Saints vs. Titans Sunday Prediction
In what has turned into a key late-season non-conference matchup, the Saints are laying 2.5 points to the Titans at 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday. Will the Saints win their 12th game of the season while delivering a blow to the Titans’ playoff hopes?
463 New Orleans Saints (-2.5) at 464 Tennessee Titans (+2.5); O/U 50.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, December 21, 2019
Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Saints are receiving 69% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
New Orleans Saints Fantasy Spin
Alvin Kamara rushed 14 times for 66 yards and caught all five of his targets for 23 yards in the Saints' 34-7, Week 15 win over the Colts. Kamara has zero 100-yard rushing games this season and hasn't scored a touchdown since Week 3. Both of his touchdowns on the year came in that same Week 3 game against the Seahawks. It's been a nightmare season for Kamara fantasy owners. The Saints made an effort to get Kamara the ball outside of straight hand-offs, but he's not making defenders miss at the catch point or in the open field. Kamara will be a boom-bust RB1 next week at Tennessee with far more "bust" weeks than booms in 2019.
Tennessee Titans Fantasy Spin
Derrick Henry (hamstring) is questionable for Week 16 against the Saints. It's a significant downgrade since Henry practiced in full on Friday and avoided an injury designation altogether. The Titans suddenly promoted RB Dalyn Dawkins from their practice squad to the 53-man roster, too, ominously prepping ahead of time for Henry's absence. Dion Lewis is a must-add from waivers since he would undoubtedly handle a bulk of the team's work as a strong RB2 if Henry's ruled out prior to kick-off.
NFL Betting Trends
The Saints are 25-8 against the spread in their last 33 road games and are 9-3 against the number in their last 12 games overall.
The Titans are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games overall, are 6-2 against the number in their last eight games as a home underdog and are 3-1-1 against the spread in their last five home games.
Ryan Tannehill has played very well since the Titans replaced him for Marcus Mariota, but I’m not going to fade Drew Brees and the Saints with so much on the line. New Orleans is still fighting for homefield advantage throughout the playoffs and despite suffering key injuries on defense, held the Colts to a single touchdown on Monday night. Brees typically doesn’t play as well on the road and outdoors, but I’ll take the risk seeing as how we’re laying less than a field goal. The Titans played well enough to win last week and had the ball bounced their way, maybe they would have beaten the Texans. Instead, they couldn’t get key stops in the fourth quarter and I could see the same situation playing out on Sunday versus the Saints.
NFL Week 16 Prediction: New Orleans Saints -2.5