TheSpread.com

COMPUTER PLAYS

1:00 p.m. Houston Texans + 6½
1:00 p.m. Cincinnati Bengals - 6½
1:00 p.m. Jacksonville Jaguars - 10 * * *
1:00 p.m. Green Bay Packers + 1½
1:00 p.m. Pittsburgh Steelers - 9½
1:00 p.m. St. Louis Rams - 3
1:00 p.m. Tampa Bay Buccaneers + 3½
1:00 p.m. Indianapolis Colts - 7
4:05 p.m. Arizona Cardinals + 3
4:05 p.m. Detroit Lions - 3
4:05 p.m. Miami Dolphins + 3½
4:15 p.m. Baltimore Ravens - 10
4:15 p.m. Chicago Bears - 12
4:15 p.m. Oakland Raiders + 10
8:15 p.m. New England Patriots - 3½

Chuck Franklin Sunday Plays:

2500♦ CHICAGO BEARS
1500♦ CAROLINA
1500♦ DETROIT
1500♦ SAN DIEGO

Confidential Kick Off
WASHINGTON over Philadelphia
Under 42 - Minnesota-Detroit
Over 44 - Seattle-Arizona

JB Sports

Rams

John Ryan

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Cleveland Browns plus the points over Cincinnati I had a 5* MONSTER winner on the Bengals Monday night in their huge win over Baltimore. Although it is just week 2, this game has letdown written all over it and Bengals working on a short week too. Bengals defense was quite impressive in containing Ravens offense and forcing 6 turnovers. They will be the benefactor of 6 turnovers this week. Cleveland must and will get a solid running game led by Lewis. Bengals will crowd the LOS and force Browns to pass and that is where the big play opportunities reside. You will see them lineup TE Winslow in the slot instead of the traditional formation. This will enable him to use his athleticism off the snap and prevents LB from banging him on the snap. Back to the running game. Lewis will be running behind a strong blocking FB in Vickers. Lewis is a straight ahead runner and running simple yet powerful straight ahead running plays will wear down the Bengals defense. These types of running plays also serve to eliminate the speed and quickness of the Bengals defense. Misdirection and zone running plays take too long to develop against a quick and aggressive defense like the Bengals. So, yes, I think the Browns running game will be a big success. AiS shows a 75% probability that Browns will lose this game by 6 or fewer points. AiS also shows an 85% probability that Browns will score 22 to 28 points and note that Browns are 32-4 ATS when they score within this range. Take the Browns.

LT PROFITS

Buffalo Bills @ Pittsburgh Steelers o37.5 (-110)
Sun Sep 16 '07 1:00p
Buffalo Bills, Pitt Steelers Over 37.5

While we understand why the total in this game between the Buffalo Bills and Pittsburgh Steelers is rather low, we feel that the Steelers may put up around 28 points themselves here.
The Bills gave it their all in a tough 15-14 home loss to Denver on opening week, but truth be told, they actually allowed the Broncos to march up and down the field. Buffalo allowed 470 total yards in that contest, and they were equally bad against the run (5.3 yards per rush) and the pass (7.7 yards per attempt).
That is bad news against a Steelers offense that looked crisp with a healthy Roethlisberger last week, as Pittsburgh piled up 365 yards vs. the Cleveland Browns in a 34-7 rout. We would not be surprised if the Steelers actually topped that already impressive yardage total here, and they should be able to score with relative ease.
All that said, we are not fond with the idea of laying close to double digits in the NFL. However, if the Steelers are as effective as we expect offensively, the Bills may only need to score 10 points or mort to push this game Over, which is certainly attainable.

Steelers Over 37.5



Tennessee Titans +7.0 (-110)
Sun Sep 16 '07 1:00p
Tennessee Titans +7 vs. Colts

The Indianapolis Colts exploded in the second half of their season opener vs. New Orleans, but we feel they will have their hands full as road favorites vs. the young Tennessee Titans here.
The Titans went into Jacksonville and upset the Jaguars in Week 1, amassing an amazing 282 yards on the ground! They will no doubt employ that same strategy here in an attempt to keep Peyton Manning and Co. off the field for as long as possible. Remember also that the Titans nearly beat the Colts twice last year, losing just 14-13 at Indianapolis after leading 13-0 before pulling off the 20-17 upset in this stadium.
Now the Colts allowed over 100 yards rushing in every single regular season game last season, but they looked better in the 2007 opener, although they still extended that streak by allowing the Saints 106 rushing yards. This assignment is tougher though, as not only do they have to content with running back Chris Brown, but they also must chase one of the most mobile quarterbacks in football in Vince Young.
We expect this matchup to be a carbon copy of the two meetings last season, with the Titans controlling the clock with their ground game, and with the winner on the field not determined until the very late stages.

Titans +7

Ats Lock Club

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4 units on the NY Yankees (pk) over the Boston Red Sox, 8:00
3 units on the Chicago Cubs (-120) over the St Louis Cardinals, 2:00

Burns Non-Conf GOY - Miami +3

Burns Shocker of the Year - Cleveland +6

Burns Total of Month - Pats/SD Under 44



3 Game Total Package:

Oak/Denv Under 37

Det/Minn Under 41

StL/SF Under 43

Brandon Lovell
Sunday, September 16, 2007

Sport: NFL

Game: Sf - STL

5* Stl -3

Pure Lock - Baltimore