Dolphins vs. Patriots Spread Prediction

Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots, 12/9/18 Week 14 Predictions

The Miami Dolphins upset the New England Patriots last year as a home underdog and find themselves in a similar spot Sunday at 1:00 p.m. Et. Will the Dolphins cover as a dog of over a touchdown or will the Pats roll?

Game Snapshot

117 New England Patriots at 118 Miami Dolphins

1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, December 9, 2018

Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida

Public Betting Trends

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Patriots are 7.5-point favorites to beat the Colts. The total, meanwhile, sits at 48.5 points. As of this writing, 56% of the public betting tickets are on the Patriots to cover the point spread.

New England Patriots

Rob Gronkowski (back) has been removed from the Patriots' Week 14 injury report. We know Gronk was playing against the Dolphins, but it is nice for the Patriots to remove all doubt. Although he has been clearly diminished all season, Gronk remains a top-five, high-upside TE1 against a defense that has been getting smashed up the seam in recent weeks.

Miami Dolphins

Kenyan Drake (shoulder) wasn't listed on the Dolphins' final injury report for Week 14 against the Patriots. Drake was a limited participant at all three practices this week. As he is most weeks, Drake will be a touchdown-dependent RB3 against New England. He face-planted against the Pats earlier this year, contributing three yards on three carries to go with one catch for 13 yards in a Week 4 loss at Foxboro.

NFL Betting Trends

New England

The Patriots are 5-0 against the spread in their last five games versus AFC East rivals.

Miami

The Dolphins are 5-1 against the number in their last six home games.

Prediction

The Patriots have struggled to cover the spread in Miami, posting a 1-5 ATS record in their last six trips to South Beach. That said, they’re also 4-1 against the number in their last five games versus the Fish and are a perfect 4-0 against the spread in their last four games played in the month December. Despite Miami beating New England at home as a dog last year and despite the Pats’ issues on the road against the Dolphins, I’m going to lay the points here. The cream rises to the top in the month of December in the NFL.

NFL Week 14 Prediction: New England Patriots -7.5

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