Packers vs. Colts Week 11 Prediction
Aaron Rodgers and the Packers are currently listed as small road underdogs on Sunday versus the Colts at 4:25 p.m. ET. Should bettors resist the temptation to take Green Bay in a dog roll or are the Pack a safe play?
461 Green Bay Packers (+1) at 462 Indianapolis Colts (-1); o/u 51.5
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 22, 2020
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Green Bay Packers DFS Notes
Aaron Rodgers has been pressured on 22.8 percent of his drop backs this season, the second lowest rate in the NFL. This week against Jacksonville, Rodgers saw pressure on a meager 11 percent of his drop backs. It paid off, as he scorched the Jaguars for 325 yards and two touchdowns. In 2019, Rodgers has pressured on more than a third of his drop backs. Rodgers' days of scrambling hero-ball are over (for now) with Green Bay's offensive line consistently giving him a comfortable pocket. Only Ben Roethlisberger has seen fewer pressured drop backs in 2020.
Indianapolis Colts DFS Notes
Philip Rivers completed 29-of-39 passes for 308 yards and one touchdown in the Colts' 34-17, Week 10 win over the Titans. It was Rivers' third 300-yard game of the season, and he has just two multi-touchdown efforts to his name. Rivers hasn't been a fantasy asset whatsoever in his first season with the Colts, who prefer to run the ball and lean on their defense. Rivers' lone score in this one was a 13-yarder to Nyheim Hines who did the work to dive for the goal line before his knee was down. Rivers won't be a recommended fantasy play outside of two-QB superflex leagues next week against the Packers.
Packers vs. Colts Prediction
The over is 5-0 in the last five meetings between these two teams and is 7-3 in the Packers’ last 10 games following an ATS loss. On the other side, the over is 4-1 in the Colts’ last five games overall and has cashed in five straight when Indianpolis is coming off a game in which it gained 350 total yards.
NFL WEEK 11 BETTING PREDICTION: PACKERS/COLTS OVER 51.5