wildcats. They are venturing into a very hostile nonconference venue off an emotional loss to rival Arizona State. Not only that, but Houston plays a wacky, free-for-all style that may seem like it would play into U of A’s hands. Not this year. The Wildcats may have trouble keeping up on the scoreboard in this one. The Cougars have had this one circled, just like they did with Kentucky, and they should give Arizona the same type of problems that Oregon and Virginia did. Jerryd Bayless is going to go for UA, but how effective will he be? And if he goes out with that knee injury the Cats are cooked.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #527 Texas (-1) over Missouri (1:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 12)
It’s not that I don’t think Missouri can win this one, it’s that they haven’t proven that they can win a big game over a quality team this year. They consistently fall behind and play lackluster in the first half, and if they do that again they’re going to get rocked. The Longhorns are 9-0 ATS against teams with a winning record and Missouri is just 8-21-2 ATS in its last 31 conference games. Texas has covered nine straight (four straight in Mizzou) and the favorite is 5-0 ATS in the L5 meetings.

2-Unit Play. Take #588 Texas Christian (-5.5) over Wyoming (6 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 12)
Wyoming stinks. They stink and they are running into a TCU team that is just aching for a big win. TCU is athletic and should be able to overwhelm a Cowboys club that has no interior presence. The Frogs beat Wyoming by nearly 20 at home last year and I don’t see any reason why they can’t pull it off again. The Cowboys are a mess and are 2-8 ATS in their L10.

2-Unit Play. Take #614 Wright State (-5) over Cleveland State (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 12)
Cleveland State is about to be exposed. They have performed marvelously against the Horizon bottom-feeders, while Wright State has been testing itself against the better teams in the conference. Wright State has won seven of nine in the series and is 6-2-1 ATS in that stretch. The favorite is 7-3-1 ATS and the Raiders are 35-16-1 ATS at home. They will be way up for this one as they take down the team at the top of the conference standings.

2-Unit Play. Take #627 UNC-Wilmington (+7) over James Madison (8 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 12)
There’s been a lot of love thrown JMU’s way over the past two weeks by the betting community. I don’t get it. They are now banged up and could be playing without two starters, including their point guard and top outside shooter, against a team that’s won the last two meetings by an average of 25 points per. This is too many points to be giving up here.
Take #652 Louisiana-Monroe (-3) over Arkansas State (8:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 12)
Arkansas State is 0-6 on the road this year while the Warhawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games. UL-M was humiliated against Western Kentucky on Thursday and I can assure you that they won’t shoot 22 percent again tonight. I think that UL-M is due for a breakout game and is too good to be 0-4 in conference play. I think they win. And if they win they’re going to cover against a team that is completely coming apart at the seams. The Warhawks are 10-1 ATS as a home favorite.

2-Unit Play. Take #540 Marquette (-6) over Notre Dame (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 12)
Would you believe me if I told you that Notre Dame has yet to play a road game this year? It’s true. They are playing their first true road game at Marquette and are going to get hammered. Dominic James’ wrist is fine, and this game is a bit of a grudge game for a heated loss in South Bend last year. Notre Dame had trouble with the small, quick guards of Baylor and G-Tech in St. Thomas this year, their only two losses. I like what the Eagles bring to the table and I like them to hammer the Irish.

2-Unit Play. Take #529 Texas Tech (+6) over Oklahoma State (1:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 12)
How can you ever lay six points with Oklahoma State? I mean, seriously. The Sooners are a debacle and I like Bobby Knight to possibly snag No. 900 here. This all comes down to whether or not the Red Raiders are hitting from the outside. The road team is 10-4 ATS in this series and Tech is 7-2 ATS in its last nine trips to Stillwater. The Cowboys are also 5-13-1 ATS in Big 12 play.

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Frontline Sports Wire


Sea +7.5 (5units)
Sea pk +290 (2units)

Pats -13 (5units)
Pats over 49.5 (5units)


Wisc Mil +15 (5units)
Houston over 140 (5units)


Sharks -1.5 +125 (3units)

Advance Analysis

3* Jack




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Sports Investors


Cash & Profit Experts

Greenbay -7 -115

Western Michigan -2
Penn St. -2

Charlotte +10

Keith Martin Sports



Mavericks under
Miami Hurricanes
NY Rangers

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NFL ML dog of the day SEAHAWKS

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Re: Saturday Service Plays


30 Marq -6.5
20 Stl +5
20 Minn +2
20 N Mex St +6.5
100 BC -4
NFL 100 GB -7 (buy dowm)
NHL 100 Rangers Mon over 5.5

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Re: Saturday Service Plays


20* texas -1

Great Lakes

5* unlv
4* missouri
4* cincy
3* illinois st
3* buffalo
4* wizards
3* pistons
3* clippers

Trevor Stevens

3 dime NBA Pacers +2.5


10 units Tenn St -6

Best Bets
5 units Creighton -2
4 units NC Carlotte -4.5
3 units Cleve St. +5

10 units Seattle +7.5
5 units Seattle/GB UNDER 43

10 units Jax +13.5
5 units Jax/Pats UNDER 50

Pork Chop




5* Utah Jazz

Tony Matthews

15* Boston


System Seattle NFL

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Re: Saturday Service Plays





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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Dr Bob

3 Star Selection
Texas (-1) over MISSOURI
12-Jan-08 10:30 AM Pacific Time
Texas has some impressive wins this season, as the Longhorns beat Tennessee by 19 points on a neutral floor and are the only team to beat UCLA (they won that game at Pauley Pavilion). The Horns also lost to Michigan State by 6 points and to Wisconsin by 1 point at home, but Rick Barnes’ team obviously belongs among the top 10 teams in the nation. Missouri, meanwhile, has beaten up on bad teams with their fast paced 3 guard attack, but the Tigers have struggled when facing good teams. Missouri is 0-5 straight up against teams that are potential NCAA Tournament teams, losing to Michigan State, Arkansas, California, Illinois, and Mississippi State. The best team that the Tigers have beaten this season is Purdue, who is destined to finish in the bottom half of a weak Big 10 conference this year. Missouri’s overall rating is artificially high because they’ve won by bigger margins than expected against bad teams. Texas has taken it easy on weaker teams, while proving themselves against good teams, so their rating isn’t considerably higher than Missouri’s rating. Using all games played by both teams equally would result in a fair line of pick, but my ratings give more weight to games against quality teams when today’s opponent is a quality team and those weighted ratings favor Texas by 3 ½ points. Texas played well in their pre-conference schedule but they should improve now that they’re in conference play, as has always been the case under coach Rick Barnes. Since Barnes has been the head coach the Longhorns are 43-44-1 ATS in regular season non-conference games and 86-53-5 ATS against Big 12 opponents, including 75-38-4 ATS when not favored by more than 13 points (60-25-1 ATS against teams with a win percentage of .800 or less). In addition to the team trend, Texas applies to a decent 40-15-1 ATS well rested road favorite angle (Texas has had a week to prepare for this game). I’ll take Texas in a 3-Star Best Bet at -2 or better and for 2-Stars at -2 ½ or -3 points.
3-Stars at -2 or better, 2-Stars at -2 1/2 or -3 points.

2 Star Selection
Wisconsin-Milwaukee (+14 ½) over BUTLER
12-Jan-08 11:00 AM Pacific Time
Wisconsin-Milwaukee is now 6-0 straight up and 5-1 ATS since dismissing top scorer and rebounder Torre Johnson and Tim Flowers for conduct detrimental to the team, as the remaining players have bonded and started playing with more intensity. I took advantage of that with a 3-Star Best Bet on the Panthers in their upset of Valparaiso as a double-digit dog and they are getting double-digits again today. Milwaukee’s rating in their last 6 games is 15 points higher than it was in their first 9 games against Division 1 foes and while they may not continue to play as well as they are now, they are certainly better than their overall season rating. Using all games for the entire season would yield a fair line of 15 ½ points, so the oddsmakers still are not adjusting for Milwaukee’s current form. Butler has once again cooled off with the start of conference play after looking very good in their non-conference games. The Bulldogs are a difficult team to play if you’re not used to seeing them, which explains why they are now 57-30-1 ATS against non-conference opponents the last 8 seasons and just 54-69-6 ATS against conference foes that are more familiar with the way Butler plays. New Butler coach Brad Stevens was an assistant coach for the Bulldogs for the previous 7 years before taking over this season Stevens has maintained the same style of play. The trends have stayed intact as well, as Butler is 9-1 ATS in non-conference games this season and 0-5 ATS in conference play. Over the years Butler has played an average of 4.5 points worse in conference games than they have in non-conference games (9 points worse this year) and the Bulldogs are only 29-47-4 ATS in conference games after a victory the last 7 seasons (0-5 ATS this season). My ratings, using Milwaukee’s last 6 games only, favor Butler by just 8 ½ points and that’s without adjusting for Butler not being as good against fellow Horizon League teams. Milwaukee is probably not as good as they’ve been in their last 6 games, but they are significantly better than their season rating and there is still plenty of value in favor the Panthers. I’d make a fair line of Butler by 9 ½ points in this game and I’ll take Wisconsin-Milwaukee in a 2-Star Best Bet at +14 points or more.
2-Stars at +14 or more.

3 Star Selection
Northeastern (+10) over GEORGE MASON
12-Jan-08 11:00 AM Pacific Time
Northeastern is coming off an impressive 79-45 home win over Drexel and that wins sets up the Huskies in a 20-1 ATS subset of an 85-28-1 ATS road underdog momentum situation. Northeastern is 4-2 ATS as a road underdog this season while George Mason is just 3-6 ATS when favored. My ratings favor George Mason by 8 ½ points, so the line is fair, and I’ll take Northeastern in a 3-Star Best Bet at 9 or more and for 2-Stars at +8 ½ o +8 points.
3-Stars at +9 or more, 2-Stars at +8 1/2 or +8.

2 Star Selection
OHIO (-3 1/2) over Miami-Ohio
12-Jan-08 11:00 AM Pacific Time
Both of these teams are slumping, as Ohio has dropped 5 straight pointspread decisions and is coming off a loss while Miami-Ohio is 0- 3 straight up and 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games. Ohio is more likely to bounce back at home, as the Bobcats are 27-11 ATS at home after a loss and an incredible 20-2 ATS at home when not favored by more than 3 points under coach Tim O’Shea. Ohio also applies to a very strong 41-3 ATS home bounce-back situation while Miami applies to a 37-73-5 ATS negative momentum situation. My ratings favor Ohio by 3 points, so the line is fair, and I’ll take Ohio in a 3-Star Best Bet at -3 points or less and for 2-Stars at -3 ½ or -4 points.
2-Stars at -4 or less, 3-Stars at -3 or less.

2 Star Selection
Georgia Southern (-12) over CITADEL
12-Jan-08 11:00 AM Pacific Time
The Citadel is once again a horrible team and the Bulldogs are routinely beaten up on their home court, as reflected by their 6-14- 1 ATS mark on this floor. Georgia Southern applies to a 132-55-4 ATS big road favorite situation today and the Eagles are a perfect 4-0 ATS as a double-digit favorite and 3 of those came against The Citadel. The line on this game is more than fair (I favor Georgia Southern by 12 ½ points) and I’ll take Georgia Southern in a 2- Star Best Bet at -12 points or less.
2-Stars at -12 or less

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