Jaguars vs. Titans Total Prediction
AFC South rivals the Jaguars and Titans will meet in Nashville on Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET in a game with a total of 41.5. What’s the best play for bettors when it comes to the over/under?
267 Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5) at 268 Tennessee Titans (-3.5); O/U 41.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 22
Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Titans are receiving 65% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
Jacksonville Jaguars Fantasy Spin
Dede Westbrook (illness) wasn't listed on the Jaguars' final injury report. Westbrook returned to a full practice on Friday. D.J. Chark's likely shadow matchup with Jackson sets up Chris Conley exceptionally well against LeShaun Sims, who has allowed 10-of-13 targets into his coverage to be caught for 115 yards and a score this season. Westbrook also doesn't need to be downgraded against Logan Ryan, who has allowed a league-high 474 receiving yards in slot coverage through 11 weeks. Foles doesn't figure to feature Chark (15 targets in Week 11) so far ahead of Conley (8) and Westbrook (6) on a weekly basis. Both complementary WRs are intriguing low-cost DFS options, but recognize that a slow-paced matchup between two run-first offenses doesn't usually result in too many shootouts.
Tennessee Titans Fantasy Spin
Corey Davis (hip) wasn't listed on the Titans' final injury report. Both Davis and A.J. Brown have demonstrated the ability to operate at a high level this season, but consistent targets have been incredibly hard to come by. The Titans are still a run-first offense at their core: Tannehill attempted 19 total passes in the Titans' Week 10 win over the Chiefs. The potential return of Delanie Walker (ankle, doubtful) throws a wrench in this entire situation. It doesn't seem particularly likely that the Titans go too far out of their way to throw the ball against a Jaguars Defense that has been significantly better against the pass (No. 11 in DVOA) than the run (No. 30) this season.
NFL Betting Trends
The under is 5-0 in the Jaguars’ last five games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
The over is 5-1 in the Titans’ last six games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
The over is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings between these two teams in Nashville. The over is also 7-2 in the Titans’ last nine home games, is 8-3 in their last 11 games played in the month of November and is 41-19-3 in their last 63 home games versus an opponent with a losing road record. On the other side, the over is 4-0 in the Jaguars’ last four games in Week 12.
NFL Week 12 Prediction: Jaguars/Titans OVER 41.5