Falcons vs. Chiefs Week 16 Prediction

Falcons vs. Chiefs, 12/27/20 NFL Week 16 Betting Predictions

After blowing yet another second half lead, the Falcons will look to regroup on Sunday when they take on the defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs at 1:00 p.m. ET. Forget about winning outright – will Atlanta at least cover as a double-digit underdog?

Game Snapshot

473 Atlanta Falcons (+10.5) at 474 Kansas City Chiefs (-10.5); o/u 54

1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, December 27, 2020

Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO


Atlanta Falcons DFS Spin

Matt Ryan completed 34-of-49 passes for 356 yards and three touchdowns in the Falcons' 31-27, Week 15 loss to the Bucs. It was easily one of Ryan's best games of the season, and he was able to pull it off with Julio Jones (hamstring) out of the lineup. The Falcons took a 17-0 lead into halftime after Ryan hit Russell Gage and Calvin Ridley for five- and 12-yard touchdowns before the break. But the Bucs dominated the second 30 minutes. Ryan's third touchdown was a seven-yard hookup with Hayden Hurst. He had Calvin Ridley for an open second score, but CB Antoine Winfield Jr. made a great play on the ball in the end zone to break it up at the last second. Ryan's 356 yards were his third-most of the season, and it was his first 300-yard game since Week 7. It's impossible to trust Ryan outside of two-QB fantasy leagues, but he should be throwing a ton again next week in a road date at Kansas City. The Falcons have no running game whatsoever.

Kansas City Chiefs DFS Spin

Patrick Mahomes completed 26-of-47 passes for 254 yards and three touchdowns in the Chiefs' 32-29 Week 15 win against the Saints, adding seven rushes for 37 yards. Mahomes didn't play particularly well and still ended up with three scores. He faced immense pressure throughout, taking four sacks and constant hits from the Saints front seven. New Orleans took away everything deep for Mahomes and the KC pass catchers, forcing Mahomes to check down time and again. Mahomes' 36 touchdown passes sits four behind league leader Aaron Rodgers. He has tremendous upside against a porous Falcons secondary in Week 16.

Falcons vs. Chiefs Week 16 Prediction

The over has cashed in five straight meetings between these two teams and is 4-1 in the Falcons’ last five games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. The over is also 9-4-1 in the Chiefs’ last 14 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game and is 11-5 in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous contest.


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