Chiefs vs. Bears SNF Prediction
The Bears are listed as 6-point home underdogs versus the Chiefs on Sunday Night Football after opening as a 4.5-point pup. Will Chicago’s defense keep the Bears in the game and cash for bettors or is Patrick Mahomes the better bet?
479 Kansas City Chiefs (-6) at 480 Chicago Bears (+6); O/U 44.5
8:20 p.m. ET, Sunday, December 22, 2019
Solider Field, Chicago, IL
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Chiefs are receiving 73% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Kansas City Chiefs Fantasy Spin
Damien Williams (rib) wasn't listed on the Chiefs' final injury report. Fantasy owners could live with a two-RB backfield, but this is a complete mess at the moment after coach Andy Reid brought back his old friend and proceeded to hand Spencer Ware more snaps than either Shady McCoy or Darwin Thompson over the past two weeks. Williams' return will only further complicate matters. The nature of rib injuries makes it unlikely that he immediately gets a three-down role, making this a committee that could feature *four* backs in Week 16.
Chicago Bears Fantasy Spin
Allen Robinson caught 7-of-14 targets for 125 yards in the Bears' Week 15 loss to the Packers. It was Robinson' fifth double-digit targets game of the season and his third-100-yard effort. Robinson did almost all of his damage in the second half after going into the break with merely nine yards on one grab. His 14 targets were second to Anthony Miller's 15 on a day Mitchell Trubisky threw it 53 times. Robinson will be a solid WR2 next week at home against the Chiefs.
NFL Betting Trends
The Chiefs are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The Bears are 10-4 against the spread in their last 14 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
The Bears could make it a game for a while at home but with so much on the line for the Chiefs, I expect Kansas City to eventually pull away. Chicago will be without defensive tackle Akiem Hicks, who is so vital to the team’s run defense. Corner Prince Amukamara was also a late addition to the injury report this week and is shaping up to be a game-time decision. The Chiefs are a perfect 4-0 against the spread in their last four games overall and are 20-8-1 against the number in their last 29 road games. Meanwhile, the Bears have failed to cover the number in eight of their last 10 games overall and are just 1-4 against the number in their last five games versus an opponent with a winning record.
NFL Week 16 Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs -6