Chargers vs. Jaguars Week 14 Prediction
A pair of 4-8 teams with no postseason berth on the line will square off in Jacksonville on Sunday when the Chargers visit the Jaguars at 4:05 p.m. ET. Is there any value in the home dog Jaguars or are bettors better off laying a field goal with the Bolts?
149 Los Angeles Chargers (-3) at 150 Jacksonville Jaguars (+3); O/U 42.5
4:05 p.m. ET, Sunday, December 8
TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Chargers are receiving 59% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Los Angeles Chargers Fantasy Spin
According to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport, Philip Rivers is in danger of being benched. Rivers limped into the Chargers' bye, throwing a combined seven interceptions in losses to Oakland and Kansas City. While there's been plenty of blame to go around in L.A., Rivers' penchant for costly turnovers certainly hasn't helped the Chargers' cause. Despite Rivers' status as a franchise icon, coach Anthony Lynn won't hesitate to pull the plug on L.A.'s long-time starter if his struggles continue. The Chargers have a capable backup in Tyrod Taylor, who offers starting experience from previous stints in Buffalo and Cleveland.
Jacksonville Jaguars Fantasy Spin
Jaguars placed LB Myles Jack (knee) on injured reserve. Donald Payne will take over in Jack's absence. It's great news for the entire Chargers rushing attack. Melvin Gordon continues to see RB1 usage on a near-weekly basis, while Austin Ekeler has made the most of his limited touches ever since MGIII returned. The bigger problem facing both backs has been the limited effectiveness of the offense as a whole. Overall, they've scored 20 or fewer points in three times as many games (6) as they've surpassed 20 points (2) since Gordon returned in Week 5. Overall, both Gordon (PPR RB10) and Ekeler (RB14) have provided borderline RB1 value in four games since getting a new play caller. Up next is a winnable matchup against a Jaguars Defense that has been significantly better at stopping the pass (No. 13 in DVOA) than the run (No. 32) this season.
NFL Betting Trends
The Chargers are 9-4-1 against the spread in their last 14 road games but are just 3-8-2 against the number in their last 13 games overall.
The Jaguars are 2-5 against the spread in their last even home games and have dropped four out of their last five ATS when coming off a loss.
Both of these teams are falling apart. The Jaguars keep flip-flopping quarterbacks and have played like zombies since trading corner Jalen Ramsey (perhaps the team gave up on both head coach Doug Marrone and the front office following the deal). The Chargers, meanwhile, are apparently having internal discussions on benching Philip Rivers and there are some murmurs that Anthony Lynn is now on the hot seat. The Chargers offensive line is also a mess, although that shouldn’t be an issue today in Jacksonville because the Jags defense is awful. This is all hunch for me but I like the Jags catching a field goal at home now that Gardner Minshew is back under center. The team seems to play better and for him as opposed to the overrated Nick Foles.
NFL Week 14 Prediction: Jacksonville Jaguars +3