Colts vs. Bucs Week 14 Prediction
The Bucs have won back-to-back games but are hosting a Colts team on Sunday that is fighting for their playoff lives. Laying a field goal as a home favorite, are the Bucs a trustworthy play for bettors at 1:00 p.m. ET?
147 Indianapolis Colts (+3) at 148 Tampa Bay Bucs (-3); O/U 47
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, December 8
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Bucs are receiving 53% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Indianapolis Colts Fantasy Spin
Colts coach Frank Reich doesn't plan on using a "pitch count" for Marlon Mack. Mack is going to play Week 14 against the Bucs and may not be overly limited per Reich's post-practice comments. Reich did say that all four running backs are expected to be active, however. Mack's biggest issue is the matchup. Tampa Bay has the league's best run defense and one of the worst secondaries. Since he isn't utilized as a receiver often, Mack is best viewed as a low-end RB2.
Tampa Bay Bucs Fantasy Spin
Mike Evans caught just 4-of-11 targets for 53 yards in the Bucs' Week 13 win over the Jaguars. Yikes. Not good production considering the target share. Breshad Perriman (5-87) and O.J. Howard (5-61) led the Bucs in receiving on a day Jameis Winston threw for just 268 yards and zero touchdowns for the first time all year. The Bucs jumped out to a 25-0 halftime lead and squatted on the ball in the second half. Winston also missed a wide-open Evans on a would-be 48-yard touchdown in the first half, overthrowing him by several feet with no defender in the area after Evans dusted CB A.J. Buoye on a double-move, drawing a pass interference call. Evans will look to rebound at home against the Colts in Week 14.
NFL Betting Trends
The Colts are 6-2-1 against the spread in their last nine road games and are 5-0 against the number following a double-digit loss at home.
The Bucs have dropped five straight games against the spread when playing at Raymond James Stadium.
The Bucs have won back-to-back games while the Colts are coming off a crushing loss to the Titans at home, one that might have cost them a playoff berth. That said, this is the perfect time to fade Tampa Bay. Back the Bucs as a pesky road dog against divisional foe Atlanta? Sure. Lay a field goal a week ago when Tampa is facing a Jacksonville team in freefall? Absolutely. But lay a field goal against a struggling team, yet one that is still in the mix for a playoff spot? No thanks. This is when Jamies Winston reminds everyone of his track record. It’s not surprising that he has played well the past two weeks. He’ll do that, then he’ll follow those performances up with a four-pick disaster that costs the Bucs a game. Tampa is 8-20 against the spread in its last 28 games as a home favorite and is 1-5 ATS in its last six games coming off a win.
NFL Week 14 Prediction: Indianapolis Colts +3