Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 3/11/19 Prediction & Odds

The Tampa Bay Lightning are a rare underdog Monday night in Toronto where they’ll take on the Maple Leafs at 7:00 p.m. ET. With more points than any team in hockey, are the Lightning a live dog or is the hot Maple Leafs a better buy for bettors?

Game Snapshot

037 Tampa Bay Lightning at 038 Toronto Maple Leafs

7:00 p.m. ET, Monday, March 11, 2019

TV: TVA, FS Sun (Tampa Bay), Sportsnet Ontario (Toronto)

Compare odds from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our NHL Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Information

According to oddsmakers from online sportsbook, the Maple Leafss are -111 money line favorites to beat the Lightning, who currently are +101 underdogs to pull off the upset. Our NHL Public Betting Information page shows that 58% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Lightning to win on the money line.

Tampa Bay Lightning Fantasy Spin

Louis Domingue allowed two goals on 24 shots in Saturday's 3-2 win over the Detroit Red Wings. It was a fairly easy night for Domingue who was beat through traffic with 56 seconds left in regulation by Anthony Mantha to make this one interesting late. Tampa's backup goaltender will see his record improve to an incredible 20-5-0 with a 2.88 goals-against-average and a .908 save percentage.

Toronto Maple Leafs Fantasy Spin

Frederik Andersen allowed two goals on 33 shots in Saturday's 3-2 win over the Edmonton Oilers. It looked like Andersen was going to get a shutout with the Maple Leafs up 3-0 late in the game but Toronto allowed a couple of goals in the final two minutes to make this one interesting. Regardless, Andersen will see his record improve to 33-13-4 with a 2.56 goals-against-average and a .924 save percentage.

Betting Trends

Tampa Bay

The Lightning are 42-10 in their last 52 games versus the rest of the Eastern Conference.


The Maple Leafs have won six of their last eight games entering play on Monday.

Our Prediction

The Lightning top the league in scoring at 3.77 goals per game, have a NHL-best power-play percentage (28.6) and bettors rarely have an opportunity to play Tampa as an underdog. Despite the Maple Leafs’ 6-1-1 run of late, the Lightning are the play tonight. They’re 5-2 in their last seven games in Toronto and have beaten the Leafs in five of their last seven games overall. Tampa Bay is also 11-5 in its last 16 games as an underdog and is 39-18 in its last 57 road games as well.

Monday NHL Prediction: Tampa Bay Lightning +101

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