Chiefs vs. Raiders Week 11 Prediction
Following a week of COVID-19-related issues, the Raiders will attempt to sweep the defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs on Sunday Night Football. Will Vegas at least cover as a sizable home dog?
471 Kansas City Chiefs (-8) at 472 Las Vegas Raiders (+8); o/u 57
Time: 8:20 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 22, 2020
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Kansas City Chiefs DFS Notes
Patrick Mahomes completed 30-of-45 passes for 372 yards and four touchdowns in the Chiefs' Week 9 win over the Panthers. With Russell Wilson losing and turning the ball over four times, Mahomes should be viewed as the favorite for the 2020 MVP Award. Today, Mahomes was slow out of the gate and left big yardage on the field, but he more than made up for those rare misses with a massive second half. He was finding Travis Kelce over the middle and Tyreek Hill over the top for chunk gain after chunk gain. Mahomes is up to 27 total touchdowns to just two turnovers and is on pace for the No. 1 seed in the AFC. Mahomes will return from the Chiefs' Week 10 bye against the Raiders. Expect him to get some revenge in Vegas after losing to Gruden earlier in the year.
Las Vegas Raiders DFS Notes
Derek Carr completed 16-of-25 passes for 154 yards in the Raiders' Week 10 win over the Broncos. Carr attempted two passes in the fourth quarter because the Raiders entered the final frame with a two-score lead. Their rushing attack faced little resistance from Denver toward the end of the game so there was little need for Carr to drop back. He could have left the game with a touchdown but Darren Waller dropped a deep pass from Carr that would have been a walk-in touchdown. This is his third consecutive week under 200 yards. He faces the Chiefs next week so it's unlikely that his team will get to run on a massive lead to close out the game. Carr enters low-end QB2 territory in the more competitive matchup.
Chiefs vs. Raiders Prediction
The favorite is 11-5 against the spread in the last 16 meetings between these two teams while the Chiefs have cashed in 12 of the previous 17 meetings between these two teams when the Raiders are the host side. The Chiefs are also 12-3-1 against the spread in their last 16 games as a favorite, are 4-1 against the number in their last five games as a road favorite and have cashed nine of their previous 10 tickets when facing an opponent with a winning record. On the other side, the Raiders have failed to cover in five of their last seven home games and are 6-16 against the number in their last 22 games coming off a win.
NFL WEEK 11 BETTING PREDICTION: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -8