Dolphins vs. Bills Pick
Will the Miami Dolphins have another high-scoring output on Saturday when they take on the Buffalo Bills at 1PM ET?
According to the oddsmakers at BetDSI, the Bills are favored at home in this game, as Buffalo is getting odds of -3.5 points against Miami. The over/under total for the contest has been set at 41.5 points. These two met back on Oct. 23, with Miami getting a 28-25 win at Buffalo. These two have hit the over in three straight meetings.
Miami is coming off a 34-13 win at the Jets last Saturday to stay in the playoff mix at 9-5 on the season. The Dolphins hit their fourth straight over in the win and are now 10-4 with the over in 2016. Ryan Tannehill suffered a season-ending injury two weeks ago, but Matt Moore came through big in last week’s win. Moore threw for 236 yards and four touchdowns to lead Miami. The Dolphins now average 22.5 points and 340.4 yards per game on offense while giving up 22.4 points and 382.2 yards per game on defense. Jay Ajayi has run for 1,007 yards and seven touchdowns while Jarvis Landry has 82 catches for 1,031 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Cameron Wake has 10.5 sacks while Tony Lippett has four interceptions.
Buffalo snapped a two-game losing streak last week with a 33-13 win over Cleveland to move to 7-7 on the season. The Bills have hit the over in four straight games as well and are 11-3 with the over for the season. Buffalo is averaging 25.6 points and 359.2 yards per game on offense this year. LeSean McCoy has had a big bounce back year for the Bills, rushing for 1,129 yards and 12 touchdowns to lead the offense. Tyrod Taylor has added 520 rushing yards and six scores while throwing for 2,694 yards and 14 touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is giving up 22.4 points and 366.7 yards per game in 2016. Lorenzo Alexander has 67 tackles with 11.5 sacks to lead the defense while Stephon Gilmore has five interceptions.
This game has the makings of another shootout as Miami seems to be confident with Moore under center and Ajayi continuing to run the ball hard. Buffalo has a dynamic with McCoy that should cause some problems for the Miami defense as well. Expect a lot of back-and-forth on Saturday.
NFL WEEK 16 PICK: DOLPHINS/BILLS OVER 41.5