Sunday Service Picks and Consensus Reports

Re: Sunday Service Picks and Consensus Reports

  Tout House

NFL Carolina vs. Jacksonville
Take Jacksonville Jaguars
1* on Jacksonville Jaguars -10.5 Jacksonville will get back to their dominant winning ways this weekend as they take on the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers are suffering from QB issues with the loss of Jake Delhomme early this season. Vinny Testaverde can't muster up enough offense to compete with the Jags on Sunday. The Panthers aren't running the ball effectively which also hampers their passing game. They have dropped 5 out of their last 6 games overall and are just 1-5 ATS during that span. The Jags are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Jags are scoring over 28 points a game in their last 3 games which will be more than enough to cover this spread against Carolina Sunday. David Garrard is playing great football at QB passing for over 241 yards a game in his last 3 games as the Jags' starter. Jacksonville's balance on offense makes them a very formidable opponent to stop. Carolina is 2-13 ATS in their last 15 games played on a grass field. The Jags' running game is at it's best on grass fields so look for Jacksonville to run wild on the Panthers' defense Sunday. Take Jacksonville and lay the points.

NFL Minnesota vs. San Francisco
Take Under
1 Unit on Vikings/49ers UNDER 39 The 49ers are scoring only 10 points a game at home but they are giving up just 18.6 points a game, keeping the opposing offenses in check. Minnesota is scoring just 19 points a game on the road this season and that is even with their 41 point outburst against the Giants a few weeks back. This will be a low scoring affair with two teams who focus on running the ball. Each team has great rush defenses that will contain opposing backs, even Adrian Peterson. Minnesota is 7-0 UNDER off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The UNDER is 5-1 in the 49ers last 6 games as a home underdog. Cash in with the UNDER 39 points.

NFL Miami vs. Buffalo
Take Miami Dolphins
3* on Miami Dolphins +7 This may be the Dolphins' best shot at ending their dreadful losing streak. Miami won't cash in their season due to not wanting the embarrassment of being an 0-16 team this year. Buffalo is a very beatable team that the Dolphins had on the ropes earlier this year. They held a 10-2 lead in the 4th quarter only to piss it away late. Miami can beat the Bills and we fully expect them to do so Sunday. The Bills are only scoring 15.3 points a game. Oddsmakers cannot justify this spread with those putrid offensive numbers. This game will be decided by a field goal as it comes down to the wire. The Dolphins are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Dolphins are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Bet Miami on the road.

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Re: Sunday Service Picks and Consensus Reports

Malinsky

12/9/2007 NFL Carolina Panthers at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00 PM ET Carolina Panthers 10.5
12/10/2007 NFL New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons 8:30 PM ET under 43.5

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MARC LAWRENCE NFL PHONE picks

4* UNDER DOG GOY Pittsburgh +10.5
3* carolina +10.5
3* jets +3.5

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VICTOR KING'S NFL O/U TOTALS from TIPSHEET


3* Chargers @ Titans Go Over The Total
2* Cardinals @ Seahawks Go Over The Total
2* Ny Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles Go Over The Total
2* Minnesota @ San Francisco Go Under The Total

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Re: Sunday Service Picks and Consensus Reports

Ethan Law

1* Texans

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Pointwise Phones

4* Carolina
3* Pitt. Minn. Tampa Bay Tenn
2* New Orleans Buffalo Green Bay

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jwhip


128 DEN -6.5
Analysis:
Broncos -6.5 (2 Unit)

The Chiefs have been horrible on offense as they own the 3rd-worst offense in the league in total yards and points. They are averaging just 14 points per game, and havent even scored a point in the fourth quarter in four straight games.

QB Brodie Croyle has looked ok in his last three games, but has failed to put up the points and yards. In those three games he is averaging around 150 passing yards, with ONLY 1 touchdown pass.

The Broncos offense simply has the power to out score the Chiefs. They are averaging 29 points per game over their last four, and Jay Cutler has been a different quarterback at home. He is averaging 240 passing yards per game and has a stellar QB rating of 98 on the season.

The Broncos gave the Raiders 24 points last week on turnovers, and also gave the Bears a win with kicking to Hester. The players "know they have to play better" to get into the playoffs. Before those games take a look at them against the Titans and Chiefs: dominating performances and according to team insiders "they will return to that form" now back at home.

The Broncos shut down this Chiefs team a few weeks ago, and Selvin Young rushed for 109 yards on the day. Young is expected to be highly involved in offense and with the temperature in the low 20's look for the Broncos to dominate this lonely KC team again

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North Star Sports Service

Best Bet!
NFL - 12/9/2007
GREEN BAY -10

NFL - 12/9/2007 DALLAS atDETROIT Under 53
NFL - 12/9/2007 NY GIANTS 3
NFL - 12/9/2007 PITTSBURGH atNEW ENGLAND Over 52
NFL - 12/9/2007 TENNESSEE 0
NFL - 12/9/2007 ARIZONA 6.5
NFL - 12/9/2007 MINNESOTA atSAN FRANCISCO Over 39
NFL - 12/9/2007 CLEVELAND atNY JETS Under 48
NFL - 12/9/2007 KANSAS CITY atDENVER Over 37.5

NFL - 12/10/2007 NEW ORLEANS atATLANTA Over 43

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Lucky Lester

NFL - 12/9/2007 DETROIT 10.5
NFL - 12/9/2007 BUFFALO -7
NFL - 12/9/2007 PHILADELPHIA -3
NFL - 12/9/2007 ARIZONA 7
NFL - 12/9/2007 NY JETS 3
NFL - 12/10/2007 NEW ORLEANS -4

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Tom Scott's

ANGLE OF WEEK

Sometimes, no matter how bad the opponent is, a team should not be favored. There’s a situation in the NFL this week that finds a substantial home favorite who has been unable to crack the 21-point mark in any of his last three games. If you can’t score 21 in the NFL it’s difficult to win the game let alone cover a spread as a favorite. For example: All NFL teams who failed to score 21 points in games since 1980 went 2003-4735-179 to the spread, less than 30% winners. Favorites who didn’t come up with the black jack went 594-2063-75 ATS or 22.3% winners. Favorites of -4 or more were 274-1112-21 to the number and less than 20% of the tickets got cashed. With that idea in mind and a little tweak here and there, I present my Angle of the Week:

PLAY AGAINST any NFL division home favorite of -4 or more who failed to score 21 or more points in any of his last three games if he is off a SU and ATS win and is going into revenge.

26 Year ATS = 13-1 for 92.8%

This week’s play = MIAMI over Buffalo

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CTO Sunday

11* Green Bay

10 * St. Louis

Baskets

11* V. Tech

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SUNDAY'S PICKS

50 DIME PLAY

PHILADELPHIA

50 DIME 3-TEAM TEASER

JACKSONVILLE

INDIANAPOLIS

NEW ENGLAND


Reduce the points you are laying with Jacksonville, Indianapolis, and New England.

Note from buttin:

These are two SEPARATE 50 Dime selections.

Let's address the play on PHILADELPHIA first:

Guys, since we're up 772 dimes with these releases I want you to spend a little extra coin and buy down the 1/2 point in the following scenarios: This line has been a solid 3 all week long. So if you've got Philadelphia at -3 I want you to buy them down to -2 1/2 so you still win if they prevail by a field goal. And if you get stuck with Philadelphia at -3 1/2, buy down to -3 so you get a push with a field goal.

Take it from a former bookmaker and the guy who fathered the offshore sportsbook industry that too many gamblers and handicappers needlessly buy half points on all types of numbers. But the ONLY number that matters from a bookmaker's perspective is 3 because of overtime and that's why its the only number they (bookmakers) charge the extra juice for. Once again, we're using the power of money - our profit of 772 dimes - against the bookmaker in this case.

Why not buy a little extra insurance at a few cents on the dollar to protect your investment? As CEO of a multi-million dollar company I can tell you it's the right move, just like I knew it was the right move when as a bookmaker I saw smart players doing the same thing when the opportunity presented itself.

Next, let's address the THREE-TEAM TEASER on Jacksonville, Indianapolis, and New England:

Using the traditional 10 points you get in a three-team teaser, this Laughlin, Nevada-based group wants you to reduce the points you are laying with Jacksonville at home versus Carolina, reduce the points you are laying with Indianapolis at Baltimore, and reduce the number of points you are laying with New England at home versus Pittsburgh.

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BIG AL's NFL MONSTER BLOWOUT WINNER.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincy Bengals minus the points over St. Louis. The Rams season has been a nightmare due to injuries. Marc Bulger, Steven Jackson, and a host of offensive linemen have all missed significant time this year. Now, on Sunday, it looks like St. Louis will not only be without Bulger (concussion), but also its #2 quarterback, Gus Frerotte. So, Scott Linehan will be forced to play the Rams' 3rd-stringer, Brock Berlin. That just won't cut it against an offensive-minded Bengals squad that should put up a lot of points. Berlin has never attempted a pass in a regular-season game, and behind a makeshift offensive line, he will be in a lot of trouble vs. a Bengals defense that has forced 13 turnovers in its last five games. The Rams like to blitz a lot, but Carson Palmer is good at getting his passes away, so Chad Johnson and T.J. Houshmandzadeh could have big days. Look for a breakout offensive performance by the Bengals on Sunday. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

BIG AL's 81-38 ATS NFL DIVISION GAME OF THE MONTH -- Sunday
At 1 pm, our AFC East Game of the Month is on the Miami Dolphins plus the points over Buffalo. Miami's winless on the year, but fall into an 81-38 ATS system of mine that plays on certain winless teams at Game 5 of the season or later vs. foes with a win percentage greater than .250. These two teams met earlier this year, and Buffalo eked out a 3-point win, 13-10. Miami is 11-6 ATS vs. the Bills since 1980 off a SU/ATS loss, including 6-1 ATS with revenge. The weather is expected to be miserable, with a temperature around 32 degrees, and possible freezing rain. That will especially hamper offenses, and getting this large of an underdog is a solid play under these circumstances. Miami's defense is better than Buffalo's, to the extent the Bills' defense doesn't get much pressure on the QB (the Bills have managed just 5 sacks and 2 interceptions over the last 5 games). And Buffy allows a league-worst 49 percent conversion rate on third down. Miami's defense is a lot more active, with 11 sacks, 2 interceptions, a fumble recovery and a TD in just its last 2 games, so look for Trent Edwards to be in trouble somewhat in these poor weather conditions, and to be pressured into some bad decisions. Take the points with the Dolphins. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

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Jimmy The Moose

Game: Cleveland Browns at New York Jets Dec 9 2007 4:15PM

Prediction: Cleveland Browns

Reason: The Browns are 7-5 SU and 9-3 at the window this season. On the road they are averaging 25 PPG, 9 more than the Jets average at home. The Browns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. On the year they are 4-2 ATS on the road. In their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record the Browns are 2-9 ATS. The Jets are 2-3-1 ATS at home this season. New York is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Browns are 2-1 SU ans ATS in the last 3 meetings. New York won't be able to keep up with the Browns offensively. Play on the Browns -.

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Tom Freese

Game: Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers Dec 9 2007 4:05PM

Prediction: San Francisco 49ers

Reason: Minnesota is 0-6 ATS their last 6 games as road favorites of 4 or more points and they are 3-11 ATS off a win by 14 or more points. The Vikings are 2-8 ATS after scoring 30 or ore points in their last game. San Francisco is 5-2-1 ATS in Week 14. The home team in this series is 5-0 ATS the last five meetings. Play On SAN FRANCISCO +
Reply With Quote

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Robert Ross

Game: Oakland Raiders at Green Bay Packers Dec 9 2007 1:00PM

Prediction: Green Bay Packers

Reason: Possibility of bad weather won't help the Oakland cause. It is 1-10 ATS in December games over the last 3 seasons. It has won its last two over a six-game losing streak but those were against sub-.500 division rivals Denver and Kansas City. Green Bay looking to bounce back off a Thursday loss at Dallas that snapped a six-game winning streak so has extra time to prepare for this one. Home favorites of 3.5-10 points which have won four of their last five games are 37-11 ATS when playing teams that have lost four or five of their previous six games.

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BEN POWERS NFL DOG PLAYS

dolphins +7
giants +3
rams+ 10'
texans + 3
niners +9'
ravens +9'

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System Sports Guaranteed Selections

From Mike Neri's site 17-4 in the NFL TY

Date: Sunday, December 09, 2007
$35.00 Guaranteed: We are now on a 209-84 guaranteed winning run including 18-5 in College Football and 17-4 in the NFL this year! Today is a HUGE DAY as we are releasing a 22-0 ATS NFC SYSTEM PLAY OF THE YEAR! You can get this ONCE A YEAR WINNER for just $35 and you will pay only after you win! This is by far our STRONGEST SYSTEM in our library so make sure you join us for this HUGE WINNER IN THE NFL today! 12/8/2007

124 San Francisco +9 4:05 EST
In games 2-14, play on a non Monday Night home dog of 7 points or more with an OVER & UNDER line greater than 35 if they are off a STRAIGHT UP and suffered a 3+ turnover margin. Th 49'ers cover or you do not pay!

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Sports Gambling Hotline

Minnesota (-8') at SAN FRANCISCO

We are having a hard time finding a reason to go with the San Francisco 49ers these days, and we are also having a hard time finding a reason to go against the Minnesota Vikings these days.

That being the case, we suggest laying the chalk on the road this afternoon in the Bay Area. Minnesota did lose at San Francisco 9-3 last season, but a lot has changed since then. The Vikes are actually in the playoff picture in the NFC, and have won and covered 3 in a row, and 4 of their last 5.

Last week they welcomed rookie sensation Adrian Peterson back on the field, as Minny trounced Detroit 42-10. Right now the Vikings are getting solid quarterbacking from 2nd year man Tarvaris Jackson, and excellent play from the special teams, and emerging WR Sidney Rice.

Can't see the Niners doing much damage with Trent Dilfer at the helm, as Dilfer was picked off 4 times last week at Carolina, and sacked 6 times to boot.

The Vikings are hungry for a wild card spot, and this road game while tricky, will pose no stumbling block.

Take Minnesota minus the points.


MINNESOTA

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Tony Mathew's Free NFL Selection for Decmeber 9, 2007.

Matchup: Carolina Panthers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Selection: Carolina Panthers +11 (-110)

Explanation: We will side with the Carolina Panthers +11 as they face-off against the Jacksonville Jaguars in Sunday's NFL contest.

While the Panthers haven't done well this season it would be erroneous (particularly in the month of December) to dismiss their role as a big road underdog. Historically when Carolina has been a road underdog for December they have covered 13 out of 15 times. This season on the road, the Panthers have won 4 games against St. Louis, Arizona, New Orleans, and Atlanta.

Conversely, the Jaguars are horrible when playing as a favorite. When laying at least ten points, Jacksonville is 0-4 ATS. Additionally, the Jaguars are coming off a close game against the Indianapolis Colts and are slated for another big game versus the Steelers which makes for little ambition in regard to the Panthers.

Last week the Panthers played really great against the 49ers. Even though it was only San Francisco, it served to provide a big confidence boost for Carolina and faith in their game with Vinny Testaverde as QB.

Even though Testaverde is 44, the team is more responsive to him than the disliked David Carr, and despite his age, still has a strong arm. With Testaverde under center, wide receiver Steve Smith will be an integral component. Making things even smoother for the Panthers is the absence of 2 of the Jaguars key defensive players; pass rusher Reggie Hayward and MLB Mike Peterson.

Take the Carolina Panthers +11!

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