Colts vs. Saints MNF Total Prediction
Week 15 wraps up Monday night in New Orleans when the Saints host the Colts at 8:15 p.m. ET. With the total climbing from 45.5 to 47.5, is the over the best play for bettors or is there more value in the under?
333 Indianapolis Colts (+9.5) at 334 New Orleans Saints (-9.5); O/U 47.5
8:15 p.m. ET, Sunday, December 16, 2019
Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Saints are receiving 59% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Indianapolis Colts Fantasy Spin
Jacoby Brissett completed 19-of-36 passes for 251 yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions in the Colts' 38-35, Week 14 loss to the Buccaneers. Brissett created numerous chunk gains out of thin air after avoiding pressure. He also showed off his huge right arm, hooking up with Marcus Johnson for gains of 50 and 46. Still, this was a best-case spot against the Buccaneers’ pass-funnel defense in a shootout. It’s tough to expect much more from Brissett inside of this run-first offense as long as T.Y. Hilton (calf) remains sidelined in a tougher Week 15 matchup against the Saints. Treat him as more of a boom-or-bust QB2 in that spot.
New Orleans Saints Fantasy Spin
Drew Brees completed 29-of-40 passes for 349 yards and five touchdowns in the Saints' 48-46, Week 14 loss to the 49ers, adding a one-yard rushing touchdown. The Saints jumped out to a quick 20-7 lead on the back of three Brees scores to Jared Cook (twice) and Josh Hill in the game's first 15:03 of action. Cook was concussed on his second touchdown. Brees later QB-snuck in his fourth score on fourth down after Alvin Kamara was stuffed on third down. Brees' fourth-quarter 21- and 18-yard touchdowns to Michael Thomas and Tre'Quan Smith put the Saints ahead 46-45 with 53 seconds to play, but the Niners ended up kicking a game-winning field goal as time expired. Brees and the 10-3 Saints host the Colts in Week 15.
NFL Betting Trends
The under is 23-9 in the Colts’ last 32 games played in the month of December and is 12-5 in their last 17 games as a road underdog.
The over is 5-1 in the Saints’ last six games on Monday and is 10-3 in their last 13 games coming off a loss.
Last Sunday, we saw an epic offensive performance by both the 49ers and the Saints. On top of outstanding individual games from players on both sides, we also saw two excellent play-callers in Sean Payton and Kyle Shanahan give incredible performances as well. Frank Reich doesn’t have the same stable of weapons that Shanahan does, nor is he has accomplished a play-caller, but he’s still one of the best play designers in the game. Long story short, I think we could see another high-scoring game tonight in the Superdome. The Saints have scored no fewer than 26 points over their last four games, reaching 34-plus points in three of those contests. Considering they’ve been hit hard with injuries throughout the year, Indy has played fairly well defensively this season. That said, over the past two weeks, the Colts surrendered 31 points to the Titans at home and 38 points to the Bucs last week in Tampa. Not all of those points were allowed by the defense (the Titans returned a block field goal for a touchdown), but the point is that there are cracks forming in that foundation. And the Saints are not the team you want to face if you’re struggling defensively, especially when the game is played inside the Superdome.
NFL Week 15 Prediction: Colts/Saints OVER 47.5