Ravens vs. Bills Week 14 Prediction
One of the best matchups for Week 14 in the NFL pits the Ravens versus the Bills, two teams that will be headed to the postseason next month. Are the Ravens a safe play as a 6.5-point road favorite today at 1:00 p.m. ET?
131 Baltimore Ravens (-6.5) at 132 Buffalo Bills (+6.5); O/U 44
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, December 8
Ralph Wilson Stadium, Buffalo, NY
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Ravens are receiving 54% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Baltimore Ravens Fantasy Spin
Lamar Jackson completed 14-of-23 passes for 105 yards and a touchdown in the Ravens' 20-17, Week 13 win over the 49ers, adding 16 carries for 101 additional yards and a touchdown. Playing in swirling rain — Jackson admitted after the game that he was bothered by the conditions — the sophomore quarterback had a forgettable day as a passer, completing just three throws to wide receivers. As usual, he compensated on the ground, clearing 100 yards for the fourth time this season. He has reached at least 79 yards rushing each of the past three weeks. Jackson's running is unprecedented for a quarterback at the NFL level. Jackson's ground score was a one-yard keeper on a second quarter third down. His passing touchdown was a beautiful 20-yarder to Mark Andrews following a play fake. The MVP frontrunner has another tough Week 14 matchup in a Buffalo road trip.
Buffalo Bills Fantasy Spin
Josh Allen completed 19-of-24 passes for 231 yards and one score, chipping in 10 carries for 43 yards and another touchdown in Buffalo's Week 13 domination over the Cowboys. In what was the second-year signal-caller's first primetime game of his career, Allen made a handful of jaw-dropping plays, evading pass rushers in his own end zone to find Cole Beasley (6/110/1) for a first down along the sidelines and later sliding up in the pocket to again find Beasley hovering over the middle for a 25-yard touchdown strike. Allen even mishandled a crucial 4th-and-1 sneak but picked up the ball and churned his legs over the center and through Byron Jones for a three-yard gain to setup John Brown's ensuing touchdown toss (not a mistype) to Devin Singletary. The Bills are clicking due in part to their heavy usage of 11 personnel the past three games, which has helped them move to 9-3 while eyeing a Wild Card berth. Buffalo's Week 14 test against the Ravens will be must-see television.
NFL Betting Trends
The Ravens have covered in seven of their last nine road games, but are just 5-12 at the betting window in their last 17 games as a favorite.
The Bills are 4-0-1 against the spread in their last five games overall and are 5-0-1 against the number in their last six games as an underdog.
I fully admit that the Bills are probably being disrespected again by oddsmakers. They were catching seven points on Thanksgiving Day in Dallas and routed the Cowboys and now are 6.5-point home dogs against the Ravens. That said, their biggest weakness is their run defense and Baltimore brings the No. 1 rushing attack in the NFL into Buffalo this afternoon. The Ravens are battle tested, beating the Texans, Rams and 49ers the past three weeks. Until somebody slows down Jackson, I’ll lay the points with the Ravens.
NFL Week 14 Prediction: Baltimore Ravens -6.5