Chiefs vs. Patriots Total Prediction
One of the marquee matchups in Week 14 pits the Chiefs against the Patriots at 4:25 p.m. ET. Will the game turn into a shootout or with the Patriots’ struggles offensively, is the under the better play?
151 Kansas City Chiefs (+3) at 152 New England Patriots (-3); O/U 48.5
4:25 p.m. ET, Sunday, December 8
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Patriots are receiving 58% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Kansas City Chiefs Fantasy Spin
Tyreek Hill caught 5-of-8 targets for 55 yards in the Chiefs' Week 13 win over the Raiders. Hill's hamstring wasn't a problem at all, but the wind played a factor, as the Chiefs had just one pass play of over 20 yards despite coming into this one leading the league in the category. Hill will do battle with Stephon Gilmore and the Patriots next week, which is an obvious hit to his fantasy outlook.
New England Patriots Fantasy Spin
Tom Brady completed 24-of-47 passes for 326 yards with three touchdowns and an interception in Week 13 against the Texans. Brady played much worse than his stats, with most of his yards and two of his touchdowns coming in the fourth quarter. He struggled to find his receivers all night and had a second interception called back on a penalty. Brady had his full supporting cast with Mohamed Sanu and Phillip Dorsett returning this week but locked on to Julian Edelman and James White for over half his completions. This ended up one of Brady's better games despite his obvious miscues. Brady's ceiling isn't very high, but he gets a potential shootout matchup with the Chiefs in Week 14.
NFL Betting Trends
The over is 6-1-1 in the Chiefs’ last eight games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
The under is 12-4 in the Patriots’ last 16 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
The under is 17-7 in the Patriots’ last 24 games overall, is 7-3 in their last 10 games as a home favorite and is 7-3 in their last 10 home games overall. The under is also 16-5 in the Patriots’ last 21 games coming off a loss and is 10-3 in their last 13 games played in December. On the other side, the under is 18-7-1 in the Chiefs’ last 26 games as a road underdo of between 0.5 and 3.0 points.
NFL Week 14 Prediction: Chiefs/Patriots UNDER 48.5