Colts vs. Texans Week 13 Prediction
If the Colts are to keep their AFC South and playoff hopes alive, they need a win on Sunday in Houston where they’ll take on the Texans at 1:00 p.m. ET. Will Philip Rivers and Co. cover as a 3-point favorite or will Deshaun Watson produce as a home dog?
455 Indianapolis Colts (-3) at 456 Houston Texans (+3); o/u 50.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, December 6, 2020
Venue: NGR Stadium, Houston, TX
Indianapolis Colts DFS Spin
Philip Rivers completed 24-of-42 passes for 295 yards, a touchdown, and an interception in the Colts' 26-45 Week 12 loss to the Titans. Rivers moved the ball effectively against the Titans' generous secondary but the Colts defense couldn't stop Derrick Henry from the first snap of the contest. Rivers hit T.Y. Hilton for a 50-yarder and a short touchdown amid another game of dump offs to his running backs. With at least 288 yards in each of his past three games, Rivers should continue to be a floor option in Week 13 against a Browns defense that gave up 235 yards and two touchdowns to Mike Glennon in Week 12.
Houston Texans DFS Spin
Deshaun Watson completed 17-of-25 passes for 318 yards and four touchdowns in Houston's 41-25 Week 12 blowout against the Lions. Watson also recorded the most touchdown passes (24) in the first 11 games of a season in franchise history. Although he left a handful of plays on the field including two (slightly) overthrown touchdowns to TE Jordan Akins and a missed deep shot to Keke Coutee on Houston's first play from scrimmage, Watson was flawless otherwise in finding Will Fuller for a 40-yard score in man coverage and again once more on a trick flea-flicker from Duke Johnson on back-to-back possessions in the fourth quarter. With more control of the game-planning and play-calling since Bill O'Brien was relieved of his duties, Watson has unsurprisingly scorched the league for 15 touchdowns and zero turnovers over his last six games. Currently at 4-3 since O'Brien's release, it also wouldn't be shocking to see interim coach Romeo Crennel get a fair shake at the head gig this offseason. Fantasy players should expect Watson to continue surging in Week 13 against the Colts.
Colts vs. Texans Betting Prediction
The over is 6-1 in the Colts’ last seven games overall, are 5-1 against the number in their last six games as a favorite and has cashed in five of their last six road games. The over is also 8-1 in Indianapolis’ last nine road games when it faces an opponent with a losing home record.
On the other side, the over is 11-5 in the Texans’ last 16 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game and is a perfect 6-0 in their last six games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous contest.
NFL WEEK 13 BETTING PREDICTION: COLTS/TEXANS OVER 50.5