Cowboys vs. Bears TNF Prediction
The Cowboys continue to hold off the Eagles in the NFC East but have dropped two straight games and are laying a field goal tonight versus the Bears in Chicago. Is there more value in the home dog or the struggling ‘Boys?
101 Dallas Cowboys (-3) at 102 Chicago Bears (+3); O/U 43
8:20 p.m. ET, Thursday, December 5, 2019
Solider Field, Chicago, IL
According to our NFL Public Betting Chart page, the Cowboys are drawing 62% of the betting tickets ahead of Thursday night’s game.
Dallas Cowboys Fantasy Spin
Ezekiel Elliott handled 12 carries for 71 yards, adding seven catches for 66 yards in Dallas' Week 13 loss to Buffalo. A majority of Elliott's rushing yards came on a 30-yard sprint — his longest of the season and first carry for 20-plus yards since his final touch in Dallas' Week 2 win over Washington. His 20-yard screen on the team's second play accounted for nearly a third of his receiving yards, too. Tony Pollard was an afterthought on three carries, allowing Zeke to "get there" in garbage time since the Cowboys were out-scored 26-0 following their first possession and stuck playing catch-up the rest of the way. While Elliott's contract extension is bad news for Cowboys fans and the team's cap situation, it essentially forces him onto the field for every snap, keeping him as a Top 5 fantasy option weekly. That won't change next week against the Bears.
Chicago Bears Fantasy Spin
Mitchell Trubisky completed 29-of-38 passes for 338 yards, three touchdowns and an interception in the Bears' 24-20, Thanksgiving win over the Lions. Badly out-dueled by Lions No. 3 QB David Blough in the first half, Trubisky was in danger of posting an all-time Thanksgiving turkey before rallying the Bears to victory with a pair of second half scores, the second of which came with 2:17 remaining. Trubisky found Anthony Miller for a pair of long completions on what proved to be the game-winning drive. He did mix in a horrendous third quarter interception where Darius Slay ran Allen Robinson's route for him. Nearly benched following Week 11, Trubisky has rallied for a pair of acceptable performances. The Cowboys are a concerning Week 14 matchup.
The Cowboys are just 4-9 against the spread in their last 13 games played on Thursday but are 8-3-1 against the number in their last 12 games as a road favorite.
The Bears are a perfect 4-0 against the spread in their last four games played in December and are 6-1-1 against the number in their last eight games as a home underdog.
Backing Trubisky makes my stomach churn but the Cowboys offense is really sputtering and I don’t see how they turn things around tonight in Chicago. The Bears defense isn’t as good as it was a year ago, but it’s still a dominating unit, capable of wrecking a Dallas offense that struggled outdoors in the elements just two weeks ago in Foxborough. The Cowboys are also in the midst of turmoil, as owner/GM Jerry Jones can’t help but tell anyone with a microphone that his coaching staff isn’t good enough. And after the Bills waxed the Cowboys last Thursday in Dallas, I don’t see how a similarly-built Bears team doesn’t have success tonight at home. I’ll take the field goal with the home dog.
NFL WEEK 14 PREDICTION: CHICAGO BEARS +3